How Do "Radar Confirmed" Tornadoes Work?

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  • čas přidán 8. 09. 2024

Komentáře • 106

  • @scienceoutthere
    @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +13

    [Texas tornado was on March 12, not May, oops] Bring on the high plains please! Seasonal forecast update coming shortly! Join my discord? discord.gg/5hjd885

    • @nataliedowning4563
      @nataliedowning4563 Před 3 lety +2

      Ha glad you made that correction. For a few seconds I was questioning what year it was

    • @denisedesperadol
      @denisedesperadol Před 3 lety +1

      I had to stop a minute and think too! Back to the future or something..... love your explanations and humor tho!

  • @federicopavan4793
    @federicopavan4793 Před 3 lety +21

    Darn you Michael! I was so into the video when you just had to drop James Spann’s invite to respect the polygon!

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +6

      And if you’re in the polygon you respect the polygon. Respect...Respect. The. Polygon.

    • @federicopavan4793
      @federicopavan4793 Před 3 lety +1

      @@scienceoutthere _Dances flawlessly in front of a green wall_

  • @Matt-mk5kb
    @Matt-mk5kb Před 3 lety +29

    how does he only have 7K subs, his videos are so well done and entertaining

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +2

      The algorithm doesn’t like my variety so a lot of my videos just get thrashed and trashed by it. Someday that might change.

    • @thedestructor1017
      @thedestructor1017 Před 3 lety

      That is facts good sir

    • @Celeste-in-Oz
      @Celeste-in-Oz Před 3 lety

      exactly this!.. the content just gets better & better - I'm sure he'll break thru that barrier at some stage - right now I'm just enjoying that Mike can communicate with us.. when he gets too big that won't happen - did I get his name right? can't find it anywhere now 🤔

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      You're correct! Michael. I hope to be able to stay in touch with my earliest fans as much as possible. Between discord and the tools youtube gives in their studio app I hope I can keep up if that ever happens. For now, This is very manageable!

  • @beardedzeus1337
    @beardedzeus1337 Před 2 lety +2

    James Spann is a legend. Even living in TN i wish James could cover the entire country. He is a state-wide icon.

    • @SpeedDemonCBR
      @SpeedDemonCBR Před 2 lety

      Same in north Georgia. That’s the main meteorologist my wife watches

  • @stormchaserkst4496
    @stormchaserkst4496 Před 3 lety +8

    6:50 in Germany we get A LOT rotating thunderstorms, but hardly any of them are supercells or produce tornadoes. 👍
    But there was once a thunderstorm in March 2019 that rotated for 10/15 minutes and produced an F3 that ended up hittting a town called Roetgen. Severe Tree damage with this one. That T-Storm looked so harmless on radar ^^
    Great Video! Greeting from Germany :)
    Subscribed.

  • @alliecardin6202
    @alliecardin6202 Před 2 lety +2

    We were in the Easter tornado of 2020. I was about to put the kids in bed finally thinking the bad weather was past us but saw the debris cloud pop up on radar over camp Jordan about 2 miles from our home. I threw everyone under our stairwell in the closet and as the power went out, my phone started going off with the tornado warning. It was hands down the scariest night of my life. I’m thankful for new radar technology. I think had we not had that, it would have been too late and more lives would have been lost in Chattanooga. Thank you for this video. I get PTSD now during bad weather. We had tornado watches tonight so I was searching how to spot tornadoes on radar and stumbled across this.

    • @SpeedDemonCBR
      @SpeedDemonCBR Před 2 lety

      I heard it going over my apartment in Chatsworth before it touched down about a mile later

  • @thedestructor1017
    @thedestructor1017 Před 3 lety +12

    I'd love to see more hands-on chasing videos, I think it would be super entertaining to see!

    • @Token_Nerd
      @Token_Nerd Před 3 lety

      Michael would but he just lives in the middle of nowhere. : P

  • @mathewrestrepo4223
    @mathewrestrepo4223 Před 3 lety +4

    This is great content. The algorithm needs to pick you up!!

  • @91rattoyota
    @91rattoyota Před 3 lety +2

    Absolutely! I have been in numerous tornado warned storms and I just rode out a weak EF-0 a month ago in northwest Indiana. I saw a rotating signature on my velocity mode on RadarScope, and it was barreling right towards my home. I had less than 15 minutes to tie things down and seek shelter before we lost power and damage occurred. Tons of lightning and strong winds happened from that storm. Many roads were impassable for days and we had no power for 11 hours.

  • @marjorygavan6888
    @marjorygavan6888 Před 3 lety +6

    Great video. Your dad and I have learned so much from your videos. And they are entertaining us too. ❤️ Keep making more.

  • @theresemalmberg955
    @theresemalmberg955 Před rokem

    As someone who experienced the 1965 Palm Sunday Outbreak as a child, we have come a LONG way in forecasting and detecting tornadoes. The tools we have now are amazing. It may be hard for some people to believe, but the terms tornado watch and tornado warning were not used prior to the 1965 Outbreak. Because so many people were caught unaware in this outbreak and there were so many deaths the Weather Bureau (now the NWS) started issuing watches and warnings. I have watched the evolution of watches and warnings from county-wide blocks to our present-day polygons which pinpoint specific communities and even in some cases roads. My first (and so far only) tornado was the 2008 Paw Paw, Michigan tornado. Even though I had taken Skywarn training I was not prepared for how hard it was to see the funnel. It was so transparent it was almost invisible, like an enormous dust devil, only the debris spinning around it gave it away. And this was only about three or four blocks away. I later learned that this tornado started out radar-indicated and it had not yet touched down when the warning was issued.

  • @kb037
    @kb037 Před 3 lety +3

    A little late, but I was hit by a "radar confirmed" EF3 back in 2018. I was one of the first houses hit and the spotter that got the "spotter confirmed" tag added. It was an interesting experience that we're still cleaning up after.

    • @sandman_209
      @sandman_209 Před 2 lety

      It’s my worst fear. Not scared of the tornado. But the death, stuff being tore up. Changing lives forever, it’s terrifying

  • @Parastorm.
    @Parastorm. Před 3 lety +4

    Great video many thanks for the information you are sharing. Been hooked on storms for many many years before finally paying to get on a tour. my first Tornados were Bennington and El Reno in 2013 but also include the 2016 Dodge city Chapman and many others. Being from the UK has made chasing difficult in the last year or so so have been trying to learn as much as I can ready for my return.

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +3

      You've had some very good luck then if you got those! I had a very short window in 2013 but got Rozel and Wichita. 2016 I got Spearman, Woodward, and Dodge City but whiffed on Chapman. I was team south :( I hope you get another opportunity soon!

    • @Parastorm.
      @Parastorm. Před 3 lety

      @@scienceoutthere Thank you, Yes I do think we had a little luck but I have also had bust years 2015 and 2018 didn't work out too well , unfortunately traveling from the uk limits my chasing window so you just have to take what the window has to offer. but we also had a Blake Knapp to put the odds slightly in our favour .. all the best for 2021 and safe chasing.

  • @pieboy107
    @pieboy107 Před 3 lety +3

    Respect the Polygon! Thanks Michael!! Great Video!!

  • @alotafhindi7485
    @alotafhindi7485 Před 3 lety +1

    We just had an ef3 tornado here last night in Woodridge, IL. I was able to look at a velocity image on RadarScope and realized the thing was literally right behind me the entire time. Scary stuff but I’ve never been so thrilled in my life 😂

  • @balahkaye
    @balahkaye Před rokem

    Buying radar omega and learning how to read radar calmed so much of my panic during severe storms.

  • @1.4142
    @1.4142 Před 3 lety +3

    This is one of the most informative and engaging meteorology channels.

  • @byrongreen2167
    @byrongreen2167 Před 3 lety +2

    Very interesting and informative video!!! Xoxoxoxoxo I’ve been extremely close to some tornadoes in my lifetime-thank God I survived...definitely something that I’ll never forget!!!!

    • @d.dementedengineerc99isurf26
      @d.dementedengineerc99isurf26 Před 3 lety

      Foolish proud men think they own this world, but in reality we are but guests on the Earth, given permission to linger by Mother Nature. It is a meteorlogical, biological, astronomical, and geological FACT she has a myriad of overwhelming ways to bring us to our knees, if not kill us outright! Respect her! She humbles the proudest of men, and she may choose to again.

  • @mattc683
    @mattc683 Před 2 lety +1

    Great video, man! As a chaser who has thought about the idea of making a video like this, it’s a great video man! I also saw a tornado on March 12th out in the panhandle, but I was NW of Lubbock, near Abernathy and Shallowater. She was beautiful and photogenic! Only other chaser to see it was a few chasers with Texas Storm Chasers! Respect the Polygon.

  • @AccountInactive
    @AccountInactive Před 2 lety +1

    Predicted two tornado warnings tonight near Bloomington, IL 💪 I'm getting hooked on this stuff. Thankfully we dodged the storms by about 30 minutes. I was escorting an oversize load lol

  • @harryparsons2750
    @harryparsons2750 Před 6 měsíci +2

    Respect the polygon

  • @sherribugd3799
    @sherribugd3799 Před 4 měsíci

    When I was a kid in the 70s, our tornado warnings were so late that the tornado would already be past before the warning would come a road the radio. Dad watching the sky was the tornado warning we had to rely on.

  • @stephenhagen234
    @stephenhagen234 Před 5 měsíci

    With all the tech implemented in tornado/severe storm detection visual confirmation by a human is still the best. That's why I became a trained spotter via NWS . If you see a debris ball at ground level, you've got a tornado.

  • @abbynormal4740
    @abbynormal4740 Před 2 lety +2

    Yeah, I remember the days of WSR-57D radar. As a small child in the '60s who was as scared of storms then as I'm fascinated by them now, those ghostly B&W radar images seemed eerily sinister coupled with vision of a grizzled old man hand pointing out the approaching storms with a faceless, somber voice of impending doom. The suspense of awaiting each radar sweep to reveal the storms' size and motion could be practically unbearable for a kid young enough to feel a month is an eternity 🥺😱 😆 Today's forecast and warning technology is already light years beyond those days and it's fascinating to see what advances are coming.

  • @BubbasndRayEarl
    @BubbasndRayEarl Před 5 měsíci

    In the path of a radar indicated tornado? I've been a spotter since '74. Lived in Wichita Kansas for years. I've seen hundreds of tornados. My horse ranch just east of Clearwater was the first hit in the first Andover tornado. Short answer is yes. Many times. Nice video. Well done young man.

  • @PawneeStormChaser
    @PawneeStormChaser Před 3 lety +1

    Loving your videos man. It was great meeting you out by Ordway this past week. 👍

  • @johnortmann3098
    @johnortmann3098 Před 3 lety +2

    I live in Ord, Nebraska, in Valley County. The last time the town warning blew, the cell they were concerned about had already missed the town and was a few miles to the north, according to radar. Not very confidence building.
    This video addresses something that has interested me for years. Since retiring I've become something of a night owl. On severe storm nights I'll watch the radar (weatherunderground display of "North Platte" radar, which is actual just south of Thedford. This display in no where near as detailed as the stuff you use).
    On numerous nights there have been literally dozens of "radar-indicated tornadoes" on this display, most in a band just west of here in Custer County. (I'm assuming you've been through his area at some point and have some knowledge of the geography). The thing is, there's rarely a report of a tornado the next day. I think several things are happening.
    1. Some aren't really tornadoes.
    2. Of those that are, a lot never get to the ground.
    3. Much of this area is practically uninhabited rangeland with little or no objects to damage. It's entirely possible that a tornado could touch down at night in this area and nobody would ever know.
    Are at least some of these real, and do my reasons make any sense?

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      I just barely missed getting a weak tornado near Ord back on June 1 2018. Radar indicated rotation just means a storm is spinning and there's neither ground truth nor a "TDS" or "CC Drop" associated with that area. But that's a recent change. Your area has been fairly quiet (relatively speaking vs the past) for supercell activity lately. You're also really far from a radar site which makes things even more difficult. The resolution of the radar echoes drop and the curvature of the earth places radar beams pretty far up in elevation for your area. Based on past history your 3 pieces of reasoning are pretty valid. Local NWS offices are getting better at discerning this stuff all the time so going forward, tornado warnings are getting more serious with fewer false positives. I guess we'll see if you have different experiences going forward!

    • @johnortmann3098
      @johnortmann3098 Před 3 lety +1

      @@scienceoutthere Thanks for the reply. Appreciate it.

  • @Darcy_Miller1
    @Darcy_Miller1 Před 11 měsíci

    So entertaining I been trying to see a tornado on radar I never got to/ or find one anyway

  • @SGTRGC
    @SGTRGC Před 3 lety +2

    you and pecos hank are my favorite tornado channels lol

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      I love that as a compliment. Like standing next to a giant. I hope to work with him on a project someday soon.

    • @SGTRGC
      @SGTRGC Před 3 lety +1

      @@scienceoutthere you guys doing a collaboration would be golden

  • @rosievortex2808
    @rosievortex2808 Před 3 lety +2

    Photogenic tornados.... Yes. 💜
    I trust the radar showing rotation. The sketchy thing to me is Corellation Coefficient. Is it TDS? Or is it a monster hail core reflection? Maybe just things the storms is blowing around.... 😂 Can we please do some further upgrade on Corellation?😭😂 Although when it's obvious, It's obvious. But this is my favorite option on Radarscope. I'd like to see it further enhance.
    LOL@ Spann respect the polygon.

  • @andie_pants
    @andie_pants Před 3 lety +3

    I WANT THAT SHIRT

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      helicity.co/collections/tees/products/spc-outlook-unisex-t-shirt-1

    • @andie_pants
      @andie_pants Před 3 lety +1

      @@scienceoutthere Correction: I WANT ALL THE SHIRTS 😛

  • @timfreeland55057
    @timfreeland55057 Před 2 lety +2

    Hi Michael. I appreciate your clear and precise presentation and teaching skills. Can you tell me where I could find the 3D rendering of the radar you can see in the beginning of this video? I've always wondered why we don't have a full three axis rendering of clouds to help grasp just how massive cloud tops are in some systems. Thank you.

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 2 lety +1

      GRAnalyst is what you are looking for. But it’s expensive. if you google “level2 radar aws big data” that should take you to the place where you can download the data for it. GRAnalyst is the viewer

    • @timfreeland55057
      @timfreeland55057 Před 2 lety +1

      Thank you for the reply. Now I need to purchase a shirt like yours.

  • @audiobysam
    @audiobysam Před 3 lety +1

    Thanks for the shoutout!

  • @sirblack1619
    @sirblack1619 Před 2 lety

    When I was still living in Saint Louis on May 31, 2013 I purchased my first brand new vehicle. I drove to drop off the stuff out of my old vehicle at my new place that I signed the lease for earlier that day. I got a call from the friend that I was staying with saying that there was a tornado on the ground, but he got the area wrong. The tornado hit his place and as I am driving north on I-270 the tornado crossed the highway in front of me, but you could not see it because it was rain wrapped. I was less than a mile away from it. Had I been about 30 minutes earlier I would have been caught in the tornado when it hit my friends place or a minute earlier and I would have been caught on the highway driving right into it. That tornado was an EF3.

  • @Coasterbeing
    @Coasterbeing Před 4 měsíci

    Thank you!

  • @darthteej1
    @darthteej1 Před 3 lety +1

    Brilliant work as always!

  • @gnotes85
    @gnotes85 Před 3 lety +1

    Love the content so far. I wish I could go storm chasing sometime. But my job is calling my name and only have 2 weeks of vacation unfortunately 😒

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety

      It's a struggle. When I first started "chasing" I was taking off 2-3 days at the last minute and that was it.

  • @dkyle07
    @dkyle07 Před rokem

    Speaking of alabama, ive been in direct path of a tornado.. i wasnt very big but it was night and kinda scary. last year in leeds, al.. it was supposed to directly hit my house.. but it ended up moving more eastward and luckily missed me by less than half a mile.. my closest encounter luckily. hope i never encounter one.

  • @asasadowsky3355
    @asasadowsky3355 Před 3 lety +1

    So you were right so far about there being and abundance of sever weather in the south... I mean 2 high risks in the course of two weeks! Yikes.

  • @mr.turdlybird4387
    @mr.turdlybird4387 Před 2 lety +2

    watching this after the NWS confirmed a fifth tornado on Long Island

  • @Celeste-in-Oz
    @Celeste-in-Oz Před 3 lety +2

    at 10:00 you say a tornado May 12 2021?.. a quick edit needed 😅 sorry to be 'that person' 😉 this is a great vid! (no-ones perfect)

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      Oh don’t worry your only the 20th person to notice so far :). I put fixes on the pin and description. Thanks again for watching through thick and thin!!!

    • @Celeste-in-Oz
      @Celeste-in-Oz Před 3 lety

      @@scienceoutthere whoops sorry.. didn't check enough comments! he he.. if you're ever in southern Australia I'll buy you a drink just for being a pain 👍🏼 (not you, me 😆)

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      @@Celeste-in-Oz No worries at all! I will be making a trip there in the next few years. It’ll happen. Honestly had last year went as planned it might have even been this year. Soon.

  • @thegamerbro3668
    @thegamerbro3668 Před 2 lety

    Now I know about Tim tornado radar‘s

  • @nickquik
    @nickquik Před 4 měsíci

    I drove through two polygons yesterday. I thought I was good because there was no confirmed tornadoes near the interstate I was on. I'm second guessing now.😅

  • @mr.turdlybird4387
    @mr.turdlybird4387 Před 2 lety +1

    love the shirt

  • @CasuallyCold
    @CasuallyCold Před 2 lety

    I heard that in the southern hemisphere tornadoes & hurricanes rotate Clockwise they can also rotate Clockwise in the northern hemisphere that's called an anticyclonic tornado but there very rare only 2% of tornadoes are anticyclonic & in the southern hemisphere Counter Clockwise tornadoes are anticyclonic to.

  • @niightshyft
    @niightshyft Před rokem

    "Where's my truck?... *BUGHHHH*"

  • @Okay-bd4ix
    @Okay-bd4ix Před 5 měsíci

    If I hear anything followed by, confirmed extremely large and dangerous tornado, if it’s even a freaking crocodile, I am hurrying my ass to the basement.

  • @KCsSierraHotel
    @KCsSierraHotel Před rokem

    I want that shirt!!!!

  • @JustinHindman1988
    @JustinHindman1988 Před 3 lety +1

    Dude where did you get the shirt? I storm chase in Dixie ally in spring and fall when we get a good event.

  • @StormsandSteel2009
    @StormsandSteel2009 Před rokem

    Where did you get the shirt from?

  • @get_emld
    @get_emld Před 3 lety +3

    I need that shirt

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      helicity.co/collections/tees/products/spc-outlook-unisex-t-shirt-1

    • @RobWenzel84
      @RobWenzel84 Před 3 lety +1

      I was gonna ask that same question, I been looking for that shirt forever Thank You Michael for posting the link, oh and I love your videos from a fellow South Dakotan 👍👍👍

  • @MetallicAAlabamA
    @MetallicAAlabamA Před 2 lety

    I wonder if the technology will be able to determine where supercells will explode, and be able to identify a path before one actually occurs? Maybe I'm thinking too much here. But where a path of a tornado has occurred, could experts in this field kinda figure out exactly what conditions combined to develop the tornado, and use that data to actually pinpoint where a tornado in a future super cell will touchdown? But being able to determine the intensity may be the only thing that wouldn't be able to be predicted. I just think technology, the amount of people who risk their lives, the amount of time will somehow eventually pay off. I don't think we will be able to get a huge amount of head start for people in a path. But I do think there will be a time when people will have more time than they do now, with more of a defined area. I'm sure just like we have now, that we may not be perfect in the prediction and time. But I truly believe that we will be able to identify when, where, and possibly how long of a track a tornado will occur and travel. It may not be but 5 or 10 min head start, and it may not be a significant tornado. But It would be better than what we have now. I think it can be possible. What you guys think? Like I said, maybe I am thinking too much, or maybe too optimistic. But you never know, right?

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 2 lety +2

      Do some googling on the "Warn on forecast" or "WOFS" system that's being developed. We have several convection allowing models (ones that generate storms in a given environment) However they all have bias, and they all give different solutions. Often after the fact some of them will have incredibly eerie solutions that were spot on. At any rate, we aren't that far away.

    • @MetallicAAlabamA
      @MetallicAAlabamA Před 2 lety

      @@scienceoutthere Thank you very much!

    • @MetallicAAlabamA
      @MetallicAAlabamA Před 2 lety

      @@scienceoutthere Oh wow! I just checked out some of the WOFS videos. And I am suprised that I haven't already seen this info. But it is pretty spot on to what I was thinking. I'm sure that wx predicting will never be an exact prediction 100 % of the time. But to have an hour advance warning on a significant storm is major. Especially here in the southeastern US w/ tree lines galore, and rolling hills, to 1500' ridgelines. And who knows with weather science in this day n age. It may eventually be possible to put an end to an event like 74', 11', 12', and this past December 10th. I was confused as to why the Mayfield, KY tornado wasn't rated an EF5. I watched that storm as it formed and touchdown over Ark/Mo, heading into Tn/ Ky. And that storm leveled that town basically. I live here in northwest Alabama, right on the banks of the Tennessee river, and can hit Wilson Dam with a rock lol. Just to my south, southeast, to due east, has a path of violent EF4-5 tornadoes that hit in a path that is almost identical from 2 storms that hit back to back in 74', and the Hackleburg, Phil Campbell storm of 2011. I don't know if you've seen the weather cam video from WAFF48 outta Huntsville, Alabama on that 2011 tornado. But Brad Travis is talking about that wedge tornado and it is barreling right for the tower cam, and it was a massive wedge. But just before it crossed US 72, the camera froze and lost connection. I really appreciate the reply and info. Thanks again!

  • @lauscho
    @lauscho Před 3 lety +1

    Where'd you get that shirt!?

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety

      helicity.co/collections/tees/products/spc-outlook-unisex-t-shirt-1

  • @MattMorganJP
    @MattMorganJP Před 2 měsíci

    You can't always see ground rotation

  • @SpeedDemonCBR
    @SpeedDemonCBR Před 2 lety +1

    Why’d you have to do James spann like that lol

  • @Token_Nerd
    @Token_Nerd Před 3 lety

    May 12, 2021...hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      Yep. Corrected it in my pin and description March. :).

    • @captainmorgan757
      @captainmorgan757 Před 3 lety

      @@scienceoutthere perhaps a premonition? You know something and you're just holding back!!
      If there is a tornado out break (on the 12th of May, 2021), you and I are going to Vegas, baby!!!!! We'll make the movie Rain Man look like child's play! Plus the enormity of credibility that you'll gain (even more so than you already have) at storm chasing! You'll have a convoy of storm chasers following you wherever you go (even more so than you already have)!!

  • @jeffchrivia5904
    @jeffchrivia5904 Před 3 lety

    Are you a time traveler you sed may 12. 2021 it's only april 16 2021 right now and it's at 10 minutes in

    • @scienceoutthere
      @scienceoutthere  Před 3 lety +1

      Yeah I already corrected it in the pin and description. Funny how you can watch something 36 times in the edit and still miss something that silly. lol.

    • @jeffchrivia5904
      @jeffchrivia5904 Před 3 lety

      @@scienceoutthere I figured it was probably March. So that is why I sed it's at 10 min

  • @mikefromflorida8357
    @mikefromflorida8357 Před rokem

    This is a great great video, but please don’t talk over background noise. It’s not needed, and I don’t understand why you CZcamsrs think it’s such a great thing to do.

  • @lbochtler
    @lbochtler Před 3 lety +2

    respect the polygon