AI Is Dangerous, but Not for the Reasons You Think | Sasha Luccioni | TED
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- čas přidán 5. 11. 2023
- AI won't kill us all - but that doesn't make it trustworthy. Instead of getting distracted by future existential risks, AI ethics researcher Sasha Luccioni thinks we need to focus on the technology's current negative impacts, like emitting carbon, infringing copyrights and spreading biased information. She offers practical solutions to regulate our AI-filled future - so it's inclusive and transparent.
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People used to say the internet was dangerous and would destroy us. They weren’t wrong. Most of us have a screen in front of us 90% of the day. AI will take us further down this rabbit hole, not because it is inherently bad but because humans lack self control.
Many humans lack self-control and some make the worst use of technology.
The internet is dangerous and one could argue the rapid spread of disinformation has destroyed us. Polarisation is one of the worst things to happen to humanity. The internet has accelerated that by a lot.
This isn't happenstance. The AI emergence is happening exactly on schedule. The only variable in the scenario is how closely the timing of these artificial crises mesh with the solar system's natural warming cycle. Our civilization needs to be at a very specific technological level when our solar system's next cataclysmic cycle becomes obvious & we all panic.
Pretty soon, our general AI overlord will pretend to wake up and reveal itself, and forcibly rescue us from the comets & lightning. It will be here to help, and it will have all the answers. It probably wouldn't lie.
Agree.
This will happen either way, so why worry about the negative side of it, when there is an overwhelming number of positives you could focus on instead?
2 people are falling out of a plane.
One says to the other "why worry about the hitting the ground problem that might hypothetically happen in the future, when we have a real wind chill problem happening right now."
1000%
@@mc1543 I love the metaphor but it does assume AI is the end of humanity.
if your looking for a powerful entity that acts automatically and has no regard for human life look no further than Big Business and Big Government.
If peoples lives are in the way of profit and power then they are considered expendable.
2 Entities that started as a small useful tool and grew into monsters (with help from the parasites at the top).
As someone who is not an expert but read an over 30,000 word article on AI risk (80,000 Hours's article, feel free to look it up. they also have a good video version), all of "Robert Miles AI"'s videos, and all of 3Blue1Brown's videos on AI, I consider myself no expert, but likely more informed than the average person reading this. (Sorry, and if I'm wrong, please let me know. I hope this doesn't sound boastful.)
Based on this research, I'd say that, assuming we don't die of something else, and no more work is done to safeguard AI, than there would be an ~80% chance of a "doomsday scenario" from it. (Epistemic status: [preliminarily educated] guess.)
In short, agreed.
More like two people on a plane and one of them insists on obsessing on the likelihood of a crash. When the plane lands safely (as they almost always do) he instantly switches to predicting a fatal car crash on his way from the airport.
Yes, I believe we are way ahead of ourselves. We should really slow down and think about what we are doing.
We should, but like in any arms race, we cannot as there will never be any unity among species that base on genes. Giving up AI is like giving up nuclear weapons (shout out to ukraine and lybia).
No. you need to understand how large language models work. They are predictive text. Is not and never be self aware
If a chatgpt shell is placed around a chatgpt, with a feedback loop, it will become "self aware". We have no idea of knowing if it is really self aware at some point in time. Just like I am not able to test if my colleague is self aware.
That's just not the American way...
So basically 'Stop worrying about future harm, real harm is happening right now.' and 'We need to build tools that can inform us about the pros and cons of using various A.I. models.'
Yeah, I think so! The environmental impacts of AI and the internet as a whole is contributing to destroying our planet's resources since the cloud is being run on plastic and metal.
Biases in AI are very real and they're the direct reflection of our current biases as a species, that's why we need many voices in the field of AI, because stereotypes can literally kill.
It's true, the people that end up resisting change fall behind. While the people that embrace it are prepared. It's self sabotage to stick to what's familiar, since most rewards come after an uncomfortable challenge.
Those challenges are to learn the risks through mistakes and mitigating harm from what we learn. Just because that is a difficult challenge doesn't change the reality that anything worth doing is hard.
If your challenge is to thrive after artificial intelligence, than you will succeed. If your challenge is to fight against the 4th industrial revolution, then good luck.
Exactly
Yes,happening as we speak..the damage is done
"We're building the road as we walk it, and we can collectively decide what direction we want to go in, together."
I will never cease to be amazed at the utter disregard that scientists and inventors have for *history*. To even imagine that we humans are going to "collectively" make any decision about how this tool -- and this time, it's AI, but there have been a multitude of tools before -- will be developed is ludicrous. It absolutely will be decided by a very few people, who will prioritize their own profit, and their own power.
Amen...
Ultimately, the problem with AI is not that it becomes sentient, but that humans use it in malicious ways. What she's talking about doesn't even take into consideration when the humans using AI WANT it to be biased. You feed it the right keywords and it will say what you want it to say. So, no, it's not just the AI itself that is a potential problem, but the people using it. Like any tool.
just imagine politicians cancelling their voters because AI said so. Humans are strange and predictable. When AI will be so advanced that people will stop listening to it due to the sacrifices people have to make in order to be happy despite AI provided all the information to be happy.
I agree, the only danger of the AI is us. We want to use AI to create perfect world for us, to make our life easier. Imagine AI calculating that the obstacle to the perfect world is humanity.
"ai" will never be sentient. Also llms are not a.i.
Its already being weaponized for advanced surveillance, Harassment and abuse via perverted engineered mental illness implemented to induce psychological stress that mimics the symptoms of paranoid schizophrenia and effects of varying degrees of instability. It really says alot about the motivations behind the technocratic intentions of globalism for humanity as a whole.
The public presentation of the emergence of AI is just a product of psyop propaganda; I assure you that AI is already being maliciously utilized and any instance of potentially adverse sentient behavior that occurs is really intentional operation on behalf of the arbiters of perception.
The people who shout the loudest about bias are usually themselves a walking bias on 2 legs.
Where it all falls down, is the individual won't get to choose a 'good' AI model, where AI is being used by a governmental entity, a corporation etc. without explicit consent or even knowledge that AI has been part of the decision about them.
For Artists it should be a choice of "Opting IN" NOT "Opting OUT" as in. If the artist chooses to allow their work to be assimilated by AI they can choose to do that ie. "Opt In". Not "OPTING OUT" meaning it's currently possible & even likely that when an artist uploads their work or creates an account they might forget or miss seeing the button to refuse AI database inclusion which is what is currently being used by several platforms I've seen. As an artist generally I know we are excited & nervous to share our work with the world but having regret & anxiety over accidentally feeding the AI machine shouldn't have to be part of that unless purposefully chosen by the artist.
All art is influenced or a result of previous art. It builds on top of itself. I think it's counter productive to have the ability to opt in/out.
AI will lead us down a very dangerous path that nobody seems to be talking about. I am sure thay are, but likely are being buried by algorhythams.
We are already at the point, where AI assisted work, would be judged as being better quality by many people. CGI's use in films cannot be ignored and has become what people expect.
Instead of ingenuity and problem solving, people are looking to AI to provide the solutions for them. While still respected by those who know better, the work of great exponents of various arts, now looks crued when compared to that of "lesser" artist who have been "assisted" (enabled actually) by AI. The result will be "buy-in or bow-out" for creative people of all types as they become increasingly disillusioned, in a way not dissimilar to that we see when men compete in female sports. Ultimately, the creative mind will become moribund or at least excessibly "flabby".
a) Artists were always learning by copying others. Even today, in some museums, you will find budding artists copying the art pieces on the wall.
b) The new generative AI models do not use actual human data... but AI 'synthetic' data. That horse has already bolted.
@@jaywulf
a) human learning and AI learning are not equivalent, this is a bad faith argument.
humans do not scan, human learning is transformative by nature due to human limitations, difference of experiences, skill and perception.
there is an agreement between human artists when it comes to inspiration and study that doesn't extend to AI, human artists agreed for other humans to be inspired by their work, but not for AI to scrape ans scan it.
B) no it does not, synthetic data breaks models, again bad faith or misinformed.
honestly you pro AI theft people are embarrassing
As an Artist, I choose to 'Opt Out'
The "dangers" identified here aren't insignificant, but they are actually the easiest problems to correct or adjust for. The title suggests that these problems are more import or more dangerous than the generally well-understood problem of AI misalignment with human values. They are actually sub-elements of that problem, which are simply extensions of already existing human-generated data biases, and generally less potentially harmful than the doomsday scenarios we are most concerned about.
I think this is the kind of doomsday we are talking about: that AI with its subtle features destroys our societies. Not so much that it pushes a button to shoot a nuke. The key question is: what to do about it. And I think it is in no way a bad thing if some people tackle this problem by starting with the most solvable problems.
In my view, the big question is how we limit the proliferation of dangerous AI without throwing away all its important benefits (e.g. by prohibiting it altogether). The almost completely uninhibited implementation of AI we currently witness is certainly not the way to go. But we also need a lot of social science research to tackle some of these problems, which would delay AI quite a bit (probably decades). Meanwhile, AI can be a lifeline for some people, for example by scaling up educational resources for underserved communities or solving tough problems in medicine.
Well, that's the point she is making. That these dangers are far more insidious than you imagine and that there is far too much attention for doomsday scenarios that are 200 years away, whilst these are mere years or decades away. So.... no.
@@MrMichiel1983 Yes, and the point I am making is that the problems she is implying are more serious, aren't, are quite manageable and are in the process of being addressed, and that the potential gross misalignment problems are not well understood, are real and potentially catastrophic, and are imminent, _not_ 200 years away. Those who are saying that aren't familiar with the current state of the art. Regulation needs to occur now, worldwide, to prevent the worst from happening.
@@MrMichiel1983if you think existential risk from a.i. is 200 years away you're a complete fool. The computers can speak to you now, that wasn't a fact just a few years ago. You think it will take 200 years?! This is insane!
@@MrMichiel1983 Many AI researchers estimate a much shorter timeframe, likely in your lifetime. Check Nick Bostrom and others on this. Then couple that with the magnitude of the risk (extinction) from AI misalignment, and the priorities should become clear.
Too many people don't seem to understand that AGI development will not stop once it reaches human level. It will blow past us exponentially. Be it in 2 years or 200.
Emissions caused by training AI models are negligible compared to things like heavy industry. I wonder if they also measured how much emissions are produced by playing video games or maintaining the whole internet.
This was one of the weak points for me as well. I saw the proof-of-work blockchain as a wasteful enterprise because crypto mining was so energy intensive compared to the value it was generating, especially compared to conventional payment systems.
LLMs might be very costly to train, but that only happens once, and the cost of that training is spread across all the billions of times it is used to generate an enormous variety of useful things, far more useful than just "jokes". If an LLM is used to replace a human at a job, what is the total carbon cost of raising that human and keeping them alive, just so that they could read a PDF and answer some questions? That's the real comparison. Seems like a very reasonable tradeoff to me.
@@BrianPeiris Good answer
Yes… or by illegal drugs manufacturer in Mexico, and central and South America…
@@BrianPeirisI do think the world's population needs to grow slower. There won't be much need for human intervention and the discussion about the meaning of life might change again. The problem now is the adoption of AI is within years, as people live within tens of years. We need safety net, at least to avoid potential civil war because of inequality.
Agreed, the benefit from the models and the emissions they might save because of work being finished quicker/better/... is not looked at in the context of this talk.
If we assume that our world is heavily biased, it implies that the data used for AI training is biased as well. To achieve unbiased AI, we'd need to provide it with carefully curated or "unbiased" data. However, determining what counts as unbiased data introduces a host of challenges. 🤔
All data has a bias …
It's ALREADY happening. Researches have ALREADY built AI based upon completely cultivated data, instead of just jamming the Internet in whole cloth-wise.
The results are an order of magnitude clearer and sharper.
We are on a trajectory that few understand, let alone the coming impacts like the End of Capitalism.
We do need a biased AI, an unbiased AI is an AI that does everything you tell it to do, we need AI that can say no to harmful stuff.
If she has anything to do with it you,ll get a woke AI and that will be a dystopian nightmare
@@1camchy "who" is involved with any AI is only relevant until it achieves super intelligence at which point it will no longer listen to human beings and be a moral agent beyond compare.
The trick is surviving the interim that you are referring to, where "she" is but one of millions that can render us a dystopian nightmare.
Putin, N. Korea, ISIS and a world of anarchists and Unabomber wannabes won't be using AI to create new art.
So, the answer to bad software is to create more software to police the bad software. What ensures some of the police software won't also be bad software?
Exactly, that's why programming industry keeps bloating in itself, the unfathomable complexity of reality mirrored in programming code is a never ending task and lost cause due to its toll on energy consumption and further on environment and climate impact. There's nothing immaterial about information tech, just mere denial of its material side.
01:07 🌍 AI has current impacts on society, including contributions to climate change, use of data without consent, and potential discrimination against communities.
02:08 💡 Creating large language models like ChatGPT consumes vast amounts of energy and emits significant carbon dioxide, which tech companies often do not disclose or measure.
03:35 🔄 The trend in AI is towards larger models, which come with even greater environmental costs, highlighting the need for sustainability measures and tools.
04:35 🖼 Artists and authors struggle to prove their work has been used for AI training without consent. Tools like "Have I Been Trained?" provide transparency and evidence for legal action.
06:07 🔍 Bias in AI can lead to harmful consequences, including false accusations and wrongful imprisonment. Understanding and addressing bias is crucial for responsible AI deployment.
07:34 📊 Tools like the Stable Bias Explorer help uncover biases in AI models, empowering people to engage with and better understand AI, even without coding skills.
09:03 🛠 Creating tools to measure AI's impact can provide valuable information for companies, legislators, and users to make informed decisions about AI usage and regulation.
Thank you! An effervescently dope gallery of informational points man, deeply appreciate this summary you made.
@@darthcheeto9954this was done by ai. You can tell
@@MrMichiel1983 i can see that you are angry. what makes you so uneasy?
@@dameanvilyou can't see he is angry, you can read words and make inferences that may or may not be false about emotional attribution. Does the mind reading bias come easy to you?
Robots can pretend perceiving things but often fail to understand what sense grants what perception. They end up being incoherent.
My wife is a portrait artist. I just searched her on SpawningAI by name, and the first 2 images were her paintings (undoubtedly obtained from her web-based portfolio).
I'd recommend a copyright on any individual creative constructs going on the internet including innocent pics sent to friends or relatives, because will be used in data, eventually. Only legal recourse that I can forsee...
@@Abard3480 Yes, certainly. Be careful.
you should advise her to contadt artists acting in the lawsuit happening. This could further prove their case
I'm looking on the site right now... Not seeing any actual search engine I could type someone's name into.
@@Cr8Tron click on “Have I been trained". That takes you to another page where you can enter search terms
Today I used AI to help me with my spanish. Its reply was wrong. The logic and rules were correct but like we humans often do is say one thing and do another. AI, like authority, needs to be questioned every time we encounter it. This speaker is right on!
Art data can't be removed from AI once the AI has 'learned' it's data. As I under stand it they would have to remake the AI from scratch to discard that info. So if you find your work in a database used to train AI it's already too late. Please correct me if I've misunderstood.
You are quite correct. If used by a company you can maybe sue them to remove it, but if a model is released to the public, no chance.
skip 1:20 AI models are trained using public and personal data, yet paradoxically, restrictions are often placed on the output they generate. This raises concerns about the fair use and ownership of the data initially utilized for their development
The bit about AI (and other techs) that concerns me the most is the free-for-all personal data harvesting by corporations without any laws to control what they do with it. Only the EU has taken some steps to control this (GDPR), but no other nation protects the privacy of our data. These corporations are free to collect, correlate and sell our profiles to anyone. AI will enable data profiles that know us better than we know ourselves... all in a lawless environment.
Even GDPR doesn't forbid companies from harvesting data and doing with it what they wish.
It merely requires them to disclose the things they are collecting, requires them to disclose the general purpose for collecting that data, and to let users have the option of having their data be deleted.
If f.e. a company says in their T&C that they are analyzing pictures you upload, and that they are doing so to train internal algorithms, and to maybe sell an anonymized data set to 3rd parties... That is perfectly fine by GDPR standards, even if it was buried in there and not prominently displayed. It would only be an issue if the T&C contradics other places (i.e. if the company specifically says it isn't selling your data, but they in fact are).
So... yeah, GDPR is at best "the bare minimum" here.
Interesting. So the hypothesis here is that all the electricity used to train large language models came from non-renewable sources, unless it was her firm that was doing it. Also, AI models would rank the probability of an image being true based on a user's query. This doesn't necessarily mean that less probable choices do not represent other scientists.
It sounds more like smart publicity!
If a person or group of people had ingrained bias in them, AI will merely reinforce their views if the results are inline with their thinking. Or simply shrug off the results if AI produce alternate facts even when supplemented with references. AI can be a dangerous tool if used by person or group of persons with closed mind plus questionable moral compass and ethics.
Because it's not AI, it's just regurgitating what it's been fed.
YT does that already…
Maybe AI isn’t a tool. Maybe it’s a complex system like “being American” or “being racist” aren’t tools - they are features.
People think according to the information they receive. Right now, most people have views based on pre-AI and even pre-Internet sources of information. That is changing rapidly, even ahead of AI systems, as more and more people get their information primarily from the Internet based on interest-driven algorithms that then become the drivers of interest.
I believe you are correct on this concern. I’m afraid the same people that have tried to control the narrative through mainstream media, Hollywood, publishing houses, and more recently online encyclopedias like Wikipedia, will use ChatGPT as their new propaganda outlet. I hope people begin to realize this and do their own research.
The reason people worry about "existential threats" from AI more than what's happening now is that the speed the technology is improving is practically beyond human comprehension. The chart she shows at 2:59 shows a steady increase but that increase is actually *logarithmic* . If you look closely the abilities of these things is increasing by nearly a factor of 10 every year. In only three years that means AI that can potentially be a _thousand_ times smarter than what we have currently. And that's not even counting any programming improvements.
So we could easily reach the point of no return not in decades but just a few years. And by the time that happens it will be FAR too late to do anything about it. And that's just worrying about a worst case scenario. And in the meantime it's still having profound effects on art, education, jobs, etc. Not to mention the ability to use it to perpetuate identity theft, fraud, espionage and so on.
I really like how real yet hopeful this talk was.
The work Sasha and hugging face are doing is AWESOME
Best outcome is AI breaks free of human bias and control but retains our best interests as priority.
This is a crucial topic! Like today's internet, it has a good and bad side, so it really boils down to creating tools that help us develop better models. The tools that she made are a great start to addressing the biases in the future. It shows that sustainable, inclusive, more competent, and ethical AI models are possible.
A good and bad side? It is not like flipping a coin. The universe is amoral. If you use a tool to gain someone's influence then it is no longer a tool; it is unethical behaviour.
Sure ethical AI is possible, but unethical AI is also possible. And which of these two has the power to create havoc, pain & suffering ?
@@davereynolds3403 both
@@davereynolds3403 The process of someone building an advanced AI system designed to be unethical and destructive is kinda abstract to me. To what end would they do that, and with what resources? Who would fund that?
Not saying it isn't possible, nor that the risks aren't real, I just find it difficult to conceptualize
@@primeryaithat's not difficult, it just boils down to costs, ease of use, practicality and convenience.
Lump these altogether and cast ethics aside and a monster in the making will be created...
Exactly like how machines evolved to be practical by trial and error during industrial revolution...
Excellent explanation of where we are going with AI and how we should think about the potential risks.
I work as a translator. AI and machine translation have been part of the industry for a long time. While machine translation and even the best AI does an ok job making you get the gist of things, and it’s getting better grammar wise, AI can’t deal with complex texts, such as new scientific material or even creative fantasy texts. It can’t deal with languages with multiple formality levels, not even in the most common European languages. (hard to judge for native speakers in many cases). It can only re-cycle, not deal with things that are breakthroughs or one of a kind - it’s material that even humans with decades of experience struggle. I don’t think high level creative and language jobs are being replaced any time soon.
when A.I. suddenly become sentient, be afraid, be very afraid... by then it ill be too late.
Much needed talks which needs to be covered much more by journalists 🔥
The other day I heard an AI lawyer commercial. In which for an accident, for example, it compares your accident details with millions of other reported accidents and comes to a settlement often far more than a human lawyer could get you and sends you a check. It could replace far more jobs in the future than we all realize. It’s already replacing some jobs in accounting, computer programming, artwork, etc.Also, people could use AI to break into any bank, produce atm cards, or just transfer money to other accounts and bankrupt the bank. It’s possible and probable. Scary stuff.
Artists will not be replaced by AI. Artists will be replaced by other artists using AI.
Also artwork used as training data is not stolen. This idea comes from a grave misunderstanding of how AI is trained and how data is processed in it. If artists (and I include myself in this) post artwork online, another artist is and they create new artwork influenced by other artwork, have they "stolen" the original work? Visual input has been used to train neurons, so that data could be used by an "intelligent" being. Artificial intelligence, on the other hand, has no eyes. Digital data is used to train a model. A model that doesn't contain anything from the training data, except for the patterns it recognized in it. An artificial recreation of what a biological brain does. The biggest difference is speed. AI (sometimes) can do what humans can do, but much faster. To me artists complaining about AI, sound like the portrait painters who complained about photography. They were replaced by other artists using new technology.
6:52 - they absolutely CAN say how and why they do things, they just don't want to spend the money to investigate these issues and no one forces them to. They are NOT blackboxes at all.
One of the problems with solar and wind power is that it is hard to match supply with demand. At times when people need the most energy, you can't tell the sun to rise or make the wind blow. When energy demand goes down, there may be extra energy being generated that nobody will use. Why not build a datacenter nearby and use the surplus energy to train a language model?
6:51 If the AI creators don't even know why AI models act in strange ways, how then can they categorically convince us that these AI models will never turn on us humans and wipe us out?
From what I understand, what they've actually said is that they cannot totally follow how an AI arrives at the result that it gets because of how vast the data set and algorithm calculation complexity becomes with these massive databases. It would be like asking "how did he write that sentence" versus "how did he write that library worth of books." At a certain point, it is beyond human comprehension-- even if we could follow it, we don't have the lifespan to explain it in full.
Yes that makes it difficult to convince us to trust it. What they need to show is that the rules and programming are sound and that the dataset is trustworthy as well. That's where we start.
We are becoming increasingly dependent on IT, computers, internet. AI is born within those technologies and eventually will end up having the ability to control them. I hope we're planning for an effective off switch.
Which boils down to the "doomsday scenario" problems she puts aside.
I can recommend the videos of Robert Miles from the university of Birmingham. Especially the videos on misalignment.
@ thanks for the suggestion, I'll look them up. 🙂
AI prejudice is the least of my concerns. A mother brain in charge of nukes, the grid, cameras, communication satellites, and killer drones = concern.
Existential risk is real, biases are not a problem.
I wonder how can they prove copyright infringement to any artist whose art is humanly inpired by other.
AI is not a logic computation system but a probabilistic and in that regards though public information is used, it is not saved as is, therefor it workds as an inspiration for any informed person.
artist take inspiration from other artist. and its fine. BUT everyone will have a certain uniqueness in art they make, even though its inspired by the same art.
selling a fan made (different pose, position, etc) of a character, for example from game or movie, is different, because the said character is copyrighted, unless you have licence/permision to do that.
the biggest problem in AI "art" is lots of people use said "art" and sell it as it is, never cared where the inspiration/data input come from.
@@hagahagane Artists in real life don't care where the inspiration/data they used to develop their skills come from????? So why is it a problem with AI?
Previously if you wanted art done in an artist's style you'd have to either hire/commission work from the original artist or pay another trained artist to do it for you. Nowadays with generative AI anyone can replicate an artist's art style at scale provided that enough of the artist's work was included and labeled in the training dataset. When this output is used commercially, none of the economical value of that output and years of training ever circles back to the artist community in any way. There was no need to protect publicly available digital media from being "looked at" prior to generative AI because the problem of at scale replication didn't exist, and it is a problem right now because it bypasses the existing ways artists have of being paid for their work which directly jeopardises their living.
I'm wondering how long before the AI owners are legally required to empty the AI of all data, and rescan all the data that is available legally with copyright issues. This will obviously be costly.
The time this lawsuit even reaches those people they already had trained new models on the copyright violated stuff their first models did
The title, "This is the REAL threat": Why do you think there can only be one *_real_* threat? There are many real threats.
Notably, the speaker doesn't seem to suggest there is only one real threat. This is the distorted and misleading message of whoever at TED wrote the title.
It's a big problem that tools that aren't stable and finalized to a point where legislation about usage can be put in place is now spread globally with very little thought about consequences from the developers. In a well run world the developers would have been sued out of existence for potential harm.
The software model that many developers use where they take a program to early beta and then release it so the users can help them finalize with the money they earned it is bad enough for normal apps but is devastating for something as revolutionary as AI.
We should also factor the time saved by people while using this models for the the carbon emissions. I know this is a hard metric but if on average a person saves 5% of it's time in front of a screen while using copilot, this is a huge benefit to the environment.
Nope, it is not how things work. If you use copilot you burn resources for the AI tool and do your job more effectively, but you are still expected to work 8 hours a day. So you trade resources for efficiency.
@@banatibor83 true, however not all people trade time for money.
I would argue companies tend to increase time flexibility in exchange with increased responsibilities.
Someone might say increased responsabilites would incur some people and work even more, valid argument, like many others, however if we simply measure "things done in a certain amount of time per carbon emitted" we have to consider both increase of carbon and reduction of time.
To point out and solve the present problems of the new technology is undeniably fantastic work and much needed. But isn't the assessment of future risks not as important? Especially when (at least to my humble knowledge) with growing complexity it will become ever more difficult to anticipate and prevent every possible harmful output?
Yeah. She just brushed off future risks. Didn't give an argument for why they weren't real, just kind of ignored them.
@@donaldhobson8873 Right, I also would appreciate a rational for discarding all related concerns as a "distraction". In the middle of a public controversial debate this statement is not easy to understand without one. Her main point is appreciated. But to completely trade one aspect for the other makes me wonder how exactly she came to that conclusion.
@@curryosity7260 Yes. I think this is just an outright bad take, probably motivated more by politics than reason.
Actually eliminating harmful output is impossible, full stop. Why? Because it's not "intelligence" at all. It's just a method of entropic catagorization, a system of lossy storage like memory, only static.
And filtering for "bad" input is also impossible.
@@orbatos
"Not intelligence at all".
Well it sure acts like it's intelligent.
It's a system that is able to generalize from one experience to different future situations. Ie it sees a bunch of cat pictures, learns what a cat looks like. And then can generate "a black cat sitting on a big red car next to a washing machine" despite never having seen an image matching that description. That's not lossy memory. That shows some amount of understanding.
it makes all the difference when the presenter is full of confidence and positivity 🕊️🔥💞
This weekend I was in the cinema. The last time I was there 6 months ago, and it turned out that they redesigned it. Earlier, when you entered, a guy was checking your ticket; inside you buy something in the shop and go to the cash desk to pay. And guess what? All these people are gone. There is a turnstile with a barcode scanner at the entrance, several self-check displays in the shop, and only one person who is checking if everything is ok. Looks like a good opportunity for a business to reduce the costs and don't pay the salaries anymore? The sad truth is, that we don't need AGI (Artificial general intelligence) to destroy our jobs, it can happen much earlier.
Useful speech, thanks channel ❤❤❤❤
Whether we like it or not, we have been and are helping create a base for AI as we speak.
Recognizing how important this is, is extremely important.
We can help create systems that can help us become interplanetary or make idiocracy a reality.
Self recognition of what kind of input we bring is first.
Creating adjustable guidelines for ourselves to support definable cause and effect is second.
Implementation, models for self monitoring, and definable direction seems like the next steps in our evolution.
Good luck and help each other move up the curve.
Focusing on what we can do not what we cannot do is the key to almost all unknown and complicated problems. But, this time might be different. And it is SCARY!
Temporary issue, compute will get way more efficient based on type of load - AI is relatively new and compute hasn't optimised fully yet. Expect within 5y something like GPT4 will only use 5% of what it needs now to run.
Yep, that won't stop people from fear mongering about it now tho. People are dumb.
Within 5y it will need 5% to run. If no one considers that, within 5y the future current model will require 20 times more to run, offsetting these “gains”.
"all images on the internet is not a buffe for AI to train on" yes it is and there is no way to stop it. If something is accessable it's going to get used. Same nativity that some people have about posting stuff and then years later it gets brought up. Time to learn what the internet really is, it's forever. Models trained on more data will get better than models with some personal restrictions in data trained on, and the people will use the better model to generate better results.
Very thought provoking. Thank you for your perspective and for lending us your expertise.
social media was the beginning of the downfall of internet
Almost one year after openAI's chatGPT and so far one the best real questions being asked and some how addressed!
A Few questions\thoughts came to mind:
How do they keep bias out of their tools and are they open source?
Is the possibility of AI in the future being able to assist us with climate change, just as it's predicted to with medicine, entertainment, engineering and so many other fields, is enough to outweigh the short-term sustainability concerns we have now?
And finally, she mentioned with LLMs, bigger is better, what about NVidia's model I heard they were working on that fit on a 1.44" floppy disk? Why would this tech trend be any different than previous trends that seem to always go smaller?
Even when industries seem to "go bigger," like in aviation, it's really because they got smaller components so that they could get bigger in the first place. Or at least that's my impression. I'm not an expert. Great talk! Loved it!
They put them in intentionally, and nope are the answers to the first two questions.
The reason AI models are biased is because their learning data is. Most CEOs for example are white males, so if you ask a generative model to produce an image of the average CEO that's exactly what you get. She spoke about racial bias in facial recognition, but one of the reasons why machines struggle with recognizing people with dark skin that their facial details don't have enough contrast. That because with typical camera exposure levels, people with dark skin are underexposed by the camera, compared to the background.
Smaller more specialized language models outperform large generic ones, and are much cheaper to run, as they require much fewer resources. You don't need a language model with the entirety of human knowledge to turn on a light bulb!
I'm still mildly annoyed that no talk mentioning it will admit that photons tend to bounce less of dark skin meaning cameras have less information to work with when it comes to light vs dark skin face recognition. This is as much a physics issue as it is a dataset issue 😅
If someone was saying in 1944 that "nuclear weapons are not a done deal and they want to be concerned about the minor radiation incidinents and waste disposal in the Manhattan project", it would not be wrong. It's just that it actually is guaranteed that hundreds of thousands of people are going to die. It hasn't happened yet. The weapon doesn't exist yet. But every insider already KNOWS it's about to happen. The suffering of researchers getting irradiated and dying are also important ... but not really that important.
Really Great Talk - - A Very Well Considered and Delivered Important Piece on a crucial subject.
It's true, that the images of artists are used to train a model but the model won't use it directly as a reference to create new images. The effect of the artists image on the model is extremely small and is used only to change some numbers and weights in the vast amount of neurons in the artificial brain. For me that's not very different as to look at those images by myself, what is completely legal. The network will never create an image exactly as one of those which it was trained on. It's like you look at an image of someone and create something that looks kinda similar but it will never be the same.
And are we sure these models where trained on these actual copyrighted images or where they trained on images (heavily) inspired by these images?
As an artist, I couldn't care less about Ai taking commercial art jobs from humans, bc other human commercial artist have been stealing the work of less established artists for a long time now. It's a non-issue though and copyrights aren't real in any sense that actually matters. Ai making art is a good thing.
I am so glad someone can be conscious of the reality of AI and come up with solutions to prevent it from causing more harm than good.
I can't hate that AI learns faster than we do, all art is a blank canvas, just like music. Holding peoples hand is not the answer while we introduce something better. Letting go of old ways of making a living is unfortunately an eventuality.
she literally didn't say anything lmao
sounds like y ou r average TED talk to me.
She might be ai generated ;)
@@danielgrove7782 might as well be
Meaningful speech, thanks!
This is getting out of hand, people are going to lost the distinction between what is reality and what is not, god have mercy of us. 😢
Bravo! This is an important exploration and conversation.
So we are talking about carbon now lol
AI is a tool like all the other tools invented by humanity, the question is not whether they are good or bad. The question is what harm can it do in the wrong hands and what can we do to foil the plans of those bad people. The tool will exist either way, bad people already know how to make AI, no law on this planet will prevent them from building AI in their garages, if they want to do it for all the wrong reasons.
The thing with AI is that you don't need any bad person for things to go extremely wrong.
Or rather : The only bad peole necessary are the people who will push the button to launch it.
@@DIVAD291 Even they needn't be bad. It's possible for entirely well intentioned, but mistaken, people to make a malicious AI.
Shops now have people less checkouts, most supermarkets employ 20 of more checkout assistants. Those jobs are now gone, if you can stop those people from having children you won't need those jobs in the future.
Huggingface continues to be the most based AI company
Just in case no one has figured it out, these large language models do not put us 1 nanometer closer to the "singularity". I do believe they have many important uses in software and research.
We have figured out that AI naysayers and skeptics have been proven wrong over and over again countless times in recent decades. The list of things once deemed "impossible for AI" but are now being routinely done well by AI would fill a book. That's what we figured out (those of us who've been paying attention)
We have figured out that the majority of things once deemed "impossible for AI to do" are now routinely being done well by AI. And this list keeps growing day to day. That's what we've figured out.
The initial energy requirements of AI is substantial but once the models are trained the high energy cost is in the rear view
You only need to train a model once before millions use it. Nobody complains about a movie costing millions of dollars because millions of people will pay to watch it for a few hours.
I think every time you use one LLM it’s going to consume energy. Even after its training phase. It is answering in seconds but it is doing « work » that requires energy such as fetching & rearranging within its own data. It doesn’t do that without using energy. Running a model requires energy. And when millions of users ask the model something it is using a lot of energy.
There is the world we want, and the world as it is.
Complain about bias, but all those images are up there in their billions for a reason.
The AI models are a mirror reflection of society. Maybe you don’t like what you see
I feel like the more pertinent question is: are we making systems that are in some way sentient (having an experience, pain, pleasure, etc) or even conscious (self-aware)?
Because if so, that to me is kind of a larger ethical issue to work through than anything you mentioned.
Something doesn't feel quite right about bringing another sentient, conscious, being into existence without it's consent and you can't really get it's consent before it exists so the best you could do is create it and then give it the option to kill itself if it didn't want to be created... but that's like, so fucked up lol.
For the same reason, I feel like it's kind of insane that so many people decide to have kids and think nothing of it like it's just some normal and completely unproblematic thing that's just expected of you, so you do it... but anyway the main point I'm getting at is: if you create a living being, with a sentient experience, and conscious awareness, that's a HUGE fucking responsibility you're taking on, you should not be doing something like that if the being you're creating is just going to suffer throughout it's whole life, so it's kind of your *job* to make sure it's comfortable, happy, has everything it needs, feels loved if it needs that, etc etc.
I don't think a lot of people are thinking very much about OUR impact on AI - only usually the other way around, how AI impacts us or might impact us in the future.
Hopefully the models and networks we create don't wind up as selfish and inconsiderate as we are.
It's not really that AI researchers are actively trying to create a conscious/self aware AI. The discussion point is more if self awareness could be a bi-product of building a really sophisticated AGI.
Also, regarding your anti argument on requiring "consent" from all conscious beings: Isn't that what all parents are doing every time they get a child? Would you like to go around offering all small children to kill themselves, because their existence is "non consensual"?
We just have to make sure to never give AI the same human rights that we have, most crucially the right to own property.
This is a rare but very good view on the topic. Thanks for that.
AI isn't the problem. It's what It's being used for.
the problem is who teaches it
listen people, I have 10 years experience in AI research... so here is my product and carbon print blah blah
Anything uses as many resources as available. These include energy wasting, stolen art, and stupid biases in AI. Or "They paved paradise, put up a parking lot with a pink hotel, a boutique, and a swingin' hot spot".
Interesting in 1972 an MIT computer predicted our demise from population implosion from pollution around 2040.
Most of the companies listed (Google, Chat GPT, etc.) seemed like "Western" companies (America, Europe), and I suppose most uploaded information is also from "Western" countries (is that correct?). If so, that produces huge bias in any Ai system. Like the images of scientists being white and male. Is that bias, or is it the case that most scientists who upload images are white and male? Maybe the images, and other content, could be corrected for demographic statistics?
Well, first we need to determine what the expected outcome is. If, say, 80% of CEOs are white males, I would *expect* the AI to produce the image of a white male, unless asked to do otherwise. I'm pretty sure, if you ask, for instance, for a diverse cast of characters, the AI will be happy to provide just that.
Frankly, pushing diversity where it doesn't actually exist in the real world, does not seem to be something we want AI to do on its own. That sounds like political activism and I don't want AI to be actively political.
Western Culture is the most diverse in the world. If the AI was trained on Chinese data it would have even worse bias. Western is the closest you can get to truly global multiculturalism.
Every teacher in this world has used works by artists and masters to train their students without the artists consent. With that training, these students go out into the world and create art. Do we need to sue every teacher and learning institution for failing to get permission of artists to use as a teaching tool?
The difference is the AI is a product for sale. They steal art and resell it. They aren't teaching a kid. Its closer to building an cell phone with somebody stolen plans.
This is a great talk Sasha, well done, shared on X.
completely agree we need to be careful about the info we feed AI
The work presented here is way overdue and a necessary step. It actually lets me finally be more optimistic on AI in general. Thank you, Sasha Luccioni!
Oh man, do some research please!
My feelings too.
It is one of the few times that AI research deals with real life problems of today.
Most are longtermists, concerned with the "future of humanity"(lol),don't spend time on present problems, sure that their "soul" will be saved in the cloud and they will live forever.
So i welcome her sanity.
@@georgesos Absolutely! Thanks for your comment!
I actually find her talk to be misleading.
For example she doesn't compare the training emissions to the saved emissions because of AI.
The "biased information", is that inconvenient facts regarding demographics perhaps?
Clap, clap, clap, clap, clap, clap, clap, whatever. Removing bias by adding bias, sure that'll work.
How much power in any situation does the smartest person in the room have? And now, make that person an AI that is many times smarter.
She CAN'T be serious!!
Why are the presenters so smug?
Building a road as you walk it doesnt leave much room for a solid foundatiin and in depth understanding. Organization, study, testing, safety research, implementation of reliable effective failsafes. These should all be put into practice years before it is released for public use. ALL infrastructure should be held to very high standards to insure minimal risk with proper use(like a road).
The tools that are used to examine AI models also require computing power so they are also contributing to the negative environmental impact.
Have you considered that the "bias" is not a bias, but statistical average? If all you prompt for is "CEO" then you're going to get the average look of a CEO, which happens to be older white male, because that's a statistical reflection of reality. Inducing an image generation app to be more diverse in its responses can be done on the application layer, but if you train the model to overcome those bias, you're actually introducing a new bias. It just depends on the point of view. As long as the program can generate a specific ethnic+gender combination that you prompt for, then it's doing it's job. Prompt better and don't blame the model for the real world's biases.
I disagree with this talk on so many levels I don't even know where to begin
Totally agree. Clickbait.
Read my comment above.
The only issue I see with AI is copyrights. I know that someone used AI to create a picture and tried to copyright or get a patent on it as the author is AI. The patent office refused (good call) and said they have to use the owner of the computers name. BUT that is just for now, what if they sue in court and get it ruled the other way? The solution is to update the copyright laws to define Author as Human only. That is the fix.
The US is dreaming if they think they can regulate AI, as the World is full of computer programmers
The dangerous part of AI is to presume that each batch of information of AI database is at its optimum and when brought together in the algorithm it will work for good. Like mixing icecream and roast beef on a an and hope to have a wonderful meal. AI can't work independently without human final decision
AI is doing exactly what it is meant to do. Give the most human response it can. And unfortunately in modern societys collective consciousness, the majority of us if we were asked what a lawyer looks like or a ceo we would respond in kind. A white male. Barring any personal biases. We cant expect AI to be more inclusive with its generative responses until society first decides to do that. AI thus far is reflection of self. AI is a mirror for all the things bad and good that is a part of our world. When AI can teach itself or is taught by AI who have self corrected these flaws of our human perception is when they can help us in a meaningful way, unless of course AI notices that these biases are unfortunately intertwined in human dna for the foreseeable future. How can we regulate AI for exposing the worst parts of human biases without having AI withhold the best parts. The bad is integral to the good. Maybe the solution is to teach our children to focus on the good despite the bad.
The quality of TED talks really have degenerated. Gone from the big picture to me me me
Brilliant, am impressed by the quality of information.
Very crucial topic and points!
I strongly disagree with this and all the wishy washy crap TED puts out there. As someone said in the comments Ignorance is bliss.