it's not because they're named communist that they are far left, they are not what imagine communists are like and RN is not far right because they're "just anti immigration", it's much more than that
Actually, the communist party has been part of left leaning governments since the 80' and were part of the 'Gauche plurielle' government 10 years ago, when Macron was the economy minister (before creating his own centrist party). So, yes, it wouldn't be the same thing as a far-right government.
they're not, almost party of the left wing allied this time which isn't just the communist but also ecologist and socialist. but the way the communist party is considered far left. That being said they do have some very vocal and present speaker.
@@VoidOperator well the President is the head of state (like the King in the UK but with more power for example), he deals with international affairs, diplomacy and general agenda of the government whiles the Prime Minister mainly deals with domestic affairs (being from the majority party of parliament), he names his ministers, passes new laws, etc.
@@florimond. And interestingly other EU countries that's reversed, the PM usually has more power (Poland, Czech, Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Lux, Malta, Netherlands, Slovak, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Britian), with the President having administrative and internal affairs. Germany (Chancellor) and Ireland (Taoiseach) are different. The countries with President as head of state is Cyprus, France, Lithuania, Romania (and out of EU the USA of course and others) At least as far as I understand from America, trying to figure out how all the various democracies work.
There's nothing wrong with the policy of "national self-preservation" on issues of internal security regarding unlimited immigration of Islamist & that Putin nuclear threat, annexations & gunpoint referendum.
My guess is that Le Pen will stay in 1st place after 2nd election, but they will not get the majority, so most likely a deadlock unless RN forms with LR (if they even manage to get something...)
French here, i think we will have no majority. We have a lot of far right voters but also a lot of voters that want anything but far right. I have a hard time seeing a coalition between macron and the left, but it's not impossible if there's no other alternative
You can’t keep the far right away forever. If they don’t get majority now they will soon. The more goes wrong the more people will realize the far right will be the answer
I live and vote in France and would have saved myself a lot of time this morning by waiting for this to 'pop' up in my YT feed instead of trying to find out who would be in 2nd round!! Those candidates wishing to pull out have until tomorrow at 6pm.
this was a very clear video. I just wanted to ad that this election has broke record of votes by procuration (meanning that people who cannot vote in their district give their vote to a person of their choosing), with 2 millions of such votes.
@@kennethshowers9144 No, they're not. You know nothing about France. Some people are already on holiday. They save money for 11 months for that. So, if I had planned to go to the beach for three weeks six months ago and bought my tickets, believe me, elections or not, I'll take my holidays, even if most of the French take their holidays in August.
@@sophiewanlin8612 Sorry, I've forgotten to mention I am a 50+ years old educated french one who spend a lot ot time listening to many people dealing with politics, most of them not on TV. I am not Jon Snow... I agreed with you about holidays' influence but it is not so huge. McKinsey's representative uses those leaving in Ehpads, who are stuck in front of a TV continuously telling them what to think and what to do, to increase his score, even without considering pure fraud. I do like I. Aberkane quote about that: "Ils sont télé guidés"
@@kennethshowers9144 _"I am a 50+ years old _*_educated_*_ french one who spend a lot ot time listening to many people dealing with politics"_ _" _*_Aberkane_*_ quote..."_ 🤣 By the way I don't know what McKinsey's theory you are refering to. Private organisations cannot just send people into residential care/retirement homes to get procurations. Procurations for elderly people in retirement homes are regulated by law, and for residents that aren't mentally able to take decisions on their own, the families in charge must give their approval for any procuration. At any rate individual procurations cannot be handled by any private third party.
Yes and no - far right victories in e.g. Scandinavia, Germany, Poland, Netherlands have put the utter incompetence of people who trigger fear as a reason to vote. They need to be elected to be kicked out the next time - the trick is to limit the damage they do in the process. Similar cycle happening with Farage in UK.
In denmark we have a tradition for compromises between the blocks This is hard work but good results are created that benefit all. The far left and far right are in most cases excluded from the deals
Not really, Macron is more a semi-passive passenger rather than a machiavellian politician in this instance. His party losing its relative majority was a certainty. Also, He was already passing laws on shaky ground (using the 49.3 article to force them through Parliament, at the risk of Parliament forcing a dissolution). With Macron's party fall during the EU Elections, the de-facto alliance with LR (Conservatives) would have broke, forcing the dissolution.
@@tomlundquist8093 as they should be. But really I'd love to have compromise between the parties here in Czechia. They're incompetent and our directions lead to the small far-right and large populist blocks. Left is definitely gone now and only centre-right conservatives are somewhat the last pro democracy party. Though, they're corrupt and nonfunctional. We are cooked.
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at least some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
Your argument crumbles precisely because the right exists and also want to reduce immigration. Far right is characterised by conservative social values, xenophobia, cult of authority and strong leaders, anti-elite discourse and populist policies. The RN program checks all of these boxes, the right only checks some of them to some extent.
There's a detail seemingly overlooked by many, when looking at national scores. RN and NFP both had candidates in all 577 constituencies, but Ensemble, Macron's coalition didn't. They strategically withdrawed from a lot of areas, in favor of moderate candidates from the left and the right. So despite scoring less than NFP on the national level, they managed to get second place in lots of places. Won't win them a majority, but that was never the goal for Macron. He wants one thing, a parliament where he could manage to find a majority with moderates from both side, so he can widen his base. It's clearly a long shot, but with his dissolution he changed the narrative. In 2022, every other party was campaigning against Macron, as he just won the presidency, and traditionally the president get an absolute majority. But he failed at that, and we had for 2 years a parliament with an absolute majority of deputies hostile to the government. But now, with his seemingly low score, he's not even considered the challenger. So those who're gonna get elected next sunday will have campaigned against RN, and his party could still find themselves as the second largest group in parliament, since the NFP will split up to seat with their respective parties after the election.
OK, so I'm not French, and while the explanation in the video was good, I'm wondering whether Macron's party could either join a ruling coalition with RN or with some other party or parties. Also, it wasn't clear to me what happens if no governing coalition is formed. Does Macron pick the Prime Minister or does a new election need to be held?
In our system the president picks whoever he wants as prime minister. But to make sure this new government does not get fired immediatly, he is kind of forced to pick a candidate from the party having the most seat in the assembly After the second turn, our Law says that a new dissolution of the parliament is impossible until next year.
@@iamseamonkey6688 If they don't win a majority next sunday, which is most likely, the left alliance will be over. They will seat with their respective parties, and start fighting again.
Because far-left are the revolutionaries, the trotskists...they do not want to win through election, but through revolution. We do have some far-left candidates in France, but they are only there to show they still exist. Their purpose in an election is not to win, just to show off. They make between 2 and 5% off the counted votes.
These terms are not easily moved measures of popularity. Far right means holding to a set of policies that are broadly and commonly found in far right movements. Le Penn is quite objectively far right.
Well because the far left didn’t nearly win the elections. I mean if you’re actually an idiot, then voting for RN is smart I suppose. Though in that aspect you’re likely uneducated on history.
Just to clarify something for 4:06 : this isn't really the case Melenchon asked for 'no more votes nor seats for the RN', and told their candidates to withdraw if in third place. The policy is clear, no need to explain further. Macron, on his side, called for 'a large rally clearly democratic and republican' against the far right, which may sound similar. The thing is that, for months now, and even more during this campain, the strategy of its side was to call the NFP 'extremists', 'antisemitic' and say that they're trying to dismantle and destroy the republic, even saying himself that a NFP victory would lead to a civil war. By saying 'clearly', he stays in its position without sounding too forgiving with the far right, he justs asks for votes for himself. So no, Macron isn't really asking to vote against the RN, but rather to vote for his party, saying he's the best defense against the far right. Like he did since 2017.
@@TillBarkley Honestly? Hard to tell. I think some will, but not all. Attal, the prime minister, called for a real front, and called for a withdraw if in third position, but other influent ministers and politicians from his side (Le Maire, Berger, or Philippe for example) said that 'oh, it depends, I won't call to vote for LFI (the main party in the NFP). So no clear position, no clear idea, which is a clever move in itself. They don't clearly call for a barrage against the RN which would give weight to the NFP, and they get to say that they did after the election. Like we say in France, 'the butter and the ass of the butter maker'. It's a dangerous position to hold, but they don't lose anything in having it. Except some dignity and trust in the political world, but it's screwed already so who cares
@@TillBarkley From what I have seen, it depends on who the Popular Front candidate is. If they are from the Socialists or the Greens, who are establishment left leaning parties, they will step aside. If it’s from LFI or other far left parties, they will stay in the race.
Thanks, I’ve watched multiple videos on the French elections but none explained the actual system or gave proper insight on the current situation. This was very helpful
Mainly the open bigotry against minorities, in particular in recent years blaming anything and everything on immigration. But also the willingness to force other people to go along with their plans even if it destroys basic human rights and the democratic nature of the system.
@@SunbeamGiant Mostly being exposed to immigrants' violence, littering and different religions. It's a cultural shock and they think it's necessary to protect their culture
@@Taladar2003 Far-right is different in most countries though, here in austria far right is considered if you believe in total austrían superiority over any other ethnicity (basically FPÖ) I for example do not support that. And unfortunately we don't have any other party that would actually do anything against all the muslim terrorists in our country. But that would societally be viewed a centre-right or just normal right here.
Okay...I'm the first to announce I have next to no idea about French politics or it's political system. The good news, that doesn't matter as I am not a French citizen. But starting from a point of nearly zero knowledge about the French political system and assuming this video is accurate...this video is fantastic. The best possible explanation and all under seven minutes...just amazing. I am ignorant of most things European (in fact I'm ignorant, plain and simple) but after watching this video I feel more enlightened about France's system...and appreciate France a little more than before. Thank You for making this available.
Clear and concise video. It brought a lot of clarity to the election results and how the election system works in France. Thank you! Also, congrats for surpassing 100K subs! You deserve it.
It becomes an urban legend. Unfortunately the truth is that Macron visited restaurants in the street opposite for 2 hours to actually speak with owners telling him that they were having difficulty recruiting waiters and that they had positions to fill immediately. And the rest, we know it, from there Macron meets an unemployed horticulturist who says he has difficulty finding a job. As we see, it doesn't take much to be seen as an asshole.
also if the government goes in a deadlock situation, the president possibly has the grounds to use article 16 of the constitution which enables him to have the legislative power in addition to the executive power. It was used once in 1961 by De Gaulle when the Generals in Algeria did a coup.
This is only allowed in case of land invasion by a foreign power or existential threat to the republic. Other kind of problem are solved with "L'Etat d'urgence" pronounced by the prime minister and its ministers. So.. no, our President will not be able to use article 16 to bypass a cohabitation
@@philippedefaria3139 no also when the institutions cannot work. But the definition is probably to be found in the fine lines. "Lorsque les institutions de la République, l'indépendance de la Nation, l'intégrité de son territoire ou l'exécution de ses engagements internationaux sont menacés (1) d'une manière grave et immédiate et que le fonctionnement régulier des pouvoirs publics constitutionnels est interrompu, le Président de la République prend les mesures exigées par ces circonstances, après consultation officielle du Premier ministre, des Présidents des Assemblées ainsi que du Conseil constitutionnel."
No. This absolutely has nothing to do with cohabitation (so called deadlock, which it actually isn't). If those two things happen at the same time, it will be a coincidence. Last time, it had nothing to do with a cohabitation, as you might have noticed. Also, all legal experts are saying article 16 wouldn't even apply, but unfortunately we have a fucked up constitution where Macron gets to decide that pretty much on his own, with almost no checks and balances… and he isn't exactly known for listening to what anyone has to say.
@@NicoMCH666 There’s actually no way to know that before Sunday night. There’s a lot more room for surprise than what this video tells us. Don’t listen to projections, they’re almost worthless. Right now, almost anything could still happen. If you don’t believe me, go read Arrêt sur image’s latest article.
The system seems to be a tad better than the UK system at least. "Ganging up" to stop the "far-right" was tried in Sweden as well in the 2010s. Only thing that happened was that the "far-right" grew even stronger, because none of the fundamental issues were addressed, and people got even more pissed.
The "fundamental issues" aren't adresses by the RN. I invite you to take a look at the insane amount of racism and batshit crazy candidates they have lol
I would say that the most realistic scenario is one of a regime crisis where no one has an absolute majority. However, we must also consider that with 270 seats for the RN, they could potentially team up with LR for 19 seats - but this alliance would be costly for the RN (a LR prime minister for instance).
Any deal with RN will wipe LR off the map. Some MPs might switch over to RN but I highly doubt that the party as a whole will commit suicide like this.
@@mrgrumpy888 Their only other option is to go with Macron's collapsing central block. Moderate LR can either choose to remain independent with their 10%, or team up with a diminishing force in Macron's party... or team up with RN on specific policies. They really aren't in a position to be picky.
Please do a video about other countries too, especially important countries like Germany but also mby Austria, Netherlands or Czechia (some smaller ones)
What's wrong with deadlock? Do we really want government to do a lot of things? Do you think that will improve anything? Look at the places where that doesn't happen. Nobody wants to live there.
As a French person I am SO glad you're asking for my opinion because you so deeply care about it and TOTALLY not just because it boosts your ranking for the algorithm
You see everyone, this is what happens when you are messing with the pension system, people do not want to work more than their parents to get their pensions and pensioners do not wish that the ones they already have go down. Any Government who tried to mess with this is bound to lose next election, as we have seen yesterday.
Nobody wants to work until their mid 60s. I'm 40 and I am just about ready to retire, mentally and physically, since I have been working non-stop since I was 14. But where will all the money come from to finance France's insanely generous welfare system? Especially with an ever ageing population. The Greeks were of the same mindset and by 2008 they had to BORROW BILLIONS EVERY YEAR just to be able to afford to pay their pensions.
@@mrgrumpy888 Yes, let's send the whole Eurozone into a crash AGAIN because you are too lazy to work till your mid 60's. Buddy, I will have to work till my mid 75's, so you can go into retirement at 65. Get a grip my guy, you are messing up the lives of the next generations already.
at 1:22 the example is correct, but I noticed you put the winner with >50%, and it may lead some people to think that needs to be the case, but on the second round the winner gets elected, even with less than 50% (e.g. 40 vs 30 vs 30)
Mmmhh, no. He actually made a great long term move that will save his movement. He gave highly poisoned gift to his enemies. His 2 main competitors in the moderate side, The Socialist Party and the Republicans, completely blew up due to those elections, making his party the only moderate option. If he waited for 2027, his party would have been wiped out. Now, Ensemble is the only moderate party and extremists will lost their legitimacy in minority government that will be powerless. That is only honestly a genius move.
After the first round of the 2022 presidential election, I simply stopped voting because I felt like none of the major political forces at the time were aligned with my views, in a few extremes too much. So I didn't vote for the EU elections, and the dissolution of the assembly was sort of a shock to me, because for yet another time the far right had a serious shot at governing, but it wasn't in second place anymore. So I went and despite my reluctance to endorse some of their more extreme views and representatives, I voted NFP. And last night was a frigthening realization that from now to 2027 and beyond, shit's about to go crazy in my country, no matter where my ballot lands.
@@s0mefrench Thanks for the reply. Why the NFP and not Macron’s party or Le Pen’s? Personally if I were French I would vote for NR as strictly statistically speaking many of your problems are due to uncontrolled immigration and doubling down on it would be a good strategy for the future in my opinion. Also what happened during the last years that Macron fell from favor that hard?
@@bigczad9869This is absolutely not true though... Mass immigration has nothing to do with most of the issues in our country and there is no "mass immigration" per se. France is one of the most strict countries in the EU when it comes to the visa policy... So I'm genuinely curious what your source was/is ?
@@bigczad9869 because nowadays, they put all persons that are not left in the same bucket of “racist”, and so even those who are not racist they feel ashamed or afraid to be called racist. Bardella himself is son of immigrants…
I kinda hope the National Rally wins an absolute majority. Bardella is pretty clearly trying to avoid becoming PM, so that the french system can be dysfunctional for a couple years, and then when 2027 comes around they can blame Macron and the dysfunctional parliament for any issues in the country, and come to absolute power without needing to compromise. If they win a majority he then has to be PM, offering a chance for him to fuck up and potentially reduce any victory in 2027.
Excellent explanation thanks ! As an American, I was confused until this video. I think it’s very important to be aware how other countries vote whether it be UK, France or Germany. Thank you for the education piece.
Saw this covered across a lot of media, but this was the only video that made crystal clear what are all the implications and potential outcomes in a clear and summarized way. This channel keeps getting better and more relevant every day. Keep it up!
@@carraway8084 no? in video it was said the party is created from small green, socialist, even communist parties with SJW agenda at front and all buzzwords so how do you classify that party? Or its just that Overtone window shifted so much to left that far left don't exist and everything right is automatically far right?
NFP is made from political party from the whole spectrum of the left branch, including far left but also center left. it's just that their most "charismatic" (for lack of a better terms) leaders are from the far left so everyone else forget that the center left are also here...
@@kalzhae There are no far-left parties currently involved in this election, as restated by the board of state. Yes, even the communist party is not far-left.
Gotta say as someone outside of the EU - this channel consistently makes well explained and easy to listen to videos that are far more informative than most news outlets. Onya.
There is a coalition to the left. Besides, the far-left has no issue being called "far-left". Far-right still has to "come out", and I believe they would should they win the majority of seats (God forbid).
@@ahfei6847 This is going to sound crazy, but just listen along. I ran an analysis of all 577 seats and made a prediction based off the first round and applying it to my model. What it came out saying was: RN 191 NFP 170 Ensemble 164 Republicans 52 The media is hyping up a “Far Right victory” for clicks. The media doesn’t care about what the mathematics say if it won’t give them clicks. Showing how I’m not crazy, Le-Pen won 163 seats while macron won 441 in the Presidential election in 2022.
@@guillaumesurget8298 Indeed he does, brother! Sure he did mistakes but compared to our current batch of leaders worldwide (and future ones to come), he truly cares about the people and Humanity as a whole. Maybe one day...
It's not an opinion but a fact: the National Rally is officially classified by the "Conseil d'Etat" (one the highest judicial court of France) as a far right party.
No it is far-right actually, they check all the boxes: radically conservative, ultra-nationalist, authoritarian, and fervently anti-immigration. On the flip side, none of the main left-wing parties in France right now can be called "far-left". That would be authoritarian marxism and anarchism for reference.
Finally someone that does say nonsense, the race is still super close and anything could happen but the media likes to talk about a far right win that doesn't exist, anyway hope you're having a wonderful day and thank you for this video 🙏🏻
agree "far right" today is used for anyone who does not want mass migration and/or does not want centralization of power in EU and/or is against the war in Ukraine and want negotiations, some have even called Fico "far right" even though he is on the left and many of the anti mass migration parties have a center left economic policy
@@veronicajensen7690 those people aren't the one that said that NR are far right but France legal system said it itself and NR accept it because national rally was founded by a nazi ( lepen father ) also you misunderstood my comment, I'm with the new population front, I was in the anti Afd protest and I support antifa , so I'm a leftist , an engineering student and a good citizen that understand that immagration doesn't hurt anyone, minorities are good for sociality, the problem that the state face are because of the rich and I hate capitalism/ I dislike people that destroy the environment
It is a clear explanation, merci. I grew up French from centuries of peasants in the centre of France. I remember the Vichy government. I am a centrist and find no place for my vote. I observed the politics of democracies around the world and I despair for humanity. I found peace in the wilds of Canada where my neighbours come from all over the world and we have no problem trusting and helping each others.
Macron IS a disaster, but you think that an even more right-wing, even more bourgeois party will be any better for the economic life of the average working person? They will just double down on the same economic policies as Macron, the ones that the capitalist ruling class gives them both to go forward with. Only difference is that they will crack down even harder on already marginalized groups.
@@Gordon_Freeman_PhD it seems you don't understeand why people vote right, people vote right because they don't want France to be turned into syria and mozambique, the main issue today is replacement taking place in our countries
@@shaycormac3219 The main reason that seems to matter in the first place is that that immigrants are used as scapegoats by the capitalist ruling class to blame the workers' worsening economic conditions onto anyone but themselves. There is nothing that the ruling class, in control of the state and with all the money and power, likes more than working people being convinced that other working people are the reason for their misery. It is true that immigrant labour drives down wages, but that would not be a problem in the first place were it not for capitalism, and it cannot be solved on the basis of capitalism because it will find any way to bring down the cost of labour. Capitalism itself is a globalizing system, but I don't see anyone on the right actually suggesting anything to do about capitalism other than to try to treat symptoms with such hopeless measures as economic protectionism, which just makes new problems.
@@ryanfoo5286 See my response above. Economics is at the source of the problem. The only reason cultural differences of refugees are even seen as a threat is because they became associated with economic hardship and instability which is inherent to capitalism.
Am I correct in assuming that Bardella's refusing to be a PM without a majority is based on avoidance of appearing weak at the head of a deadlocked parliament?
Hello I'm french I can respond to your question ! Macron changes the name of the party very often. Before we had " La France en marche", after we had "En marche", and now "Renaissance" ... Everytime the situation is complicated for Macron, he decided to change the name and the logo. Like that, he can say "look my politics change, let's move on and forget the past". I think some big enterprise have the same logic when they are in a bad situation. "Ensemble" is the name of the parliament group, inside you have some center and right politics party like "Horizon", "MoDem" and th Macron's party "Renaissance" I hope I answered your question, have a nice day :D
By calling RN ''far right'' the other parties want to scare the French people - Looks like it no longer works, the French at last understant the fearmonger are doing it on purpose to manipulate
Some people say the new popular front is "far left" but their policies are just regular left, not different from what Mitterand proposed in his programm. It's just that for some reason free lunch at school for kids is perceived to be communistic I guess when it just assure real equal education, even if you are a meritocrat and believe people should achieve on their own, that is only to be done once adult, equality principle state that as kids they must have the same oportunities to get a good education wich in theory is to be done by raising the quality of education of the lower classes to the same level of the kids of higher classes.
I don't think anybody is complaining about free lunches... I think there are social issues that the left just don't want to touch or look at in fear of being politically incorrect. And I write this as a left-leaning gay man.
@@ah7910 yea the imigration topic. The thing is that a lot of muslim people are not homohphobic or transphobic, I grew up in Istanbul and moved to france. I have a lot of muslim friends who are fine with me being trans and having transitionned so that I could live a more peacefull life in a body that fit me. I wouldnt say there are not politicians on the left who want to get the votes from also the more conservatives muslims by avoiding talking about them for sure. But as it stand now, the deputees from the left never voted for laws against gay and trans people, while the ones on the right and far right did and they did it a lot at the european parlement
@@angemalaurie6074😂😂 just wait till they get replaced by the newest représentantive , as It's happen already in some part and were they explicitly kick them of for the skin color😂😂😂😂, another exemple ? sûre Arnaud that sent death message to woman, is a lovely men right? Now now now, it's the future that count, moderate Muslim NEVER shown themselves when It coutn against some of them being criminal, meanwhile, you go the other way it's suddenly the back of the dark time lol You sure gonna be realy welcome in Pakistan and co when they'll learn Of all the lobby féminist LGBT thing allied with left, show how stupid they are , as you will never be treated equaly later on by thoses as they only use all of you and the power you have in west to gain, the moment It's done they get ride of you
Thank you for this video which summarizes and explains sufficiently the functioning of our institutions for a non-French audience. It would undoubtedly be necessary to further develop the specificities of each party or political family and especially the context of the collapse of President Macron's popularity.
I absolutely baffled how an entire nation can take their freedom for granted. After WWII all of Europe was in shambles and had to rebuild and cherished the freedom the just won, and now so many French citizens want to keep going far left. It’s the same insanity we are facing in the US. If anything, it just shows how spoiled these countries have been, and how easy they’ve had it for the last 80 years.
As a French, I would say one of the most probable outcome is a RN-led government (Sébastien Chenu, one of Marine le Pen's closest lieutenants, announced this morning that a RN prime minister could rule even if they don't have an absolute majority) backed by some of LR's most right-wing MPs (with or without government participation). Furthermore, is it important to consider the fact that Macron already announced he would be prepared to dissolve the Assemblée Nationale again next year in case of a RN-led government. Turmoil ahead!
Mnjah... French people should get what they want and deserve... So this sounds like a good outcome... It's been a while since France took one for the team and showed what not to do anyway.
Honestly, it’s very worrying there is genuine chance of far right in France and Germany has a party that is already and gaining even more support that is legitimately talking about rounding up certain races to expel them. I do believe in democracy and I think we’ll all get through this, but I’m not going to pretend like the current situation isn’t concerning. Wishing best wishes
Thanks. This helped me a lot. One thing that is important, and I'm not sure it's been addressed. But how high a percentage of people eligible to vote - actually vote. That statistic might make a huge difference.
@@lollypop00p Didn't the NFP and leftist peeps made a rally in Paris recently just because they didn't like the democratic results of the election? LOL.
Mozambique is a majority Catholic country with a culture somewhat similar to the Portuguese one (which is similar to the French). There is only a region in Northern Mozambique named Cabo Delgado which was affected by Boko Haram's Islamic terrorists a few years ago but things have mostly calmed down with the presence of "fuzileiros" up there.
Because you have no political culture you don’t know that the RN is precisely one of the few parties where you can find fierce pro-Assad supporters, and because of its xenophobia, tribalist rhetoric, cult of authority and social conservatism, is more likely to turn France into a thirld-world authoritarian regime than any other party.
I think it is interesting that Communists are mainstream, but any party that is anti-immigration is far right.
Shows you (((who))) has influence doesnt it?
They are not mainstream
it's not because they're named communist that they are far left, they are not what imagine communists are like
and RN is not far right because they're "just anti immigration", it's much more than that
Actually, the communist party has been part of left leaning governments since the 80' and were part of the 'Gauche plurielle' government 10 years ago, when Macron was the economy minister (before creating his own centrist party). So, yes, it wouldn't be the same thing as a far-right government.
they're not, almost party of the left wing allied this time which isn't just the communist but also ecologist and socialist.
but the way the communist party is considered far left.
That being said they do have some very vocal and present speaker.
As a French this vid is the most clear I could see to understand what happened last evening, Thanks
Totalement d'accord !!
@@florimond. So why do you have a President AND a Prime Minister? I'm a bit confused about that
@@VoidOperator We missed the king. So, we created a king.
@@VoidOperator well the President is the head of state (like the King in the UK but with more power for example), he deals with international affairs, diplomacy and general agenda of the government whiles the Prime Minister mainly deals with domestic affairs (being from the majority party of parliament), he names his ministers, passes new laws, etc.
@@florimond. And interestingly other EU countries that's reversed, the PM usually has more power (Poland, Czech, Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Lux, Malta, Netherlands, Slovak, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Britian), with the President having administrative and internal affairs. Germany (Chancellor) and Ireland (Taoiseach) are different. The countries with President as head of state is Cyprus, France, Lithuania, Romania (and out of EU the USA of course and others)
At least as far as I understand from America, trying to figure out how all the various democracies work.
There's nothing wrong with the policy of "national self-preservation" on issues of internal security regarding unlimited immigration of Islamist & that Putin nuclear threat, annexations & gunpoint referendum.
There is if you keep believing propaganda.
My guess is that Le Pen will stay in 1st place after 2nd election, but they will not get the majority, so most likely a deadlock unless RN forms with LR (if they even manage to get something...)
As long as they keep FI and Melechon out... that would be okay
They have all been already bought off by the Cabal.
NOTHING WILL CHANGE.!
@@juimymary9951 why?
@@elpapirodependiente6059 Because they want to replace the French
@@elpapirodependiente6059people keeping using the term far right when it’s actually the “socialists” that are the problem.
Le pen all the way ❤
Was waiting for your upload on this.
Hope you like it.
Macron’s disastrous foreign policy and his meddling attitude will cost him his position.
Thank you from Canada. This was very helpful and now I understand.
my canadian partner here in france scratching her head to understand is funny cheers
French here, i think we will have no majority. We have a lot of far right voters but also a lot of voters that want anything but far right. I have a hard time seeing a coalition between macron and the left, but it's not impossible if there's no other alternative
French here. Agreed.
You can’t keep the far right away forever. If they don’t get majority now they will soon. The more goes wrong the more people will realize the far right will be the answer
It is all about cash.
Even Le Penn has been payed off by the Cabal.
It will be the same with Melanchon.
The Cabal will pay him off.
Times are changing fast. Authoritarian globalism has destroyed France and much of Western Europe. Indigenous Europeans are tired of watching it burn.
How can that possibly be viewed as democratic? The most popular party being frozen out by parties that got less votes?!
I live and vote in France and would have saved myself a lot of time this morning by waiting for this to 'pop' up in my YT feed instead of trying to find out who would be in 2nd round!! Those candidates wishing to pull out have until tomorrow at 6pm.
But did you vote!
@@colinsmith1288 Yes, c'est mon devoir de citoyen!
Yeah lets go MACRON
@@sumitsingh2349 no, fascist.
this was a very clear video. I just wanted to ad that this election has broke record of votes by procuration (meanning that people who cannot vote in their district give their vote to a person of their choosing), with 2 millions of such votes.
It won't be surprise if we discover that the vast majority of procurations comes from retirement home.
@@kennethshowers9144 I don't think so, but that's reasonnable enough.
@@kennethshowers9144 No, they're not. You know nothing about France. Some people are already on holiday. They save money for 11 months for that. So, if I had planned to go to the beach for three weeks six months ago and bought my tickets, believe me, elections or not, I'll take my holidays, even if most of the French take their holidays in August.
@@sophiewanlin8612 Sorry, I've forgotten to mention I am a 50+ years old educated french one who spend a lot ot time listening to many people dealing with politics, most of them not on TV.
I am not Jon Snow...
I agreed with you about holidays' influence but it is not so huge. McKinsey's representative uses those leaving in Ehpads, who are stuck in front of a TV continuously telling them what to think and what to do, to increase his score, even without considering pure fraud.
I do like I. Aberkane quote about that: "Ils sont télé guidés"
@@kennethshowers9144 _"I am a 50+ years old _*_educated_*_ french one who spend a lot ot time listening to many people dealing with politics"_ _" _*_Aberkane_*_ quote..."_ 🤣
By the way I don't know what McKinsey's theory you are refering to. Private organisations cannot just send people into residential care/retirement homes to get procurations. Procurations for elderly people in retirement homes are regulated by law, and for residents that aren't mentally able to take decisions on their own, the families in charge must give their approval for any procuration. At any rate individual procurations cannot be handled by any private third party.
Well Macron gambled and looks like he lost.
Yes and no - far right victories in e.g. Scandinavia, Germany, Poland, Netherlands have put the utter incompetence of people who trigger fear as a reason to vote. They need to be elected to be kicked out the next time - the trick is to limit the damage they do in the process. Similar cycle happening with Farage in UK.
In denmark we have a tradition for compromises between the blocks
This is hard work but good results are created that benefit all.
The far left and far right are in most cases excluded from the deals
Not really, Macron is more a semi-passive passenger rather than a machiavellian politician in this instance. His party losing its relative majority was a certainty. Also, He was already passing laws on shaky ground (using the 49.3 article to force them through Parliament, at the risk of Parliament forcing a dissolution). With Macron's party fall during the EU Elections, the de-facto alliance with LR (Conservatives) would have broke, forcing the dissolution.
@@tomlundquist8093 as they should be.
But really I'd love to have compromise between the parties here in Czechia. They're incompetent and our directions lead to the small far-right and large populist blocks. Left is definitely gone now and only centre-right conservatives are somewhat the last pro democracy party. Though, they're corrupt and nonfunctional. We are cooked.
Not really, hes just making the best out of a terrible situation.
So far right is basically when you want to reduce immigration somewhat? What is just normal right-wing then?
Nowadays normal right is called far right, bc media is owned by the deep state who installed these pro immigrant politicians
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
She has pitched no income tax for people under 30. This is as far right as economic policy goes before you are straight up libertarian. They're talking about the "de-islamisation" of french society. Which means what exactly? Sounds very much like far right rhetoric à la early 19th century fascism. While her father led the party it was denying the holocaust and talked of deporting 3 million muslims. Marine Le Pen has distanced herself from these last points, but it would be naive to think that the people who supported such policies no longer exist within the party. Maybe the party is no longer "far right", but it's definitely still very right with some very shady characters and open (at least some years ago) racists/xenophobes. I agree that the term "far right" gets flung out way too much, but FN is definitely one of the furthest right parties in Europe.
Your argument crumbles precisely because the right exists and also want to reduce immigration. Far right is characterised by conservative social values, xenophobia, cult of authority and strong leaders, anti-elite discourse and populist policies. The RN program checks all of these boxes, the right only checks some of them to some extent.
There's a detail seemingly overlooked by many, when looking at national scores. RN and NFP both had candidates in all 577 constituencies, but Ensemble, Macron's coalition didn't. They strategically withdrawed from a lot of areas, in favor of moderate candidates from the left and the right.
So despite scoring less than NFP on the national level, they managed to get second place in lots of places. Won't win them a majority, but that was never the goal for Macron. He wants one thing, a parliament where he could manage to find a majority with moderates from both side, so he can widen his base.
It's clearly a long shot, but with his dissolution he changed the narrative. In 2022, every other party was campaigning against Macron, as he just won the presidency, and traditionally the president get an absolute majority. But he failed at that, and we had for 2 years a parliament with an absolute majority of deputies hostile to the government.
But now, with his seemingly low score, he's not even considered the challenger. So those who're gonna get elected next sunday will have campaigned against RN, and his party could still find themselves as the second largest group in parliament, since the NFP will split up to seat with their respective parties after the election.
Very true ! But the innocent naïve voter in France does not seem to get it.
Especially with the PS, they are going to betray Mélenchon *FOR SURE* .
Great point.
@@secretname4190 It is not and that's why Macron is a moron.
OK, so I'm not French, and while the explanation in the video was good, I'm wondering whether Macron's party could either join a ruling coalition with RN or with some other party or parties. Also, it wasn't clear to me what happens if no governing coalition is formed. Does Macron pick the Prime Minister or does a new election need to be held?
In our system the president picks whoever he wants as prime minister. But to make sure this new government does not get fired immediatly, he is kind of forced to pick a candidate from the party having the most seat in the assembly
After the second turn, our Law says that a new dissolution of the parliament is impossible until next year.
predict a lot of infighting in the left alliance
Absolutely. They probably won't last the year
@@iamseamonkey6688 If they don't win a majority next sunday, which is most likely, the left alliance will be over. They will seat with their respective parties, and start fighting again.
It is france
@YTMenace1-neverasked be nice
You mean like what happened in the last few days within the far right ? Between marion marechal lepen et zemour ? I don't think so lol
How many times does he say "far right" but makes no mention of "far left" that is also on the rise.
Because far-left are the revolutionaries, the trotskists...they do not want to win through election, but through revolution. We do have some far-left candidates in France, but they are only there to show they still exist. Their purpose in an election is not to win, just to show off. They make between 2 and 5% off the counted votes.
Lets just call them what they are Extremists.
These terms are not easily moved measures of popularity. Far right means holding to a set of policies that are broadly and commonly found in far right movements. Le Penn is quite objectively far right.
Far left is not really on the rise and well the far right is a lot worst lmao
Well because the far left didn’t nearly win the elections. I mean if you’re actually an idiot, then voting for RN is smart I suppose. Though in that aspect you’re likely uneducated on history.
Just to clarify something for 4:06 : this isn't really the case
Melenchon asked for 'no more votes nor seats for the RN', and told their candidates to withdraw if in third place. The policy is clear, no need to explain further.
Macron, on his side, called for 'a large rally clearly democratic and republican' against the far right, which may sound similar. The thing is that, for months now, and even more during this campain, the strategy of its side was to call the NFP 'extremists', 'antisemitic' and say that they're trying to dismantle and destroy the republic, even saying himself that a NFP victory would lead to a civil war. By saying 'clearly', he stays in its position without sounding too forgiving with the far right, he justs asks for votes for himself.
So no, Macron isn't really asking to vote against the RN, but rather to vote for his party, saying he's the best defense against the far right. Like he did since 2017.
Do you think that Macron's side will pull out where they're in third?
@@TillBarkley Honestly? Hard to tell.
I think some will, but not all.
Attal, the prime minister, called for a real front, and called for a withdraw if in third position, but other influent ministers and politicians from his side (Le Maire, Berger, or Philippe for example) said that 'oh, it depends, I won't call to vote for LFI (the main party in the NFP).
So no clear position, no clear idea, which is a clever move in itself. They don't clearly call for a barrage against the RN which would give weight to the NFP, and they get to say that they did after the election.
Like we say in France, 'the butter and the ass of the butter maker'. It's a dangerous position to hold, but they don't lose anything in having it. Except some dignity and trust in the political world, but it's screwed already so who cares
Exactly RIGHT . Macron is such a self centred bastard he will never think of France but his ugly soul.
@@TillBarkley From what I have seen, it depends on who the Popular Front candidate is. If they are from the Socialists or the Greens, who are establishment left leaning parties, they will step aside. If it’s from LFI or other far left parties, they will stay in the race.
@@jugel4533 The English equivalent for that proverb is "You can't have your cake and eat it (too)."
Wonderful video that answered all of my questions regarding how elections work in France. Thank you!
Glad it was helpful :)
Thanks, I’ve watched multiple videos on the French elections but none explained the actual system or gave proper insight on the current situation. This was very helpful
Thank you, France. Ushering in a new era of tolerance and inclusivity, you proudly embraced progressiveness at its core. Big love from India.
What makes someone far right?
Exposure to immigrants' violence, mass stabbing, littering and just cultural shock.
Mainly the open bigotry against minorities, in particular in recent years blaming anything and everything on immigration. But also the willingness to force other people to go along with their plans even if it destroys basic human rights and the democratic nature of the system.
@@SunbeamGiant Mostly being exposed to immigrants' violence, littering and different religions.
It's a cultural shock and they think it's necessary to protect their culture
@@Taladar2003 Far-right is different in most countries though, here in austria far right is considered if you believe in total austrían superiority over any other ethnicity (basically FPÖ) I for example do not support that. And unfortunately we don't have any other party that would actually do anything against all the muslim terrorists in our country. But that would societally be viewed a centre-right or just normal right here.
the medias 🤣 what we call far-right in Europe is just a normal right in many countries of America or Asia.
Vive la France!
So that's the ticking sound that's getting dimmer and dimmer :)
France is experiencing its genocide, there are almost no French left except socialist traitors,
No, Lang lebe Die Deutsches Kaiserreich.
AFD and RN are already starting WW3 in this thread. Shows you that nationalism doesn't work.
@@hishamalaker491 lern deutsch
Okay...I'm the first to announce I have next to no idea about French politics or it's political system. The good news, that doesn't matter as I am not a French citizen. But starting from a point of nearly zero knowledge about the French political system and assuming this video is accurate...this video is fantastic. The best possible explanation and all under seven minutes...just amazing. I am ignorant of most things European (in fact I'm ignorant, plain and simple) but after watching this video I feel more enlightened about France's system...and appreciate France a little more than before. Thank You for making this available.
Clear and concise video. It brought a lot of clarity to the election results and how the election system works in France. Thank you!
Also, congrats for surpassing 100K subs! You deserve it.
Glad you enjoyed it and thank you!
Maybe Macron should CROSS THE STREET to get a job now.👍🏻
I hear the Ukraine are still looking for foriegn soldiers. Maybe Macron can apply as Brigadier commander.
It becomes an urban legend.
Unfortunately the truth is that Macron visited restaurants in the street opposite for 2 hours to actually speak with owners telling him that they were having difficulty recruiting waiters and that they had positions to fill immediately.
And the rest, we know it, from there Macron meets an unemployed horticulturist who says he has difficulty finding a job.
As we see, it doesn't take much to be seen as an asshole.
@@Daemia-o1qso macrons the waiter now?
As a non EU citizen I was trying to find out more about France election. Thanks for the explanation
Try telling all this to a child !
Way too complicated. Just vote for le pens party.
Both your videos on this topic have been excellent! So clear and concise, very well explained. Thank you for your work!
Glad it was helpful!
Good luck, France! Vote for Le Pen's party.
most clear explanations about election on CZcams.. thank you...
wonderfully and quickly explained how their system works, waiting to see your video on sunday!
Best description of yesterday's events. Well done!
Glad you enjoyed it
also if the government goes in a deadlock situation, the president possibly has the grounds to use article 16 of the constitution which enables him to have the legislative power in addition to the executive power. It was used once in 1961 by De Gaulle when the Generals in Algeria did a coup.
This is only allowed in case of land invasion by a foreign power or existential threat to the republic.
Other kind of problem are solved with "L'Etat d'urgence" pronounced by the prime minister and its ministers.
So.. no, our President will not be able to use article 16 to bypass a cohabitation
@@philippedefaria3139 no also when the institutions cannot work. But the definition is probably to be found in the fine lines.
"Lorsque les institutions de la République, l'indépendance de la Nation, l'intégrité de son territoire ou l'exécution de ses engagements internationaux sont menacés (1) d'une manière grave et immédiate et que le fonctionnement régulier des pouvoirs publics constitutionnels est interrompu, le Président de la République prend les mesures exigées par ces circonstances, après consultation officielle du Premier ministre, des Présidents des Assemblées ainsi que du Conseil constitutionnel."
No. This absolutely has nothing to do with cohabitation (so called deadlock, which it actually isn't). If those two things happen at the same time, it will be a coincidence. Last time, it had nothing to do with a cohabitation, as you might have noticed. Also, all legal experts are saying article 16 wouldn't even apply, but unfortunately we have a fucked up constitution where Macron gets to decide that pretty much on his own, with almost no checks and balances… and he isn't exactly known for listening to what anyone has to say.
@@elisabethrichard agreed, future will tell us. Anyways no one will have the absolute majority on Sunday. So we will see how it goes 🤷🏻♂️
@@NicoMCH666 There’s actually no way to know that before Sunday night. There’s a lot more room for surprise than what this video tells us. Don’t listen to projections, they’re almost worthless. Right now, almost anything could still happen. If you don’t believe me, go read Arrêt sur image’s latest article.
super explanation, thank you
bravo on the visual guides as well
Very clear and well explained, great video !! I'm French and vote there and I didn't know exactly how this entire process actually works, so thanks
He treats the people like shit then gets shocked when his party comes in last. What a piece of work
The system seems to be a tad better than the UK system at least.
"Ganging up" to stop the "far-right" was tried in Sweden as well in the 2010s. Only thing that happened was that the "far-right" grew even stronger, because none of the fundamental issues were addressed, and people got even more pissed.
The "fundamental issues" aren't adresses by the RN.
I invite you to take a look at the insane amount of racism and batshit crazy candidates they have lol
Les français contre les migrants.
Your explanation is very clear that almost everyone can understand what's happening. Kudos.
So basically, Bardella said: "either I have total power or is not worth it"
I would say that the most realistic scenario is one of a regime crisis where no one has an absolute majority. However, we must also consider that with 270 seats for the RN, they could potentially team up with LR for 19 seats - but this alliance would be costly for the RN (a LR prime minister for instance).
What is LR?
@@vladseva2327Party that came in 4th. It's centrist conservative party. Les Républicains (The Republicans) hence LR.
Any deal with RN will wipe LR off the map. Some MPs might switch over to RN but I highly doubt that the party as a whole will commit suicide like this.
@marciusnhasty are those that agree to work with Le Pen or those that do not?
@@mrgrumpy888 Their only other option is to go with Macron's collapsing central block. Moderate LR can either choose to remain independent with their 10%, or team up with a diminishing force in Macron's party... or team up with RN on specific policies. They really aren't in a position to be picky.
Hey there, I'm French and this video is really clear, thanks for your hard work!
Please do a video about other countries too, especially important countries like Germany but also mby Austria, Netherlands or Czechia (some smaller ones)
very helpful thank you
Thank you
Deadlock for 8 years?
Democracy at its finest!
it's been like that since 1793
Deadlock for 1 year. Snap elections can be called again then.
For a year at best (you can dissolve one every year), 3 at worst (until next Presidential election, who will probably dissolve)
What's wrong with deadlock? Do we really want government to do a lot of things? Do you think that will improve anything? Look at the places where that doesn't happen. Nobody wants to live there.
@@Jordan-RamsesWell for example, Denmark almost never experiences deadlock, and its one of, if not the most well functioning societies on earth
does anybody have information on which parties candidates have gotten the second place most often?
Seriously thank you for your hard work and your explanations!
I predict no absolute majority, RN will be first place.
As a French person I am SO glad you're asking for my opinion because you so deeply care about it and TOTALLY not just because it boosts your ranking for the algorithm
I do actually care what you think :)
Great video!
Very useful, thanks for the explanation.
You see everyone, this is what happens when you are messing with the pension system, people do not want to work more than their parents to get their pensions and pensioners do not wish that the ones they already have go down.
Any Government who tried to mess with this is bound to lose next election, as we have seen yesterday.
Nobody wants to work until their mid 60s. I'm 40 and I am just about ready to retire, mentally and physically, since I have been working non-stop since I was 14. But where will all the money come from to finance France's insanely generous welfare system? Especially with an ever ageing population. The Greeks were of the same mindset and by 2008 they had to BORROW BILLIONS EVERY YEAR just to be able to afford to pay their pensions.
The French pension system would collapse without Macron necessary reforms.
Macron saved the French economy, you guys should be more grateful to him.
@@mrgrumpy888 Yes, let's send the whole Eurozone into a crash AGAIN because you are too lazy to work till your mid 60's. Buddy, I will have to work till my mid 75's, so you can go into retirement at 65. Get a grip my guy, you are messing up the lives of the next generations already.
Whatever way it works, I just hope Marine LePen wins. She wants to save her country, and she has every right to do so.
at 1:22 the example is correct, but I noticed you put the winner with >50%, and it may lead some people to think that needs to be the case, but on the second round the winner gets elected, even with less than 50% (e.g. 40 vs 30 vs 30)
Super video!!!
To sum up : Macron is finished, the end.
not really, he's still president. foreign policy is still in his hands
One less pervert in Government.
Le pen is gonna be much worse than macron, you'll See
He'll be the president till 2027. He couldn't run again anyway.
Mmmhh, no. He actually made a great long term move that will save his movement.
He gave highly poisoned gift to his enemies. His 2 main competitors in the moderate side, The Socialist Party and the Republicans, completely blew up due to those elections, making his party the only moderate option.
If he waited for 2027, his party would have been wiped out.
Now, Ensemble is the only moderate party and extremists will lost their legitimacy in minority government that will be powerless.
That is only honestly a genius move.
If there is anyone from France looking at my comment I would love to hear your perspective of who you are voting and why
After the first round of the 2022 presidential election, I simply stopped voting because I felt like none of the major political forces at the time were aligned with my views, in a few extremes too much. So I didn't vote for the EU elections, and the dissolution of the assembly was sort of a shock to me, because for yet another time the far right had a serious shot at governing, but it wasn't in second place anymore. So I went and despite my reluctance to endorse some of their more extreme views and representatives, I voted NFP. And last night was a frigthening realization that from now to 2027 and beyond, shit's about to go crazy in my country, no matter where my ballot lands.
@@s0mefrench Thanks for the reply. Why the NFP and not Macron’s party or Le Pen’s? Personally if I were French I would vote for NR as strictly statistically speaking many of your problems are due to uncontrolled immigration and doubling down on it would be a good strategy for the future in my opinion. Also what happened during the last years that Macron fell from favor that hard?
@@bigczad9869This is absolutely not true though... Mass immigration has nothing to do with most of the issues in our country and there is no "mass immigration" per se. France is one of the most strict countries in the EU when it comes to the visa policy...
So I'm genuinely curious what your source was/is ?
@@bigczad9869 because nowadays, they put all persons that are not left in the same bucket of “racist”, and so even those who are not racist they feel ashamed or afraid to be called racist. Bardella himself is son of immigrants…
@@augustinew.2028 citizen journalism mostly, talked with some people from France and that was the general consensus
Great video mate
Merci pour la clarification d’une situation aussi complexe!
I kinda hope the National Rally wins an absolute majority. Bardella is pretty clearly trying to avoid becoming PM, so that the french system can be dysfunctional for a couple years, and then when 2027 comes around they can blame Macron and the dysfunctional parliament for any issues in the country, and come to absolute power without needing to compromise. If they win a majority he then has to be PM, offering a chance for him to fuck up and potentially reduce any victory in 2027.
Macron should also step down after those disastrous results
Which mean giving also the presidency to Le Pen. Why not. He's clearly enough stupid for this kind of move.
@@anonyme2333 yes otherwise he will also be blamed for the gridlock and at that point Ensemble is OVER
why
@@metacube9913 He's personally unpopular and he will have a hostile parliament which will probably cause gridlock
@@rixorobert No government is the best possible outcome rn
That being said, great video, factual and precise, thank you :)
Sorry, I can't find your video on removing the astral illithed look. Can you please link it?
I would trade our American system for France's. Anything is better than first past the post.
Why is the color for the National Rally brown on the map? there color is dark blue.
Maybe for visibility cos there is blue on map already
I thought the same. I used the map from Le Monde (see my sources). That is the colour they used, so I did the same to make it as clear as possible.
Cause they wear brown shirts 😉
well, brown is the traditional color for fascists, so makes sense
Because the interior ministery compares them to nazis or something
Excellent explanation thanks ! As an American, I was confused until this video. I think it’s very important to be aware how other countries vote whether it be UK, France or Germany. Thank you for the education piece.
Saw this covered across a lot of media, but this was the only video that made crystal clear what are all the implications and potential outcomes in a clear and summarized way. This channel keeps getting better and more relevant every day. Keep it up!
Loved your comment. Thank you!
@@EUMadeSimple But do you focus on the pros and cons of all sides fairly?
1st place: far right
2nd: far left
3rd: center
4th: center right
there will be a lot of riots that's for sure
NFP isn’t far left at all
@@carraway8084NFP is as far Left as NR is far right
@@carraway8084 no? in video it was said the party is created from small green, socialist, even communist parties with SJW agenda at front and all buzzwords so how do you classify that party? Or its just that Overtone window shifted so much to left that far left don't exist and everything right is automatically far right?
NFP is made from political party from the whole spectrum of the left branch, including far left but also center left.
it's just that their most "charismatic" (for lack of a better terms) leaders are from the far left so everyone else forget that the center left are also here...
@@kalzhae There are no far-left parties currently involved in this election, as restated by the board of state. Yes, even the communist party is not far-left.
Stop saying far right!!! Biased and attempting influence!
Gotta say as someone outside of the EU - this channel consistently makes well explained and easy to listen to videos that are far more informative than most news outlets. Onya.
cohabitation is indeed a very interesting situation. as well as a coalition against "common enemy". I send regards from Poland xD
Why are you sayiong FAR Right and not Far left. Hypocrite much?
The Popular Front has parties from the Center left to far left. Calling the entire block far left is just incorrect
There is a coalition to the left. Besides, the far-left has no issue being called "far-left". Far-right still has to "come out", and I believe they would should they win the majority of seats (God forbid).
@@ahfei6847 This is going to sound crazy, but just listen along. I ran an analysis of all 577 seats and made a prediction based off the first round and applying it to my model. What it came out saying was:
RN 191
NFP 170
Ensemble 164
Republicans 52
The media is hyping up a “Far Right victory” for clicks. The media doesn’t care about what the mathematics say if it won’t give them clicks.
Showing how I’m not crazy, Le-Pen won 163 seats while macron won 441 in the Presidential election in 2022.
Only the Emperor of Mankind is truly able to lead France into a bright and glorious future. That goes for every country on the planet though!
So why doesn't your little guy do it?
@@SylviaSanchez-cl2eo Take care of how you speak, his holiness is called Big E!
The Emperor protects !
this is not ancient rome
@@guillaumesurget8298 Indeed he does, brother! Sure he did mistakes but compared to our current batch of leaders worldwide (and future ones to come), he truly cares about the people and Humanity as a whole.
Maybe one day...
So helpful!
Not "far-right" just "right"
It's not an opinion but a fact: the National Rally is officially classified by the "Conseil d'Etat" (one the highest judicial court of France) as a far right party.
They literally form one of the most far right groups in the European parliament, so how in gods name can you claim that they are “just “right””?
No it is far-right actually, they check all the boxes: radically conservative, ultra-nationalist, authoritarian, and fervently anti-immigration.
On the flip side, none of the main left-wing parties in France right now can be called "far-left". That would be authoritarian marxism and anarchism for reference.
They wanted to leave the EU until everyone saw the Brexit disaster. They are a skizzo far-right party... nothing else rly
@@Etiennefdp
Mussolini was a communist. The man with the small moustache in Germany was a Socialist . I have no idea what they mean with far right.
Finally someone that does say nonsense, the race is still super close and anything could happen but the media likes to talk about a far right win that doesn't exist, anyway hope you're having a wonderful day and thank you for this video 🙏🏻
*Doesn't say nonsense ( it was a small mistake) sorry
It's only a matter of time, people will only allow their future to get destroyed by the left for so long. Le Pen is the future.
agree "far right" today is used for anyone who does not want mass migration and/or does not want centralization of power in EU and/or is against the war in Ukraine and want negotiations, some have even called Fico "far right" even though he is on the left and many of the anti mass migration parties have a center left economic policy
@@veronicajensen7690What do you imagine they would negotiate? And why would Putin stick to this agreement?
@@veronicajensen7690 those people aren't the one that said that NR are far right but France legal system said it itself and NR accept it because national rally was founded by a nazi ( lepen father ) also you misunderstood my comment, I'm with the new population front, I was in the anti Afd protest and I support antifa , so I'm a leftist , an engineering student and a good citizen that understand that immagration doesn't hurt anyone, minorities are good for sociality, the problem that the state face are because of the rich and I hate capitalism/ I dislike people that destroy the environment
Very well explained.Thank you.
It is a clear explanation, merci. I grew up French from centuries of peasants in the centre of France. I remember the Vichy government. I am a centrist and find no place for my vote. I observed the politics of democracies around the world and I despair for humanity. I found peace in the wilds of Canada where my neighbours come from all over the world and we have no problem trusting and helping each others.
It means France isn’t losing their minds anymore.
On the contrary yes.
Best wishes to LePen. Macron a Disaster.
Macron IS a disaster, but you think that an even more right-wing, even more bourgeois party will be any better for the economic life of the average working person? They will just double down on the same economic policies as Macron, the ones that the capitalist ruling class gives them both to go forward with. Only difference is that they will crack down even harder on already marginalized groups.
@@Gordon_Freeman_PhD i think its the refugees
@@Gordon_Freeman_PhD it seems you don't understeand why people vote right, people vote right because they don't want France to be turned into syria and mozambique, the main issue today is replacement taking place in our countries
@@shaycormac3219 The main reason that seems to matter in the first place is that that immigrants are used as scapegoats by the capitalist ruling class to blame the workers' worsening economic conditions onto anyone but themselves.
There is nothing that the ruling class, in control of the state and with all the money and power, likes more than working people being convinced that other working people are the reason for their misery.
It is true that immigrant labour drives down wages, but that would not be a problem in the first place were it not for capitalism, and it cannot be solved on the basis of capitalism because it will find any way to bring down the cost of labour. Capitalism itself is a globalizing system, but I don't see anyone on the right actually suggesting anything to do about capitalism other than to try to treat symptoms with such hopeless measures as economic protectionism, which just makes new problems.
@@ryanfoo5286 See my response above. Economics is at the source of the problem. The only reason cultural differences of refugees are even seen as a threat is because they became associated with economic hardship and instability which is inherent to capitalism.
Am I correct in assuming that Bardella's refusing to be a PM without a majority is based on avoidance of appearing weak at the head of a deadlocked parliament?
Great video! Quick question: is Macron’s party called ‘Ensemble’ or ‘Renaissance’? Both were mentioned in the video.
Hello I'm french I can respond to your question !
Macron changes the name of the party very often. Before we had " La France en marche", after we had "En marche", and now "Renaissance" ... Everytime the situation is complicated for Macron, he decided to change the name and the logo. Like that, he can say "look my politics change, let's move on and forget the past". I think some big enterprise have the same logic when they are in a bad situation.
"Ensemble" is the name of the parliament group, inside you have some center and right politics party like "Horizon", "MoDem" and th Macron's party "Renaissance"
I hope I answered your question, have a nice day :D
@@nicolasbcr4341 I was wondering... do Macron's rebrandings work, on voter perceptions?
Why do you choose to call any party "far" right? Bias in any language.
By calling RN ''far right'' the other parties want to scare the French people - Looks like it no longer works, the French at last understant the fearmonger are doing it on purpose to manipulate
he's a commie
Some people say the new popular front is "far left" but their policies are just regular left, not different from what Mitterand proposed in his programm. It's just that for some reason free lunch at school for kids is perceived to be communistic I guess when it just assure real equal education, even if you are a meritocrat and believe people should achieve on their own, that is only to be done once adult, equality principle state that as kids they must have the same oportunities to get a good education wich in theory is to be done by raising the quality of education of the lower classes to the same level of the kids of higher classes.
I don't think anybody is complaining about free lunches... I think there are social issues that the left just don't want to touch or look at in fear of being politically incorrect. And I write this as a left-leaning gay man.
@@ah7910 yea the imigration topic. The thing is that a lot of muslim people are not homohphobic or transphobic, I grew up in Istanbul and moved to france. I have a lot of muslim friends who are fine with me being trans and having transitionned so that I could live a more peacefull life in a body that fit me.
I wouldnt say there are not politicians on the left who want to get the votes from also the more conservatives muslims by avoiding talking about them for sure. But as it stand now, the deputees from the left never voted for laws against gay and trans people, while the ones on the right and far right did and they did it a lot at the european parlement
@@ah7910 and still, it doesnt make it far left
@@angemalaurie6074😂😂 just wait till they get replaced by the newest représentantive , as It's happen already in some part and were they explicitly kick them of for the skin color😂😂😂😂, another exemple ? sûre Arnaud that sent death message to woman, is a lovely men right?
Now now now, it's the future that count, moderate Muslim NEVER shown themselves when It coutn against some of them being criminal, meanwhile, you go the other way it's suddenly the back of the dark time lol
You sure gonna be realy welcome in Pakistan and co when they'll learn
Of all the lobby féminist LGBT thing allied with left, show how stupid they are , as you will never be treated equaly later on by thoses as they only use all of you and the power you have in west to gain, the moment It's done they get ride of you
Free lunch is not the first interest topic for the french. But immigration, security, secure our identity, and the energy price are important topics.
Super la vidéo 😊
Thanks for explaining it so clearly!
You forgot to say far right at least once.
and yet literal commies he dont call far left when by definition they are FAR LEFT
You go Le Pen ❤
Thank you for this video which summarizes and explains sufficiently the functioning of our institutions for a non-French audience.
It would undoubtedly be necessary to further develop the specificities of each party or political family and especially the context of the collapse of President Macron's popularity.
I absolutely baffled how an entire nation can take their freedom for granted. After WWII all of Europe was in shambles and had to rebuild and cherished the freedom the just won, and now so many French citizens want to keep going far left. It’s the same insanity we are facing in the US. If anything, it just shows how spoiled these countries have been, and how easy they’ve had it for the last 80 years.
As a French, I would say one of the most probable outcome is a RN-led government (Sébastien Chenu, one of Marine le Pen's closest lieutenants, announced this morning that a RN prime minister could rule even if they don't have an absolute majority) backed by some of LR's most right-wing MPs (with or without government participation).
Furthermore, is it important to consider the fact that Macron already announced he would be prepared to dissolve the Assemblée Nationale again next year in case of a RN-led government. Turmoil ahead!
Mnjah... French people should get what they want and deserve... So this sounds like a good outcome... It's been a while since France took one for the team and showed what not to do anyway.
you can't be serious. Did macron really say that ? i'm so tired of this clown.
@@mecalegrand3542 It's a rumour, but it comes from very reliable sources, and makes perfect sense
Honestly, it’s very worrying there is genuine chance of far right in France and Germany has a party that is already and gaining even more support that is legitimately talking about rounding up certain races to expel them. I do believe in democracy and I think we’ll all get through this, but I’m not going to pretend like the current situation isn’t concerning. Wishing best wishes
You cannot be serious......Europe is dying. Enough is enough.
Not at all. L'Amour Toujours ❤❤❤
The far left parties have ignored the working class for years, and they wonder why they are increasingly voting for opposition parties... Derp
Worrying for who?
How insane are you ? It’s because of certain races that Europeans are being abuse.
This feels like bad timing.
far-right and far-left governments are more likely to abandon allies and the continent.
Thanks. This helped me a lot. One thing that is important, and I'm not sure it's been addressed. But how high a percentage of people eligible to vote - actually vote. That statistic might make a huge difference.
Basically you have the choice: RN to make the France stable or NFP (doesn’t stable itself) wanna make the better for frensh by doing the worst 💀
wat
Calling the left a "mainstream party" is a stretch...
28% of the vote so...
I mean they certainly were the loudest😅
@@ericlego321They say the emptiest brains are the loudest...
@@hhbattery4746 well RN got 34%, so yeah you're right about that
@@lollypop00p Didn't the NFP and leftist peeps made a rally in Paris recently just because they didn't like the democratic results of the election? LOL.
Thanks for sharing God bless
Exceptionally well made video.
Today's elections show us that France still has a chance to avoid being turned into syria or mozambique, France still has a chance to remain french
Yes please.
Mozambique is a majority Catholic country with a culture somewhat similar to the Portuguese one (which is similar to the French). There is only a region in Northern Mozambique named Cabo Delgado which was affected by Boko Haram's Islamic terrorists a few years ago but things have mostly calmed down with the presence of "fuzileiros" up there.
@@diogorodrigues747We don't want blacks
Because you have no political culture you don’t know that the RN is precisely one of the few parties where you can find fierce pro-Assad supporters, and because of its xenophobia, tribalist rhetoric, cult of authority and social conservatism, is more likely to turn France into a thirld-world authoritarian regime than any other party.
Yes, and let go of all those territories outside the France.