Elections & markets: What to expect after 2024 polls | Analysis reveals surprising trends

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  • čas přidán 2. 06. 2024
  • Elections have a profound impact on the stock market. The chosen regime shapes economic policies that influence corporate earnings and stock prices. In this video, we analyse the market behavior before and after election results based on data from the past four election cycles.
    Our analysis uncovers some actionable insights that you can use to navigate market volatility and make informed decisions amidst political uncertainty. Additionally, we have also looked at how different sectors have performed during previous elections to see if there is any trend. You can watch the video to know about these sectors and the investment strategy for your equity investments amid election volatility.
    Video on PSU stocks: • Are PSU stocks overval...
    Chapters
    00:00 Introduction
    01:25 Elections & markets: Fundamentals vs sentiments
    07:08 Top-performing sectors during the election period
    09:02 Calculated moves: Investment strategies amid election volatility
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Komentáře • 191

  • @avSandeep91
    @avSandeep91 Před 17 dny +6

    One point, india will overcome with Our large number of SIP amount compare to last elections. There is a big SIP boom after Covid which will hold the market to all time high .

  • @skandhashetty1597
    @skandhashetty1597 Před měsícem +34

    But, one thing to be kept in mind this time around is that the present government is also indicating and the sentiment around also is that the stock markets, especially good PSU stocks will definitely rally if the current government comes back to power.
    This wasn’t talked much about in the previous elections.

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem +2

      Hello, thanks for sharing your perspective. I am sure our viewers will find it useful.

    • @informativeculture263
      @informativeculture263 Před 27 dny +1

      @@ETMONEY Morgan stanley predicts that market will show 10 % growth if bjp wins that means 4900 points in bank nifty which reaches 55000 level .will that work sir?

    • @Hamid93ful
      @Hamid93ful Před 18 dny +1

      Psu stock is like option trading at that time.( few stock ) yes its true that after election results if bjp win 300-350 its really atleast 10-20% my question is uske baad kya? appke psu stock earings la sakte hai na? bhulo mat psu company public interest ke liye banaya huya tha profit karne ke liye nehi .so kal aihi bjp vote pane ke liye psu ko non profitable bana de to?

  • @TECHNICALALHAN
    @TECHNICALALHAN Před 22 dny +1

    Sir, grateful for all the effort that has been put into making this video. This is indeed useful for me. Keep making such videos regardless of views count

  • @sujathathiruvengadam7260
    @sujathathiruvengadam7260 Před měsícem +1

    When do we need to redeem and reenter. Is correction expected. During election or before election result.

  • @seajaey1
    @seajaey1 Před 24 dny

    Thanks for the informative video!

  • @niranjannv
    @niranjannv Před 20 dny +1

    Very beautiful explanation, simple and easy narration on how to handle the volatility and strategy during the elections

  • @pramoddubeyallahbad
    @pramoddubeyallahbad Před měsícem +11

    aayenge to Moji ji hi. chahe kuch bh ho

  • @vaibha3v
    @vaibha3v Před měsícem +3

    Very insightful. Thanks.

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, we are extremely happy to know that you found this video useful. Please share it with your friends and family as well and help spread the word.

    • @informativeculture263
      @informativeculture263 Před 27 dny

      @@ETMONEY Morgan stanley predicts that market will show 10 % growth if bjp wins that means 4900 points in bank nifty which reaches 55000 level .will that work sir?

  • @ashwinsonavane
    @ashwinsonavane Před 24 dny +1

    Very nicely presented ❤

  • @IB568
    @IB568 Před měsícem +1

    Excellent insights for retailers. Appreciated 👍

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, glad to know that you found this video helpful. Please don’t forget to share it with your friends and family.

  • @soumyajeetchakrabarty6872

    This has been insightful

  • @user28123
    @user28123 Před měsícem +1

    Thanks for the insights

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, glad to know that you found this video helpful. Please don’t forget to share it with your friends and family.

  • @rosegeorge4194
    @rosegeorge4194 Před měsícem +1

    Very informative

  • @ruturajgulavani5017
    @ruturajgulavani5017 Před měsícem +1

    thanks for these details

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, please share this video with your friends and family as well.

  • @ashwinigurung7716
    @ashwinigurung7716 Před měsícem

    very informative, Thanks

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, we are extremely happy to know that you found this video useful. Please share it with your friends and family as well and help spread the word.

  • @ragus1416
    @ragus1416 Před měsícem +1

    Very useful topic!

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, nothing pleases us more than knowing that our content proved useful to our viewers. Do take out time to share it with your near and dear ones as well.

  • @kanwalpreetkaur
    @kanwalpreetkaur Před měsícem +1

    Helpful indeed

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, nothing pleases us more than knowing that our content proved useful to our viewers. Do take out time to share it with your near and dear ones as well.

  • @tusharaggarwal6755
    @tusharaggarwal6755 Před měsícem

    Great analysis, thanks

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, thanks for your encouraging words. Please help spread the message by sharing this video with your friends and family.

  • @KiranPatil-cf9vg
    @KiranPatil-cf9vg Před 29 dny +2

    I liked it how you put things into perspective and explained the complex concepts so easily.

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před 11 dny

      We are glad you found it useful. Do share it with your friends and family and help us reach more people.

  • @satishkumar-wm5jw
    @satishkumar-wm5jw Před 11 dny

    Pls cover IT sector way ahead and your views on it for entry points and stock recovery vs fed rate cut

  • @PremKumar-lo2fy
    @PremKumar-lo2fy Před měsícem

    wonderful content

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, we are extremely happy to know that you found this video useful. Please share it with your friends and family as well and help spread the word.

  • @arshivarvariya571
    @arshivarvariya571 Před měsícem +1

    Very informative video

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, nothing pleases us more than knowing that our content proved useful to our viewers. Do take out time to share it with your near and dear ones as well.

  • @VisheshMurarka
    @VisheshMurarka Před 18 dny +1

    Is this data cumulative or per day ?

  • @sumantgudihal5430
    @sumantgudihal5430 Před měsícem

    Beautiful analysis

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, thanks for your encouraging words. Please help spread the message by sharing this video with your friends and family.

  • @avd2111
    @avd2111 Před měsícem +5

    i think we also need to look at present scenario which is
    3.7 crore demat accounts were added in fiscal year 2024,marking the largest increase ever and US stocks dips arent affecting Indian Market, and there are many factors which need to be added apart from Past data (which is analytics from 1970's) for those who are the data segment can easily understand this

    • @Hamid93ful
      @Hamid93ful Před 18 dny +1

      yes our market is mature now SIP growing.but 2020 ke baad jitne vi ghuse hai wo sirf 10k leke option trade kar raha hai ,apne dekha option trading ka volume? valuation?ek vi dawn fall 30-35% ka to 50% 2020 ke bad ane wala log vag Jaye ga market se

  • @anandnarayandas8023
    @anandnarayandas8023 Před měsícem

    Great Video! Thanks!

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hi, glad to know that you found this video helpful. Please don’t forget to share it with your friends and family.

  • @manojitkundu6887
    @manojitkundu6887 Před měsícem

    Nice

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, thanks for your encouraging words. Please help spread the message by sharing this video with your friends and family.

  • @tapendramathur6158
    @tapendramathur6158 Před měsícem

    Great video

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, thanks for your encouraging words. Please help spread the message by sharing this video with your friends and family.

  • @pranavpandey3933
    @pranavpandey3933 Před 23 dny

    The earnings after 2021 are consolidated and standalone before that how can we fairly compare the two

  • @vpmanojkumar2281
    @vpmanojkumar2281 Před měsícem +2

    Which one should I choose nifty alpha 50 index or nifty mid momentum 50 index? For next 20 year investment

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, we have recently done a video on factors. Please watch it at: czcams.com/video/39_19IrgPX4/video.html

  • @PankajChauhan-od5cp
    @PankajChauhan-od5cp Před měsícem

    Nice analysis

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, thanks for your encouraging words. Please help spread the message by sharing this video with your friends and family.

  • @informativeculture263
    @informativeculture263 Před 28 dny +6

    Morgan stanley predicts that market will show 10 % growth if bjp wins that means 4900 points in bank nifty which reaches 55000 level .will that work sir?

  • @pawankalyan8905
    @pawankalyan8905 Před měsícem

    Good video. Please cover asset allocation topic.

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, please share this video with your friends and family as well. We already have videos on asset allocation: czcams.com/video/LjenTXf-7eQ/video.html & czcams.com/video/MYZO5D7puTA/video.html

  • @GoutamGuha-yu2hn
    @GoutamGuha-yu2hn Před měsícem +1

    Please discuss about value and growth investing in interest rate cycle

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem +1

      Hello, thanks for your suggestion. Will share it with the team.

  • @Happiness_Key
    @Happiness_Key Před měsícem +1

    گڈ ویڈیو

  • @Martinspurling
    @Martinspurling Před 24 dny

    Being in the discord and starting trading is literally changing my life. I'm starting with a small $2000 account but I got it up to $9600 in three days! Not a lot of money but thats a big growth for me. 🎉🎉🎉

  • @poorgamerfact412
    @poorgamerfact412 Před 29 dny +1

    I am thinking to buy to buy call option on the day of election results for btst. Will the market will open gap up or gap down the day after the results?

    • @harish9223
      @harish9223 Před 25 dny +1

      I think we should wait for result because anything can happen
      What if bjp losses calls won't work out so it's better to wait for confirming

    • @123bcjnv
      @123bcjnv Před 11 dny

      Just buy CE and PE same number of lot on 3:29 PM june 3rd. Both 4 strikes away from ATM

  • @Shahul008-vlogs
    @Shahul008-vlogs Před 16 dny

    Share market is one the component of the India's growth. After all there people who really dont trade or invest in the market. Market ko kisi ne nahi roka h upar jane ke liye. Jo b qye satta me Country has go up and overall growth has to take place ❤❤❤❤

  • @VarunStream
    @VarunStream Před 9 dny

    And that’s why we need a stable government.

  • @sukanyareddivari3063
    @sukanyareddivari3063 Před 13 dny

    Good video.can you please suggest me whether to invest money lumpsum in mutual funds now.i am confused whether should I invest or not before elections result

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před 11 dny +1

      If you are looking to invest for the long term, it is best not to try to time the marketing. A systematic investment via a SIP or an STP can automatically help you take care of market movements. Alternatively, you can check out ET Money Genius on our app. You get personalised multi-asset portfolios that invest and manage your money based on market conditions.

  • @_quotes_of_wise_7856
    @_quotes_of_wise_7856 Před měsícem

    Guys i have plan for this election result i am going to buy far out of the money Ce's and Pe's in nifty and bank nifty .hopee I'll get some profits...

  • @two8915
    @two8915 Před měsícem

    i was thinking companies share price goes up and down depending on profit made by company.

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, of course, they do. But market sentiment and valuations are determinants of stock prices, too.

    • @two8915
      @two8915 Před měsícem

      @@ETMONEY ifci company showing its loss from 4 year but have 300% returns in 1 year

  • @vmkumar14
    @vmkumar14 Před měsícem

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, please share this video with your friends and family as well.

  • @sujathathiruvengadam7260
    @sujathathiruvengadam7260 Před měsícem

    Make a video about is redeeming our mfs needed at the moment and reenter after correction. People say till election result rally will be there, then correction will happen

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, there is no need to time the market. You can rebalance your portfolio as per your asset allocation.

    • @tanmay8759
      @tanmay8759 Před 18 dny

      Same doubt…If you get any valuable video regarding this, please post the link.

  • @yaqooty2k
    @yaqooty2k Před měsícem +5

    Good video but recommend to make the video a little more engaging probably by changing the tone, inserting some fun nuggets, etc. Not sure if the rest of your viewers feel the same.

  • @pramoddubeyallahbad
    @pramoddubeyallahbad Před měsícem

    हम निवेश करना चाहते हैं क्या किया जाये

    • @WHITE-pz8sv
      @WHITE-pz8sv Před 13 dny +1

      Iske bare mein janiyea pariyea. Fir ek demat account kholiyea ar nivesh shuru ki jiyea

  • @dineshkrishnan6669
    @dineshkrishnan6669 Před 10 dny

    If i ate briyani for past 2 days. It dosent mean that i will eat briyani today.

  • @combatcritique
    @combatcritique Před 19 dny +2

    I wouldn't count out opposition's chances of winning😅

  • @informativeculture263
    @informativeculture263 Před 28 dny

    Can some one answer me plz

  • @din2188
    @din2188 Před měsícem

    First Like

  • @roopjyotibanerjee6346
    @roopjyotibanerjee6346 Před měsícem +1

    Current govt is coming back... So invest in psu

  • @sohank7131
    @sohank7131 Před měsícem

    Looking at the rally the share market shown post election results in MP Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh there is high chance of Nifty moving up sharply post June 4th. Everyone is expecting NDA 3 to be more powerful and decisive than ever before with a clear focus on economy. PSU, Green energy, Infrastructure & Defence sectors might be the ones benefiting the most in short term.

  • @vaibhavrana
    @vaibhavrana Před měsícem

    BROFITS

  • @gvvskm2024
    @gvvskm2024 Před měsícem

    Targets for next 10 days
    UTI AMC: 1200
    Nippon AMC: 700
    Lemon tree: 145-155
    Shriram AMC: 200
    Paytm: 300
    IRFC: 125
    RVNL: 210
    NHPC: 110

  • @kuldeepraina7360
    @kuldeepraina7360 Před 29 dny +1

    Doom is coming - veteran operator

    • @kinsukrh
      @kinsukrh Před 29 dny +2

      Only you'll be doomed, rest will boom!

    • @Akm25
      @Akm25 Před 15 dny

      You kashmiri hindus didn't learn any lesson I guess

  • @coldstone87
    @coldstone87 Před 22 dny

    Earnings are a function of Government's ability to give tax breaks and pro industry policies.
    This time its different because Congress has promised huge amount of freebies to win the elections, which are simply too much chew. System will fall under its own weight and next 5 years will remain as a dark phase of India's growth much like 1991-2002. Mark my words you optimists thinking it will be alright!

  • @ysingh2579
    @ysingh2579 Před 19 dny +1

    BJP is the need of the hour. This has to be win with huge margin. Ab ki baar 400 par.

  • @Sandeep-nb6jz
    @Sandeep-nb6jz Před 29 dny

    Defence self-sufficiency
    Development in tourism
    Road and infrastructure
    Railway- separate freight lane, vandematram trains
    Port connectivity
    Border road infra development
    All developmental work finshed in lesser time and scale was much larger than UPA. All these will go to drain if INDIA Aliance comes.
    INDIA aliance will break due to weak coilation. Market has no faith in them

  • @aniketgupta4407
    @aniketgupta4407 Před 20 dny +8

    Plz save my nation my friends.. Plz vote for BJP.. I don't want restoration of article 370..

  • @Samudragupta_
    @Samudragupta_ Před měsícem +1

    Matlab BJP agar election haar gayi toh market mein entry ka badhiya mauka milega lekin uske jeetne se koi fayda nahi hoga humara.

    • @gauravkingmahar
      @gauravkingmahar Před měsícem

      Bas tu entry hi kar payega kyuki PAPPU baad me market ki ma chod dega…. INDI alliance me agar koi samarthan wapas le liya to bade post ke liye to market ke aur laude lag jayenge

    • @bookofeverything3204
      @bookofeverything3204 Před 26 dny

      Bilkul

  • @AliciaCrone
    @AliciaCrone Před měsícem +24

    With around $250k to invest, what's your advice on entering the market? I'm considering replicating the strategies of experts instead of investing independently to avoid both financial losses and emotional stress. What are your thoughts on this approach?

    • @cherylhills3227
      @cherylhills3227 Před měsícem

      Consider diversifying your portfolio with a mix of stocks and stable assets. Seeking professional advice now could provide valuable insights and strategies to navigate market uncertainties and protect your investments.

    • @georgeearling905
      @georgeearling905 Před měsícem

      This is an insightful perspective to consider.

    • @wehrine
      @wehrine Před měsícem

      Agreed, my portfolio is well matched for every market season yielding 60% from early last year till date. I and my advisor are working on a 7 figure ball park

    • @sebastiaanthijn7982
      @sebastiaanthijn7982 Před měsícem

      @@wehrine Your financial advisor must be really good, I hope it's okay to inquire if you're still working with the same Advisor and how can I get in touch with them?

    • @wehrine
      @wehrine Před měsícem

      That would be Eric Paul Elmer

  • @selvaganesh9351
    @selvaganesh9351 Před měsícem

    I have accidently deleted my et money account. Can you please help me to recover it

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před měsícem

      Hello, please visit www.etmoney.com/help. Here you can raise your concern and a customer-service executive will get back to you.

  • @smartbinit2
    @smartbinit2 Před měsícem +45

    If BJP comes the market will grow BIGGEST ever as they plan to make India 3rd largest economy

    • @vinit755
      @vinit755 Před měsícem +6

      Still planning...

    • @Ankitjaiswal-hd7pv
      @Ankitjaiswal-hd7pv Před měsícem +27

      Andhbhakt spotted

    • @smartbinit2
      @smartbinit2 Před měsícem +34

      @@Ankitjaiswal-hd7pv pappu army

    • @gauravkingmahar
      @gauravkingmahar Před měsícem +10

      @@vinit755 already came from 10th to 5th…. Look at the returns of Railways and PSU stocks

    • @vinit755
      @vinit755 Před měsícem +6

      @@gauravkingmahar it's does how large is economy.
      Look at the people and check average income per person.
      Only rich will benifit.
      And once check the train that average person is traveling.
      Not everyone can you vande Bharat becoz it's crazy expensive.

  • @VermaRajinder
    @VermaRajinder Před měsícem

    Why ??? 😂😂😂

  • @moideenmirshad
    @moideenmirshad Před 22 dny

    this time 12% Crash

  • @bravocharlie9294
    @bravocharlie9294 Před 17 dny

    aapkibaar ED sarkar , aapkibaar corrupt sarkar , aapkibaar Godi Sarkar , aapkibaar blackmoney wali sarkar

  • @roshnichauhan5551
    @roshnichauhan5551 Před 16 dny

    Hindi me b kuch bol do

  • @vinodh3351
    @vinodh3351 Před měsícem

    2004 and 2024 are not same say mf are the driving force now in 2004 we were dependent on fi.
    Bjp is not getting majority single handedly the next is a hung nda or India alliance with outside support from bjd and ysr. Market will react to it. nifty will test 24000 this year before that you can see correction once bjp doesn't get full majority

  • @northeasttrader908
    @northeasttrader908 Před 25 dny

    Haha opposite market crash🤡🤡

    • @yudhishthir8588
      @yudhishthir8588 Před 14 dny

      Big bull are preparing for crash
      As all bear has rallied up with eleCtion
      They gonna crash the market ,as there are 64 major election conducting this year

  • @nithinextreme
    @nithinextreme Před měsícem +1

    Should be ashamed to market modi for pennies everywhere u go. Have some balls, u guys are journalists.

  • @Martinspurling
    @Martinspurling Před 24 dny

    Great content. TA is good but I find it truly baffling that all major crypto youtubers just look at pure T.A and completely Ignore the bigger narrative of why BC Is pumping and why the future outlook might not be as rosy as it seems.
    It's kinda irresponsible to ignore the fact that each ETF launch so far has caused a major pump at the peaks of BTC.. We were already on shaky footing with historically low volume and almost pure whale pumps, narrowly avoiding a long-term bear market. more emphasis should be put into day trading as It is less affected by the unpredictable nature of the Market.. I have made over 9btc from day trading with Walter James Henry, insights and signals in less than six week, this is one of the Best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish..

  • @Vaibhavd416
    @Vaibhavd416 Před měsícem +7

    If BJP get anything less than 300 in election then Market will crash for short time.

    • @Quantinvestor1
      @Quantinvestor1 Před měsícem +1

      😂😂😂😂

    • @VmlucyBDaGV2aQ
      @VmlucyBDaGV2aQ Před měsícem

      BJP control all the institutions in the country including the election commission. They can even get 400 if they want.

    • @VmlucyBDaGV2aQ
      @VmlucyBDaGV2aQ Před měsícem +2

      BJP can get 400 if they want.

    • @Vaibhavd416
      @Vaibhavd416 Před měsícem +6

      @@VmlucyBDaGV2aQ with only help of EVM.
      Forget 400
      Even repeating 2019 result look difficult now..

    • @TheFourthWinchester
      @TheFourthWinchester Před měsícem +10

      @@Vaibhavd416 Funny how EVM is perfect whenever Congress wins like in south states.

  • @sabujose
    @sabujose Před měsícem +1

    This time will be like 2004.

  • @imternationalnews3488
    @imternationalnews3488 Před 17 dny

    you are a very cheap Bhakt, you have decreased your view by using a picture of a dictator. shame on you.

  • @user-vh7dy8ht6v
    @user-vh7dy8ht6v Před měsícem +1

    Bjp will win 220 seats and form government

  • @arvindynr
    @arvindynr Před měsícem +4

    bjp will get lesser seats than previous term. hence markets will fall after election.

    • @Neom-wu4qr
      @Neom-wu4qr Před 23 dny +3

      Save this comment... will meet on 4xth

    • @SHIVAMSINGH-be5uh
      @SHIVAMSINGH-be5uh Před 20 dny

      ​@@Neom-wu4qrwhat about your opinion

    • @Akm25
      @Akm25 Před 15 dny +1

      ​@@SHIVAMSINGH-be5uhPrashant Kishore even rajdeep sardesai are saying it is clear win for bjp.

  • @shashankkumar6512
    @shashankkumar6512 Před 15 dny

    worst video ever

  • @shyamsundarojha6048
    @shyamsundarojha6048 Před měsícem +5

    BHAG MODI BHAG

  • @shanks9345
    @shanks9345 Před 28 dny

    Suggest some good psu stocks please

    • @ETMONEY
      @ETMONEY  Před 27 dny

      Hello, while we can't make any stock recommendations, we do have a video on PSUs. You can watch it at czcams.com/video/bsGr1KKm7I4/video.html

  • @ZiyaCircle
    @ZiyaCircle Před 17 dny

    🩳🩳🩳🩳Development & progress only for rich men …in BJP India POORS ALWAYS POORS…ADANI AMBANI become more rich 🩳🩳🩳🩳🩳🩳

    • @Akm25
      @Akm25 Před 15 dny

      Muhammad andhbhakt 😂