Beware This Downside Zig-Zag! ... S&P Bearish Target? | Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis

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  • čas přidán 9. 09. 2024

Komentáře • 174

  • @ElliottWaveOptions
    @ElliottWaveOptions  Před měsícem +3

    LOOKING FOR THESE LINKS???
    ► Become a FREE TradeFinder Member to receive Rob Roy's Weekly trade ideas: ewotrader.com/tradefinder/
    ► Go to HUBB.com for FREE Elliott Wave software: www.hubb.com/Account/SignUp
    Enjoy!

  • @ScottHerzog-S.r
    @ScottHerzog-S.r Před 29 dny +41

    Let's be very clear about one thing. The "market" has been massively wrong on what the Fed should do with the funds rate for at least 2.5 years now. In early 2022 before the Fed even started hiking, the market was already forecasting rate cuts to happen by end of 2022. The market at the start of 2024 had 7 rate cuts for 2024. Laughable to suggest the Fed is the one that has been getting this wrong. It has proven out that they were right to start hiking in early 2022, aggressively ramp up that funds rate, and then keep it at the terminal rate until now. Also, the Fed on numerous occasions has stated that a recession will likely occur as a result of this hiking cycle. The market consensus has been no or soft landing, which is another thing they will be massively wrong on...........I've been engaged in active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 140k to a decent 539k....I'm especially grateful to Adriana Jensen whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @CarlMcEwen-r4k
      @CarlMcEwen-r4k Před 29 dny

      Adriana Jensen program is widely available online..

    • @JackieBaker-e3k
      @JackieBaker-e3k Před 29 dny

      The market has gone berserk! whether you're a newbie or a veteran trader, everyone needs a sort of coach at some point to thrive forward.

    • @TiffanyLeaBembenek
      @TiffanyLeaBembenek Před 29 dny

      I appreciate the professionalism. and dedication of the team behind Adriana's trade .signal service.

    • @MatthewSeiser
      @MatthewSeiser Před 29 dny

      Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary.

    • @PhilipSkelley
      @PhilipSkelley Před 29 dny

      Adriana.goes deeper than just looking at surface-level trends.. she explores technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, offering a comprehensive perspective on the market..

  • @user-l2w7b
    @user-l2w7b Před měsícem +3

    Thanks for sharing the free trade ideas on this channel.
    As most traders don't "trade" BTC, covering the miners would be more helpful, as that's what we mostly day/swing trade.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      Understood. I'll show CLSK next week. Thanks for the comments and the post!

  • @metoo1231000
    @metoo1231000 Před 29 dny +1

    Thanks Rob...This week should be enlightening

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      It sure should be, thanks for the post!

  • @gary5782
    @gary5782 Před měsícem +5

    I’m with you on the S&P, Rob. We should have another push down. Hard to believe with geopolitics, high interest rates and suspect earnings that we don’t go lower.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments and your take!

    • @theunbearablebull
      @theunbearablebull Před 29 dny

      Nothing about the bullish trend has changed. The only thing that changed is you news/media has pumped you with this fear (which they do to scare retail out of their trades). You have been bamboozled kiddo

  • @nimrodr7675
    @nimrodr7675 Před měsícem +2

    Hi Rob, Can you also show the weekly chart for the sp500? I'd like to know what a longer timeframe looks like as well. Thanks! 👍

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      I'll add in the weekly chart next week, thanks for the post!

  • @brightdevices
    @brightdevices Před 29 dny +1

    Your reports are my goto regarding the markets. Always insightful .

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Thanks for the comments and the post!

  • @willaerley7140
    @willaerley7140 Před měsícem +1

    Good call on USO! There was a lot of premium in the options from the volatility spike, but I still did well. 👍🏻

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Glad to hear it, thanks for the post!

  • @dougmoore7130
    @dougmoore7130 Před měsícem +1

    You’re market insight and chart training is awesome. TY

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      I appreciate the comments, thanks for the post!

  • @sptrsttradr4918
    @sptrsttradr4918 Před měsícem +1

    Thanks Rob! Succinct and comprehensive analysis! I'm always looking for the big picture paradigm shifts and looking at all of my charts, one thing I noticed is that QQQ has not even retraced 38% of the the recent A leg down, while EEM and VEU have retraced 50% and SPLV looks to be in a bull flag. Bottom line for me is Value and non U.S. equities might be making a move...

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for your detailed take and post!

  • @Irina-rj6tg
    @Irina-rj6tg Před měsícem +1

    Thank you very much, Rob. I was on vacation and did not follow the market closely. And there were such drastic changes. I am very grateful to You for the professional analysis and explanations. God bless you.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments, the post and right back at you!

  • @fiercelogic6973
    @fiercelogic6973 Před 29 dny +1

    Rob, great insight and analysis of this current market volatility, thanks to the Chuck Norris of trading! Based on your zig zag and basic human emotions I'm looking for the SPY 490 level soon to buy in for the next push higher into Feb. 2025.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      I appreciate your comments and love the Chuck reference! Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @Anthony-qq2hd
    @Anthony-qq2hd Před měsícem +1

    Thanks for all your knowledge and information.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for your comments and the post!

  • @Lights_Darks
    @Lights_Darks Před měsícem +1

    Thanks, Rob! Always appreciate your videos.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments and the post!

  • @toddolyowski3226
    @toddolyowski3226 Před měsícem +1

    Just found the channel. Thanks for all of the coverage.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Glad you found us, thanks for the post!

  • @eddaloia6075
    @eddaloia6075 Před 29 dny +1

    THANK YOU ROY

  • @roberthutcheson6543
    @roberthutcheson6543 Před měsícem +1

    Always look forward to market commentary by the Man in Black, EWO Rob Roy! Have a great weekend and thank you!

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      LOL, thank you and thanks for the post!

  • @st4331
    @st4331 Před měsícem +1

    Interesting to understand the real reason behind the moves

  • @jefflane4264
    @jefflane4264 Před měsícem +1

    Thanks Rob!

  • @jimallison2057
    @jimallison2057 Před měsícem +2

    Thanks, I follow USO.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Good to hear and thanks for the post!

  • @mitchell8182
    @mitchell8182 Před měsícem +2

    Always love to check in here. Thank you.👌

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      Appreciate that, thanks for the post!

  • @wblack6186
    @wblack6186 Před měsícem +1

    did an excellent explanation of the usa/yen carry trade, safe to say it is still unwinding, thank you

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      I appreciate that, thanks for the post!

  • @hdevrede
    @hdevrede Před 29 dny +1

    Hi Rob, thanks as always. The stocks of interest in your intro werent updated from last episode i think. A bit of a letdown to see Tesla there but that it didnt feature in the show.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      We did change a few symbols from last week, but you are correct, I left out TSLA as the recording seemed to be getting a bit long, my apologies. Thanks for the post!

  • @shaulhalili7383
    @shaulhalili7383 Před měsícem +1

    Thank you.

  • @jasonconley1906
    @jasonconley1906 Před měsícem +1

    Great content! Thanks

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comment and the post!

  • @dennismanzardojr9920
    @dennismanzardojr9920 Před měsícem +1

    I really appreciate these videos; it helps me avoid making bad trades.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments and the post!

  • @ronaldlandwerlen1301
    @ronaldlandwerlen1301 Před měsícem +1

    Good review!

  • @user-jb2xx7hv1z
    @user-jb2xx7hv1z Před měsícem +1

    Great Analysis! Thanks!

  • @sulingzhou253
    @sulingzhou253 Před 29 dny +1

    Thanks for posting this video ❤❤

  • @georgezipp8783
    @georgezipp8783 Před 24 dny

    I hope you saw this and see this . PLTR ISLAND BOTTOM . I have not seen that many and I've been charting since 1979 at the BOT . I'm long and have bought handfuls weekly for a year now . Worth bringing it up to your gang . Have a great weekend .

  • @maeP-vk9mz
    @maeP-vk9mz Před měsícem +1

    Thank you so much

  • @user-pr1ko7jg2o
    @user-pr1ko7jg2o Před měsícem +2

    End Weekly Pivot Support at 5273 held its own grounds which is portending a rebound now. Friday's closing price is 5344.
    SNP 500 can recover its upward trend if it can close above Daily Support Resistance at 5488.
    If 5273, is violated with an End Weekly Close, its price action will try test End Monthly Pivot Support at 4675.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for your detailed take and the post. I always appreciate looking at the higher degree.

  • @PEOdysseus
    @PEOdysseus Před měsícem +1

    thanks for the video!

  • @dmw1019
    @dmw1019 Před měsícem +1

    thanks

  • @brentr3164
    @brentr3164 Před měsícem +1

    Good stuff.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thank you and thanks for the post!

  • @svnbit8408
    @svnbit8408 Před 29 dny

    Rob do ya see the 335 correction setup? 462.xx wave 5. We're trapping here what looks like a .5 fib but i think this reversal actually is a leading 3 wave diagonal, 537+538. (537.38 bullish harmonic first target, but that's likely setting up bearish off this extension) cheers. In hindsight, Spy followed harmonic pattern target exactly, now I'm looking at that 9 level and where we could correct to.

  • @illegalsmirf
    @illegalsmirf Před měsícem +1

    Yes that's what I was thinking, this looks like a wave B rally.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @robreview
    @robreview Před 28 dny

    Such good information. Thank you!

  • @candl3guy642
    @candl3guy642 Před měsícem +1

    Very nice my man, very nice indeed ;)

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      I appreciate that, thanks for the post!

  • @SpectreTheHorseman
    @SpectreTheHorseman Před měsícem +3

    If that turns into a 3 wave down, then the only options are for a Wave 4 Triangle or Expanded Flat. I believe main markets, and crypto and metals, are all in a Wave 4. Higher yet to come.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for your detailed take and the post!

  • @WetWillieBBQ
    @WetWillieBBQ Před měsícem +2

    Good review of the markets and key stocks. Can you review PLTR next week? Thanks!

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments, I'll add in PLTR next week!

  • @DreamsOfBullRuns
    @DreamsOfBullRuns Před měsícem +4

    I have zero clue what is happening right now.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      You aren't alone. Thanks for the post!

  • @mattmcpherron7461
    @mattmcpherron7461 Před 28 dny

    thanks rob. thoughts on WMT?

  • @jasonpocase9555
    @jasonpocase9555 Před měsícem +1

    Def enjoy these friday updates. Helps with planning for the upcoming week. KBTD we heading for them there wave 4 lows. Get that cash ready. 😂

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      I appreciate your take and the post!

  • @williewest5574
    @williewest5574 Před měsícem +1

    My question on SLV is once the retracement down to previous wave 4, where normally does the chart move, up or down

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Once the retracement to the previous Wave 4 has been reached, a corrective pattern emerges, either a Flat, Zig Zag or Triangle. It takes a few days before we get an idea of which.

    • @williewest5574
      @williewest5574 Před měsícem

      Thx

  • @skyybirds
    @skyybirds Před měsícem +1

    UA stock for investing when u get chance. Thx

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      I'll do my best to get it in next week, have had a lot of requests this week. Thanks for the post!

  • @TomatoFest
    @TomatoFest Před měsícem +1

    Thank you!

  • @jameshall2299
    @jameshall2299 Před měsícem +1

    Looking to get into jepi or jepq. Any advice?

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      I can't give individual investment advice, but I can include one of the symbols next week. Thanks for the post!

  • @triciagunnels11
    @triciagunnels11 Před měsícem +1

    Thanks Rob. Always present good information to us. Can you address PLTR and CLSK? Thank you.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the comments, I'll add those symbols in next week!

  • @jerrybroadway4535
    @jerrybroadway4535 Před 29 dny +1

    uso is a good straddle

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @steveburke777
    @steveburke777 Před měsícem +1

    To Yen Carry or not to Yen Carry; that is the question. I heard BOfJ may have apologized for raising rates so there is a probability things may calm down.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Is that right? I hadn't heard that. Thanks for your take and the post!

    • @steveburke777
      @steveburke777 Před 29 dny

      @@robroy3343 On Wednesday, zerohedge had the following article 'Capitulation: Yen Plunges, Nikkei Soars After BOJ's Uchida Says "Will Not Raise Rates When Markets Are Unstable"

  • @Franklin-pc3xd
    @Franklin-pc3xd Před měsícem +2

    Been a while, let's see what the fellow I call "Mr. Opposite" has to say about markets. The plan model is to listen to what he has to say, see if you can ascertain any actual prediction, then take the opposite side of that trade. By my calcs, I used to make money 80% of the time on this trading strategy - so that's why I call it the Mr. Opposite trade.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Not quite sure how to take the comments, although I appreciated everyone's take. If you're referring to me, "I" don't make any predictions, I just for educational purposes and to provide a forum for comments, read the charts the best I can as to the algorithms labeling. I'm incorrect at times, but over the years, I've been right more than I've been wrong. Thanks for the post!

    • @Franklin-pc3xd
      @Franklin-pc3xd Před 29 dny +1

      @@robroy3343 No worries, you have just said you make no predictions but then say your predictions are "right more than wrong". Now your status is clear and you are ON REPORT for misinformation.

  • @user-l2w7b
    @user-l2w7b Před měsícem +1

    Please cover Apple, Coinbase and other BTC miners. Also got this Australian CZcamsr who has been calling for slingshots on GLD and GDX coming soon.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem

      Thanks for the comments, I'll add in CLSK next week and do my best to include AAPL. Thanks for the post!

  • @danielfinn914
    @danielfinn914 Před měsícem +1

    Hi Rob, great stuff. Hope I win the membership! I’m curious about ticker CPNG. have a good weekend!

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      Thanks for the comments and the post, I'll add CPNG in next week!

  • @user-df3il2jk6g
    @user-df3il2jk6g Před 28 dny

    TSM analysis, please.

  • @semperconstance
    @semperconstance Před měsícem +1

    You've got BTC labeled as if it's starting wave 4 of a 5 wave down pattern. Is there any reason we couldn't have just finished an ABC decline, and just now turning up in wave 1 to begin a new 5 wave move?

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      A couple of things. First of all, it's the software algo doing the labeling, not me. To answer your question, yes, what you asked is possible as the algo still has the Wave 3 as "current", ie green, not purple, so the algo is not convinced the Wave 3 is complete. Therefore, a relabeling or another move lower could occur. Thanks for the post!

    • @semperconstance
      @semperconstance Před měsícem

      @@robroy3343 Gotcha, thanks Rob!

  • @EquityReg-dy4yf
    @EquityReg-dy4yf Před měsícem +1

    Thank you for this. Intl killed me. Cats pride themselves to have Cuck Norris like reflexes.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Always love the Chuck one-liners, thanks for the post!

  • @SpectreTheHorseman
    @SpectreTheHorseman Před měsícem +1

    And even if it turns into an Expanded Flat, well that is also a Wave 4, because those are triangles.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Are we talking about the SPY? In general, you are correct that Flats often end in Triangles, but with an Expanded Flat, a Zig Zag could also emerge. Thanks for the post!

  • @dudewheresmyguitar21
    @dudewheresmyguitar21 Před měsícem +1

    I said the same thing about silver, if it was a real panic it wouldve been going up not down

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @intimacywithgod2089
    @intimacywithgod2089 Před měsícem +1

    I am interested in the spy

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Which direction? Thanks for the post!

  • @conradmarkert8870
    @conradmarkert8870 Před měsícem

    I am having trouble getting the hubb free software, can you help by showing in more detail how to get the access. Thanks

    • @ElliottWaveOptions
      @ElliottWaveOptions  Před měsícem +1

      Just use this link and you should be in: www.hubb.com/Account/SignUp

  • @Dennis_510
    @Dennis_510 Před měsícem +1

    Everybody looking at the same thing, usually doesn't happen

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      That is true. What is everyone looking at? Thanks for the post!

  • @PonziZombieKiller
    @PonziZombieKiller Před měsícem +2

    Heal Yeah 👍

    • @PonziZombieKiller
      @PonziZombieKiller Před měsícem +3

      🎳 It is set up like a bowling pin .. Black Monday the Sequel 😮

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      @@PonziZombieKiller Well that would be wild!

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +1

      Thanks for the post!

  • @steveburke777
    @steveburke777 Před 29 dny

    On Wednesday, zerohedge had the following article. Capitulation: Yen Plunges, Nikkei Soars After BOJ's Uchida Says "Will Not Raise Rates When Markets Are Unstable"

  • @sp2397
    @sp2397 Před měsícem +1

    a lot of bull traps, they will test the bottom at least on time. good luck everyone.

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @bropain
    @bropain Před měsícem +1

    Yo EWO

  • @WhamskiBam
    @WhamskiBam Před měsícem +1

    I thought u were Chuck Norris

  • @sujidon1783
    @sujidon1783 Před měsícem +1

    👍

  • @derekb2817
    @derekb2817 Před měsícem +1

    metals sell off like everything else until initial damage is done..

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem +2

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @barbaraohlinger2056
    @barbaraohlinger2056 Před měsícem

    Last wk you said you thought all this vertical stuff was over. Boy you were wrong

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem

      I thought we could bounce off the support at 530 and close that gap before moving lower, but the market had other ideas......didn't see the unwind of the carry trade coming on Sunday night for sure. Thanks for the post!

  • @humbertovazquez1479
    @humbertovazquez1479 Před měsícem

    👍🙏💪💯☝️👊👏👋

  • @stefanianucci5613
    @stefanianucci5613 Před 28 dny

    Non ne indovinate una.....riponetevi e trovatevi un altro lavoro.

  • @Franklin-pc3xd
    @Franklin-pc3xd Před 29 dny

    So, this guy claims, in the comment responses below, that he makes no predictions then, in the very same post, claims his predictions are correct "more times than I've been wrong". Just for reference, this and the fact that he censors commentary, are the reasons why he is ON REPORT for disseminating misinformation. I think it's totally fair to classify a blatantly self-contradictory statement misinformation and to warn others about that tendency.

  • @theunbearablebull
    @theunbearablebull Před 29 dny +1

    Market is still bullish though

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před 29 dny +1

      Thanks for your take and the post!

  • @rd.7732
    @rd.7732 Před měsícem

    W,x,y finished 5k is next

  • @pipsnipers
    @pipsnipers Před měsícem

    guys if u want real elliot wave analysis follow me

    • @robroy3343
      @robroy3343 Před měsícem

      It's "Elliott" Wave, but thanks for the post.