World Renowned Historian predicts outcome of 2024 US Presidential Election |

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  • čas přidán 26. 04. 2023
  • 80-year-old US President Joe Biden has officially announced his bid for re-election. And this comes just months after former President Donald Trump put forth his re-election bid before being criminally indicted.
    How is the 2024 campaign shaping up, and will we see a Biden-Trump rematch?
    Renowned historian who has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential race since 1984, Dr Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor in History at the American University with an insightful analysis.
    Download the podcast here: www.moneyfm893.sg/guest/dr-al...
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Komentáře • 2,1K

  • @_Peremalfait
    @_Peremalfait Před 4 měsíci +296

    I'll save you some time. The World Renowned Historian predicts that it all depends on what happens between now and the election. Thanks, buddy. Never could've come up with that by myself.

    • @heizie88
      @heizie88 Před 4 měsíci +36

      Thank you for not wasting my time man, appreciate it

    • @WarrenHolly
      @WarrenHolly Před 4 měsíci +15

      Exactly! And we don't do rallies we don't get polled but come election day watch what we do.💪🏾🤠

    • @josechristian9330
      @josechristian9330 Před 4 měsíci +4

      Thank you !!

    • @garufia
      @garufia Před 4 měsíci +7

      @@WarrenHolly 😂 Exactly. They think the whole electorate is at these rallies or something? No, we don't go in for those monkey fests.

    • @WarrenHolly
      @WarrenHolly Před 4 měsíci +11

      @@garufia I'm loving this 🤗 trump is starting to crumble. The drugs aren't working no more. Wife gone the holidays had to have been tough. I almost felt sorry for the guy🤭 no I didn't 😫🤠👏🏾😝

  • @jpfatc
    @jpfatc Před 4 měsíci +44

    The title of your video said he’d make a prediction and yet he never did! WTF?

  • @mattheww797
    @mattheww797 Před 4 měsíci +74

    He didn't predict anything he said it's too early

    • @MichaelDarlingCo
      @MichaelDarlingCo Před 4 měsíci +9

      I predicted he would say that

    • @jasonmartinez9051
      @jasonmartinez9051 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Thanks. Saved me some time.

    • @toe2toe22
      @toe2toe22 Před 4 měsíci +1

      the above post is obviously from a Trumpie supporter, LIchtman's too accurate to be dismissed?

    • @jasonmartinez9051
      @jasonmartinez9051 Před 4 měsíci

      @@toe2toe22 Obviously? What gave it away?

    • @aol-youvegotmail364
      @aol-youvegotmail364 Před 3 měsíci +1

      He said that BIDEN GOT BETTER CHANCES so far...

  • @user-wk1nv1qm2x
    @user-wk1nv1qm2x Před 4 měsíci +7

    I can’t believe that the 7million people changed their mind

  • @matthewferguson7084
    @matthewferguson7084 Před rokem +232

    He basically says it's too early to tell
    Got me, don't let 'em get you

    • @THE______TRUTH
      @THE______TRUTH Před 11 měsíci +22

      Thanks! Saved me time. 😄

    • @danielrace594
      @danielrace594 Před 10 měsíci

      Trump will win the 2024 election. If he doesn't well we are taking it anyways!!!

    • @leeannsolice7473
      @leeannsolice7473 Před 10 měsíci +25

      He does specify that Biden has the best chance. Read over his 13 keys as he speaks and it is really clear for his current model to predict Biden. IDK what these commenters saying otherwise heard.

    • @Goodkarma36_
      @Goodkarma36_ Před 10 měsíci +6

      Thank u lol

    • @phyllisneal8687
      @phyllisneal8687 Před 10 měsíci +5

      Thanks! I always check comments, FIRST❤️

  • @Killane10
    @Killane10 Před 4 měsíci +8

    I am always suspicious when i hear a one sided love story

  • @gregm55mullen62
    @gregm55mullen62 Před 4 měsíci +5

    World renowned historian talking through his hat.

  • @massspecguy8538
    @massspecguy8538 Před 4 měsíci +5

    I'm bookmarking this video ... and we will see. Lichtman already started giving himself prediction cover with hedging at time 12:25 with "so many keys are fluid".

  • @roshandsouza4922
    @roshandsouza4922 Před 9 měsíci +5

    When does speculation end and prediction begin? ' after the fact? Has anybody tracked this?
    So 'it's too early to tell' is soreculatio, prediction or a fact?

  • @AllanLichtmanYouTube
    @AllanLichtmanYouTube Před 9 měsíci +6

    Thanks for having me!

    • @chantra1ro646
      @chantra1ro646 Před 7 měsíci +1

      Mr. Allen
      Omg the way you reading you could analyze other people by the winning hmm that's ridiculous, I get it but I'm empty lol what got to do with the keys but depend who have more vote lol I feel like when you get the answer from you thought because you think you psychic lol you want to be famous on TV or ol.something lol I can say that and the guessing game and make everything looks true professor. 🫵🙄😲☝🏿😂🙄😲☝🏿oh you might be right you know most what part of it nlol I mean I can say that to lol of course you know why he's the a winner cuz he's a cheater you know so why make a different you probably know beforehand right I'm a strong empath and I read a lot of people, but I but I don't show off that I'm so good, so how people I know that , how accurate more do you think I am lol I don't want to be famous you know lol ☝🏿 I only Could Read through energy you know you predicted is too far ahead let's God take care of who's going to be the lol. I don't think Biden going to be winner , I'll bet you on anything , on my dead meat 🙄🫵🤷🏻‍♀️😲 I feel is somebody else , I'm a straight-A in world history 2 class lol and also I'm doing voice texts 😅 please I just feel like you probably got somewhere answer like analyzed something that's why you get everything right , through I'm not stupid doctor Allen

  • @AlbertoRodriguez-xi6fy
    @AlbertoRodriguez-xi6fy Před 4 měsíci +2

    Thanks for all ur therapy my friend u made my day appreciate all ur amazing reporting 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

  • @jayeean3890
    @jayeean3890 Před 3 měsíci +2

    13 + minutes that I'll never get back...

  • @barryrsmith70
    @barryrsmith70 Před rokem +203

    Very optimistic. Can’t wait for Allan Lichtman’s 2024 prediction next year

    • @kevingreywolf6003
      @kevingreywolf6003 Před 10 měsíci +11

      His prediction is an opinion

    • @RockNRollSurf
      @RockNRollSurf Před 10 měsíci +43

      @@kevingreywolf6003 Which has been the right opinion for the last 40 years. The only man to predict both the 2016 Trump victory and the 2020 Biden victory when no one else did.

    • @davidhelvering
      @davidhelvering Před 10 měsíci +14

      ⁠@@RockNRollSurf Who didn’t predict a Biden victory in 2020? I remember every poll for months indicating that Biden would win handily, which he did in the popular vote.

    • @nasa_fanboy4434
      @nasa_fanboy4434 Před 10 měsíci +13

      ​@@RockNRollSurflol, literally everyone predicted and could see biden winning in 2020
      And i say that as a trump fan

    • @robertshepherd3832
      @robertshepherd3832 Před 10 měsíci

      He sounds like a shill for the Democrat party. Every comment he made about Biden was positively glowing. Every comment about Trump was negative. Why not be neutral or at least honest ?

  • @sophiabright8371
    @sophiabright8371 Před 8 měsíci +15

    Interesting to listen to this AFTER all the Indictments!
    😅😂😅

    • @heatherhall7899
      @heatherhall7899 Před 7 měsíci

      Indictments have already occurred. You mean after the trials or after the trials are dismissed. I predict that Trump will be stronger after the country sees how flimsy and corrupt these trials are.

  • @omariagraciela
    @omariagraciela Před 9 měsíci +182

    Excellent analysis. Why don't you have more views? "Polls and punditry have no predictive value whatsoever". The strength of performance on the White House especially in economy and foreign policy is key in predicting the performance of Biden in 2024 elections. These insights are reassuring, thanks.

    • @gopackgo4036
      @gopackgo4036 Před 9 měsíci +17

      Once he does his official predications the NYT will have him on and he will get millions of views.

    • @omariagraciela
      @omariagraciela Před 9 měsíci +10

      @@gopackgo4036 Thanks! 👍

    • @MPlain
      @MPlain Před 9 měsíci

      Because social media does not want truth coming out.
      go anywhere and talk truth about Trump and see how fast you get banned for telling Americans the truth about thier hero.
      and sadly. most of the idiots that would actually vote for Trump only care about the KKK agenda, not the country. They would sell the country for a nickle to get their precious agenda. Traitors to the last.

    • @justiceiscoming7563
      @justiceiscoming7563 Před 9 měsíci

      The economy is horrific, or have you not put gas in your car or gone grocery shopping? Foreign policy? Biden is given millions to Ukraine, a war that should have never happened, while leaving our Southern border in peril. Biden, in a word: Disaster.

    • @suezbell1
      @suezbell1 Před 9 měsíci +4

      The voices / sound is not great ... kinda grates on the nerves.

  • @tonyclobo
    @tonyclobo Před 4 měsíci +1

    I have been waiting for Alan!

  • @NopeAndYep
    @NopeAndYep Před 9 měsíci +8

    Not biased at all.....didn't give any prediction either.

  • @georgeramos3437
    @georgeramos3437 Před rokem +237

    Allen Lichtman is completely “clued in.” He has been making predictions for nearly half a century. He has never been incorrect once. Biden better not drop out.

    • @SuperGion915
      @SuperGion915 Před 11 měsíci +24

      Well, he predicted Al Gore in 2000

    • @quinnjackson9252
      @quinnjackson9252 Před 11 měsíci

      @@SuperGion915 Yeah well that was due to the SCOTUS interfering in the election. The US Constitution does not give the SCOTUS the right to decide elections. If the recount had continued, thousands of votes in Florida would have been counted that weren't the first time around.

    • @jrizaac
      @jrizaac Před 11 měsíci +60

      @@SuperGion915 Gore was the real winner

    • @thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwar
      @thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwar Před 11 měsíci

      ​​@@SuperGion915 He predicted he would win the Popular Vote only, not the Electoral College & the entire 2000 Election, and he was right.
      It's almost as if he knew there was going to be a very controversial proven fraud taking place in the state of Florida, which went to the Supreme Court to then show that the recounts heavily favored George W. Bush and not Al Gore in Florida, thus showing that Bush did win the Electoral College by winning Florida, which attempted to falsely put Al Gore catching up to Bush's numbers, but failed and rightfully so, as our votes need to be protected no matter who you vote for.
      So yeah Alan Lichtman was careful in 2000 not to call an actual winner, otherwise he would have been wrong for the very first time in his prediction.

    • @real2w10
      @real2w10 Před 11 měsíci +11

      @@SuperGion915 yea but the election was so close tho

  • @JJJJJVVVVVLLLLL
    @JJJJJVVVVVLLLLL Před 5 měsíci +2

    sounds like he is 75; looks like he is trying out for a Beatles cover band

  • @santim2341
    @santim2341 Před 4 měsíci +2

    The economy is booming since this interview, Biden is doing very well, is giving great speeches with no teleprompter, so Trump will get buried jailed! 😂🎉

  • @laurabustinza9526
    @laurabustinza9526 Před 4 měsíci +4

    Thank you for being specific on what Biden has accomplished. Thank you

    • @ajosemeg3085
      @ajosemeg3085 Před 2 měsíci

      List them out 😂

    • @dennyurie4038
      @dennyurie4038 Před měsícem +2

      Nothing.... TRUMP 2024 🇺🇸 AMERICANS LIFE'S MATTERS 🇺🇸

  • @cisbio682
    @cisbio682 Před 4 měsíci +5

    Spoiler alert: the guy doesn't make a prediction, despite the clickbait title of the video. God I hate the internet.

    • @user-hs9qs9nv8s
      @user-hs9qs9nv8s Před 4 měsíci

      So if you hate the internet----turn it off--easy.

  • @dougdiplacido2406
    @dougdiplacido2406 Před 4 měsíci +56

    Bottom line is that in 2024 we will have the choice between a wanna be dictator that only cares about himself or a man that sincerely cares about the country. Not a hard choice at all.

    • @JasRaymond1
      @JasRaymond1 Před 4 měsíci

      Trump 2024 no more dictator Joe and his corrupt family.

    • @datingcoachryanpatrick
      @datingcoachryanpatrick Před 4 měsíci +14

      Lol yeah Joe Biden "sincerely" cares about our southern border, doesn't he? Absolute joke 😂

    • @joanglover-straughter7109
      @joanglover-straughter7109 Před 4 měsíci +10

      Do your research on the border!
      It is not as bad as it is being betrayed! Please read, please search for yourself, please use common sense. Please look outside your box. Please use common sense!

    • @lac8356
      @lac8356 Před 4 měsíci

      Next election has a lot of triggered Trump cultists and deluded Evangelicals desperately seeking their version of "Jesus" through Trump. Here's hoping every person wanting to end this widespread insanity will vote this election. Trump is unhinged and will certainly destroy every alliance America has.

    • @heaven-is-real
      @heaven-is-real Před 4 měsíci

      Joe Biden is doing the bidding of communism and totalitarian globalist dictators. Trump is AMERICA FIRST.

  • @aprils6154
    @aprils6154 Před 9 měsíci +37

    Trump can't even talk without looking crazy 🤪

    • @jandamskier6510
      @jandamskier6510 Před 9 měsíci +6

      and illiterate

    • @tamarabraswell3577
      @tamarabraswell3577 Před 7 měsíci +5

      And Biden can't complete a sentence lol Trump 2024

    • @cchevy936
      @cchevy936 Před 2 měsíci

      Bc he IS crazy. He's a clinically diagnosed psychopath.

    • @dennyurie4038
      @dennyurie4038 Před měsícem +1

      Ya, let's go, Brandon...😂😂😂😂 PUERTO RICANS FOR TRUMP.

  • @jenniefehr610
    @jenniefehr610 Před 9 měsíci +28

    I trust you are right again! From your mouth to God’s ears. JF in FL.

  • @tonycerviver2123
    @tonycerviver2123 Před 8 měsíci +70

    Wow! Dr. Allan should be on the "MeidasTouch" sharing his analysis on the candidates.

    • @einnAnnie
      @einnAnnie Před 5 měsíci +3

      Meidas is the WORST!

    • @holydiver73
      @holydiver73 Před 5 měsíci

      Agreed, he’s just another leftist getting his 15 minutes of Trump bashing fame.

    • @corryjookit7818
      @corryjookit7818 Před 5 měsíci +20

      ​@@einnAnnie Meidas is the best, and, they have their own Pollsters who got everything right the very first time they were used.

    • @richardh8082
      @richardh8082 Před 4 měsíci +10

      @@einnAnnie You saying they are the worst does not make it so ma'am. Perhaps read more widely to understand why you are so wrong

    • @EarthFlow_erPower
      @EarthFlow_erPower Před 4 měsíci +10

      Yeah I like Meidas Touch 😊

  • @tracycooper1804
    @tracycooper1804 Před 4 měsíci +14

    Wisdom and kindness never gets old! President Biden❤🎉❤

    • @jimbo43ohara51
      @jimbo43ohara51 Před 4 měsíci

      NO, but he probably needs a key just to wind him up.

  • @rcm9762
    @rcm9762 Před 4 měsíci

    Excellent analysis. Why don't you do more? Your WORLNET Show Director now retired.

  • @SHAMSHAM1090
    @SHAMSHAM1090 Před 11 měsíci +47

    Dammit, I was hoping Allan would explain the status of keys as of now. But it’s too early to call. That must mean nothing has happened that would turn certain keys either way. He’s been able to predict the election two years in advance once he knows the status of the keys

    • @marleonetti7
      @marleonetti7 Před 6 měsíci

      im sure by now the keys are clearly showing a trump win because both the economy and foreign affairs are in the toilet .

    • @lsjax72
      @lsjax72 Před 5 měsíci +1

      Allan, not Adam.

    • @SHAMSHAM1090
      @SHAMSHAM1090 Před 5 měsíci

      @@lsjax72 fixed it

    • @petecoogan
      @petecoogan Před 4 měsíci +5

      It's not too early. He often predicts years in advance. I have Biden at 9 keys with short term economy yet to be determined

    • @Matlockization
      @Matlockization Před 4 měsíci

      The far left always roll-out someone that no one has ever heard of, making alleged 100% accurate election predictions. I guess the far left want those that are undecided to go the wrong way. Well, I'll be going the right way by voting Donald Trump.

  • @bryanjackson8917
    @bryanjackson8917 Před 9 měsíci +23

    This morning I went down to my local Starbucks to get my usual latte, and when it came time to pay I said, "you know, I was watching CZcams last night and Dr. Lichtman predicted the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election, would you like to hear it?"
    "Not really," he said, "that will be 5 and a half dollars for the latte".
    By the way, I didn't give him a tip.

    • @piikeaSanDiego
      @piikeaSanDiego Před 9 měsíci +10

      so you admit you're a cheap nudnik eh?

    • @loca8048
      @loca8048 Před 9 měsíci +8

      You need friends dude.

    • @bryanjackson8917
      @bryanjackson8917 Před 9 měsíci +4

      @@loca8048 Will you be my friend?

    • @seansmith5873
      @seansmith5873 Před 9 měsíci

      Fiden was in decline before his fake election win. Reagan, even in decline was more coherent then buck fiden. He has accomplished nothing but has accomplished destroying the averge americans happiness. His policies suck and his regime cant and will never get one peice of gun control across the finishline. The completely legitimate Supreme Court has and will continue to smackdown all unconstitutional rules not laws. Trump is sitting at 55%, thats not republicans in govt. Thats the voters. Kinda like how we voted to shutdown BL. FJB.

    • @KameraShy
      @KameraShy Před 9 měsíci

      Starbucks is overpriced sludge for fools.

  • @paulawerchowsky926
    @paulawerchowsky926 Před 9 měsíci +2

    Was there any US President that switched places with a vice president during the elections? Who?

    • @eugenepiurkowski5439
      @eugenepiurkowski5439 Před 5 měsíci

      No, there was never such a switch and according to the Constitution and amendments, it would be very difficult to attain.

    • @holydiver73
      @holydiver73 Před 5 měsíci

      The 1964 race was already in full swing when Kennedy’s head went blamo and Johnson took over if that counts.

    • @dirtbag3736
      @dirtbag3736 Před 4 měsíci

      Kennedy died a year before the 64 election. It was not in full swing

    • @Northcountry1926
      @Northcountry1926 Před 4 měsíci

      Can’t see the DEMS winning … they seem to be waiting …. for the Courts to cancel Diaper Don… News Flash … it won’t happen ! Blue, Get off your Fanny !

  • @iancartledge2767
    @iancartledge2767 Před 5 měsíci +1

    It'll be Nikki Haley. My source: The Simpsons

  • @weallhaveproblems8029
    @weallhaveproblems8029 Před 4 měsíci +7

    Love to hear him speak always!

    • @garufia
      @garufia Před 4 měsíci +2

      Sure, especially the part about Trump's chances of getting elected. 😂 Not good.

  • @ladyd8339
    @ladyd8339 Před 4 měsíci +6

    Oh this is a great prediction! How long did it take to come up with that!

    • @iactedtreasurer3874
      @iactedtreasurer3874 Před 4 měsíci +3

      I agree. He had no prediction at all. He seems to think that Biden has had such great success domestically and in foreign policy and that Trump was a failure. Evidently the Prof. isn't buying groceries, gas, or paying interest.

    • @paulkern7229
      @paulkern7229 Před 4 měsíci

      @@iactedtreasurer3874 Trump was a failure, by any real world estimation. Not that facts or reality get in the way of the MAGA fascists who still support him. And who post nonsense like you have. The seeds of today's problems were planted by Trump, something conveniently forgotten by those who's memory extends not more than a few days into the past.

    • @EricaSaunders-cd1ws
      @EricaSaunders-cd1ws Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@iactedtreasurer3874it's the consumer's that gouging bcus they can

    • @dennyurie4038
      @dennyurie4038 Před měsícem

      ​@@iactedtreasurer3874TRUMP 2024 🇺🇸 AMERICANS LIFE'S MATTERS FREEDOM 🇺🇸...O AND FJB 👈 😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @ryannewazada2102
    @ryannewazada2102 Před 5 měsíci +44

    This is an amazing interview on this matter. I can't wait to see his 13-formulas for the 2024 election outcome.

    • @stephenlong7303
      @stephenlong7303 Před 4 měsíci

      Your nuts - this guy is an idiot

    • @phillipanderson7398
      @phillipanderson7398 Před 4 měsíci +6

      well, ok, but I think I pretty much wasted 13 minutes of my time expecting what the title of this video promised " that he will predict the outcome of the 2024 election". He doesn't. at 12:20 he says' No I'm not predicting the winner yet- it's too early.

    • @donaldkinder6716
      @donaldkinder6716 Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@phillipanderson7398lol yeah but so as long as the economy is doing fine Biden will be reelected how about the stock market hitting record High

    • @danmullen3783
      @danmullen3783 Před 4 měsíci

      Thank you for saving my time anyway!@@phillipanderson7398

  • @kirknelson235
    @kirknelson235 Před 4 měsíci +10

    Biden wins because of Dobbs. I guess I'm a genius.

  • @valerieshealy741
    @valerieshealy741 Před 8 měsíci +3

    Eyes on Maui. Pay attention. We’re next.

  • @jeffwyrwa2823
    @jeffwyrwa2823 Před 3 měsíci

    So I'm sure I am the worlds 2nd most renowned "guesser" LOL what a joke

  • @123all-about-us
    @123all-about-us Před 4 měsíci

    This was entertaining and informative but will h happy ordinary humor

  • @user-di9cp2ez1l
    @user-di9cp2ez1l Před 7 měsíci +5

    Did He predict W 'victory' on 2000, who actually lost?

    • @anotherdrummingenigma2882
      @anotherdrummingenigma2882 Před 7 měsíci +8

      Gore would have been president if the Supreme Court didn't stop the recount. Even so, he was only predicting popular vote at that point, and switched his analysis to predict only electoral college.

    • @jerryware1970
      @jerryware1970 Před 4 měsíci +3

      They recounted multiple times, and Gore lost every time.

    • @tanyaingridritchie1516
      @tanyaingridritchie1516 Před 4 měsíci

      @@jerryware1970 I predict Trumpists will be crying all over the country and jumping off buildings when Trump loses for the second time.

    • @ricomajestic
      @ricomajestic Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@jerryware1970 That's not true!

    • @kissmy_butt1302
      @kissmy_butt1302 Před 4 měsíci

      @@anotherdrummingenigma2882 they only recounted 4 times and Gore lost ALL 4 times. Gore should have been on trial for attempting a coup after he CLEARLY lost Florida.

  • @ronlugbill1400
    @ronlugbill1400 Před 4 měsíci +24

    Allan Lichtman is 76 years old. Look how much hair he has! He looks half his age.

  • @patmcgaha8120
    @patmcgaha8120 Před 4 měsíci

    8 months have passed since you posted this crystal ball segment. Care to amend it now Allan?

  • @richardsimms251
    @richardsimms251 Před 8 dny +1

    Excellent guest and discussion.

  • @spaceballs44
    @spaceballs44 Před 10 měsíci +3

    Well there won’t be a debate so that saves a waste of time tv watching.

    • @melodymoore4323
      @melodymoore4323 Před 9 měsíci

      Trump's too scared to debate.

    • @dennyurie4038
      @dennyurie4038 Před měsícem +1

      Biden can't put 2 words together. Make sense if he's a good boy. He gets ice cream. Let's go, Brandon. TRUMP 2024 AMERICANS LIFE'S MATTERS FREEDOM 🇺🇸..... The economy is terrible under slow Joe 🐌 TRUMP WILL WIN THE 2024 ELECTION I PREDICT THAT IT'S NOT HARD TO SEE THE PEOPLE DON'T WANT JOE BIDEN THIS WILL BE 3 TIMES FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP WIN...👈👈👈

  • @rlhaff3560
    @rlhaff3560 Před 9 měsíci +27

    The incumbency advantage is HUGE...

    • @alecynot.2016
      @alecynot.2016 Před 9 měsíci

      not at his age? DEMs are about to shoot thems in both feet again! Trump will never get elected, DOJ failure to put him in jail 2 years ago!

    • @owenbreward4974
      @owenbreward4974 Před 7 měsíci

      Not really. Not including Biden (because we don't know yet), 3 out of the last 7 incumbent Presidents have lost their re-election bids: Carter (80), Bush-41 (92) and Trump (20). And now RFK is running as independent, not to mention the Green Party and Cornell West (who's recently stated he will also run as an Independent, and not as a Green) ... and with Biden polling well below Trump, esp in swing states ... it looks as though Biden might also be added to that list ...and, as such 4 of the last 8 incumbent Presidents would have been defeated ... 50-50 odds ... that's not HUGE ... that's a flip of a coin.

    • @samuelblackwell5990
      @samuelblackwell5990 Před 4 měsíci +1

      It is when things are going well or in a time of war. But when there are domestic problems, then incumbency can actually be an albatross

    • @jackblack1675
      @jackblack1675 Před 4 měsíci

      Or when you have the worst record of any president in history, and you can't maintain your equilibrium at a podium. @@samuelblackwell5990

  • @benjamin81too
    @benjamin81too Před 9 měsíci +31

    thank you - a very informative interview.

  • @Carl-qz6zs
    @Carl-qz6zs Před 3 měsíci +1

    I believe him again.I actually won a bet because of his prediction last election, n i think I'm going to win again 🔥 🔥 🔥

  • @josephblake4135
    @josephblake4135 Před 9 měsíci +20

    SAVE the REPUBLIC of the USA....VOTE BLUE in 2024, VOTE BLUE in 2024, VOTE BLUE in 2024.

    • @r.a.5086
      @r.a.5086 Před 9 měsíci

      No. Canning your opponent with cooked-up charges in blue districts with blue courts and juries = end of the republic as we know it.
      Caveat emptor....

  • @donnalambrecht1550
    @donnalambrecht1550 Před 9 měsíci +3

    In other words you haven't a clue. I think your toy predictor broke. GO WOKE GO BROKE

  • @JaneneM3399
    @JaneneM3399 Před 4 měsíci +2

    But, does this system work if there is actual cheating?

  • @vernonfrance2974
    @vernonfrance2974 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Lichtman does not have the courage to say that the integrity of Trump is lacking.

  • @jmmurphy9702
    @jmmurphy9702 Před 9 měsíci +15

    I wonder if the 3AM vote is part of the 13.

    • @r.a.5086
      @r.a.5086 Před 9 měsíci +4

      Shhhh. The sheep will hear you (but won't be able to understand).

    • @tonysc7610
      @tonysc7610 Před 7 měsíci +1

      You mean the 3AM switcheroo.

    • @karendeboer1835
      @karendeboer1835 Před 6 měsíci +3

      You mean the absentee ballot count?

    • @richardcogbill6791
      @richardcogbill6791 Před 5 měsíci +2

      You mean counting the mailed in ballots from veterans stationed overseas and Americans living outside of the U.S. business people, retirees and vacationers.

    • @tonysc7610
      @tonysc7610 Před 5 měsíci +3

      @@richardcogbill6791 Funny how those always favor democrats, ain't it?

  • @pb8601
    @pb8601 Před 9 měsíci +2

    Bait and switch. NO PREDICTION. But the analysis was interesting.

  • @PhuongMalkin
    @PhuongMalkin Před 4 měsíci +2

    He does not dare to predict the outcome of this election !

  • @Alene-vi2gj
    @Alene-vi2gj Před 9 měsíci +11

    I'm glad Biden won.😊

    • @U2BER2012
      @U2BER2012 Před 9 měsíci +3

      Are you feeling well?

    • @bojanaalbahari4721
      @bojanaalbahari4721 Před 9 měsíci +1

      ​@@U2BER2012yes, and the other 81 millions of voters that are very happy Biden won. Greetings from Canada #freehealthcare

    • @serenadevon
      @serenadevon Před 8 měsíci

      ​@@bojanaalbahari4721🤮get a job

    • @owenbreward4974
      @owenbreward4974 Před 7 měsíci

      @@bojanaalbahari4721 Not so much anymore. Trump is beating Biden in all battleground states, 5-13%. Trump has 5 times more black voters than in 2020. Trump is handily winning women and independent voters. Two recent polls from leftist media (ABC and NBC) have Trump winning 56-57% to Brandon's 39-42%. Brandon's disapproval rating is at a dismal 55%, with a spread of -13%, according the RealClearPolitics. As a fellow Canadian, looking forward to Trump 2024 (and Brandon and his son in jail by 2025) along with Poilievre in 2025 (or sooner hopefully).

    • @dylansikes8249
      @dylansikes8249 Před 6 měsíci

      Trump 2024

  • @Marchant2
    @Marchant2 Před 9 měsíci +61

    Why is Biden's age always talked about but not trump's? There's only a couple of years difference between them, but President Biden comes off as a much younger and healthier man than the orange elephant.

    • @cueoneful
      @cueoneful Před 9 měsíci +20

      HUNTER -JOE For Prison 2024...!!

    • @hectors.sanchez23
      @hectors.sanchez23 Před 9 měsíci +1

      President has kept his promise for the sake of the people and Constitution and country. civilian criminal trump is not qualify to run for President.

    • @spiritjourneyme1
      @spiritjourneyme1 Před 9 měsíci +7

      @@cueoneful Proof? Of course, not! Go Sit Down!

    • @DimaDimaDiMaggio
      @DimaDimaDiMaggio Před 9 měsíci +11

      orange pig, not elephant

    • @jahngomba4328
      @jahngomba4328 Před 9 měsíci +27

      Beacuse trump doesn't trip, fall and loses memory like biden

  • @susanspiegel1941
    @susanspiegel1941 Před 3 měsíci

    Love your accuracy I pray to God this year is what you predicted

  • @TheBezaleel
    @TheBezaleel Před 4 měsíci +1

    The American's short attention span will seemingly change the course of history. What possibly could go wrong ?

  • @michaelhastie7324
    @michaelhastie7324 Před 4 měsíci +31

    Quote of the Moment. Dr. Allan Lichtman: 6:50 " Democrats. haven't messaged that very well." (Biden's accomplishments.)

    • @Mister8224
      @Mister8224 Před 4 měsíci

      It is very difficult to highlight President Biden's accomplishments when you come to realize he has none. When you actually see what he & his administration has done to destroy everything that was a positive about our country, our economy, our border, & our prestige on the world stage, you realize you should have just kept your mouth shut.

    • @kickit59
      @kickit59 Před 4 měsíci +3

      What accomplishments? Higher gas? Inflation? More homeless including migrants? Fentanyl pouring over the border? Sending money badly needed here to Ukraine, Israel and wherever else? I am a bit vague on how he has helped the average citizen??

    • @donaldkinder6716
      @donaldkinder6716 Před 4 měsíci

      ​​@@kickit59so tell us all what trump did like lied about COVID calling it a HOAX sold top secret Documents too foreign countries like Saudi Arabia for the 2 billion Dollars his Daughter and son in law got running the country in Debt 8 trillion dollars trump left the office unemployment was around 7 percent what a loser 2nd worst president in HISTORY Biden has had the lowest unployment rate in last 50yrs the stock market hit all time high and gas is 265 here in Radcliffe KY BOZO

    • @JamesBrown-ij1px
      @JamesBrown-ij1px Před 4 měsíci +5

      @@kickit59 You watch WAY too much 'Fox News'. Free your mind.

    • @kickit59
      @kickit59 Před 4 měsíci +4

      @@JamesBrown-ij1px I only have to see how policies affect me personally to draw a conclusion! Just one issue inflation is killing older working class workers like me. Fox news didn't convince me of that my checkbook convinced me of that! I don't worry about what any news anchor has to say I worry about my realities! Government should exist to serve it's people not the other way around!

  • @sirkrutchbluesman3009
    @sirkrutchbluesman3009 Před 4 měsíci +12

    🇺🇲💙RIDING WITH BIDEN 🇺🇲💙👍✌

  • @vladimirshaskevich
    @vladimirshaskevich Před 6 měsíci +2

    Conclusion: too early to predict.

    • @marleonetti7
      @marleonetti7 Před 6 měsíci +1

      interpretation : trump will win but he is too biased to say it .

  • @funwithtoys3163
    @funwithtoys3163 Před 4 měsíci +1

    He says its to early to tell so no since listening to the whole thing

  • @PhilAndersonOutside
    @PhilAndersonOutside Před 9 měsíci +32

    It's pretty much impossible to refute him, even if you disagree on some specifics.

    • @hyperionsf3220
      @hyperionsf3220 Před 9 měsíci

      It's very easy to refute him. It's a proven fact that 2020 was rigged, yet Alan refuses to admit to this. We have proven data, just on the propaganda front of federal interference, that 18% of Biden voters wouldn't have voted for him had they known about the Hunter laptop.
      Alan just tells everyone what he's been told to say haha.

    • @Matlockization
      @Matlockization Před 4 měsíci

      There has never been a successful conviction proving that an insurrection every happened. Left leaning academic, left leaning media network.

    • @uwemudofia2419
      @uwemudofia2419 Před 4 měsíci

      Bcos this is what it looks like to be intelligent. Not those maga- noise makers that only spew lies, hate, fear, never possible solutions

    • @samuelblackwell5990
      @samuelblackwell5990 Před 4 měsíci

      Well he was wrong in 2000 so you can refute him there

    • @Matlockization
      @Matlockization Před 4 měsíci

      @@samuelblackwell5990 Are you saying that Trump is worse than Biden ?

  • @MacMcCabe2456
    @MacMcCabe2456 Před 8 měsíci +3

    Sounds pretty " Demo" sided to me, js....🤔

  • @justmytwocents4529
    @justmytwocents4529 Před 4 měsíci +1

    No mention of trump’s age? 78 in June this year (2024).

  • @codebloke2200
    @codebloke2200 Před 4 měsíci +17

    Lichtman can't provide his 13 Key prediction until after the nominating conventions because what happens during the nomination process, as well as, the official candidates are prerequisites for the prediction.

  • @rongarza9488
    @rongarza9488 Před 4 měsíci +9

    I nominate Taylor Swift. Who will second my nomination?

    • @sabejreid2072
      @sabejreid2072 Před 4 měsíci

      Are you kidding? TS is a mediocre singer and poor songwriter - so "No" we won't be voting her in.

    • @rongarza9488
      @rongarza9488 Před 4 měsíci +1

      I did the math and she will be just shy of 35 on election day, otherwise I would voter for her as President over anybody else.

  • @dondecarlo9955
    @dondecarlo9955 Před 9 měsíci +10

    Hump is up there in years 76

    • @sallywilliams5444
      @sallywilliams5444 Před 9 měsíci +7

      He's 77.

    • @jodij6280
      @jodij6280 Před 4 měsíci

      The people whining about Biden's age forget that Trump would turn 80 in office. They're YUGE hypocrites.

  • @patrickdemarcevol
    @patrickdemarcevol Před 4 měsíci +1

    Mr Lichtman, sorry to say but Angela Merkel retired in 2021 and the war in Ukraine started in 2022, she couldn't have decided anything. We still thank Biden for the involvement of the US alongside Nato and for the help

  • @geraldoki2803
    @geraldoki2803 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Let's wait and see !!!!

  • @marthamartha3222
    @marthamartha3222 Před 4 měsíci +31

    This man is a genius ❤he never fails on his predictions.

  • @alexandralibin5131
    @alexandralibin5131 Před 9 měsíci +85

    Regan was in fact suffering from Alzheimer's during his second term. Any talk about Biden being to old by right wing talkers is at best insincere.

    • @ForAmerica4747
      @ForAmerica4747 Před 9 měsíci

      Biden will be 82 in 2024 he will not make it pass a second term

    • @commonsense2574
      @commonsense2574 Před 9 měsíci

      The Red team wants to use that and also the fantasy that he is a Brilliant secret master of a Crime Syndicate at the same time who can and has done all these things with not a shred of evidence. Which one is it gonna be suckas?

    • @bibigems
      @bibigems Před 9 měsíci +7

      Let's always remind folks of this fact!!!

    • @midnightbrian9132
      @midnightbrian9132 Před 9 měsíci +5

      Ronni Raygun's reign of terror was the beginning of the end of the middle class

    • @onomatopoeia162003
      @onomatopoeia162003 Před 9 měsíci

      Probably was in the last 2 years of the admin.

  • @cinziam457
    @cinziam457 Před měsícem +1

    I wish CLICKBAIT wasn't allowed on CZcams. Anytime I come across a channel that uses CLICKBAIT, I never watch again. CZcams allows this because they make money off of dishonesty.

  • @morrisphillips6518
    @morrisphillips6518 Před 9 měsíci +20

    The author realizes the power of racism in America, he doesn't run from facts.❤

    • @nymike06
      @nymike06 Před 8 měsíci

      The Democrats are very racist and neoliberal racism is growing.

    • @jbm0866
      @jbm0866 Před 7 měsíci +4

      The fact is racism exists in America, just like it does every other country on the planet. The non-fact is the belief in systemic racism..in fact the U.S. is one of the least (if not #1, I don't have all the data) when it comes to not being systemically racist.

    • @ruijino
      @ruijino Před 7 měsíci +4

      Just because a country has improved from where it was doesn't mean it has no issues.

    • @forrealtoall1537
      @forrealtoall1537 Před 6 měsíci

      Stop buying into these racist victimhood narratives; it's a trick Democrats have used for ages to keep blacks and other minorities down. We Latinos know better because we've seen how dictators and oppressors work. Not every black leader at the White House is looking out for their people; some are just narrative keepers, in it for the money.
      Often, people get defensive when they're called out for something wrong. If the person happens to be light skin they're quick to label the other person as 'racist,' when in reality, it's their actions, not their race, being judged. Instead of throwing around accusations of racism, it might be more productive to take a moment and reflect on your own behavior.
      Look around you. Are you really experiencing racism every day, or even every month? Just watch TV - there's plenty of black representation. In fact, now there are more blacks on TV than any other race. They’ve always been a part of the narrative.

  • @64Turby
    @64Turby Před 3 měsíci

    This guys is a freaking genius!!!!!!! A regular Nostradamus!!!!!! Thank you I can sleep tonight.

  • @jasminmagoncia1071
    @jasminmagoncia1071 Před 9 měsíci +19

    Go Biden Go!!! You’re still the man

    • @richardmacey3619
      @richardmacey3619 Před 19 dny

      @jasminmagoncia1071- Go Biden Go!!! Are you freakin joking? His dementia gets worse by the day. Don’t be a numpty and for heavens sake WAKE UP.

  • @marilynfrett-id8qe
    @marilynfrett-id8qe Před 6 měsíci +15

    You make so much sense Mr
    Lichtman. The way you explains this in a wonderful way. Thank you sir.

  • @billnotice9957
    @billnotice9957 Před 4 měsíci

    Let's ask a Biden supporter going to win? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @TheHartsook69
    @TheHartsook69 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Thank God

  • @wrestlerguy24
    @wrestlerguy24 Před 6 měsíci +8

    He talks about looking at foreign policy successes/failures as well as the economy...in his book he explains it's about the actual successes and failures in forging policy and economy AND perceived successes/failures with all of the above.
    This is where I get stuck and I'm curious what others think.
    He, and many other experts, believe Biden had been successful in all of these areas, and that the economy has been improving. BUT, as he points to, the media/DNC do a very poor job of explaining this. So, it seems most of the country has no idea of the realities...
    What do we think he would say if this trend continues...where Biden actually succeeds in terms of foreign policy and the economy...but the perception of flat wrong...
    does that add up to 3/4 keys against the incumbent or for the incumbent?

    • @incorrigiblycuriousD61
      @incorrigiblycuriousD61 Před 4 měsíci

      @wrestlerguy24 💯! Dems usually aren't united and relentless in messaging. Republicans pound away at a few emotional buttons even if they're not true, even if they're projections and confessions, aiming for gut reactions and perceptions.

    • @karenbisset4753
      @karenbisset4753 Před 4 měsíci +2

      All dems must be out daily touting bidens successes ❤😮

    • @BenGates101
      @BenGates101 Před 4 měsíci

      Biden has not been successful in any endeavor in his presidency. Unless you count laundering money in Ukraine for U.S. politicians

  • @leafuller3153
    @leafuller3153 Před 9 měsíci +4

    What about the 3rd party challenge ?

    • @anotherdrummingenigma2882
      @anotherdrummingenigma2882 Před 7 měsíci +1

      Too early to call. Right now the popular 3rd party challenger, Cornel West, is only polling at 2%. He needs at 10% in multiple polls to turn that key, but again, it's too early to call.

  • @rosaflorpuig3971
    @rosaflorpuig3971 Před 3 měsíci

    BASICALLY: IT’S TOO EARLY TO TELL.

  • @paulodrca
    @paulodrca Před 4 měsíci

    predicts "i don't know"

  • @auntymolly6100
    @auntymolly6100 Před 9 měsíci +41

    You can't compare Reagan and biden.

    • @tiagoreinertleal272
      @tiagoreinertleal272 Před 6 měsíci +1

      I was going to coment the same!
      Like Bensten said to Dan Quayle, Mr Biden, you are no Ronald Reagan!

    • @lindamack1900
      @lindamack1900 Před 6 měsíci +8

      @auntymolly6100
      Biden reminds me
      of FDR,he’s the
      People’s President!

    • @eugenepiurkowski5439
      @eugenepiurkowski5439 Před 5 měsíci

      can you compare reagan and Biden?

    • @lindamack1900
      @lindamack1900 Před 5 měsíci +9

      @@eugenepiurkowski5439
      One can’t compare
      Biden and Reagan
      but both have a
      sense of humor
      and are witty!
      Biden is for the
      middle class
      and underprivileged
      while Reagan was
      for the wealthy.

    • @lindamack1900
      @lindamack1900 Před 5 měsíci

      @@tiagoreinertleal272
      And Mr.Reagan you
      are no Joseph Biden,
      that’s for sure!!

  • @ykohenzltdr8562
    @ykohenzltdr8562 Před 4 měsíci +3

    Wow! Biden will win again?

  • @tetsumonchi
    @tetsumonchi Před 4 měsíci

    "World Renowned Historian *does not* predict the outcome of 2024 US Presidential Election", as it turns out.

  • @erikswanson5753
    @erikswanson5753 Před 9 měsíci +2

    The interviewer is very attractive. Love her accent.

  • @jwd0808
    @jwd0808 Před 4 měsíci +39

    And since this interview, the economy has been getting stronger. Gas prices are coming down along with inflation. The stock market hit record highs (Trump said it would crash).

    • @crystalbluepersuasion1027
      @crystalbluepersuasion1027 Před 4 měsíci

      I bet the republicans will refuse to raise the debt ceiling (Jan 18th I think) in order to crash it before the election……then they’ll try to blame the Democrats.

    • @x00p3
      @x00p3 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Gas prices are coming back down which is good, but overall inflation isn't, the established high prices are likely here to stay.

    • @_TheLONEwolf
      @_TheLONEwolf Před 4 měsíci +7

      Uh, what world are u living in? I just was in the kitchen, literally 5 minutes ago telling wifey and daughter that the ice cream we have been paying $2.50 went to $3.50

    • @codyrobinson2368
      @codyrobinson2368 Před 4 měsíci +3

      Diesel is still pretty high, and almost every semi truck moving our stuff around still uses Diesel.

    • @crystalbluepersuasion1027
      @crystalbluepersuasion1027 Před 4 měsíci +9

      @@x00p3 grocery prices have been coming down in my area for at least 3 months. I live in a small town in the Midwest.

  • @hrysahaggerty3731
    @hrysahaggerty3731 Před 8 měsíci +21

    I am sure Trump is waiting for his prediction since he knows he predicted his win in 2016 and sent him a Thank you note.

    • @nymike06
      @nymike06 Před 8 měsíci +18

      Trump 2024

    • @bocabec6744
      @bocabec6744 Před 8 měsíci +21

      @@nymike06 Trump could not point out Taiwan on a map. And you want him again?

    • @nymike06
      @nymike06 Před 8 měsíci +13

      @@bocabec6744 Define woman to me?

    • @bocabec6744
      @bocabec6744 Před 8 měsíci +2

      @@nymike06A series of holes either caked in hair or shaved clean. Good for doing dishes and sweeping floors. Votes for who I tell her to vote for.

    • @enigma2495
      @enigma2495 Před 7 měsíci +11

      And he predicted his loss in 2020 too.

  • @wisnelthelusme41
    @wisnelthelusme41 Před 4 měsíci +1

    You the best..we love you

  • @lindablue7494
    @lindablue7494 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Wow fascinating stuff here.

  • @Cwhizzy
    @Cwhizzy Před 10 měsíci +8

    Didn't he pick al gore?

    • @seanhunter4297
      @seanhunter4297 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Al Gore won. He was cheated by FLORIDA.

    • @ubertreeman
      @ubertreeman Před 10 měsíci +2

      yes

    • @thorodinson8712
      @thorodinson8712 Před 10 měsíci +14

      Al Gore did win. The supreme Court gave the Win to Bush however

    • @Cwhizzy
      @Cwhizzy Před 10 měsíci +1

      @thorodinson8712 dang that's crazy I did not know that!

    • @tommyliu7020
      @tommyliu7020 Před 9 měsíci +9

      He predicted Al gore would get more votes. And he did

  • @rafaelsantana2834
    @rafaelsantana2834 Před 5 měsíci +19

    Great analysis professor.

  • @eagle1579
    @eagle1579 Před 4 měsíci

    Telling us something that we already know.

  • @paulwild4330
    @paulwild4330 Před 2 měsíci

    Renowned in which particular world?

  • @robertmontgomery3892
    @robertmontgomery3892 Před 4 měsíci +3

    What's being overlooked here is that it's very likely the final choice will end up
    in the hands of the House of Representatives and/or the US Supreme Court.

  • @heathermichael3987
    @heathermichael3987 Před 3 měsíci

    9 months ago I knew the answer .

  • @wernervanrooyen7010
    @wernervanrooyen7010 Před 4 měsíci

    Biden is the reason for the war in Ukraine and it comes from running for president from your basement 😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @joesterkis1841
    @joesterkis1841 Před 5 měsíci +4

    I think this gentleman will be correct .

  • @fishmojo865
    @fishmojo865 Před 4 měsíci

    I thought he was Ferris Bueller’s friend Cameron.