Australia Maritime Strategy
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- čas přidán 8. 06. 2024
- Australia is highly reliant on sea trade for its economic growth and security. However, its small population doesn't allow for a big oceanic navy. The increasing expansion of the Chinese Navy in the Pacific, picture China as challenging the after 2WW established status quo. For Australia, it is thus vital to rely on Strategic Partnerships and allies.
Table of content
00:00 Australia's Strategic Environment
03:27 Australia Reliance on the Seas
04:57 Australia need of allies
08:15 Australia Strategic Partnerships
10:49 AUKUS
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Many thanks to Jasper and Edward for their great help
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Bibliography:
1: OEC, oec.world/en/profile/country/aus
2: Australia Maritime Safety Agency, www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j...
3: Australia 2020 Defence White Paper Update, www.defence.gov.au/about/publ...
References:
news.usni.org/2020/03/02/cno-...
2016 Defence White Paper: www.defence.gov.au/about/publ...
George Friedman: geopoliticalfutures.com/austr...
James Holmes: thediplomat.com/2013/10/the-g...
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If you liked this video, please consider subscribing and supporting the channel growth! / kamome163
Check my previous videos:
Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: • Why is Afghanistan so ...
Narration by Jasper: Discord (Jasper'sVoice2734) and CZcams channel ( / @dayfallva9303 )
Script editing by Edward King Grey
Music: Debunking by Yuzzy • Yuzzy - Debunking | J...
This certainly makes a change from the other commentators on the Internet who claim to be experts on Australia but actually know nothing about Australia.
The only things I would add are that the AUKUS technology transfer agreement is also designed to make Australia a more self reliant partner for the US in the Indo-Pacific (Nuclear propulsion technology is just the start) and that some say that the US has benefited more over the years from the secret bases on Australian territory such as Pine Gap and North West Cape than Australia has.
On that theme, France is so stretched worldwide that she benefits more from the signed "Australia/France Strategic Partnership" in terms of meeting her commitments to her million plus citizens in the South Pacific than Australia does.
Perhaps you could do a video on Britain's return to the Indo-Pacific under Boris Johnson's Global Britain which has a lot to do with the British enthusiasm for AUKUS. Johnson believes that the decision to withdraw from East of Suez five decades ago was a mistake. "East of Suez" was also not well received in Australia by the right of centre government of the day.
Guy, thank you so much for bringing up those very important points. I think they will enrich the discussion with the community.
I mostly agree with you. The US wants Australia to be more self-reliant and more capable to assist its forces. Thus, its critical to build-up solid capabilities in the region. IMO SUBS in particular will be significant for two reasons. Intelligence and special forces related operations and the control of allied and adversary SLOCs.
On a side note, I read an interview with a NATO official some time ago, and he argued that US tech might be still off-limits and that the new subs might be based on the UK Dreadnought class.
Good point on France.
That'll definitely be a topic for a next video. I guess, is not only an Indo-Pacific rebound for Johnson's UK but for Europe in general, however much less committed. It is to be seen whether Johnson's Global Britain is a bluff or he'll find the resources and the support to back up his wager.
@@Kamome163 GREAT JOB MATE
@@JIMDEZWAV Jim! Cheers mate🙌
SSNs for Australia don't really make it more independant - without nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them, we can never be independant against some of the nations in our region.
What having SSNs does for Australia is demonstrates our commitment to carring our share of the load, finanicial, military and naval. That's something the US was not happy about for decades with it's NATO partners.
That means the US doesn't have to have quite as many SSNs in this region and opens up additional operating bases and possibly access to yards to refit US vessels, as well as basing for land and air forces.
@@1337flite That's a great analysis. Also, for the US is important to have repairs and refitting facilities in the southern Pacific. As of now, I think Guam and a couple other bases are capable of performing those works.
Incredible work, as always. I'm continually amazed in your ability to succinctly summarise such complex subjects, without losing important content.
Thank you so much, Jeremy! It's quite tricky to talk about topics that usually take tomes to just barely scratch the surface, so it makes me really happy and relieved to read your comment. It sometimes happens that I find useful info or to remember about on-point facts only after publishing though!
it's rubbish
Fantastic analysis. I'm not used to hearing foreigners describe Australia's situation with such clarity and understanding. Great job.
Cheers, mate!❤️
Speaking as an Australian, this was an excellent summary of our strategic posture. Very well done!
Looking forward to future videos on this subject and other Indo-Pacific powers.
it's nonsense
Australian.
Usually most foreign made videos on Australia are full of mistakes.
This one was excellent.
Subbed, liked, followed and notifications set to all.
Great work.
Thank you so much Shilo!
this one is full of mistakes
@@alanbstard4 I'm well educated, informed and at least relatively intelligent.
I disagree.
State your issue.
@@Shilo-fc3xm i wrote this to original poster
we can support Australia militarily. We are wealthy enough to do it, but we would have to re start our manufacturing sector, re introduce tarriffs and stop mass immigration . I would be happy to do this. Australia needs to be capable to defend itself if the US fails in western pacific against China. Your statment from 5:02 to 5:14 is wrong. There was no exchange. As a British people, Australia defended empire. That simple. Not a matter of deals and exchanges. US partnership totally different to British
The problem is a global world order we can do without. It should be multi polar. These American values you talk about, are not those of the average American or Australian. It's greedy free traders who if anything have sent Australia backwards. It's the fault of the USA this is happening. USA took manufacturing offshore and made China strong. Fools! Now we're all paying for it
Trade and commerce and foreign students have destroyed the future of Australia. We used to have free education and you could get to university on merit, now we have to pay and all place taken by wealthy foreign students
We need about 30 conventional subs forward deployed in Malaysia, Singapore, Port Blair, and Brunei. Much more effective than 8 nuke boats that can't even manouvre in the shallows, although we should still have nuke boats, a mixed fleet
Ir is an absolute disgrace that this situation has emerged via greed of largely USA free trading hegemony, China who in principle has a right to get involved for a share, and if China wins, we get the same thing only worse
Personally I would like to see the British empire reform, Canada, Australia, NZ and UK as a trading block as per the EU, and I don't care what USA or China think
@@alanbstard4 I appreciate the points you make and agree with most and am happy, even grateful to be corrected on the rest. Thank you for doing so. Sincerely appreciated. I'm about to read it again.
Just so you can see we're on the same page, this is one of perhaps fifteen posts I have made on Quora on this particular issue.
I bowed to your guidance, not because I lack the capacity to argue my point but because I suspect you may be right.
"They are talking about the spread of American-styled capitalism, broad-scale shallow consumerism, cultural indoctrination (and inundation), our willingness to follow them down whatever rabbit hole they decide to plunge themselves into and our support of the American Federal Reserve and by extension, Petrodollar.
Australia has a population of 25 million people.
Not enough to defend itself against its most prominent threats.
Way I see it, this leaves us with three choices.
1) Grow our population rapidly at the cost of our existing narrative and ecological sustainability.
2) Continue to pay in kind for the protection of the US defense umbrella at the cost of our dignity and autonomy.
3) Explore the options available to us through a CANZUK styled union with Britain, Canada and New Zealand.
“CANZUK is the anacronym for Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom.
As a trading and free movement concept, it has existed since the end of World War Two.
CANZUK is currently gaining momentum on the back of BREXIT.
Aside from being the only union in the world that would use a common language it also shares values, history, proven trust, loyalty, the same moral and ethical ideologies and political and legal systems.
That alone would make it both unique and extremely powerful.
(By contrast, the European Union (as just one example) has 24 different languages, eleven different legal and political systems, varying degrees of systemic corruption, stability, and affluence ranging from dirt poor to extremely wealthy, 28 not only different but often opposing moral, ethical, social and cultural ideologies and 3000 years of the most brutal wars ever fought in human history.)
Further, CANZUK would also be the fourth-largest economy on the planet, the fourth largest military, the largest union by area, as well as enable us all to get out from underneath the Chinese trade monopoly and the Americans without souring that relationship and give us back our autonomy and dignity.”
What so many people miss who comment on this Aukus deal, is that all three parties, the Us, Uk & Australia are more focused on the future of cooperation between each other. And the shared values and shared cultural ties . Yes this deal opens the Nuclear door for Australia in more than just submarines. But this is because of the shared values and close cultural ties and decades of very close military cooperation.
This deal has very little to do about French submarines, other than to acknowledge that they did not meet the future security needs of Australia.
This deal has been 75 years in the making. To be honest, Iam quite surprised it took so long for it to come into being. I suppose it was truly a byproduct of Brexit. As it would have been much more difficult with the UK still a part of Europe.
Some people are surprised that the US would trust the Aussies with Nuclear tech. The more surprising aspect for me as a American is why we would not.
The United States does not have any better or more trustworthy ally than Australia. We have other close friends such as Britain, Canada, Europe etc. but the Australian people are essentially the as close as any country to the US & UK.
It makes perfect sense to me that your cousin, who has fought and died at your side for over 100 years has more than earned the right to be trusted with some of your most sensitive military technology .
This AUKUS deal is just formalizing what the enlisted men from all three countries have always known.
Who better to support you and watch your back than your close cousins . Who have long shown there commitment to support you for so long.
I hope the French people understand, this deal is certainly not meant as any slight against them.
They also are very close and very trusted allies going back to our begging.
But in the pacific, giving the Aussies US/UK nuclear submarine tech will allow them to help protect all of our extended families.
And let’s be honest, unless the French we’re offering length of life propulsion tech like the US/UK has in there submarines. The Australian gov could not afford it. Australia does not currently have a domestic nuclear program.
Perhaps one day they will. But for now, having US /UK reactor tech allows them to run nuclear submarines without needing a nuclear program at home.
I truly believe that in the future when The French government gets over their anger about loosing out on the last deal. They will realize that with Australia having nuclear subs, will GREATLY help keep the French security issue in check also.
Australia would NOT be able to afford to have nuclear submarines WITHOUT using the US/UK nuclear propulsion systems.
This deal was THE ONLY option for Australia in the Strategic sense.
I hope ALL PARTIES involved understand this.
WELCOME to the clubhouse MATES !!!!!
I believe you have an overly naive and chummy outlook on this matter. Sure the US, UK, and Australia are close in a lot of ways that make Aukus seem like a no Brainer, but we're not that close either.
We're a lot closer culturally and historically with the UK (and Europe) than with the US yet the UK and Euro are on the complete opposite side of the planet and have essentially nothing to do with the goings on in our indo pacific region. We have partnered with the US in their major incursions over the past century (but this is more and more been recognized locally as a shitty arrangement because the US War machine is self serving) - the SSN deal is frankly another shitty deal the US have roped us into. Almost all the real material benefits go to the US, we don't get a nuclear industry, we don't benefit from shipbuilding industry, we get boats in exchange for payment which need to be serviced by US technicians at ongoing cost. Then we're expected to contribute these boats to the US' foreign policy agenda in the south China sea (which is not what we want SSNs for in the first place; we only want nuclear engines because our maritime territory is so vast). SSNs are in fact inferior compared to smaller AIP diesel electric subs especially in the theater of the south China sea. - on top of that we have to wait 20 years for delivery of these boats in the meantime the US is generous enough to offer us leases on old SSNs which were otherwise slated for decommissioning 🤨 to say nothing of how monumentally pissed our regional neighbours will be if down the road there's an accident in the already crowded China sea waters and one of our nuke boats contaminates their fishing waters while we're busy playing world police with America - 20 years from now China will most likely have well & truly taken the crown of the largest economy in the world, and a lot of their long-term foreign investment plans will be nearing completion or already delivering. It's not in our best interests to fight the inevitable change, we don't need to handcuff ourselves to the Yanks- with the state of their economy they'd fuck us any chance they get over China and they already have stolen from our trade.
We're an Eastern economy, and the first (and the last) place ALL the Asian climate refugees will be fleeing to
Excellent analysis. As a dual Aussie/Anerican citizen who has spent half my life living/educated/working in both Oz and the States, I could have ghost written your comments. Well done, good buddy/mate!
@@garryjones7893- I fear you miss the point. What we might wish the world would become is not the same thing as what the world is likely to become.
America has always been an unreliable ally, remember Suez in 1956! Now, having embarked down a path to fratricidal conflict, they are less reliable than ever.
I hate to say this, but the sooner we kow tow to China, the safer we are likely to be.
France was salty becaude it was a big contract to create jobs and enhance its economy. Moreover, France did ask Australia many times if they didnt' prefer nuclear subs and it was always no. Then just like you said, Australia found that the French subs were not good for future conflict. It made the deliveries and program very late thus increasing the price (France would not gain more than the initial 9 billion). Then the night before the AUKUS pact is signed, which is more AUS pact (We see you opportunistic UK that would be even more useless than France in the Indo-pacific), Australia break the contract with France. Not letting a chance for France to even understand why.
Tbh it was not very "professionnal" from Australia and not a good way to treat one of your allies AND regional neighbours.
the likely hood of the french coming to the aid of australia is why Australia walked away.. i do not give two fks about the french im glad we cancelled the deal
A succinct and clearly presented overview of Australia's strategic position, its background and current realities. Thank you for fine work. I look forward to more of this standard.
Great analysis, it would’ve been good to see Australia’s minor outlying islands included in the map (i.e. cocos/keeling, Christmas, Macquarie, heard & mac, Antarctica). Also Australia’s eez includes the coral sea islands and extends further north toward Timor. Whilst these are minor, they do present geopolitical contention for Canberra
Anon, thanks for the heads up! I'll bear that in mind in a future video on southern Pacific geopolitics
AUKUS was also accelerated by the fact that Canada and NZ are increasingly being seen as untrustworthy partners in the existing 5-eyes alliance. Both Canada and NZ pander to Chinese interests (i.e. the connection between the Trudeau family and China is well established). Thus, as Chinese belligerence and capability grow (esp. around cyber), they are being viewed as critical flaws in the ability of western democracy's to mount a defense and thus, pose the greatest national security risk to Australia, UK, US.
I did not know that
Chinese disinformation has done its job i see.
@@SuperSnickerS19of88 All I hear day and night is “China Bad”, I could not even name one pro China English Channel, so I am really not sure what disinformation you are referring to? Perhaps you have been watching too much CPP state media?
@@watchman835 name a pro west channel from CCP?
@@SuperSnickerS19of88 I don’t know, I can not even hear anything from China. Why don’t you name one, since you are such a expert on “Chinese disinformation” ?
Great analysis 👍
It's good to hear someone actually taking AUKUS geopolitics seriously, rather than the usual "Australia's just hiding behind its white friends again, ugh cringe! " or how the media has lapped up Macron's strongman routine when Australia cancelled the contract.
Great work, you put journalists to shame!
Kutonarch! Thanks for the kind comment! I don't know if I deserve such praise, but it feels good nonetheless!😳
What you say is true, there has been a lot of oversimplification and generalization concerning AUKUS, and the linked deal for the subs. What appeared on mainstream news outlets was the coverage of what happened, so France getting pissed and the fact of acquiring nuclear vessels and not the diesel ones. Not many went on the whys of such decision. IMO, that's not really informative and useful to have people critically understand why their representatives made those specific choices. Paraphrasing a famous maxim, you might not think about geopolitics, but geopolitics thinks about you.
A lot forget or do not know of Frances cancellation on being a part of the Euro fighter, what is worse is they also tried getting one other country to pul out of that deal and join thier's.
Was better suited for them and they should see it is Australia's best choice too.
@@micksmith-vt5yi True! Well, apparently they did a great Job with the Rafale, the jet they built instead of the Eurofighter. France's industry is pretty strong, but perhaps there were other considerations involved in the final decision.
@@Kamome163 yea they built a good plane and also wanted a aircraft carrier capable one. But they did some controversial things too.
@@micksmith-vt5yi Aboslutely true
This channel is going to be huge, I'm glad to have been here at the start
I'm glad to have people like you in the community since the start of the channel!❤️
I watch alot of video's about geopolitics. Im delighted that I have found this channel which makes video's about it.
The information is given without an opinion which makes the video unbaised in my opinion. The video edits are well produced, keep you engaged to the video and are informative about the information talked about. The background sound is nice and ambient. The narrators voice is nice to listen too and is very understandeble. The video seems to give only information thats important for the viewer to understand the topic, and not to strech the video.
Sorry I only gave positive critique cause it wont help you too improve :p I just wanted you to know that I liked the video very much and why. Im enthousiastic and can't wait for more video's from your channel!
Edo! Thank you for the "only positive" comment! These positive feedbacks are also my compass to understand if I'm going in the right direction. Plus, they are quite a treat to read! SO, do keep them coming!😝
U sure about this? Lol
Dude you are a absolute rising star on geopolitical CZcams. I love how you focus on Asia as to me it is by far the most interesting geopolitical region. Can't wait to see your channel hopefully grow over the coming months and years.
Thanks, Devin!❤️ Is so interesting and so under covered in the West! Can't wait to do more on the channel! If you have any suggestions or topics you would like to see on the channel, pls let me know!
@@Kamome163 I think a interesting topic would be the growing conflict of interest between Russia and China in Central Asia and how Sino-Russo could become worse with time as one country is on the rise and looking to expand their influence all throughout the region while the other is having major political issues both internal and external has a crumbling economy has terrible demographics(Not that China doesn't have demographics problems of their own) and as time progresses is going to have more and more trouble exerting influence in central and east Asia. Sorry for the long comment lol😅
@@devintaylor1420 Devin, thanks for the suggestions. That's definitely a topic worth looking into! There's actually lots of people who oversimplify sino-russian relations as fundamental allies. Which they are not. ish. That's a great topic! Thanks again!
Incredible work. Thank you!
Wow for someone with so little content already delivered your take is so accurate & concise. I can see the beginnings of a major new voice representing Geo politics without obvious political influence that can speak of facts without deferring to the hidden masters actually pulling the strings which in their amateur ways are patently obvious. I've subscribed & thank you
Thank you so much, susser!
Absolutely love your content Franck, thank you for the high quality video once again. Can't wait to see what video comes next in the Indo-Pacific! Maybe in the future one could be on Taiwan's defensive capabilities/strategy for delaying the PRC for as long as possible until the US/Quad and potentially others came to their assistance.
Back to the video, I wonder why Australia doesn't have more security treaties with neighbors in the Indo-Pacific, like Japan or South Korea for example.
Thanks bud! Well, speaking of which the next one will be on Taiwan, but it'll focus on why the PRC won;t invade it! But IMO it'll be pretty interesting for future videos to analyze Taiwan capabilities.
I think Australia has inked a strategic partnership[ with both, but of course, is not on the same level as an alliance. I guess for Australia not showing herself being too much against China, as a full alliance with Japan would sign, is also part of its strategy.
Keep up the good work man!! 👏
Thanks, Capt.! Happy to see you first in the comment again! 🥇
@@Kamome163 No problem :D
Was actually really good! I look forward to more. Subbed.
If this channel continues to make top quality and informative videos.. your gna pass a million subs in no time.
Australia has a 40% claim to the Antarctic not 20% otherwise great video, really well laid out
Oh boy, you're right! Thank you for spotting that!
That'll be a major draw for the US, that 40% of Antarctica, all those minerals, to be protected against other powers that also have navies. An annex of the American Lake. We could just leave the penguins alone but that's not likely, is it. Better some UN monitoring force of Antarctica as a world park. Just thinking aloud -
I was thinking the same.. hmm no sure it was bout 40%.. Anyways, even that is under threat from the PRC and Russia.
That 40% Australian Antarctic deal must have been calculated before anyone thought of it as anything but Penguins and Ice. Like the Middle East is just sand and Camels.
Such high quality content!
Thank you so much, Martin!
I have just discovered your channel and you are doing a great job! I also like the fact that you and the Caspian report using the same background music You got have just got a new sub 😃
Cheers Edgar!
I joined at 36k can’t wait to see this channel’s growth
Thank you for another informative and accurate video, Kamome! I hope that your future work will go into a bit more detail though. 😀
Enjoying this channel a lot, keep it up.
❤️
Very well done, thank you!
Thank you so much!
Good analysis, much appreciated.
Thanks, Owen!
The video is so informative and explains the problems so well.
Thanks you so much Tony!
You gained a subscriber great content and quality.
Looking forward to seeing this channel to explode. These videos set in Asia and Australia are awesome. Something cool would be a series where it establishes the 2 main sides of the ideological and economic war of china v USA. And the sides and difficulties both sides face.
A video on India similar to this would also be awesome to.
Thank you so much! There's definitely good material for a series, and India deserves an in-depth analysis of its own!
Love your videos friend. I'm Australian, and I am very intrigued to see whether we purchase the US Virginia class (block 5's) or the UK Astute class. Both are technological marvels, but vastly different at the same time. I personally think we will choose Astute class - smaller boat, smaller crews, etc.
Thank you for the kind comment! I agree, I believe those subs will be based on UK's astute or perhaps the dreadnought projects. Let's see what will happen!
Crew recruiment is a huge a problem, it's already difficult with Collin class so Virginia class would add so much more headache for the RAN.
@@tonyvu2011 So true!
Not to mention, that it is bit more modern, tailored for smaller navy and British have production capacity soon to be released.
@@Kamome163 Interested in your thinking behind your expectation that Australia will purchase UK subs, not US.
Bloody well done, awesome video 👍🏼
Cheers mate!
Great video as always!
Thank you so much, Thunder!⚡️
Channeling some real Caspian Report vibes with this one. Even using the same background music. Well done video.
Dan, thank you for the great comment, I definitely appreciate the comparison with Caspian Report being a fan myself! I discovered only later that we used the same soundtrack😅
Awsome work! Keep up man! My salute from Brazil.
Luiz, muito obrigado🙌
I must say this video is well balanced & very clear, without the rhetoric.
Thank you so much, Steve
The explanation on China's grey activities is very enlightening. Kudos!
Good analysis of Australia's maritime foreign policy. Useful for NZ policymakers, journalists, academics and members of the public.
Thank you so much, Andrew!
New Zealand policy makers mean very little. Their main concern is reduce the military down to nothing, kiss up to the Chinese, and roll over and show your belly to any threat... Or bludge off the security provided by your allies while you keep bringing up how you pulled your weight 70 years ago.
@@robertjohnston8531 Bs new Zealand does pretty good we already getting new boats n technology seems every one else relies on NZ really
NZ is the good neighbour, the friend between -
@@andrewjohnwilliams6951 Which new boats are these? And are you saying we are pulling our weight in defence spending cos I would certainly call BS on that. Oh and who relies on us??
Americans often talk about the relationship between Australia and Britain prior to 1942 as if it was some sort of deal or transaction. It wasn’t. Australia was a core part of the British empire and commonwealth. We were the same country.
Things changed after the fall of Singapore. The statute of Westminster (an instrument of independence agreed in between Britain and the dominions in 1934) was ratified by Canberra in 1942. Australian citizenship was only introduced in 1949. Australians ceased being British subjects in 1984.
Michael, thanks for bringing that up. For the sake of brevity, it is impossible to extensively cover those topics in the video, so thank you for writing that in the comments section!
Americans really don’t think about Australia… we like you guys because you’re Anglo and you’re right there with us in war.
"Fall of Singapore". We call it liberation.
@@elmohead - This thread is on the Australian perspective.
@@TenOrbital sorry, didn't know Australia doesn't allow different perspectives.
Great work man keep up the videos these provide streamline information with such detail that blows my mind love from india 😘
Thank you for the kind comment and the love Raghav! Here some back for you😘
Very educational, thank you
Thanks for the enlightenment regarding this topic :)
Glad you liked it!
Awesome. Keep up the great work
Thank you, Andrew!! Please, be sure to check my other videos too😉
Very nice breakdown.
Like Caspian Report, an excellent source on Geopolitics.
Definitely a keeper👌
This was very well done
Thanks, Aaron!
Awesome video!
Another great perspective! Thank you :)
Australia's situation is tricky. Internal issue such as population is setting the country up for even wider power limitation in the future. The current acquired military technology and the time it will take to actually come into operational use + the alliance network all seems like patchwork at best. (Well, this is my own view on it. Apologies if mine didnt match up to other viewers) :)
Jeff, thank you for sharing your comment! Agree, the situation is quite tricky and the new frigates and subs will take decades to be operational. Plus the political debate is also quite heightened on these issues.
No apologies, on the opposite this channel welcomes those who have different views! Otherwise, we couldn't learn a thing, don't you agree?
@@Kamome163 I totally agree and appreciate your openness! I will contribute as much as I can coz your work is great and many viewers can learn about what makes this world function and how it could turn out.
Many may get political and upset but, only a few can see things as it is. Even less, change the geographic limitations that can reshape the world.
Cheers!
@@mynameisChizzle That's great to hear that, and it is just brilliant to have people like you in the Kamome community!
That's quite the truth, but that's also why I think it's important to talk about these topics from an objective perspective, providing facts and sources. I think this can help more to critically understand why countries behave they way they do. Plus, that's also a great exercise for me to put into practice things I learned and to understand more the world we live in.
It is quite tricky and it is why Australia Has been destined to be a middle/regional power
I agree, Jeff. I hope and pray that Australia's somewhat leftist, current government wakes up completely to the threat that China's ambitions pose to the rest of the Pacific region, and indeed, the entire world. Taking firearms out of Australian citizens' hands some years back was not a good strategic move, in hindsight.
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I just subscribed. I like the relaxed flow of narrative. I Have had enough of sensationalizing boring news.
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Thanks for explaining
Excellence in this report.
Small cool thing;
Thank you for pronouncing ASEAN right. So many channels literally do not seem to do their proper research, and call ASEAN as "A-sian", instead of "Ah-See-Un".
Keep up the in-depth research, as well as addicting maps.😄
Thank you so much!! That's so true, it is kinda disappointing to hear the spelling of such important institutions badly pronounced.
I will! 🙌😉
What video editing platform do you use? I love it! I think it would be great for my schoolwork
Great video. From a fellow Aussie!
Cheers mate!
i have a feeling this channel might be the next caspian report......
at least by the quality of the work so far..... :D
Awesome content! Subbed ;-)
Excellent.
Great vids
Such an underrated channel!
Great analysis. However, I'd dare say those trade figures have drastically changed since 2020 (even as early as 2019)
Solid video
Thank you. Greta stuff.
David! As Greta would say, "How dare you!" 😝
Really excellent commentary on my own country's maritime strategy: this video should be required viewing for every Federal parliamentarian. I was remined of a recent comment by a noted Australian strategic commentator at UNSW: ( I paraphrase) that Australia has a 'one punch' navy which totally lacks any resilience'. Unfortunately this is true, and you have made the point in your video commenting on the inability of a nation with only 25 million population to sustain a large fleet. With only 46 vessels of all types, the RAN is pretty small- I think from memory that the JapaneseMaritime Self Defence Forces have...145? I think that a lot of people have trouble conceiving of Australia being a large country, but actually a very small nation. The other thought from the defence commentator was that one should view Australia like a human body , but with all of its arteries lying outside it: these are the long external SLOC's which we are totally reliant on, but cannot secure. Again, another key point you made in your video. So: well done, and i'll certainly be subscribed and tuned in to your channel fron now on!
Incredible content
Actually, it’s very credible.
Very informative
Thanks Tony!
thank you.
Thank you too!
Good analysis
Thanks, Max!
Great video
❤️
great video
Subscribed!
Thank you Aymon
Does oz have 3 months of diesel reserves in the NT? Or is it still in the USA?
With regards to petroleum Australia has some reserves of it’s own. Enough to make all the plastic and plane flying they need. For say road/rail vehicles they have more than enough gas resources for these which can easily be run on LPG.
That;s a great point
ty!!!!!!!
Amazing video. I do have to say you noted that only 1/3 of the subs can be used due to maintenance and standby. But if 4/6 can still be used shouldn’t it be 2/3s available?
It's more like 1/3 on operations, 1/3 training up skills, 1/3 in deep maintenance. So no, it's very rare that 2/3s would be available, and if it was, you would pay a price in availability in the future, might have 0/6 available because 4/6 are undergoing maintenance and 2/6 are training up.
Nice!
Greatest video ever,smart and loved 🌍💓🇺🇲👍🗾💓
Great content. My only suggestion would be to consider changing the music. Caspian Report makes similar videos and has been using that tune for years.
Oh I see! Thanks for the heads-up! Any suggestion?
Any hints on what topic we can look forward to next?
Can you do a video of the Philippines' strategic importance? Thank you.
Absolutely, that's in my future plans!
GOOD JOB MATE
Very good. England has deserted Australia once. And will do it again circumstances prevailing...never forget!
Steve! Do you mean the abandonment of the east of Suez policy?
@@Kamome163 After the Fall of Singapore, Churchill tried to block the Australian Divisions in North Africa from returning home, insisting Europe(Britain) came first. Then when the soldiers were in transit, again Churchill interfered and tried to get them sent to India instead, to defend a rich colony at the expense of their homeland. Australians came out of the whole WW2 affair quite bitter and ready to throw all in with the US.
Australia with our current population could not hope to defend ourselves alone. But thank God we are starting to take positive steps. Our acquisitions may seem small in comparison to what we may face, but with the obtaining of the intellectual property with the weapons systems we are not limited in the quantity we may choose to build. With Aukus we will soon see our own missile production in country here, our airbases are being upgraded some lengthened to handle strategic bombers. 1.4.billion dollars has been approved to build new army barracks.and the list goes on and on. Currently defence spending is around 42.6 billion dollars annually and this is rising, our defence force may be small at present but the new tech is top notch.
You have a good point there, Ken. Australia is developing its military industry, partnering with top-notch military firms. Boeing, BAE, Lockhee.. etc. This will greatly benefit Australia armed forces and domestic industry
just dont make a mess in indonesia.
I hope the USA doesn't get another president who doesn't understand the importance of alliances and geopolitics.
Hahahahahha that's a hope I think the majority of the world shares🤣
I understand that it’s a minimum of 8 submarines and they will be made here ,, we may buy a couple for training and to fill a capability gap
If anyone knows the type of music or genre the background music is please reply to me! I could study for hours to that track! Thanks!
Well stated. As an Aussie, I believe we should embrace nuclear power and create our own nuclear industry. This to eventually be more independent and be able to stand on our own for the most part and be a more supportive Allie to the US and UK. We do have a very capable amphibious capability but I would like to have a air support capability. We should have LO3 and LO4 as F35B carriers, 8 to 12 planes per ship and wing drone capability. Also we should have at lease 12 subs.
Yeah and the neighbours would start their own nuclear program. Id iot.
Fckin US' lapdog.
It's a shame that Australian media didn't convey this information as well as you did. While tearing up that sub deal was a pretty shitty way to treat our French allies, I understand that Australia had no choice but to go all in with the US. The French won't be here to bail us Aussies out if WW3 kicks off.
Great video mate!
Frogs are frogs mate. Jesus, Churchill had to shell the French fleet at anchor in harbor in WWII cause it wouldn't come over to its Allies. Frogs are frogs mate.
Thanks, Dean!
I'm not trying to be rude but the French have never been official allies of Australia.
The French submarine deal was bad from day one, but the pullout was spectacularly badly handled. At the very least the Australian prime minister owed the French president a phone call before publicly announced it. It needlessly pissed off two nuclearpowers.
I was surprised (and perhaps should not have been) that Australia ranks 11th in the world on military spending. That's far from superpower level, but it's pretty respectable.
My understanding is that the French sub contract was terminated in large part because they simply were not doing the job. Two years into the contract nothing had been built, and from what I've heard some of the Australia contractors were flabbergasted on the French disregard for getting any actual work done. The termination was done according to the terms of the contract, so it was not "broken" as such, as the French narrative would have us believe.
Australia's relationship with China is something of a sad story. After decades of increasingly friendly relations, China was treating Australia more and more as a subject power rather than as a potential ally. That was never going to fly; we've learned that China was only ever a fair-weather friend, not to be trusted in the long term. It turns out that if China doesn't want our trade, there's no shortage of other countries willing to fill that gap.
The Chinese narrative on this is of course very different, but from where I'm sitting it looks like China is objecting to Australia blocking exactly the sorts of interventions which it explicitly bans going in the other direction. Then it places transparently politically motivated unilateral trade blocks, while still trying to join the trans-Pacific free trade treaty...
Eh. Five years ago I would have counted China as a cautious ally. Lesson learnt.
Ronny, Thanks for your comment. That's so true, up until five-ten years ago, China and Chinese in general were considered as close partners, now the situation pretty much reversed.
There is not much difference in spending from No 11 to No 4/5....it is interesting to not though, that this time n 2022, with their new comittments, Australia may actually be in 3rd position if India falters with their spending comittments, which is def on the cards! The times are changing fast.
Excellent presentation with exception of intrusive music. Thank you for all your hard work and for your technical knowledge and clear graphics. You have an appreciative subscriber. May I ask what your name Kamome means?
Id also argue for the Nuclear submarines. It is about global strike power, strategically into our region. We have not had this capability since the retirement of the F1-11's
Super hornets with LRASM and Growlers give the RAAF more capability then the F-111 ever did. I'm a big fan of the F-111 by the way.
Australia is paying for the opportunity to become pawns of the US. This is not independent strike power. Australia will be entirely beholden to the US. Before doing anything, it has to beg permission from the US. Imagine that in 2050, Australia don't need these nuclear subs anymore. The new government wants to get rid of them. Sell them. Again, go beg permission from mother first. This was the whole reason for the French sub deal that eventually failed. The insistence on local manufacture, technology trade. So that Australia does not get too dependent on the manufacturer. Like Argentina.
Your videos are so good bro. Do you have any university qualifications? Your in-depth analysis puts some of my strategic studies professors to shame hahah !
Thank you so much Samuel!🥹 I have a BA in Political Science with minor in IR and a Master in Strategic Studies! I’m glad to see a fellow ‘strategist’ here 🤩💪
@@Kamome163 Ahh awesome man that's what I am doing as well ! I hope you don't mind if I reference your work from time to time ;)
@@samueljeffries8671 I don’t know if I’m worthy of that 😂 but you can find the bibliography and sources used in the description of each video👍
Well the difference not mentioned is that with the French subs Australia could’ve built their own
can you please talk about the conflict claim of between Koh Trol island of Cambodia and Phu Quoc island of Vietnam from France for us please. thank you
Interesting video! But please tune down the background music...
Do for the Philippines please. How the archipelago is more important than ever.
Bisa! I will🙌
I don't think your sub deployment doctrine stated around 10 min mark is for attack subs. Sounded like the UK nuclear deterrence model. What's your source for 1 deployed, 1 on ready, 1 in maintenance attack sub statement?
Edward, thanks for bringing that up and thank you for asking the source! That's great to have a community whatchdogging these topics! The main sourc is from this paper A System Dynamics Model of Submarine Operations and Maintenance Schedules, R. G. Coyle and Paul A. Gardiner. Unfortunately, most of this information on type of subs and exact scheduling are classified, and that's why I only said that it's a general rule for submarines. I also used this source www.researchgate.net/publication/322382589_Fleet_Life_Cycle_Management_Applying_Asset_Management_to_Sustain_a_Multi-Class_Submarine_Fleet in regard to the Australian Navy requirements.
P.S. Please continue this work of asking sources and references! This helps making the videos better!
Thanks. Interesting analysis and very good graphics, though the background 'music' was rather too loud. FYI, Brisbane is pronounced Brizb'n, not Briz-bane.
We're not an Island 😣
Bal Pow, thank you for the feedback! I will bring the volume down in the next videos! And sorry for butchering Brisbane pronunciation!
Michael! Yes I know, I included island to make non-aussie viewers understand just how big Australia is.
@@Kamome163 No problem -- Aussies use rather counterintuitive pronunciation.
@@balpow Totally agree
I may point out, the the government stated "at least eight" meaning we can get a lot more yet but well see how eventuates and costs
Good point!
4:09 can they not just go around perth straight through the indian ocean for oil? i dont see why they have to go around sumatra just to take a longer route
Not sure if this is something you have control over or not but when I linked this video to my buddies on discord the thumbnail image had the title within it saying "Australia's Martme Strategy", just a heads up amigo!
Dainomite! Thanks for sharing the video, bud, you're the best! Yeah, that was a typo, thanks for the heads up😅