Piecing Together the Potential Economic Recession Puzzle

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  • čas přidán 13. 09. 2024
  • 🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: / figuringoutmoney
    🟢 GREAT BROKERAGE ACCOUNT: bit.ly/3mIUUfC
    As we analyze the current market conditions, the puzzle pieces of a potential economic recession are coming together more clearly than ever. In tonight's stock market brief, I break down the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 and reveal the story they've been telling since the start of this year. From the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts to the implications of an inverted yield curve, we'll explore what these indicators mean for the future of our economy.
    We'll also dive into the recent performance of key sectors and discuss how the market's current behavior might signal a shift towards an early recession. Additionally, I’ll share insights on how my personal investment strategy has evolved in response to these developments, including the importance of watching key technical indicators like the gamma flip line and moving averages.
    If you’re interested in understanding how the economic landscape might change in the coming months and want to stay ahead of the curve, this is a video you won’t want to miss.
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    DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :)
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    #Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading

Komentáře • 140

  • @FiguringOutMoney
    @FiguringOutMoney  Před 18 dny

    🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney
    🟢 GREAT BROKERAGE ACCOUNT: bit.ly/3mIUUfC

  • @HunterZ64
    @HunterZ64 Před 18 dny +282

    The stock market is a complex system that is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic indicators, political events, and global trends. The relationship between policies and the stock market can be complex and multifaceted, and it can take time for the full effects of policies to be reflected in market trends. Therefore, it is possible that policies implemented in the past may have a "lagged effect" on the stock market, as their full impact may not be felt until later on

    • @SummerBear74
      @SummerBear74 Před 18 dny

      I've purchased numerous stocks in individual firms. Because there are so many stocks that will skyrocket in the long run, it is currently safe to buy in on ETF and ride it out. Due to fud, I sold out early, but then retraced my ways and re-invested $350,000 with a financial advisor who manages my account. I received an 82% return last year and will see where it goes this year.

    • @HelenaTichmann59
      @HelenaTichmann59 Před 18 dny

      that's quite impressive, you surely made a good bit of money. I myself invested in warren's BRK-A stock quite pricey but totally worth it.

    • @VeniceHew83
      @VeniceHew83 Před 18 dny

      I just started a few months back, I'm going for long term, I'm still trying to wrap my head around it, who’s this advisor you work with ?

    • @HelenaTichmann59
      @HelenaTichmann59 Před 18 dny

      My CFA NICOLE ANASTASIA PLUMLEE a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further... She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..
      .

    • @VeniceHew83
      @VeniceHew83 Před 18 dny

      Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @SayhighBxy
    @SayhighBxy Před 17 dny +84

    It’s common sense. In order to cut Fed must increase money supply. That spikes inflation. Bond holders then require higher yield on long term bonds which will cause long term rates to go up, while the fed is dropping short term rates. The fed obviously knows economics and knows this. But, their purpose is to save a dying economy at the expense of higher long term rates, until the collapse happens - in other words the rate cuts are designed to “kick the can down the road” at the expense of a worse collapse. The final conclusion can only be that this is a controlled collapse, engineered as the great economic reset with the participants being the fed, well for me tho Bitcoin is the ultimate defence against a tyrannical government.r.....I've been engaged in active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 24Bitcoin....I'm especially grateful to Sandy Barclays, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @SayhighBxy
      @SayhighBxy Před 17 dny

      Sandy Barclays program is widely available online..

    • @gnewman21
      @gnewman21 Před 17 dny

      It is true, inflation has taught people the important of multiplying income.

    • @sheisjavier4
      @sheisjavier4 Před 17 dny

      Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Sandy insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

    • @omeraz
      @omeraz Před 17 dny

      Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.

    • @Birdman5902
      @Birdman5902 Před 17 dny

      Indeed, the recent market downturn serves as evidence that a vast majority of individuals lacked a sufficient understanding of the underlying financial dynamics at play.

  • @Makingriot
    @Makingriot Před 17 dny +132

    The continuously changing economic conditions in our society have made it necessary for thousands of people to find additional sources of income. Personally, I am looking at the stock market to fuel my retirement goal of $2m, my concern is the recent market crash.

    • @heatherholdings
      @heatherholdings Před 17 dny +4

      buying the dip has proven to be profitable although for majority, the solution to their problem can be found only in specialized knowledge hence they seek guidance from well experienced advisors

    • @EShepard-
      @EShepard- Před 17 dny +4

      Agreed, despite my rookie knowledge of investing, I have a financial advisor who did the trick in a bit more than 6 months after a lump sum capital of $500k, and I've so far made a fortune. I'm now buying real estates, gold and silver as advised by my FA.

    • @Wisniewski-d
      @Wisniewski-d Před 17 dny +4

      truly appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?

    • @EShepard-
      @EShepard- Před 17 dny +3

      Katherine Nance Dietz is the licensed FA I use. Just google the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

    • @liveformore-v8
      @liveformore-v8 Před 17 dny +2

      excellent share, curiously inputted Katherine Nance Dietz on the internet, spotted her consulting page ranked top and was able to schedule a call session. Ive seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal

  • @Kaustavpatell
    @Kaustavpatell Před 17 dny +95

    I foresee a recession lasting a while, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates again. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate and market crash, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.

    • @frankedwardark
      @frankedwardark Před 17 dny +2

      Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.

    • @rachelonigirl
      @rachelonigirl Před 17 dny +1

      I'm sure the idea of an invstment-Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by Motley-fool found out that demand for Financial-Advisers sky-rocketed by over 42% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've accrued north of 580k within 16-months from an initially stagnant Portf0lio worth 85k.

    • @donovantobs
      @donovantobs Před 17 dny

      Can you share details of your advisor? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.

    • @rachelonigirl
      @rachelonigirl Před 17 dny

      Her name is. MARY TERESE SINGH . Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @donovantobs
      @donovantobs Před 17 dny +1

      I just curiously searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you

  • @markkeller9378
    @markkeller9378 Před 18 dny +4

    Mike, I think this is one of your best videos. Really like the charts in this one, especially the business cycle chart. Thank you!

  • @5600hp
    @5600hp Před 18 dny +3

    Best swing trading channel there is on CZcams . Would love to see more of your lumber to gold , Saylor to Shift ratio and bottom fisher chart when we have some big moves.

  • @barryauguste9734
    @barryauguste9734 Před 18 dny +2

    Very nice clear and concise video Mike....well presented and executed.

  • @AramShelton
    @AramShelton Před 18 dny

    Agreeing with others - this is one of your best. The way you consider the macro picture while zooming into the near term is really great and shows a strong thought process. Thanks for all your hard work!

  • @BigErnieBrown
    @BigErnieBrown Před 18 dny +3

    I just got out of San Quentin, and I like your channel

  • @beau6113
    @beau6113 Před 18 dny +2

    Thank you!

  • @torchy187
    @torchy187 Před 18 dny +3

    Looking at a chart of the S&P 500, it tends to always go higher over the long term.

  • @Abdul-nt9uk
    @Abdul-nt9uk Před 18 dny +1

    Great balanced video. You make me want to learn more about trading.

  • @SaintCuthbertoftheCudgel
    @SaintCuthbertoftheCudgel Před 18 dny +1

    Great program! Thank you.

  • @HouseofTheRisingFunk
    @HouseofTheRisingFunk Před 17 dny

    Great video but DXY and Yields were DROPPING rapidly during the recent sell off.

  • @mattinthehat22
    @mattinthehat22 Před 18 dny +1

    Good stuff in this one, thanks, Mike!

  • @billmc5457
    @billmc5457 Před 16 dny

    Massive deficit spending has propped us up through what would have been a recession. Couple that with still tight labor market. FED cuts signal more liquidity coming into the market. Passive flows from 401ks etc need somewhere to go. FED and Treasury manipulation has turned everything on its head.

  • @garyxie2327
    @garyxie2327 Před 17 dny

    great job.

  • @grandmastersake
    @grandmastersake Před 17 dny

    Are those daily EMs correct on your spy chart? Seem lobsided

  • @Qwairy
    @Qwairy Před 18 dny +4

    Just forget about 1994 ofc

  • @silenthunger3472
    @silenthunger3472 Před 17 dny

    Morningstar LSTA leveraged loan index is ticking up as well. This is bullish but should be a caution signal when we apply the "Buffet Rule" pertaining to greedy people.

  • @ausp3x932
    @ausp3x932 Před 18 dny

    How do you find gamma levels Mike?

  • @jti28
    @jti28 Před 18 dny

    Thanks Mike

  • @giancarlogodz2140
    @giancarlogodz2140 Před 18 dny

    Great stuff Mike, thanks.

  • @Olivia.M.Heard43
    @Olivia.M.Heard43 Před 18 dny +40

    I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Katherine Stewart.

    • @BenjaminMcConnell-z1r
      @BenjaminMcConnell-z1r Před 18 dny

      Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @StuartMcIver468
      @StuartMcIver468 Před 18 dny

      She is my family's personal Broker and also a personal Broker to many families in the United states, she is a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in the United States.

    • @Robert.Maynard
      @Robert.Maynard Před 18 dny

      You trade with Katherine Stewart too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.

    • @HarrisNguyen783
      @HarrisNguyen783 Před 18 dny

      I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

    • @mustafaburak1123
      @mustafaburak1123 Před 18 dny

      I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much.

  • @JANGOPC
    @JANGOPC Před 18 dny

    Would it be the worst time to build the long term QQQ/SPX portfolio?

  • @thisisbige7970
    @thisisbige7970 Před 17 dny

    hey do you still share your slides?

  • @johanwesthuyzen7422
    @johanwesthuyzen7422 Před 17 dny

    mike, we also have a very contentious election coming up

  • @SkylineO-hm3kd
    @SkylineO-hm3kd Před 18 dny +24

    Copy trading has truly transformed my life. After losing fifty-eight thousand dollars last month trading on my own, I've found immense success and happiness with copy trading. I've just purchased a house for my family, and I'm overjoyed.

    • @stefano1862
      @stefano1862 Před 18 dny

      Copytrade really is the best trading approach especially when done with a good expert. Who do you copytrade??

    • @SkylineO-hm3kd
      @SkylineO-hm3kd Před 18 dny

      He's mostly on telegrams using the user name

    • @SkylineO-hm3kd
      @SkylineO-hm3kd Před 18 dny

      Managermenon

    • @Anna-de8pd
      @Anna-de8pd Před 18 dny

      Congrats on your new house. Copy trading is really the holy grail. Menon is no doubt the best at it. I just closed mine with Menon at 2.8btc

    • @keitho1896
      @keitho1896 Před 18 dny

      How does this even work. This is the first time I am hearing of such thing

  • @caleb8239
    @caleb8239 Před 18 dny

    This time is the first time in a long while that I'm sitting out of NVDA earnings. Something will come along and cause a September selloff and it could very well be NVDA forward guidance.

  • @TheNativeTwo
    @TheNativeTwo Před 18 dny

    The market is pricing in the RISK of a recession, which means buying of those sectors. Doesn’t mean that risk will actually happen. It’s going to be interesting though, whatever happens. 👍

  • @AB-ho1cr
    @AB-ho1cr Před 18 dny

    When and how does the government pay back its debt with negative asset yields? Where does excess money that gets printed go in this worst case scenario?

  • @ComradeAmir
    @ComradeAmir Před 17 dny

    Mike why do you think we can’t break $560?

    • @FiguringOutMoney
      @FiguringOutMoney  Před 17 dny +1

      I think its very possible to break it. But we havnt yet. Im not making the call that it breaks or doesnt. What I am saying is that i will be more careful if price does get under it

    • @ComradeAmir
      @ComradeAmir Před 17 dny

      @@FiguringOutMoney thanks for the response bro. Nvda looking like it’ll be the catalyst this week

  • @rc3669
    @rc3669 Před 18 dny +1

    great update. Thank you so much

  • @brahsup5980
    @brahsup5980 Před 18 dny

    this is not 08

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 Před 17 dny

      i agree. it is the Great Depression (caused by debt / FOMO) the Dot Com Bubble (cause by FOMO is tech) and the GFC (caused by FOMO / deriviatives). Next we get all three of those at once. So IMHO 5 times as bad as the GFC was.

    • @brahsup5980
      @brahsup5980 Před 16 dny

      @@bpb5541 lazy narratives.

    • @brahsup5980
      @brahsup5980 Před 16 dny

      @@bpb5541 dow jones at highs

  • @driesanalog4187
    @driesanalog4187 Před 18 dny

    2025 could be the mother of all crashes ...

  • @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i
    @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i Před 18 dny +8

    Thank you for your videos mate.. . Crypto education is what the world needs the most right now. I don’t think that buy and hold is a valid investment strategy anymore. Not too diluted and to a degree, follows Sophia’s trading ideas and signal tips for your portfolio growth and aggressiveness. She is a woman who has not only taught me what the cryptocurrency trading world looks like but a secret to uplift my finance. Buying crypto and waiting for the price to shoot up is not the best way to invest in the market but buying and trading is. Sophia Haney’s trade signaIs does the heavy lifting, generating competitive returns for crypto traders and investors in the form of money and peace of mind. Time in the market vs. timing the market. If you keep that mentality as an investor, you will stay calm during the storm! Within some months I was making a lot more money and have continued on that same path...

    • @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i
      @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i Před 18 dny

      Can't share much here, I take guidance from ‘Sophia E Haney’ a renowned figure in her industry with over two decades of work experience. I'd suggest you research her further on the web.

    • @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i
      @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i Před 18 dny

      Use her name to quickly conduct an internet search.

    • @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i
      @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i Před 18 dny

      SHE’S MOSTLY ON TELEGRAMS APPS WITH HER NAME.

    • @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i
      @JacksonLeoWtah-b2i Před 18 dny

      Sophiahaney she’s verified

    • @MatthysYtb
      @MatthysYtb Před 18 dny

      I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience…

  • @mikemoore9623
    @mikemoore9623 Před 18 dny

    I am unable to connect to the discord. Any direction on how to get it working properly will be appreciated. Tks.

  • @Addien-qs6bl
    @Addien-qs6bl Před 18 dny +12

    Thanks for the continuous update! I'll be forever grateful to you Mrs Lisa Magret, I really don't know how to appreciate you, you change my life and my family situation 8k weekly is an amazing gain ❤

    • @AustinClark-ng6hn
      @AustinClark-ng6hn Před 18 dny

      How please??
      Please help me I really need to gain
      My losses back

    • @Happyanderson282
      @Happyanderson282 Před 18 dny

      I think I'm blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone who is as spectacular as expert Lisa Magret....
      High recommended 🙌

    • @ChaseBoucher-rl1to
      @ChaseBoucher-rl1to Před 18 dny

      Same here, I'm blessed only.God knows how much I praise her, £32,000 every week! I now have a good house and can now afford anything and also support my family, and never will I forget to pay my tithes because God has been so faithful to me and my family

    • @SimonJones-ni6lt
      @SimonJones-ni6lt Před 18 dny

      Yeah! Our government has no idea how people are suffering these days. I feel for people with disabilities not getting the help they deserve. Thank you mrs Lisa Magret, imagine investing $10,000 and received $46,500

    • @NowayJose889
      @NowayJose889 Před 18 dny

      These shill posts are freaking annoying AF damn bots

  • @AztechEnterprises
    @AztechEnterprises Před 18 dny

    I've been making a lot of losses trying to make profit trading. I thought trading on a demo account is just like trading the real market. Can anyone help me out or at least advice me on what to do....??

    • @Bradford-u3d
      @Bradford-u3d Před 18 dny

      I will advice you should stop trading on your own if you keep loosing

    • @Bradford-u3d
      @Bradford-u3d Před 18 dny

      If you can, then get a professional to trade for you I think that way your assets are more secure.

    • @Bradford-u3d
      @Bradford-u3d Před 18 dny

      I'd recommend Nicole Flynn Friedman, her profit is great even when there is a dip

    • @MansionAvatar
      @MansionAvatar Před 18 dny

      😱Sounds familiar, I have heard her names on several occasions.. And both her success stories on wall street journey!

    • @Setien-g5y
      @Setien-g5y Před 18 dny

      Nicole has changed my life and the lives of my colleagues since she took over our company

  • @RajaReddy-jc7xi
    @RajaReddy-jc7xi Před 18 dny +1

    What a great video