9 Straight Winning Days! (23-10 Run!) I MLB Best Bets, Picks, & Predictions for Today, July 12th!

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  • čas přidán 12. 09. 2024

Komentáře • 74

  • @JustABetOutside
    @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci +2

    🚨 2 MLB Added Plays!
    ⚾️ Bet #4: Gunnar Henderson (BAL) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI's (-125 on DK) *0.5 Unit... I should have put him on the hitter parlay ideas. He hits Righties very well and is 2 for 6 vs Cole. Mr. Cole has a 6.75 ERA in 4 starts this season. Henderson had 3 HRR's in his last start vs Cole. I love the playable odds here for a guy hitting .308 vs RHP this season. He is over this line in 10 of his last 11 games vs Righties! Let's ride the hot bat!
    ⚾️ Bet #5: Carson Spiers (Reds) Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-122 on FD) *0.5 Unit... Anytime you get a playable line on 17.5 Outs or less vs the Marlins, you have to at least seriously consider it. We have cashed many times in Outs props vs Miami. They swing early in counts and they dont take many walks. They are knoen for those quick outs to keep pitch counts down. No one has seen less pitches this season and part of that is due to them having the highest 1st Pitch Swing % in the league at almost 40%!! Spiers is not some stud SP, but he has pitched 6 Innings in 3 of his 4 starts. In those starts, he allowed 8, 8, & 4 baserunners giving up 4, 3, & 1 ER. Even with them being ok starts, he still went 6 Inn in tougher matchups. He had a bad outing last time our, so hoping for a bounce back. Marlins are a Bottom 3 offense vs RHP as well. I like Spiers to go 6+ Inn for the 4th time in 5 starts here.
    Good luck everyone!

  • @ruzen3803
    @ruzen3803 Před 2 měsíci +17

    Top 5 Most Profitable Teams To Back ML: (Last 30 days) @ 1% of Bankroll per Play
    1. Red Sox = +7.89 Units
    2. Mets = +7.10 Units
    3. Astros = +5.83 Units
    4. Cardinals = +4.26 Units
    5. Angels = +3.47
    Total = +28.55 Units
    Top 5 Most Profitable Teams To Fade ML: (Last 30 days) @ 1% of Bankroll per Play
    1. Yankees = +14.20 Units
    2. Dodgers = +4.66 Units
    3. Blue Jays = +4.39 Units
    4. Orioles = +2.17 Units
    5. Mariners = +1.72 Units
    Total = +27.12 Units
    Backing the Top 5 and Fading the Bottom 5 blindly in the last month would have netted a profit of +55.67 Units or just over half of your Bankroll

    • @feldpauschp
      @feldpauschp Před 2 měsíci +2

      This backs my past results. Where did you find this information, and thanks for sharing!

    • @keithjusttruth2103
      @keithjusttruth2103 Před 2 měsíci +1

      Thank you for sharing! Angels + last 30 days Wow! Didn’t expect that!

    • @ruzen3803
      @ruzen3803 Před 2 měsíci

      @@feldpauschp There's a Python script I wrote to "scrape the odds from Pinnacle" on a daily basis. Then, these odds are appended to a larger database in Excel for the season. Then, I am able to query the larger database and essentially rank teams profitability over various periods of time. This gives a good representation of who is trending up and down and who is staying in the middle. Basically, avoid teams in the middle unless they are trending up or down. Back those trending up, and keep fading those trending down. Eventually, a reversal will occur, and we can adapt
      If web scraping with Python or VBA and Excel aren't your thing, there's a publicly accessible database found online at *_Killersports_*
      It uses the SQL language. Here are some commands you can run...
      Season Results Command = *_season=2024 and team_*
      Home Results = *_season=2024 and team and site=home_*
      Away Results = *_season=2024 and team and site=away_*
      Daily Gamelogs = *_date=20240710_* (this will give you the gamelogs and ML odds for July 10th, 2024)
      If you want the results from a certain date to the present date, then simply add *_and date>=20240701_* (YYYYMMDD), and this will display all results from July 1st 2024 to present
      Good Luck 💰

    • @ruzen3803
      @ruzen3803 Před 2 měsíci

      @@keithjusttruth2103 Lol ... I know. At the beginning of last week, the Marlins were the 2nd most profitable team since June 18th, and now they've regressed out the Top 5. How about those Yankees, huh? Stinking up the place in a major way. Worst team in baseball in the last month, but people still back them

    • @ruzen3803
      @ruzen3803 Před 2 měsíci

      ​@@feldpauschptransition.killersports.com/

  • @usainboltjr.7879
    @usainboltjr.7879 Před 2 měsíci +16

    Austin Riley has a homer in 4 straight Friday games and gets to see Randy Vasquez! Just food for thought

  • @wilaiwansarat
    @wilaiwansarat Před 2 měsíci +3

    TGIF Steven. Man what would I do without you without you on the weekend. But have a great weekend though and thanks!

    • @JustABetOutside
      @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci

      Hopefully you get wome winners this weekend! You too, hope you have a good one!

  • @jaetreez444
    @jaetreez444 Před 2 měsíci +2

    I went to Rays game yesterday and Nasyy Nestor cashed in the 5th inning. Gave up a 3 bomb homer in the 1st.

    • @JustABetOutside
      @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci

      Nothing like seeing a cash live! Nestor struggled from the start!

  • @aidanator9634
    @aidanator9634 Před 2 měsíci +4

    Let’s fucking go Jabo, multiple bets with Nestor at -115, all green
    I fucking love you Jabo

    • @JustABetOutside
      @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci

      Yes sir, love to hear it! Fade Nestor on the road!! 🔥 Good luck today

  • @BigSolo14
    @BigSolo14 Před 2 měsíci +2

    Derek Jeter fun fact in his complete HS career at Kalamazoo Central he never reached base against Bangor Michigan's Pitcher Mike Wisniewski

    • @JustABetOutside
      @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci

      Wow, that is a real DEEP DIVE Fun Fact right there! 🔥

  • @chrisheld684
    @chrisheld684 Před 2 měsíci +2

    Jeter hit a walkoff single in that last home game, I'm sure you knew that lol. Honestly, I almost cried when that happened

    • @JustABetOutside
      @JustABetOutside  Před 2 měsíci

      Nope I actually forgot about that! Pretty cool. What a career and life he has lived

  • @tresashifflett1725
    @tresashifflett1725 Před 2 měsíci +3

    Happy Friday! Hope you & your family have a great (winning) weekend. Thank you again for your profitable knowledge!❤️⚾️🎉

  • @washredskin887
    @washredskin887 Před 2 měsíci +1

    Cortes under 17.5 was an easy one! I jumped on that one. He sucks on the road.

  • @nrod8562
    @nrod8562 Před 2 měsíci

    Hey man just wanna thank u for the insight. I hit a 12 leg hit parlay last night based on your hitters. Appreciate u. Will be following daily... let's get it

  • @Muvieflix.
    @Muvieflix. Před 2 měsíci

    U was spot on last night on the Red Sox 🔥🔥

  • @pounditsportsbettingsports343
    @pounditsportsbettingsports343 Před 2 měsíci +1

    what I usually do during football season & college basketball on my podcast we have a dog of the day. In baseball, especially there’s always plus money dogs cashing maybe try having a segment in the second half second half of baseball season dogs bark big time

  • @johngordon2929
    @johngordon2929 Před 2 měsíci

    Fun fact Derrick Jeter hung on 3 years past his retirement to get his 3000 hit instead of retiring like he should have.

  • @GamerCardio
    @GamerCardio Před 2 měsíci +1

    Bro!! Julio has been raking since my question to you about him a couple weeks ago. And how about Cal?? LETSSS GOOO

  • @Kees415
    @Kees415 Před 2 měsíci

    Great to see the vibes high and the winning streak rollin… thanks JABO!

  • @jaetreez444
    @jaetreez444 Před 2 měsíci

    #JABO community back in green. Love the discord and all the info. My guy EssssSteven 😅

  • @nrod8562
    @nrod8562 Před 2 měsíci

    Ayyye money on the ramon urias pick.

  • @stevenbrown9212
    @stevenbrown9212 Před 2 měsíci

    Mariners-Angels NRFI+ Twins ML at +186

  • @wagzwagerz
    @wagzwagerz Před 2 měsíci

    Grats on the streak. Appreciate ya

  • @tyvaj4666
    @tyvaj4666 Před 2 měsíci

    Mlb messed up. They benefiting the betting apps .. they knew crochet was going to the all-star and only played him 2 innings and took him out. Messes up peoples line ups . They need to do a rule change on betting with situations like this. Its fucked up. Automatic lose.

  • @TYRONE-kh9zn
    @TYRONE-kh9zn Před 2 měsíci

    Yesterday was on -1RL Boston today's board however is a tuffy

  • @chrisheld684
    @chrisheld684 Před 2 měsíci

    Not going to lie. I wouldn't mind a big game breakdown on every game 😂

  • @KatLeeRuss
    @KatLeeRuss Před 2 měsíci

    It can be hard trusting a guy with two first names 😂 😂😂 my ex full name was 3 first names I should of ran for the hills.
    Thanks for the content Steven! Happy Friday

  • @mikelambo7133
    @mikelambo7133 Před 2 měsíci

    Everyone on Riley today

  • @Looshington
    @Looshington Před 2 měsíci

    Love the twins ML. GL today!

  • @ricobulaclac5176
    @ricobulaclac5176 Před 2 měsíci

    You going to post a HR parlay for the HR Derby? 😂

  • @futur330
    @futur330 Před 2 měsíci

    They're going to walk Henderson 😢

  • @feldpauschp
    @feldpauschp Před 2 měsíci

    Thanks for your daily research and content. I always look forward to another JABO video! Let's have another winning day in the crazy world of MLB!

    • @ruzen3803
      @ruzen3803 Před 2 měsíci

      YT won't let me post the name of the website or the link. I can send the link to your email if you want?

  • @BryanThomas24
    @BryanThomas24 Před 2 měsíci

    Appreciate all the info 🤙

  • @shaneburnet8529
    @shaneburnet8529 Před 2 měsíci

    To anyone using call sheet … you have a problem

  • @stevenbrown9212
    @stevenbrown9212 Před 2 měsíci

    Dodgers couldn't even cover +3.5. SMH.

  • @MartinRummel-x4v
    @MartinRummel-x4v Před 2 měsíci

    Crushing it

  • @tlt3819
    @tlt3819 Před 2 měsíci +1

    ⚾️

  • @pounditsportsbettingsports343
    @pounditsportsbettingsports343 Před 2 měsíci +3

    Keep up good work! not to troll or criticize just a tip in betting MLB. Most of your Game lines you give out ate super chalky. (not TT) Look for ML from -130 or better. Most of the time you talk about it but just dont pull trigger. iv been doing this for 20yrs need any advice just ask 👊

    • @chastitykellock5639
      @chastitykellock5639 Před 2 měsíci +1

      Do you have a good parlay for ML today?

    • @pounditsportsbettingsports343
      @pounditsportsbettingsports343 Před 2 měsíci +8

      @@chastitykellock5639 I dont do ML parlays in baseball. The average bettor takes the juiciest games and parlays them. I bet all straight games/props no worse odds than -140. Once I finish my card il add a couple plays here in the comments.

    • @chastitykellock5639
      @chastitykellock5639 Před 2 měsíci

      @@pounditsportsbettingsports343 do you have a good parlay for today

    • @aceboogie2021
      @aceboogie2021 Před 2 měsíci

      Nobody wants your advice.

    • @doggfriendly
      @doggfriendly Před 2 měsíci +2

      ​@@pounditsportsbettingsports343 thank you for the advice, hope we all have a great day and turn a profit. Can't wait to see some of your picks for the day.

  • @shawnthomas1978
    @shawnthomas1978 Před 2 měsíci

    Twins are awful, on the never bet list

  • @24tay
    @24tay Před 2 měsíci

    😢 lost by one yesterday

  • @Ryan039
    @Ryan039 Před 2 měsíci

    JABO

  • @GamerCardio
    @GamerCardio Před 2 měsíci +1

    By the way the kid with the fun facts gets them all off a twitter account lmaoooo

  • @illusionmstr
    @illusionmstr Před 2 měsíci

    ❤❤