Baseball Stats: Rate and "Plus" Stats (OPS, wOBA, FIP, etc.)
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- čas přidán 28. 02. 2022
- SLUGGING PERCENTAGE (SLG) CORRECTION:
The scale for Slugging Percentage (SLG) looks something like this:
Poor: .310
Below Average: .360
Average: .410 +/- .15
Above Average: .450
Great: .500
Elite: .600
I mistakenly kept the scale for OBP up for SLG! Sorry about that.
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This is the second video in a five-part comprehensive guide to baseball statistics. I'll update this description as needed, but the title says it all. This is a hefty video where we talk about baseball stats like:
Batting Average (AVG)
On-Base Percentage (OBP)
Slugging Percentage (SLG)
On-Base plus Slugging (OPS)
Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA)
Reference wOBA (rOBA)
Isolated Power (ISO)
Walk-to-Strikeout Rate (BB/K)
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
Earned Run Average (ERA)
Walks + Hits Per Inning Pitched (WHIP)
Runs Allowed per 9 (RA9)
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP)
Expected FIP (xFIP)
Strikeout Rate (K%)
Walk Rate (BB%)
Home Run Rate (HR%)
Plus Stats, such as OPS+, wRC+, FIP+, ERA+, xFIP
If you've ever wondered What Is wOBA? What is OPS? What is wRC+? This is the video for you. This is also a video for people who want to know about more classic stats. Maybe you wonder What is Batting Average? What is ERA in Baseball?
The full series will be as follows:
#1: Counting Stats & History
#2: Rate Stats and "+" Stats (you are here)
#3: Defensive Stats (non-Statcast)
#4: Statcast
#5: WAR & Related Stats (and corrections / omissions)
I hope you'll stick around for the next video in the series.
Formula for wOBA: library.fangraphs.com/offense...
Formula for rOBA: www.baseball-reference.com/ab...
Starting point to understand sample size in baseball stats: library.fangraphs.com/princip...
2021 José Ramirez Simulator: jsfiddle.net/sprtsxplnd/u3n6s... - Sport
Incredible video! Are you still hoping to release the other 3 parts? I think your episode on WAR is going to help demystify a very important yet very convoluted stat in baseball.
I can't believe you don't have more subs or views! I just found your channel and am thoroughly enjoying it! My partner's family is really into cricket and I found that vid very useful! I'm really into baseball so I'll definitely rec this series to them! You're so informative and thorough, thank you!! looking forward to the rest :)
Thanks for the kind words 🥳
Thanks for all the hardwork! Waiting for the next part of this series!
Yet another baseball video from you where I knew most of it but still enjoyed the video. Will definitely share this series with friends learning the game.
Also seeing a scale for each stat from poor to elite was very informative. For example I never realized that the difference between an elite pitcher and a poor one in terms of WHIP was just a single baserunner every other inning. Gives me a better idea of how to evaluate a pitcher's WHIP. Great stuff, look forward to more
Thanks!
Dude keep it going! Great videos man!
So cool to see you’re still working on it!!!
Really hoping you finish this series. Very clearly presented !!
Probably the best way I’ve ever heard all of the stats explained
I love this video, and your channel! I AM just getting into baseball and I’m thankful you made this video lol (1:30). Love the detail in this video (and in them all)
Really great content, thoroughly enjoying this series
Thanks!
Thank you! This video was very helpful. I'm new to the MLB betting world, and I'm always seeing cappers using these terms but didn't know what they stand for. 🙌🙌🙌
Love this series!
You’re awesome bro I can’t wait to watch this channel blow up
🥳🥳
Your videos are really good man and I’m not just saying that I’m actually for real! Like I’m so surprised you don’t much more views. Literally your videos have everything. I’m going to help ya get your name out there.
Alright! Thanks 🥳
Thanks for making one of the most concise (and well-produced) videos about baseball stats yet! I've already been using these as a go-to for people who don't yet understand the stats and your way of explaining them really helps them understand. I still use them for review for myself as well! I can't wait to see the rest of this series, so keep it up!
Love the quality of the videos
Thanks 🥳
Life long baseball fan. Needed this,tired of not knowing what my mlb THE SHOW stats mean :)
P.s. i enjoyed it so much that I was glued to the video and didn't get bored like the other youtube I've seen lol
Great Video! I’d love to see defensive stats such as DRS & OOA explained.
Coming soon!
Homerun for the algorithm. Glad I found your channel.
Thanks!
I’ve watched this video around 6 or 7 times now, and it’s extremely helpful, so thank you, I’m looking forward to the rest of the series
One thing I’m a little puzzled about is why people aren’t using plus stats on tv more often. It completely eliminates the need for fans to know what a good stat is vs what a bad stat is. And for a sport that needs new fans, I’d say that’s a pretty big barrier to entry.
Would love to hear your thoughts on this.
OPS+ is becoming more common on broadcasts, but it's not widespread. I agree that they should use plus stats more! I don't know why they don't.
Wow, I cant belive this doesnt have a million views
Thanks! Feel free to share
Solid vid!
thx!
Looking forward to having WAR explained to me for the umpteenth time (maybe this time it will click). Keep it up :)
beautiful video. create a playlist!
I think you should have made a quick distinction when it comes to the "Innings Pitched" used in ERA/WHIP/etc. versus the counting stat of Innings Pitched.
Let's say a pitcher goes for 7.2 innings with 2 earned runs. The calculation for ERA should be (7.6666/2)x9=2.35 versus the naïve (7.2/2)x9=2.5
Granted, as the number of innings increases the discrepancy massively decreases, but it can still exist, especially for specialist elite closers that have absurdly low ERAs already.
Overall though a great explanation.
I love this
What a nice video!And a question,what is the most important stats for hitters now in mlb?ops,avg or any other stats?Thank you.
Probably OPS! Followed by AVG for the sake of tradition.
Another great video! I'm just some schlub online, so take it with a huge pinch of salt, but it felt like this video had a lot more stock video footage than past installations (though maybe I'm wrong). I find that stuff can come off a little goofy and detract from the video. Again, I'm just some random and I love the videos on the whole, very excited for the next one!
Other than the SIERA thing that you acknowledge at the end, I think the only other thing I would have mentioned is that the rate- and park-adjusted pitching stats that are most commonly used are technically "minus" stats, not "plus" stats, like ERA-, FIP-, etc. This isn't simply a pedantic correction because ERA+, FIP+, etc. are real stats, it's just that their reciprocals of the "minus" stats. Like, for example, ERA+ is (league ERA) / (player ERA) whereas ERA- is (player ERA) / (league ERA). This is important because it's the "minus" pitching stats that are comparable to the "plus" batting stats in their interpretation, which happens because ERA and FIP are stats you want to minimize while OPS and wOBA are stats you want to maximize.
For example, a pitcher with an ERA- of 86 has an ERA that is 14% LOWER (better!) than the league, whereas that same pitcher's ERA+ might be, I dunno, maybe 117 or something, which would mean the league has an ERA that is 17% HIGHER (worse!) than the pitcher. These percentage differentials are not the same because the denominator is changing; for example, 3 is 50% larger than 2 (3/2 * 100 = 1.5, 1.5 - 1 = 0.5), but 2 is not 50% smaller than 3, it's 33.3% smaller than 3 (2/3 * 100 = 0.66..., 0.66... - 1 = -0.33...).
Otherwise, this video was excellent, and I hope you get to finish the series soon!
Still working on the rest of the series? Inquiring minds want to know! I think you're doing a great job. Looking forward to the rest of the series.
I had part 3 completed over this past winter winter but realized that the new rules were going to make parts of the video incorrect or irrelevant.
So it’s on hold til I can sit down with it and make adjustments!
Looking forward to its release! These first two videos were great.
Hoping for the rest of this series as a newly inducted Mariners fan
Love Siera for pitchers.
The specifics of these stats have always been so blurry to me but you are really clear in explanations and easy to understand. Thanks so much
Thanks!
Whatever happened to Bill James' Runs Created and RC/9? I thought those were pretty useful stats for batters.
John C Reilly. It took me awhile but I finally figured out it’s you!
Do you have that Jose Ramirez simulator on GitHub? There was so much good stuff in this video- thank you!
I threw it together on jsfiddle:
jsfiddle.net/sprtsxplnd/u3n6s204/2
Have fun. Thanks for the comment!
Thumbs Ups. Thank you.
Thanks so much for the great video! It's very helpful. But I have one small question. here @6:13, you said that for OBP, it doesn't include error, but in the first video, AB already incudes error? czcams.com/video/roWV4BFVlEg/video.html
Errors are not counted as AB, and they don’t factor into OBP
@@SportsExplained AB = H + RBOE + RBOFC + non-sac Outs
PA = AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH + Other (Times Reached Base on Interference + Obstruction?)
What is the timeframe that + stats are usually calculated by? Is it single year, or specific era, and if era how is that range decided?
You can have a plus stat for any length of time! It’s simply one player (or team’s) performance in a stat compared to league average over some range of time, adjusted for ballpark.
They are most commonly used within the context of one season. But you can compare players’ career OPS+, or since the all star break, etc.
When’s the next video coming out?
I wouldn't worry too much about Sierra, it's just a more complicated version of FIP anyway.
Yea, I’ve seen enough to believe it’s not necessarily any better than what came before it.
What about what’s a good or bad pop-up percentage? For batters & pitchers
PO% is acknowledged by MLB as a statistic but it’s not really used much or at all. I don’t actually know what a good PO% looks like
Fly Ball % (FB%) Ground Ball % (GB%) and Line Drive % (LD%) are important, as are certain ratios involving these stats (HR/FB, GB/FB)
Could you do a video about the WAR stat? I have never understood what that is or how they get it.
It’s coming!
@@SportsExplained Thank you.
Is there a way to find the formula for rOBA as cleanly expressed as they do wOBA on fangraphs?
This is the place to look: www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained_wraa.shtml
thanks, i saw the article.
I couldn't find it there, I thought maybe you knew since you are making videos on the subject.
Is there a stat that tracks illegal pitcher actions such as balks and pitch clock violations? Not that it would necessarily be terribly relevant, but just for funnies you could do something like this: Since a balk is a runner advancement and a pitcher PCV is equivalent to a ball you could create a simple rate stat like
(BK+(PC/4))/IP
Now this doesn’t take into account that not all PCVs result in batters getting on base, and that a runner going from first to second or second to third has a different impact on the game compared to a runner advancing to first, so you might want to weigh these differently with coefficients. I’m not going to pretend to know which coefficients would be best but one could potentially get into the weeds of Balks with different combinations of runners on different bases and whether or not a PC eventuates in a walk.
Just some fun food for thought.
I’m sure someone will come up with something that becomes semiofficial!
Baseball Rate And Plus Statistics: BRAPS for short
Can you put rOBA formula on the screen?
This is the place to look: www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained_wraa.shtml
Can someone explain what's happening in the "goofy looking play" at 5:35?
The ball rolled foul when hit off the bat after a swing. Because it rolled foul (beyond that line) before going past 1st base the batter returns to plate to continue at-bat but counts as a strike but you cant strlkeout on it unless you bunted with two strikes. Any player(s) on base at that time goes back to previously held base. If the ball rolls foul after it passes 1st base then that's a hit. Sounds weird buy it isn't really.
Understand? Lol
Ops+?
Someone just put it in the comments so I can do it on mlb the show
Why is there no stat for something as simple as an out recorded by the defense?
There is! This video was just hitting and pitching stats.
I cover fielding in the next video, which i am working on
Slugging and OBP have same scale?
Nope! That is an error! Ooops!
Slugging is a bit higher on average. I'll have to put a card up or something.
Thanks for catching this!
Ok! I've blurred it on the video, which should go live in a couple hours, and added this to the description:
SLUGGING PERCENTAGE (SLG) CORRECTION:
The scale for Slugging Percentage (SLG) looks something like this:
Poor: .310
Below Average: .360
Average: .410 +/- .15
Above Average: .450
Great: .500
Elite: .600
Thanks, again, for catching this!
love your videos! not gonna sub tho
BABIP doesn’t have a scale?
BABIP generally deviates about .50 in either direction from .300
But it's a bit much to call a high BABIP "elite" and a low BABIP "poor" so I left it out... I probably could have just done a scale with "High" and "Low"
They forgot the best stat: Runs produced