Emmanuel Todd interview (2003)
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- čas přidán 25. 08. 2024
- Historian Emmanuel Todd posits that the U.S. may have a strong military, but economically it is weakening and over-reliant on foreign trade as explained in his book, "After The Empire: An Essay on the Decomposing System."
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He is probably among the last majors french intellectuals.
Emmanuel Todd vision is based on reality! Thank you Todd!
I will buy his book. It is 2024 now and he wrote this book in 2003. Considering what happened between these two dates, he proved to be an excellent historian. About this interview: It would have been so nice to hear the guest to talk more. The host keeps interrupting, it is so annoying.
I first heard him a few days ago on French TV being interviewed about his new book. He's STILL being constantly interrupted . It's because he has something to say that the MSM find totally unacceptable.
He recently published another book untitled "The Defeat of the West" 3 weeks ago and it is taking France by storm.
Thank you, I will keep an eye on it for the English version. It's not on Amazon yet.@@HamzaBaqoushi
He also anticipated collapse of USSR during 80's whith demographic study.
"Todd attracted attention in 1976 when, at age 25, he predicted the fall of the Soviet Union, based on indicators such as increasing infant mortality rates: La chute finale: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphère Soviétique (The Final Fall: An Essay on the Decomposition of the Soviet Sphere).[3]" Wikipedia
He start to had reputation during 90's when he anticipated the collapse of USSR with demographic studies.
"Todd attracted attention in 1976 when, at age 25, he predicted the fall of the Soviet Union, based on indicators such as increasing infant mortality rates: La chute finale: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphère Soviétique (The Final Fall: An Essay on the Decomposition of the Soviet Sphere).[3]" Source: wikipedia
He wrote a new book not yet translated in english: The West defeat
This guy predicted the fall of the USSR in 1976!!
He is very brave to say those things in year 2003, it must have been pretty "wild" for an average American to hear such predictions but he hit the nail on the head.
I will watch this few more times just to soak it all in and digest it correctly, thank you Emmanuel Todd.
This aged well
Since the WWII, US economy has been based on USD as global reserve currency and MIC. War is a business. As long as the US can borrow in $ and print greenbacks without domestic inflaflatory consequences, it had worked. Dedollarisation and BRICS will be a blow.
You have no idea what you’re talking about
@@CalNaughtonjr33are you serious??
amazing prediction! I was in college at the time studying macroeconomics . . . chilling.
His analysis of Ukraine war is brilliant
Agreed ! This guy is massively underrated, he’s a geopolitical David Goggins
All he say is absolutely right in my opinion
This moderator needs to be quiet and let the guest finish his thought.
The interviewer shows ignorance mentioning Iraq, Kosovo...
Excellent Summary. Brilliant !!!
Apex french intellectual.. Still active today
It's an old upload, regardless: thanks !
Wish I had known of Emmanuel Todd earlier. Cant trust the UK media to focus on who really. matters intellectually any longer.
what an extremely intelligent and beautiful man i have a crush on him.
Emmanuel Todd is the best analyst.
There are now many question marks hanging over the strength of the US economy.
Much of the USA's $21 Trillion GDP is made of FIRE and service transactions.
China's industrial output alone exceeds that of the US, EU, AUS, NZ, Japan and South Korea (The West) combined!
The Russia-Ukraine war has also exposed how Russia alone produces more weapons than the combined West on a far less budget.
What happens when the rest of the world continues to accelerate de-dollarization and the US can no longer get goods for free by virtue of having a reserve currency?
Some answers, the Chinese economy is mostly reliant on exports and leverage in the Chinese system is far higher than US ever had, without having the cusion of reserve currency.
Russia can produce a lot of weapons of inferior quality but when supplied with western equipments, a relatively weak nation can cause a stalemate with Russia.
De-dollarization sounds great in theory but in practice it would be difficult to replace it with a less trustworthy currency like the Yuan.
We don't need another reserve currency(balance of pmts). We won't miss all the bloody bags that come with the $
Don't worry about China; they will be fine.
Being the world bully is tiring. Wake up and adapt to change: unless we egoistically want to push the rest of the world to collective suicide. Sad!
@@ssb9054 Mmm, parece ser que Rusia es, hasta en términos convencionales, superior a occidente. Ta Emmanuel Todd sacó un libro en el que dice que desglosa la economía falsa de Estados Unidos. El tiempo le está dando la razón.
@@ftk2589 Don't anything is sacrosanct because of a book, as we tend to read accept the arguments that supports our opinion, Russia is indeed gifted with abundant natural resources still their system of governance has let them down.
@@ssb9054 Uh, yo no comparto visiones ideológicas con Todd. Además, su visión es en su mayoría de tipo académica. Ni siquiera comparto el enfoque que hace en su libro sobre el papel del protestantismo, ¿cómo lo haría si soy católico?
Sólo di una observación sobre las pobres capacidades de los estados occidentales, incluso a nivel de pensamiento estratégico son endebles. El tiempo me dará o no la razón.
Así como usted ofreció un "análisis", el cual el tiempo demostró como desacertado. Con respecto a el sistema politico de Rusia, sólo me puedo reír cuando tal opinión viene proferida por el habitante de una cleptocracia como usted.
Did America really help to fight Nazism!!!! Seems to have forgotten where the defeated Nazi went…… and how they were hidden and shielded……. Except for the unlucky few who got prosecuted!!!!
And do you remember "Dr" Mengele? It was never mentioned, anywhere, what happened to him after the war. I heard something, which many years ago sounded crazy, but now I can believe it. They say he got a new job in the U.S., doing terrible researches involving children. They needed somebody who had the stomach for it. Now I think it was true.
Well, the German engineers finished their work with rockets (V1&2) and the atomic bomb very comfortably and openly in the US. All Allied including the USSR benefitted from German engineering skills.
@2:20 he has that bit completely backwards. The US Tsy securities everyone else buys is with USD the US government already spent, so the USA already got the goods. When their US Tsy bond matures the FED just debits the Tsy account and credits the bond holders check account. The "debt" is only an obligation to redeem for the currency issuer, it is not a burden to anyone's grandchildren or the "tax payer". Tax payers cannot get the dollar until the government first spends, or State licensed banks issue credit.
The reality of "a huge trade deficit" is that the USA sends everyone a bank account statement (cheaper than paper) and everyone else sends the USA computers, smartphones, BMW's and the rest. The USA is making everyone else into their factory workers. The US "West" will only collapse when their trade deficit is drastically reduced, meaning that no one wants to export to the USA anymore. When the hell is that ever likely to happen? People have gross greed and insatiable demand for the US dollar. If you can eliminate that greed then the USA might decline. I don't see that happening in my lifetime.
Ignoring entirely the fact that the USSR helped Europe to defeat the Nazis as well, and sacrificed approximately 50 times the number of lives that Americans did. This didn't age well for the interviewer. American exceptionalism worn as goggles while sitting in the garden of America cultivated from European cuttings pondering how to extend it to encompass the globe.
Where did all those WOMD and anthrax packets go? Isnotreal strikes again....
Brilliant arguments. But really no matter how good your English is, if you are not a native speaker, it is better to use a translator.
ياليت تترجم بالعربي
You can activate subtitles (CC) then after you choose automatic traduction, and finally Arab. Hello from France
The interviewer was very condescending .
Iraq was about oil
This aged terribly- I mean the bit where he says USA is scared of Europe 🤣🤣
nope. that it totally relevant. especially today. The effort the USA puts in making sure Europe remains a vasal, going as far as destroying the Nord Stream pipeline which is harming the German Economie. He is completely right.
@@azenkwedYou missed the point. I agree that USA makes an effort to keep Europe as a vassal.But it's nothing to do with that being scared, it's proven since the ddecisions after World War II, that it is to maintain a market for US gooods and to keep them as a unit for US interests militarrily, also.
You need to do research on the decisioon on both Germany and Japan's future directly post-war, because this proves my point. the initial decision, was later changed by businessman, from changing Germany into an impotent agricultural society(As punishment and avoidance off future destruction), to rebuilding its industrial capability to facilitate market for the future US globalised world to make morre money for USA.This was only becausee Germany and Japan would be the biggest markets as they have the most numerous population- This is not debatable, it is the offficial reason, in congressional debates on the topic.
* US elites knew that Europe would never be a threat - Germany was only ever a threat to thosee directly around it anyway - that's how USA became the ascenndaant military and economic power. "In the 1st place." - Geographical privilege in beinng able to stay out of a war and actually make mone FROM the war, whilst everyone else was becoming imppoverished and destroyed.
The only way for European couuntries to remain a legitimate competitor and threat to United States, individually as countries e.g. UK, Fraance and Germany, as they still were, despite having slipped marginally behind the USA in wealth and powerafter World War I, wato find a waay to avoid a repeat of that conflict, because they simply don't have the population sizes to compete . The conflict happened again, those countries Unfortunately, for them, they are geographhically next to each other and cannot avoid such a thing and the rest is history.
Europe is obviously finished in multiple ways If it doesn't find a way to work together and become a more efficient "Homogenised" group - especially the tradditional elite powers of UK, France, Germanyand Italy. Over time, tech and information becomes cheaper, more readily available and more easily transferable, so it doesn't matter how clever your population is, aas individuals, e.g. the ancestors of the UKin particular, inventing the modern world with libberal democracy and the explosion of industriinventions… eventually larger landmasses, better natural resoources and much larger populations will be able to harness that tech as well and eventually will become far more powerfful than you.
if Europe doesn't find a solutionwithin 10 years, thenBrazil, India, IndonesiaNigeria, Argentina, amongst others, will join China, as countries that achieve "at least" parity with UK, and France and thenn move aheaad of them afterwards, which will lead to their impoverishment economically and militarily
No, it didn't age terribly. Relevant people in the US were conducting similar analyses and responded accordingly.
@@azenkwed Totaly agree and would suggest to add use of the extraterritorial law on US dollar as a weapon to maintain european company as vasal too with tremendous fine.
@@lostonthetube2832 Yes, and also that.
The announcer is stupid and hostile and Emmanuel Todd is great
The perfect depiction of two really ignorant people talking nonsense
He…forget his name…is awfully defensive, not really wanting to hear about what maybe America’s motives for going war!