Markets could correct by 20% (5 important predictions for 2024) | Akshat Shrivastava
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Markets are going to crash soon! Or not?
It really depends on the future trends.
In this video, I make 5 predictions that might play out in the near future.
Watch this video till the end to understand all :)
P.S: NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. Please do your own due diligence.
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Attributions:
Stock videos from Pixabay and Pexels
Logos: Wikipedia Commons
Video and TN editor: Ayushman Khare
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Sir, want to join your live crash course, plz give me 10% discount cupon code
Bhai aawaz to daal do, kya krte ho yaar
Great Vid but some Audio issues, sound is only coming from left earbud. must have edited with mono channel instead on stereo. Happened in last vid too.
Yep, could you please rectify the audio issue and reupload? Else I'll have to watch this without headphones and my wife will throw me out. :)
Need some info on the course, how can I reach out?
As a soon retiree, keeping my 401k on course after a rocky 2022 is top priority. I have been reading of lnvestors making up to 250k ROI in this current crashing market, any recommendations to scale up my ROI before retirement will be highly appreciated.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
Why audio is Mono & i can only hear on left sidezz😅
+1
Must have been uploaded in hurry. Editor ne chutti mar li. 😆😆😆
Because it is mono sided
It is not mono, it is stereo only but the right side channel is muted.
In mono audio there is no right or left channel, audio comes from both sides equally.
Yes audio can hear only in one ear, it is mono
1. 2:56 common theories
2. 4:02 prediction 1 : Middle to slightly mature phase of the Bull Run
3. 9:50 prediction 2 : might hit 25000 before we hit 19000
4. 17:48 prediction 3 : fundamental play is more imp than value play
5. 21:23 prediction 4 : fixed supply assets will do well
He mentioned he will talk about specific stocks.. I did not hear him talk about anything apart from HUL. Right?
Will correct by 20% in the next six months, support at 17500.
A little contradictory
Thanks alot
I tink he is geting tripped nw a days😂
Thanks for this, pretty useful
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.
The professionals presently control the market since they not only have the essential business strategy but also have access to inside information that the general public is not aware of.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
“Leila Simoes Pinto’’ You can easily look her up, she has years of financiaI market experience.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
I know stock market index are at all time high which is quite crucial. I’m mostly in cash and waiting for this market to re-level on the reality of our situation. Or are there any ways I can avoid a crunch and maximize my savings of $250k?
you'll be waiting a long time, trade the chart! learn how to create a basket of securities like an expert or seek guidance from an advisor
very much appreciated, just inputted Theresa Leigh Detrick on the internet, spotted her consulting page at once and was able to schedule a call session. Ive seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal
Timely video Akshat. Wish you had made similar video in October 2021.You had encouraged us to buy at that time.
Great video with great analysis, as usual. Looks like I will join your course very soon.
Market is at optimism, Bulls market are born on extreme pessimism, grows on skepticism matures on optimism and crashes on Euphoria .
What a lovely explanation Akshat sir the way u explain the complex terms in easy manner ❤
Thank you. This was very useful for me in helping me to devise my medium term strategy in the market.
You are scientist of Indian Equity market… I always bow you for detailing about any discussion Sir.… mind-blowing.…✌️💕
Happy New Year, Akshat. Thanks a lot for your financial guidance.
Great video to put things in perspective.Thank you.
Lol
One more informative video. Thanks Akshat
Hi @AkshatZayn
Could you please make a video on investing in US markets, LSE, and TSE from one platform using banking apps like ICICI Direct or international brokerages like Charles Schwab? A demo and insights on converting INR to USD would be appreciated.
Not interested in apps like Indmoney or Vested, looking for other options
Thank you for your insight
Very useful Info. Thanks for the video Akshat
Insightful video.. Thanks for your efforts.
Detailed analysis of very basic things. Thanks for sharing detailed insights, it widens the horizons.
Hi Akshat,
Thanks for sharing all these insights.
I have been observing some issues for the past 2 videos with your audio, where I can only hear from the left earpiece of my earphones. This might need some fixing.
Nicely explained & very informative
Very good informative video.. I definitely plan to stay invested for almost 10 years from now on.
Very interesting & confident vdo 👍🏻pl release… predictions series part 2 … soon
Very interesting predictions Akshat. I have observing the trend of your prediction about the premium sector of market doing well. It is also safe to say that more and more companies want to cater to high value goods and services as the premiums charged can look exorbitant to a normal person but seem pretty reasonable for the rich.
In terms of consumer demand being low, you mentioned that the incomes are going to rise in India. Does it indicate incomes of only the upper middle or rich class is going to increase? Also are there any factors that influence consumer demand of middle and low class?
K shape recovery is happening. Entry level car and bike sale also down. Recently bike companies try to move from entry or mid segment to premium segments
There is a lot of difference between markets correcting 10-20 percent at index 22k vs 25k. In case its 25k, new investment should be stopped. In case its 22k, positions need to be cut.
With the low consumer demands, I think, HUL and other such brands are facing a tough competition from hundreds of local (Not popular) brands that offer reasonably good stuff at quite less price on online platforms, especially when it comes to cosmetics and chemical products.
FMCG in general has slowed down in growth I feel. A huge wave of growth had come in when UPI was introduced. I think the next wave of growth will come with improved and cheaper transportation to rural areas. This would depend on the capex by the government in the next 10-15 years.
We should pick Unilever in US Market, it is cheaper there, trading at PE of 15 and gives 5% dividend yield
It was nice of you, to present your viewpoint regarding disclosure. Knowledgeable investors go with the kind of suggestions or recommendations on stocks with a pinch of salt, tread cautiously. Despite that, those people are aware that no one can gurantee profits, which is futuristic based on so many variables known & unknown!! Even the most reasonably transparent PMS manager do accept & make choices such that can go wrong vis a vis expectations.People of course react to that by pulling out / stay put with invested funds based on their outlook & understanding!! The whole gamut of our life is about understanding risk versus rewards in every choice we make in our lives albeit in every field we encounter at various stages of life progression. We all pray and wish under all circumstances for each one of us, Good shall prevail over evil at the end of the day!! I understand overall that Life is a stage to play the way we think good, within the ambit of governing laws and principles to benefit most of us largely with due regard of ethics!! Best wishes on your sincerity!!
Hi Akshat, while your videos are full of knowledge, is it possible to provide summary bullet points for each video. Would help when we are short of time
Hi Akshat, happy new year to you and your team of wisdom hatch,the audio quality was very poor,
Hey Akshat, love the efforts. Quick question: while calculating CAGR in the video, you mention that it comes out from 80%/4 year period ~20%, but this doesn't take into factor the compounding. If i take compounding into picture, the CAGR comes out to be 16.85% (which is still overvalued but more in line). Am I missing something, or did you just mention a rough estimate?
He is completely wrong here, no need to sugar coat things!
Checking the actual NIFTY figures CAGR is only ~15.5% in last 4 years.
It was an estimate .we in CA profession also explain like this .since it is difficult to caculate the actual CAGR without any tool...so we say an approximate range.
@@anuprai782 There is huge difference b/w 15 and 20% rate of compounding! It's not difficult to calculate the compounding rate unless you don't have any basic mathematical skills.
Bro he is wrong in almost everything he says, saying there will be a 20% correction in the market, anyone can say the same.. and wait for 3 years for his "prediction " to come true and say i told u so. he has an earlier video on predictions.. when thy are true he takes credit, if they dont work out he says its just the randomness of the market who knows after all no one can predict the market.
great work 🎉
Hi There! Firstly thanks for making such brilliant educational content. So easy and comfortable for one to comprehend. Just wanted to let you know that there is an issue with the sound recording in this video which is imbalanced and skewed towards one side (left). Mono i guess! Not critiquing, just politely highlighting. Thanks and God Bless.
Same Mono audio
Awaiting ❤
Is it only me or others are also having problem watching the video using earphones. I can only hear on the left side. For other videos its working fine.
Happy new year Akshat🎉
Sir your content is brilliant but please try to make small duration videos.
Hi Akshat
Can you do a video on what to do with our smallcase portfolio!
Sir
Can you please give us video on types of charts, how to read them and take a call
Regards
Can you make a video on impact of 25 bps rate cut on Earnings or PE ratio on various key indicies like large, mid and smallcap?
Sweet n simple
that too informative
More money has been lost waiting for corrections than actual corrections - but the basic theory is that only 2 things matter - liquidity - is there a lot of money on the sidelines and earnings . Right now , with so many people sceptical … where is the euphoria ?
thanks a lot
Just study the nifty chart for last 20 yrs, you can find that whenever market enters bull phase it never matches its last trough. So it means market will fall and rise and will continue to make newer heights not immediate but yes sooner ir later
Past returns are not an indication of future returns.
The only thing you can get from Akshat’s video is to enroll on his course otherwise it seems like a prediction of nostradamus. If market goes up then he is right , if market goes down then also he is right. The other hilarious comment is that Nifty can go upto 2500 but in another section Nifty will not move up but only certain sectors within Nifty will move up. Another comment market can dip by 20 percent but dip can happen later or it can also happen earlier, is this we call a prediction ? I have a simple question if a retail investor has 2 crore in his nifty 50 Index fund which he has accumulated over last many years should he now bulk invest 10 lakh more or not ? As per Akshat’s advice he should not as this is not the time to bulk invest but then what about his existing corpus of 2 cr ? shouldn’t he sell that immediately? The 20 percent drop will impact his 2 cr portfolio more or the 10 lakh lump sum ? I remember in his May23 Video he suggested the same when the Nifty was all time high but then Nifty kept going higher & higher until December.
u are a genius brother i think the same too, from his last year video, when predictions come true he takes credit and says i have been saying from last year , and other things he just conveniently forgets to mention or just points to the randomness of the market and no one can predict it.. i am just SIPing into stockmarket for a lifetime and just watching to see the same BS he says everytime
Bro so should we do a limpsim now or wait for fall and Co tinue our SIP?
The 2 crore investor needs to have an asset-allocated portfolio for mental peace
Love you man !! And love your subtle sarcasm
Awesome Akshat.. ❤
Basically he is saying all probable sinario. What ever happen he will be proved to be correct
😂😅😅😅😊
thank you
Sir whenever u say market will fall it always goes up and when u say it goes up it comes down !! Non can predict the market ! But ur videos gives me some insight of the market 🙏 thank u
Tell us about the momentum strategy of small case.should I invest in fee based smallcase
Liked it 👍
Happy new year 🎉
i feel like there is optimism in nifty 50 largecap and bank nifty..
your view on adani shares considering latest verdict.
Hi Akshath - Continue your great work… I have been following your recommendation really helpful… I want to get in to US market pls suggest good trading US platform which is trust worthy and less cost on brokerage also suggest good US valued stocks similar to Indian stocks you suggest
Very good analyses. If we see individual shares, many shares are not over valued. Take for example Asian paint, given good quarterly results, but share price is not appreciated to that level. All IT shares big players not appreciated, whereas recovery in market is expected soon. According to me we can expect maximum 10% correction, nothing more. This correction may be sorter also in nature. But if market appreciates 15% and then may correct to 20K level, then it 0:14 will be 20% fall from 25K . Every fall will have opportunity to buy more.
This man is on fire !!! And creating huge change in financial investment zone 💫
This guy is basically scaring people in this video.
@@bharathbhat5878 No, if we understand his rationale its not scary.
@@raoniyati I mean it's obvious, if it goes up 10% it will come down 2%. But the title - Markets could correct by 20% . Yeah, coz many stocks have gone up more than 100%. So 20% down is fine!
@@bharathbhat5878 yeh but this common sense is not that common with the normal public u see 😀 !
@@raoniyati he thinks his viewers are stupid , sitting inside a cave. And he has to do all the research for us, and brings up a chart with happy , excited, denial, fear. That's his research....
Please make an video about stocks in real estate before the rally begins please
Excellent 👍
Till General Election, I don't see any big correction in the Indian Market. It may be 2-3 % correction or maximum 5% correction.
What if the Supreme Court orders voting by ballot papers?
@@pardeeptandonballot paper is the root of Corruption. Hope it will not happen
Supreme court ke judges ko pehle hataya nahin hai kya ???
Very happy new year Akshat
One thing I need to understand that is Nifty PE is currently some 20-21
by this how do you expect a 10-20% dip
Nifty PE is 23.18 as on today
@@happymind2594 still not overvalued
reasonable valuation
10-20% correction will bring the pe of nifty 19 to 20.
@@amanhooda3876 nifty PE was 13 during 2008 crisis for reference will not happen just saying 16 and lower is undervalued and bulk buying opportunity, 22 and over is selling opportunity
Liked the video before starting only
Hello sir ..
Daily I am seeing that many stocks are being raised upwards even when buyers are not there and asking for lower price .. what do you say of this ??
Operators coming out of woodwork ??
Happy New year bro. Audio not clear. Can you please re upload it
Our PE and PB calculations were modified by Sebi. Our PE is current value plus 7
10 year Bond rates are going up since 28 dec, and market started weakening
Happy New Year 2024
Sound Recording Troubled since last few videos.....delay in right and left ear sound while using headphone....Plz have a chack @Akshat Shrivastava.....Thanks
Nifty gave an average CAGR of 12.5% in the last 20 years, anything above 12.5% is definitely not undervalued
But in the last 4 years, since 2020 March Nifty is up by 175%, which is 29% CAGR over 3 years & 9 months, which is extremely high
But even if anyone argue I'm taking from the lowest point, i can debate by saying even everyone I see taking from 2020 Feb (Highest point) in which nifty was already shot up 65% in just 3½ years during MID of 2016- END 2019
So, it is better to take the average of Nifty highs (Feb, 2020) & Nifty lows (Mar, 2020) which is 10,000 points in 2020 to currently at 21,800 which is 118% in just 4 years (21.5% CAGR in the past 4 years against its historical average of 12.5%)
Hi happy new year
Great👍 🙏🙏
Sir
Should one start SIP in MUTUAL FUNDS right now or should wait for a correction!??
Hi. Do share your thoughts on Lemon tree hotels stock? Of course it is going up, should one hold on to it? For how long?
Should we pause SIP?
Video is having audio issue. Able to hear only in left side.
audio quality problem, just like inthe prev video. something problematic
Hi Akshat.. FYI the audio track is not balanced properly. I can only hear you in my left earphone. Yes, I confirmed that both my earphones and my ears are working otherwise ;) Something you might want to fix.
Hi good morning nice video
One more point u missed
Retail money in 2022 and 2023
When fii are selling heavily huge selling in 2022 and 23
Nifty or stocks not fallen as expected
So if positive fii flows expected in 2024 , nifty touches 25000,, then some correction
So what you are saying is exactly what you are not saying. This is what the whole video is about
Hey Akshat, there is some issue with the audio channel, I am using a xm5 headphone, and for some reason only this video plays only from the left. Maybe you can get it checked
Regularly watching your videos and it benefitted me a lot. In this video your voice is not clear, even with highest volume voice is not clear.
Able to hear
Akshat Bhai please make a video on fundamental and technical analysis of likhitha infra ltd.
My simple take on buying stocks even at this stage of the market, buy good stocks that you’re in the red with already, so buy more of those sensibly. That’s how you reap future profits.
I couldn't sign up as the numbers are reached. Is there way I can be the part of the live course?
which company balance sheet in last?
Is yes bank good to buy?
Hello Akshat, just throw some light whether we should redeem MF's as the markets are high or irrespective of it, we shall continue for a longer period of time and yes as you said to slow down SIP's and later bulk invest when markets are down.. So here my question is should we redeem or not and definitely my goal is not reached
dont keep a goal bro i just keep my entire net worth inside the stock market, if my networth goes down then so does all rich people's networth. pull out only for emergency or valid reasons whenever u need.
we can't say the exact time for the fall or rise, better to keep going with mf SIPs and do Topups when market corrects. Safest approach.
PART 2 Awaited please...
@Akshat: Most of the time, your videos shows profits ~1.5Cr or higher. That's amazing. Just wondering, how old were you when you begun your investment journey? And with what amount? Was it with few lakhs? Or few10 lakhs? Or with few crores?
he started investing at the age of three the moment he learned to speak but so did you...the only difference is that he invested in the right things in life
You are great
My left ear is now an investing expert after listening to this!
15000×200= 30 lakh from 1 batch . Stock market chale na chale aapko toh profit ho hi jayega ..
Very nice video
Kindly post the link for new year course starting
Badhiya Analysis 👍👌 maja aaya 24min. Pata he ni chale #OGAkshat
For investors no need to think about crash,just keep investing.
Stay investing is best philosophy.
Traders & Speculators needed to be attentive
Traders and speculators beat the market. Stock market is simple gambling in layman's term. Look at top mutual fund performers portfolio turnover ratio. That's like 400%.
Akshat, there's been audio issues with latest videos. Kindly look into it.