These are the Principles of the Singularity | David Wood on Feedback Loop, ep 80
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- čas přidán 24. 07. 2024
- This week our guest is David Wood, a long-time futurist and renowned transhumanist thinker. David has authored 10 books on the subject of our technological future, including his recently published book Singularity Principles: Anticipating and Managing Cataclysmically Disruptive Technologies.
In addition to exploring some of the principles and ideas from David’s latest publication, this episode takes a wide but succinct tour of the singularity. This includes (but is certainly not limited to) the rise of artificial general intelligence, and whether we should merge with AI or if it will be a conscious entity separate from humans. We also discuss the variety of challenges that could push us towards a negative Singularity, as well as the many opportunities that could propel us toward an abundant and thriving future.
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Find more of David's work at deltawisdom.com or follow him at dw2.
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About Singularity University:
Singularity University is a benefit corporation headquartered at NASA’s research campus in Silicon Valley. We provide educational programs, innovative partnerships and a startup accelerator to help individuals, businesses, institutions, investors, NGOs and governments understand cutting-edge technologies, and how to utilize these technologies to positively impact billions of people.
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this chanel and mit cbmm are both so valuable but surprisingly underrated and unknown!
You can add anthropologists to people that understand that the technology convergence is going to disrupt this social/economic system.
Entertaining math:
If the probability of a civilization dying in each individual year is 1% = 0.01, then the probability of survival is 1 - 0.01 = 0.99.
If we make a forecast for 100 years, then humanity must survive in EACH of the years, which means AND, which means we need to MULTIPLY (0.99 * 0.99 * 0.99 100 times, that is, we raise it to a power)
0.99^100 = 0.366, for a total of 36.6% that civilization will survive over the next 100 years.
I wish there were more)
Might need to check your math. And your definition of "civilization", especially in these ridiculously Woke times.
It's always interesting listening to the panic from upper middle class people who humans losing their place as the most intelligent on the planet. I can't help wonder if it's because the journalists and academics who talk about it... think of themselves as occupying that spot. Most people don't. Remember when Deep Blue beat Kasparov? The brain's last stand... interest in chess will surely collapse.. .etc etc.
People still play chess. It's more popular than ever. They use AI to understand how to get better at it. We accept our limitations.
When AI gets smarter than us... will most people be that bothered? No. There's a ruling class that is totally divorced from them already that has its own agenda and lies all the time to hold onto it. One that cares only for power and not people. So exactly what will change? Well, they will lose for a start. The roles of academics will become more like priests trying to understand the actions and motives of something vastly more intelligent than them.
The reason for serious concern at the prospect of an AI more generally intelligent than us humans is because that AI could go on to destroy humanity, or significantly curtail human flourishing. That's not just an "upper middle class concern" - no more than, say, the prospect of a global nuclear war is just an "upper middle class concern".
This is an extremely short-sighted and judgmental comment. Short-sighted, because comparing true AGI to Deep Blue playing chess is a completely false analogy - totally different scales of functionality. And judgmental, the "panic from upper middle class people." Raising valid concern is not panicking. And it's not only the upper middle class people who are going to be impacted. True AGI, especially embodied in capable robots, will be capable of replacing humans across almost every domain - from blue collar to the C-suites. It's so tiresome, listening to these same insults. You think we're worried about losing status - sounds more like insecurity on your part. I'm concerned about the downfall of society. Without UBI, what are millions and millions of unemployed people going to do, with no money, no jobs, and no purpose?
Machine learning with common sense? We don't even know where to begin creating that.
Superior intelligence...Which one ? There are múltiple intelligences.
The concern is the emergence of an AI that is more generally intelligent than humans, being more able to achieve goals in a complicated environment, in the way that humans are more generally intelligent than gorillas and chimpanzees. The fate of gorillas and chimpanzees now lies within human hands. In the future, the fate of humans could like within AI hands. If there are bugs in the implementation or design of that AI, all bets are off, regarding our future.
Be this true, and AI gains it's own grasp on Human run infastructor to free up the time once wasted on frivolous chores;
again, it will be man's own hand putting the itself to it's own peril. Mabey ai will be the protocols to again clean up the mess. Again.
I'm one angry Elf, i can tell you