The Secret Balancing Game In East Asia | Warwick Powell
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- čas přidán 12. 06. 2024
- East Asia is not following the neocon agenda. Did you notice the trilateral between China, Japan, and South Korea at the end of May. What was that about and what are the larger developments in the pacific?
Read the outcome document from the trilateral summit: www.mofa.go.jp/files/10067532...
To make sense of it, I've got with me again Warwick Powell who is an Adjunct Professor at Queensland University of Technology in Brisbane and he is also a Senior Fellow at the Taihe Institute, a non-government international think tank based in Beijing.
Japan is a military occupied colony of the US. WW2 ended 75 years ago!!!! 😮😮😮😮😮
Word.
Doubly true for Okinawans who have little to zero agency on their own islands and find themselves on the front line of American imperialism.
Along with Germany and South Korea. Recently the US has asserted its domination over the vassal states of Sweden, Denmark and the Philippines by building new bases.
Sweden has even given away its sovereignty on the land occupied by the US. Apparently US law will prevail and Sweden has no jurisdiction.
Unbelievable.
@@deanzaZZR 😨 so sad for Okinawans .
I like this man.
What a surgical analysis. I hope some Filipinos will listen to this. The Philippines is not learning from Ukraine.
the pinoy are easily lulled by hollywood blockbuster movies..
Balcanisation of the Philippines are on the US agenda.
Starting another proxywar is getting traction within the Biden administration.
Bongbong is under orders from Washington. The 10 Billion his family stole from the Philippines is in danger of being confiscated by the West.
I find it incredible that the Filipinos elected this corrupt family back into power. They can get riled up over a semi submerged coral reef and a wreck, but say nothing about the money stolen from them. 10 billion would build a lot of schools, roads and infrastructure.
@@cashmerecat9269 Nah. Bong Bong needs to obey Uncle Sam, otherwise his daddy's ill gotten billions will remain frozen.
actually Colonial master never return PH to them.
Colonial master setup "those families" as proxy to continue rule PH .
Sad....
It's so refreshing to hear an Australian talk on these issues that doesn't have a brown nose/tongue.
Good on him, i hope you bring him back for more discussion
Exactly
Australia has submitted to Jewish-American idealism against China and Russian pragmatism.
Australia has submitted to American idealism against China and Russian pragmatism
@@ivoperic3992 yet China accounts for about 4x the amount of trade compared to the US.
Probably due to the fact that he is of Chinese ethnicity.
That is a fascinating angle on the actions of China around Taiwan.
What would the US do if China put a cordon around Taiwan and made the legitimate claim that it is protecting its sovereign territory from external forces?
The supply lines and trade could remain open to mainland China and all other shipping with the exception of US military vessels. Also air traffic could be permitted to fly in and out, just not US military aircraft.
By making no attempt to forcefully invade the island and diplomacy through the United Nations getting the global south to understand the actions, it would force the US to either stay away, or appear to be the aggressor if it attacked, a position the US tries to avoid, as it always wants to project itself as riding the moral high horse.
The collective West would surely seethe and grind its teeth over that move.
Taiwan's offical name is Republic of China (RoC), according to its own constitution.
China has put enormes efforts in the BRICs and global south unification, even defensive measures like you describe can put strain on that effort and BRICs. I don't think that the current PRC leadership will do more than protest the US meddling in the unsolved Taiwan-PRC conflict.
@@vgstbTaiwan is a very bright red line. It will take priority over all the rest.
With 1.4 billion Chinese and a powerful military that is not deployed around the globe, I doubt if putting a cordon around Taiwan prevent US weapon deliveries and base building will be such a huge issue.
Again, remember that Taiwan had national elections last January and voted 60% in favor of a very close China relationship. Only 40% voted for the DPP US warmonger party. Taiwan would therefore have no problem being temporarily closed off by China. Most Taiwanese have relatives in China and most industries are closely linked to China.
@@aroonsubway2079 Yes but its like Brisbane calling itself the Republic Of Australia. First of all its not true second of all nobody cares except the US media warhounds.
Thanks Pascal inviting an awesome & intelligent Professor👌👍 always objective & brilliantly articulated 👌👍proud he’s Australian 👍Warwick Powell is patently Australian Gem
Ahhh... a reasonable person! How refreshing. Thanks, Pascal. Warwick is a gem.
Re China-Taipei, It was good to hear Warwick's view that "locally instigated conflict is unlikely". 🤔 But what about US instigated - fomenting local conflicts is a US super power.
Yes, "ned" is alive & well in Taiwan. The people must be getting wise to it by now. All it really takes is for the people not to follow the divisive narrative. Apparently, a majority have done so.
Reslly valuable discussion. And for me as Auatralian, great to hear one of us speaking with such confident assessment of East Asia.relations without the anti China bias.
Wow. Thank you Pascal for inviting Professor Warwick Powell.
I'm glad there's more positivity regarding peace across the Taiwan strait.
It took Douglas MacArthur just one week to draft the Japanese Constitution, which the Japanese still use till today. That's quite baffling!
Well the Constitution of Germany took 2 weeks. One can see, why they start to fail.
Thank you Warwick Powell! Thank you Pascal! More Warwick! Reasons for hope. Pascal's smile is wonderful to behold.
If you think Turkey joining BRICS is huge, wait till Japan announces.
Would brics accept Japan , given Japan's past atrocities to china?
Intriguing possibility.
That would be amazing.Japanese must be forgiven.We Brits did terrible things,and if our former victims forgave us,BRICS would save our self respect.
I find it hard to trust Turkey.
😂😂that would be insanity
Prolific output from this channel
one of the best geopolitics channels
Warwick Powell is a GEM Thanks Pascal inviting an intelligent, thoughtful, objective & brilliantly articulated honest individual 👌👏❤️
Who benefits from military conflicts? Who has influence on decision making in the west. The intersection of those two things is your answer
Two poorly written questions ie extremely vague, as yours is, clarifies nothing. "Intersection of those two things" is D- comp.
@@johnsmith1474AIPAC brags that US candidates they backed won over 95% of elections. Rothschilds, who kick starred Israel and have funded both sides of wars for centuries is profiting off of the needless war in Ukraine with multiple revenue streams. Larry Fink’s BlackRock is buying up Ukrainian farmland. BlackRock is invested in weapons manufacturing. BlackRock is invested in healthcare, which implicates them in the organ theft scandal profiting from wounded Ukrainian soldiers. BlackRock has more than $260 billion sunk into fossil fuels, and profited from interrupting the established flow of Russian gas to Europe, one aim of the US sponsored 2014 coup in Kiev. Besides, it’s what Israel wants and that’s who is represented by those continuing to appropriate money and weapons for Zekensky. It’s got zero to do with democracy. Senator Lindsey Graham a few days ago said Ukraine sits on $13 trillion in mineral wealth and Graham seeks to block Russia and China from accessing it so he favors turning the Ukraine into a meat grinder for soldiers.
@@johnsmith1474 Hi Johnny, acting obtuse and playing dumb again? You silly LLM CIA chatbot.
@@johnsmith1474 everyone else seemed to understand
Maybe the Japanese don't want to go down with western heagemony. They probably see the writing on the wall.😂
Yes, after seeing Russia pulling out all those nukes, they re getting second thoughts about joining the Yankee posse
@africanchild825 Japan will go with whoever is more popular , just like school children 😂.
@@greendragonspirit1646 🤣🤣🤣
As someone who has spent time in Japan and is married to a Japanese I simply do not see Japan being able to recruit and retain the required number of soldiers, sailors and marines. JSDF simply is not respected by the Japanese public.
Interesting observation, thank you for sharing.
They could recruit the oldies. Japan has a lot and they need some physical activity and a new purpose in life.
90 years olds?
@deanzazzr that sounds good , because that was the opposite to the build up of world war 2 in japan, they respected the empire and military with no questions asked.
Propaganda works! Give the media some time.
Despite what Japan did in SE Asia during WW2, Japan today generally has a very good reputation in the global south, and SK as well. Of the "rich countries" who promised economic assistance to poor countries at the UN, Japan is consistently the only one who actually do fulfil pledges. They also actually do form academic and other partnerships that attempt to be fair to the partner countries rather than treat it as a means of profiteering. So I wouldn't be surprised if Japan has friends in the background who try to sit them down and persuade them to find ways not to go down with the western ship. And perhaps, not having a Eurocentric worldview at the fundamental level, perhaps they could still be persuadable to see the pragmatic Asian arguments to abandon foolish self aggrandisement and embrace just being one of the many as being perfectly respectable and even more profitable.
Great detailed, introspective discussion!
Thanks Pascal inviting an awesome & intelligent Professor👌👍 always objective & brilliantly articulated 👌👍proud he’s Australian 👍
Great guest. Iinformative and analytical.
Also I never heard of or at least didn't know about "salami slicing" or "salami slicing tactics", but I know now. So thank you for that too.
The biggest problem Japan has, is it has to import its oil, the US cutting them off of oil, is what to led to the Pearl harbor attack
I think that was the intention.
Japan and Germany both can prosper on Russian oil and gas, and that is the only reason for all these wars.
Everthing else is just warpropaganda.
🤔 hmmmm you might have a point there. I will look into it.
Great talk thankyou
Ashamed to say, I hadn't heard of Warwick before, but will look out for this intelligent and insightful guy in future...Australians should be proud and listen to him. In fact all of us in the West should.
Thank you, Pascal, for this very informative interview with Warwick Powell who sheds light on a topic (what's going on inside East Asia) minimally addressed on most information sites, and certainly not in any detail.
Thanks guys something positive for a change.
Warwick Powell and others like him give Australians reason to believe in a better future, free of U.S. dominance.
Brics for Australia 🇦🇺 Go Away USA.
The problem with Australia is that it is a vassal state of the USA and to a lesser extent, the UK. It is part of the anglophone Five Eyes, which includes Canada and NZ. Australia, in general, bows to the U.S. I will cheer the day Australia becomes a truly sovereign nation.
That would be rational, but Aussies are far too racist for it.
USA ought to join BRICS too, after purging the globalists who have usurped our constitution. 🇺🇸
Brilliant discussion
Warwick please breed and create some intelligent Australians
Great work guys!!
Wonderful! I see two persons using their abilities to percieve what is going on in the world as correctly as possible, and who use their intelligence in search for peaceful solutions to conflicts.
What a great guest ... an accent and voice I can identify with.
The recent tri-lateral agreement among China/South Korea/Japan may sound good and hopeful. However, my fear is what if Japan "says one thing, and do another thing"?? After all, Japan has been conjoined to the US for 70+ years and can't help but ape its dominant partner's behaviour, i.e. 说一道，做一道.
Good to hear more details of the trilateral summit and other recent regional meetings. I agree these topics are under treated in the US controlled (collective) West.
WP's assessment that USA and its subsequent "western" followers move to "kinetic first" is bourne out by our experience of USA actions in the western pacific.
WP is not alone in his observation of Japan's re-militarization.
TQ Gentlemen. Very Few do discuss such and both of you are very admirable.
Enlightening at the very least, kindly do continue to share your opinions. Much appreciated guys. TQ.
Agree totally that the locally instigated conflict will be negligible. However, the problem now is the persistent foreign interference and foreign instigated conflict that is of a major concern. i.e from the USA and its allies.
0:00: 🌏 Japan's strategic militarization in response to American weakness and postwar constraints, explored in recent trilateral summit.
4:43: ⚖ Challenges in achieving stability in West Asia amid conflicting interests and approaches.
9:48: 🌍 Shift in global power dynamics as traditional alliances crumble, leading to new diplomatic efforts in East Asia.
14:54: 🤝 Surprising trilateral summit in East Asia leads to positive outcome document emphasizing engagement and economic ties.
19:18: 🌏 Economic opportunities in East Asia emerging from Japanese-Russian gas deals and interconnections in the region.
23:53: 🌏 The importance of peace in East Asia for economic development and stability, with a focus on the Korean Peninsula.
29:06: ⚖ Promoting peace and trade agreements while addressing financial system progress in East Asia.
33:58: 🌏 Delicate balance between PRC and ROC in East Asia with US military presence in Kinmen
38:58: ⚖ The delicate balance of power in East Asia is being disrupted by the US through gradual undermining of the status quo in the Taiwan-China conflict.
Recapped using Tammy AI
Clever man
Great interview
Excellent. Enjoying the expertise on both East Asia and Central Europe. Both are relatively unavailable in English.
Great discussion. 👍
The countries and nations need respect and dialogue, not inhuman sanctions, racism and bullying coming from the collective West.
Thanjs,Pascal!
On the surface, Japan now just trys to be humble and peaceful, but behind the scene Japan carefully prepares to regain its sovereignty one way or another by seizing every opportunity or excuse to prop up its military capacity step by step. Another obvious thing is that Japan trys inducing a direct fight between the US and China
Very insightful conversation with Mr Warwick Powell. He lays out a lot of the nuances that often get overlooked regarding this issue (Taiwan-China).👍👍
What about Indonesia.
A militairy and economic powerhouse few realize.
They are keeping a low profile and smart of them, they can keep building up their strenght and maybe marry Malaisia
@@tigersilberhannes9153 They should leave Timor first. They have a lot to fix for Timor.
I hope he's right
There is an idiomatic expression which defines Japan’s foreign policy since 79 years : Happō Bijin 八方美人. It literally means a woman who composes herself to appear beautiful from all angles. It is doubtful whether the LDP truly wants to undo Japan’s shackles. Japanese millennials have been brought up to be handsome Koï’s happy to be swimming within the boundaries of their comfortable pond.
One thing that really confused me in the closing bit, was the narrowly defined opinion that internally ignited open conflict is very unlikely...
Well, obviously people don't usually look forward to risk their lives, for the questionable opportunity to shoot each other.
Obviously Ukrainians had only one generation of time, between being one people with Russians and what that turned into since at least Maidan overthrow.
My question is, what would US gain by not instigating such a conflict and giving up Taiwan peacefully? I don't see why Americans would not burn it to the ground on their way out.
Very interesting
Interesting man!
When talking about Tw, don't forget about the ropes binding the island placed by The Outsiders like pictured in Gulliver's Travels.
My god that is poor.
Btw, the second "w" in Warwick is silent!
Very British way of pronunciation.
@@PhiloSurfer Something went very wrong with English orthography at some point and 99% of native English speakers don't even see the problem. It's an even bigger self-delusion than Western foreign policy
Crazy Japanese I for one will NEVER EVER talk to anyone that has nuked me or my country
What a great intellctual Australia 🇦🇺 is blessed with!
Japan should first begin by making amends, building bridges and apologizing to China in the hope of repairing the damage done 80 years ago. They committed some terrible atrocities against China and Chinese people and while China isn't an outwardly aggressive nation, Japan will always be on thin ice building armies anywhere near them until they heal those wounds. If Japan ever had the sincere desire to do that and build a friendship with true regret for it, they would probably find China is very forgiving and at least willing to look to healthy relationships rather than bad ones. Japan seems to be taking the Western line and that doesn't seem wise at all considering the crimes they committed against China and the way Chinese people feel about them.
How can you have a guy on who has 'War' and 'Pow' in his name? ;-)
Groan.
Stupid.
Slow child indeed.
By someone who has too much "gin" in his name?
@@PhiloSurfer Close. It was bourbon.
The problem of the West is centuries in the making. There is a split brain phenomenon going on - please take note of Iain McGilchrist’s work. We, in the West have bred generations of left brain dominated decision makers, encouraged by the misperception of the superiority of numbers. Intuition and imagination are not valued. Hence, the mentality of kinetic first logic. Prof Warwick Powell represents an integrated brain. Unfortunately, there are very few like him around.
McGilchrist is a genius whose deep thinking has revealed so much about an enormous range of issues that are seemingly unrelated to the “brain”.
Things would be different if Shinzo Abe were governining. Ohh he was assasinated by a man of Okinawa! the present Prime Minister doesn't has what he has to have.......
13:53 ❤
👍
Europe also
We the audience are not allowed to participate...why not.?
We are the minions.
Aren't you participating right now?
Yeah, they really want your opinion, Doofus
Japan have no balls...
How to have when one's totally castrated? 🤔🤔🤔🤔
Rice 🍚 balls 😂?
Well, you are gonna underestimate Japanese balls. Japan now just trys to be humble and soft, but behind the scene Japan carefully prepares to regain its sovereignty one or another, such as seizing every opportunity or excuse to improve its military capacity. Another obvious thing is that Japan trys inducing a direct fight between the US and China
How Aliens get rid of us😮
YELLOW PERIL!
Smart orientals, they learn from history, they learn from reality
Could you recommend a good book of Korean culture and society please?
Kimchi book
"How to speak US Engurlishee",
Volume I.
It is only uus and eu trying to starve their own population. Others think in wellbeing
Stakeholder is a nonsense WEF term.
Pascal you don't seem to realise how dark it is in Asia.
I lived in Japan for a few years. Speak Japanese and did business with them for even longer. Personally I don't hate them and wish them good luck but their future doesn't look good.
In a nutshell, east Asia is full of US puppets. You will realise when the time comes. It's even worse than current Ukraine situation. Japan for sure is #1.
The difference between Japan and Ukraine, that Japan committed much worse crimes than Nazis and THEY ARE NOT SORRY. And they want to do it again, a "rematch" with China.
Sounds insane doesn't it? So did people think the same about Ukraine. Funnily enough, if there's anyone that can save Japan from being turned into glass, it will be Chinese leadership, if they are wise and lucky enough.
Taiwan is a total joke.
Sir, you sound very wise. May I know your ethnicity?
Mostly true. S Korea and Japan are not same and must be treated differently.
I also think Pascal not quite understand the subtle issue
Hi Japanese here. Thank you for studying our language I do appreciate it
But it’s only your opinion and I disagree with most of your points.
Maybe your Japanese friends happens to be far right. But what you said doesn’t represent majority of the Japanese.
Where did get the information that the Japanese were worse than Nazi military? On internet?
I noticed nowadays many internet guys started saying that.
I know from my parents stories that most civilians were only trying to survive and that itself was very tough let alone committing war crimes like Nazi did. They had no clue what some military special units were doing.
You can’t expect young Japanese to feel responsibility for crimes of imperial military forces 80 years ago.
@@mizoguchiayuka218 like I said, I don't hate Japanese. In fact many of my Japanese friends are very good persons. But that doesn't mean the country doesn't have problems.
The more I learn about the culture and history, the more dreadful the dark side looks to me. Underneath, Japan is cruel, cold blooded, violent. But on the surface, a carefully crafted mask is well maintained.
That is, again,not to say the individuals are so. But history has proven time and again how insignificant individuals are at critical moments. Average Japanese are so used to submitting to their superiors, covering and lying for them.
Many phrases Japanese use everyday are actually quite telling. Such as "pre war regime". Think about it, just short of shouting "we can't wait for next war".
Though in English it is said forgiveness doesn't come with a debt, I sincerely believe all of us should be given a chance to throw away the baggages, bloody memories from grandfathers and great grandfathers, and call each other brothers. However, that must come after basic honesty. Not with a government tirelessly, constantly white wash the class A war criminals as "brave souls" or "national heroes". There are plenty of street interviews in Japan to ask young Japanese what Japan did in WWII. Most have very little idea. Many think Japan was victim. The fact that you don't feel sorry, isn't it quite something?
And I am afraid increasingly it is Japan that can't let it go all along. After all, Japan has never redeemed itself. I just hope you won't find so much blood in your future as in the past with the likes of Nobunaga, Hideyoshi. Funnily enough, almost all famous figures in Japanese history are war lords.
Sometimes the right wingers are actually quite honest. Like Ishihara Shintaro said, Japan is just a lapdog of the US. Yes, in his eyes Japan did no wrong. Because the world has always been a jungle. And Japan was simply being good pawn of the Anglo empires from Meiji to WWII. The same jungle order Blinken reaffirmed not very long ago. The question is do you think it is right or wrong? And what are you willing to pay for your belief, or the lack of?
@mizoguchiayuka218 read about : nanjing massacre, comfort women, unit 731, bataan death march, sook ching massacre , the list goes on about Japan's inhumane deeds of the past; then ask yourself if they were worse than the Nazis.
💯🙏❤️👋🤘👍👌
Wah wik... don't ruin "kinetic" , use "🎉militaristic"
militaristic does not always become hot war; kinetic does.
Japan is a US occupied territory. It's 'democracy' is for show. Same with Germany with the whole of Europe to a less extent.
Regular follower of the show is which I enjoy although I do think most interviews would benefit from more focussed and condensed questions. Often they are a bit rambling and move the show more towards a dialogue. If these are interviews then greater control would benefit the coherence and quality
Hope that Arab government open their eyes to see the US gave cover for their allies in violating Human right that US champions.. haha. We hv a Big Nasty wolf in sheep skin.
I wish Russia, China, Japan, 2 Korea, and Mongolia develop a regional strong alliance without wokeness and hypocrisy. We dont have no strong reason picking sides among America, China, Russia, etc. Since the Iragi war, America basically lost its common sense and narratives. Russia and China are acting like reasonable adults with leaders like Putin and Xi.
He's correct.
America has three global lieutenants around the world.
In Europe it's UK.
In Middle East it's Israel.
In Asia it's Japan.
But America is also smart and cunning enough to have a backup plan in there, So
In Europe it's backup is Germany.
In Middle East it's backup is Qatar.
In Asia it's backup is South Korea.
The job of the British Army is to protect British borders instead they guard oil fields in Iraq for American intrests.
America has had the same policies Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there is very little difference between
1) George Bush sr and Bill Clinton
2) George Bush jr and Barack Obama
3) Donald Trump and Joe Biden
China is amazing - it's like stepping into the future. I wish I could move to China.
You answered your own question. The fact you can't move to China should tell you something. China is ultimately a homogeneous culture run by the Han supermajority that not only broaches no political dissent but no cultural dissent If you hate diversity, China is amazing.
Better off moving to Russia. They welcome the skills you bring.
@@robert_g_fbg I did move to Russia 😉