Granger Causality : Time Series Talk

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  • čas přidán 4. 09. 2024
  • All about Granger Causality in Time Series Analysis!

Komentáře • 84

  • @wolfgangi
    @wolfgangi Před 4 lety +92

    I swear, you have some of the best most intuitive explanations on these concepts ever!

  • @teegnas
    @teegnas Před 4 lety +17

    Wow ... the approach you took for explaining this concept is really good. Please keep them coming!

    • @ritvikmath
      @ritvikmath  Před 4 lety

      Thanks!

    • @teegnas
      @teegnas Před 4 lety +1

      @@ritvikmath Please expand your playlist on time series talk. It's very helpful.

  • @kishore2758
    @kishore2758 Před 29 dny

    I love you man , 2 weeks of my lecture and you took 8 minutes to explain it

  • @subramanianmr7630
    @subramanianmr7630 Před 3 lety +7

    Wow! What an intuitive way of explaining. It has becomes easy now for me to read detailed theory. This approach is best way of teaching. Thanks a lot Ritvik.

  • @fredericnicholson80
    @fredericnicholson80 Před rokem +1

    Thanks Ritvik. I finished my math masters over 30 years ago. I wish you were around back then to fill us all with your knowledge and enthusiasm. Well done!

  • @sachinrao1
    @sachinrao1 Před 3 lety +4

    You are brilliant in making complicated things simple. Thank you

  • @allaabdella2377
    @allaabdella2377 Před 4 lety +22

    Thank you, it’s very helpful. Can you expand more on t-test and f-test in time series? It will great to include them in future videos if possible. Overall, good work!

  • @nyjash93
    @nyjash93 Před 4 lety +2

    by far the clearest video on this topic

  • @jordanlee1326
    @jordanlee1326 Před 3 lety

    Thank you! I am a political science student and this video (and the one on VAR) has really simplified my understanding.

  • @user-vm8fl2rd9t
    @user-vm8fl2rd9t Před rokem

    Thank you so much. You've simplified a concept I genuinely struggled with!

  • @adnanbakather4384
    @adnanbakather4384 Před 3 lety +1

    Excellent. Thanks you for sharing knowledge with all.

  • @bank6033
    @bank6033 Před 6 měsíci

    Really the way of explanation is very nice

  • @mukahazah8998
    @mukahazah8998 Před rokem

    That's an interesting concept. I'm not sure I could do the T and F tests to come out with the results, but you've given me the general understand of how it works and that helps.
    Thanks so much!

  • @playingserious9108
    @playingserious9108 Před 2 lety +1

    I think you are talented at explaining.

  • @larifarycharis5312
    @larifarycharis5312 Před 9 měsíci

    Excellent explanation thanks

  • @fleurlion
    @fleurlion Před 2 lety

    This is the first explanation I actually get! So easy to understand - Thank you so much :D

  • @afafeben6882
    @afafeben6882 Před rokem

    شكرا ، اللهم بارك 🤍

  • @Thomas-cy3np
    @Thomas-cy3np Před 6 měsíci

    very solid explanation, thanks a lot!! :D

  • @mobileentertainment212
    @mobileentertainment212 Před 6 měsíci

    very well explained!

  • @adenforst230
    @adenforst230 Před 3 lety +1

    Your channel is amazing. Simple as that.

  • @tianjoshua4079
    @tianjoshua4079 Před 3 lety +1

    You really know time series knowledge inside out.

  • @Selcet61
    @Selcet61 Před 3 lety +1

    Excellent ! Bravo !

  • @unajoh6472
    @unajoh6472 Před 2 lety

    your video is amazing! thank you for your intuitive and clear explanation

  • @manthansinghshekhawat
    @manthansinghshekhawat Před 11 měsíci

    Jo bhi apne pdhaya... Acha laga pdhke...

  • @TheWindization
    @TheWindization Před rokem

    Would love a full playlist on causal models and analysis with the ritvikmath clarity of explanation

  • @mathelecs3884
    @mathelecs3884 Před 2 lety

    Man you are so amazing! Thank you for sharing your knowledge!

  • @yulinliu850
    @yulinliu850 Před 4 lety +1

    Excellent teaching of the concept!

  • @gloriarumao4905
    @gloriarumao4905 Před 2 lety +1

    The video is very helpful. Thank you. Can you also explain the cointegration test with respect to creating a VAR model?

  • @Juan-Hdez
    @Juan-Hdez Před 6 měsíci

    Very useful. Thank you!

  • @nambuihoai8222
    @nambuihoai8222 Před 4 lety +5

    Thank you, amazing vid! Could you please make a video on SVAR models!

  • @mohitgehlot6582
    @mohitgehlot6582 Před 2 měsíci

    Thank you so much bro.

  • @GohOnLeeds
    @GohOnLeeds Před 9 měsíci

    Love your presentation, man :-)

  • @johannhmartinez8550
    @johannhmartinez8550 Před 4 lety +1

    Muy buena explicación. Gracias

  • @kimkido95
    @kimkido95 Před 4 lety +2

    what a nice and compact video!! could you please make a video on VECM ?

  • @BKGA
    @BKGA Před 4 lety +6

    I watched most of you series on time series. You rock!
    I wonder if you would be able to include applications using R for example. Will you be talking about impulse response function or frequency domain?
    Thanks

    • @ritvikmath
      @ritvikmath  Před 4 lety +3

      thanks! And I definitely will look into videos on time domain / frequency domain and related concepts!

  • @lixunsu1172
    @lixunsu1172 Před 3 lety

    Thank you. Great video.

  • @avinashkumarpandey
    @avinashkumarpandey Před 3 lety +1

    Very Intuitive Video ! If you don't mind can you also give the link of the microphone you are using . Thanks

  • @mathieudujardin9194
    @mathieudujardin9194 Před rokem

    Thank you bro you're a beast

  • @ArunSubbiahCeo
    @ArunSubbiahCeo Před 2 lety

    Truly grateful for the incredible work. ❤ Just a suggestion: Can you also do a video on cointegration?

  • @pradoemilio3097
    @pradoemilio3097 Před 3 lety

    Thank you!!!!!!

  • @sdotlondonkid
    @sdotlondonkid Před 3 lety +1

    Is the Granger causality test able to be used across more than two variables simultaneously or will I have to conduct those tests separately.

  • @totochandelier
    @totochandelier Před 4 lety +1

    thanks for your great job ! i ve just spent all the night watching all your videos on time series! just a question : what is the difference here, with VAR models ? You are using lags of an explicative variable , as you have done with VAR , didn t you ?

  • @kevinaubrain1792
    @kevinaubrain1792 Před 4 lety +2

    Great video ! I'am doing an internship in neuroscience and it helps me a lot in my work. Do you have any video about this kind of method that helps determining the number of lags ?

  • @alfredtan5599
    @alfredtan5599 Před 3 lety +1

    Great video you have done! Do you have videos on t-Test and F-Test please?

  • @ninakoch1799
    @ninakoch1799 Před 3 lety

    love your videos!!

  • @wongkitlongmarcus9310
    @wongkitlongmarcus9310 Před 3 lety

    brilliant

  • @gm7836
    @gm7836 Před 3 lety +1

    Nice, thanks!

  • @programmingwithjackchew903

    i observe that lower the p value higher the f test, may I know what is the optimal value for f test

  • @estaykylyshbek8347
    @estaykylyshbek8347 Před 3 lety

    Great video! Could you please talk about the Cointegration test?

  • @aminnourmohammadi5025
    @aminnourmohammadi5025 Před 4 lety

    Thank you so much for you awesome videos. Could you please make a series of videos about nonlinear time series analysis? ..... Also, I was wondering if you know a Matlab algorithm for measuring nonlinear/nonparametric Granger Causality.

  • @zhanbolatmagzumov6409
    @zhanbolatmagzumov6409 Před 2 lety

    Hi Ritvik. Thanks for the code example as well. Until which lag I should look for granger causality? Starting from lag 8 the p-value decreases and around 14 lag is 0. But maybe it is by smoothing effect.

  • @arkadiuszkuswik6765
    @arkadiuszkuswik6765 Před 2 lety

    should the time series be stationary for the test? thanks

  • @erniesings6855
    @erniesings6855 Před měsícem

    Are cointegration and causality the same test?

  • @kabeldelices1016
    @kabeldelices1016 Před 3 lety

    Can we use granger causality test whene having mixed order of integration I(0), I(1) or I(2)?
    Or we must have one and only order of integration of the variables tested ?
    Thank you

  • @programmingwithjackchew903

    hi does granger causality require no outlier data?

  • @cheng-lungwang5136
    @cheng-lungwang5136 Před 3 lety

    what id there are two or more time series variables that I want to predict the outcome variable.
    is Granger causality can be used? or simply use VAR

  • @sdotlondonkid
    @sdotlondonkid Před 3 lety

    Also, are there other tests for investigating causality.

  • @mago2007
    @mago2007 Před 4 lety

    R studio or python tutorial!!! Great videos!

  • @sjisx
    @sjisx Před 3 lety

    So... How does granger causality differ from correlation? Is it because of the time lag?

  • @iftikhar58
    @iftikhar58 Před 9 měsíci

    best

  • @indonesischealles5679
    @indonesischealles5679 Před 4 lety

    Can we linked the causality on same goverment in two periodic time?

  • @gurmeetsingh5323
    @gurmeetsingh5323 Před 4 lety

    Professor impulse response function please... VAR and IRF

  • @kanejiang2938
    @kanejiang2938 Před rokem

    So , in my opinion, the pool city line is lag 1 of the rich city

    • @kanejiang2938
      @kanejiang2938 Před rokem

      But i have a question. How can i decide the best AR model to predict pool city line by itself?

  • @digitalresearchsupport8546

    Can you make video on DCC multivariate Garch Model

  • @johannaw2031
    @johannaw2031 Před rokem

    What does Phi represent?

  • @raulq.3519
    @raulq.3519 Před 4 lety

    Amazing. Thank you, Ritvik! I've a got a curiosity, if I want to run a Granger test, let's say in R, basically the function iterates through various lags -of the rich city, mentioning the example- until finding those 3 and 5 lags?

  • @ProgrammerError
    @ProgrammerError Před 2 lety

    Doesn't granger causality lead to a chicken or egg problem? One could also say that the rich city is following the poor city (if you drew your graph completely)

    • @Isaiah_McIntosh
      @Isaiah_McIntosh Před rokem

      Couldn't you then check impulse response to determine the direction of causality?

  • @saitaro
    @saitaro Před 3 lety

    OMG 60fps suddenly, wow! Who need Star Wars and stuff now? Ditch that, I choose learning stats. Go on, man, fire it up!

  • @jinchengwang3511
    @jinchengwang3511 Před 2 lety

    Neymar, is that you?

  • @Achrononmaster
    @Achrononmaster Před rokem

    @2:00 pretty stupid (neoliberal) idea to do export led growth. You want to maximize useful output no matter what, for that you run a sovereign currency to guarantee full employment. You only export your surplus to domestic needs, which "pay for" the imports. If you need _more_ imports (for whatever reason) you *_definitely do not link currencies_* you use a floating exchange rate. Then if the imports cause pass-through inflation you re-gauge your own currency, because why the hell would you not! This way the poor nation never borrows foreign currency. They'd only need to borrow a foreign currency (and incur IMF penalties) if they do fix or peg the exchange rate. It would be incredibly stupid to do that, since debts in a currency your government does not monopoly issue cannot be guaranteed to be redeemed.
    You take the pass-through inflation hit instead, but raise the minimum real wage to keep everyone employed, until you later do produce enough surplus to domestic needs that will pay for the imports. If that never eventuates you just stick to the inflation led growth, since state currency is a mere numeraire this is indefinitely sustainable. Foreign debt is not. No need ever to borrow a foreign currency. No need to peg or fix the exchange rate (which is effectively a needless tax on your population). Key is full employment, not low inflation.