Or how about. Don't be scared be prepared, maybe he's just wanting people to be aware that something big COULD happen. Like the saying goes " it's better to have it and not need it" than "need it and not have it"
I think the megaquake alert serves largely to tell people to make sure their disaster plans and supplies are all up-to-date and stocked properly. I live just outside of where the 2011 tsunami reached (it occurred before I lived in Japan so I was not here for it), so it's definitely on our minds.
@@Sara01977 Get a Japanese SIM-card so you get important push notifications, I'd also recommend checking out Abroad In Japan, I believe he has a video or two on the subject here on CZcams. Also check out Joey Bizinger aka TheAnimeman they both live in Japan and I strongly suspect that Chris(Abroad In Japan) will upload a video on this event sooner rather than later. Enjoy your vacation but don't let worries ruin your vacation to this beautiful place, Japan is THE PLACE to be in case of an earthquake, because they are a regular occurrence. Enjoy and have a good rest of your week 😄
@@Sara01977 There's an app called Japan Shelter, has a green icon, which maps nearby emergency shelters. They're usually schools and other public service buildings. Bear in mind that not every building will be used for every disaster. For example, where I live we had a typhoon last summer but my nearest shelter wasn't used. And if there's a tsunami they won't move you to short or low-lying buildings.
@@Sara01977There are also physical signs giving directions to nearby shelters, plus you'll see sea levels on street lamps, residential trash points, etc. If the disaster is serious enough you'll be able to follow what everyone else is doing. If you're unfamiliar with earthquakes look into how to protect yourself. Your chances of being caught up in a disaster in a trip are very slim. Be prepared but try not to worry x
I live an hour away from the epicenter, we had a violent lightning storm come through just before the quake . I normally don’t mind quakes or lightning storms but both were so violent.
Hello! I’m from another country, I’m going to visit Japan soon, I found out about this earthquake and now I’m very worried, it’s very difficult to find any information in my language. Please tell me if they are talking about some kind of earthquake in Japanese news in August? stronger than this
If that 2.9% is actually representative, that's a significant increased risk. A typical random week out of the year does not have nearly a 3% chance of an 8+ magnitude earthquake.
@@JariJuslin If I live near the coast, and I see a 3% chance of a 8+ earthquake in the next week, I'm going to take action. My emergency bag will be by the door, I'll charge all my spare batteries, double check my backup water, etc. That probability has high uncertainty but is easily worth the 20 minutes to make sure my disaster plans are ready. I think that should be the official advice too, assuming it's communicated responsibly.
I wouldn't take action as you later describe however, I would check kits, and that sort of thing. Not because the risk factor is unusually high but just using it as a, yes probably need to check batteries and other expiration dates. 2 things missing from nearly all kits. A couple rolls of quarters (laundry and other misc things) and at least one game or pack of cards. If you do have to evacuate the boredom is hell.
That is the problem with short-term thinking: (Btw: Happens in Star Trek... "just suppress quakes", nvm consequences) THE PRESSURE BUILDS UP FURTHER. More earthquakes will lead to weaker quakes and there will be no energy buildup. Same with volcanoes: Hawaii is rather safe, same as Etna and Stromboli. When Vesuvius blows its top, it will be worse than everything we can imagine, due to the buildup.
@@wildlifeisthewealthofnatur5457 Also helps that Japan's used to earthquakes and has been building its stuff to wobble with the earthquakes instead of getting shaken apart (most of the time)
dude i love your videos so much, they're so informational and I always learn so much from them and I love knowing about geological things around the world when they happen because its interesting and important to be aware of your surroundings even if not immediate.
The USGS site is a good go to for earthquakes but you won't find much in-depth info. There has been another earthquake in Lamont since you posted this (Only 2.7).
All earthquakes are related. Even if mainstream doesn’t say there’s any “proof“. This here is a good channel for reports around the current model.Dutchsinse has a very interesting and unique way of forecasting earthquakes.
I come from a country without earthquakes but live in the Nankai alert zone. I've not had the best of sleeps 😂 But I appreciate the video. Logically I know the chances are still low, but it's still a scary prospect. My bag is packed and i have an escape route. Other than that, しょうがない！
Does the "damage model" distinguish between areas where architecture has been reinforced and redesigned for eq safety, compared to places like the New Madrid zone, which totally has nothing -- yet?
I’m a couple of hundred miles from the coast in southern BC Canada. And I’m worried about what this up-ticks mean for the coast of the Pacific Northwest-West!
Could you please include the depth of the quakes in future. I have found this quite interesting in the past. The quake in Christchurch which caused significant damage seems to have been a connect the dots occurrence. If I recall correctly, Pakistan 8am, Uluru 10am, tracking through the rupture from the previous quake (Dargaville or ??), CHCH city 12pm, Bombay Hills... With another Mt Aoraki 11:30am, the other rupture ??, CHCH City 12:30pm. All with decreasing depths down to around 5km. I've also figured that if it doesn't hit the igneous Bombay Hills and rebound, it heads to some insignificant island South East of the southern tip of S.America. while the globe hugging line from Aoraki, goes through CHCH and hits Brazil (their big quake around then), bounces up the east coast of America, hitting Cali, then Washington, before following the bowl. Other paths it could take is the cozca or nazka plates, or sneaking under the northern igneous areas of N.America and popping out as Icelandic volcanic activity that grounds planes (ijahafijallakull spelt poorly). For the first quake in CHCH I told my workmate watch, it's gna hit there in 2 weeks, then go bounce bounce for the next week or so, and probably come all the way around to the northern Pacific thermal plume island, and to the K (something) Russian/Japan volcanos... I scared her. Very much...
Thank you for the update and the clear explanation of the unknown likelihood if this event being a foreshock. On the table that appears at 0:30, the example of a M1.0-1.9 quake is shown as the “M1.3 Sep 14 2011 Maine earthquake.” I’m a Maine resident, and I’ve yet been able to find a record of this event on that date. I’m curious as to the source of this information. Thank you.
We live in Fukuoka, and we could feel the shaking all the way up here... What percent chance do you think another earthquake will hit in the next week?
Thank you so much for this video! I really appreciate! For the fairness for the government maybe “alert” is not appropriate as translation. (My bad!)Maybe “be aware” would be more suitable, though to live in Japan means to be aware always. They say the possibility of Mega quake is relatively higher compared with ordinary times.
I get so nervous every time I hear about an earthquake in Japan. While the country arguably has the absolute best emergency preparedness and emergency response programs on Earth, it still sucks that this is a routine occurrence in the region. Hopefully the damage is minimal and we do not see a potential bigger quake in the near future.
Always remember that they've lived for CENTURIES in an earthquake prone region and they build their buildings in a very specific way so they can withstand the shaking by wobbling around instead of standing rigidly. The main problem isn't earthquake so much as tsunamis, and even THEN they're usually prepared for it. Fukushima-Daichi only became a disaster because the original safety backup features were cut for budget reasons, if they'd followed the original safety plans the nuclear plant would have shrugged off the abnormally large tsunami waves, too. They've got this down FAR MORE than most of the world-- and any anomalous event just makes them even better at mitigating.
Its important to note that the great 2011 quake occurred along the portion of the subduction zone where the Pacific plate subducts beneath the Okhotsk plate(basically a severed portion of the North American plate) rather than where the Philippian plate subducts beneath the Amur plate which was where this quake occurred. The Amur and Okhotsk plates are interconnected via a continental convergent plate boundary
Question...If only a portion of the subducted plate was involved and stress remains at adjacent sections of the subduction zone isn't it reasonable to have an expection of another release?
Good question it is probably worth noting that the boundary between the Amur plate and Philippian plates is the shortest subduction plate boundary section so the quake being weaker could just be due to that lack of area extent. To the North along the Japanese subduction zone segments it is the Okhotsk plate(formerly considered part of North America but now recognized to be moving independently) which is colliding with the Pacific plate whereas to the South it is the Eurasian plate via the Yangtze microplate which is colliding with the Philippian plate so how the strain change from this quake affects the other isn't easy to understand as this area involves 5 different independent tectonic plates.
The Japanese have stated the warning is for the next week with a belief the quake "could" happen in the next 30 years...its quite interesting looking at the difference in timeframe to yours...I wonder who did their models?
Another one? Guess I'd better look and see what's going on on the US West Coast this afternoon, then. Meanwhile, here in the Midwest..... still waiting for the New Madrid fail to go off. She's waaaaaay overdue. All that bottle up energy has got to be ready to snap.
In as much that "mankind" knows little about Earthquakes and Volcano's, Japan must be considered among the Experts on the subject. Take the Warning seriously.
I have a mathematical model in mind to explain 'foreshocks'. After a significant quake, there are aftershocks, which is to say that the rate of earthquakes increases. Say after a magnitude 7 quake, the rate is increased by a factor of a thousand for the next week. (Actually I'd expect the rate to decay over this time, but it doesn't matter for my argument.) So essentially you get a thousand weeks (of quiescent rate) worth of earthquakes in one week. Sometimes that thousand weeks worth happens to include a larger earthquake. When this happens, we call the initial quake a 'foreshock'. The essence of this model is that the size distribution (I believe normally a power law) of aftershock earthquakes is the same as the quiescent size distribution. The later larger quake is simply one that got randomly selected from this distribution. So, seisemologists out there: does this model describe reality?
Have You Ever seen a Trend where Japan has activity Then California Or Vice versed...? Southern California has had some recent quakes but Can You Update Us On The Juan de Fuca...?
Thanks for the movie. We have too few cases to make any precise alert because of our short history compared with seismic trends. Trillion $ economic loss will happen by M9 class quake in this region at the worst case. The alert is for making us "be sure" or "be prepared" for uncertain future. That's all. It shall happen in this century, but never tell when.
The current lawlessness in the west coast states will pale in comparison in the immediate aftermath of the next incoming large magnitude earthquakes one on the Cascadia Subduction Zone and on the San Andreas & adjacent faultlines.
People actually stick their fingers in their ears and say "LA LA you can't predict earthquakes and you never will LA LA" when you bring up the electromagnetic elements and precursor signals of quakes, like bro, The Earth literally sings in frequencies most never hear but She sings none the less.
Yes there are 5 tectonic plates at play within Japan making it a fascinating area of tectonic complexity. Of these there are 3 primarily continental plates involved, the Amurian plate the Eurasian plate the Okhotsk plate(formerly considered part of North America but now having been shown to have become independent in essence a fragment of the North American plate) and then two Oceanic plates the Philippian plate and Pacific plate. Of these plates the Amurian plate has the smallest subduction zone cross section, as further North the Okhotsk plate is colliding with the Pacific plate while to the southwest it is the Eurasian plate colliding with the Philippian plate. The Amur plate is kind of sandwiched in-between as it rifts away from Eurasia within the Baikal rift zone and the Korean pull away basin separating Korean peninsula which is part of the Amur plate from mainland China to the west while to the North the Amur plate is actively colliding with the Okhotsk plate in a continental continental type collision. The Amur plate is one of the most interesting tectonic plates for me because of how many different types of active plate boundaries it has with rifting in the Baikal rift zone, transform faulting between Eurasia further into china resulting in one of China's most dangerous fault zones featuring the deadly 1975 Haicheng and 1976 Tangshan earthquakes i.e. the San Andreas of China with the major river valley , the pull away basin(though largely filled in by delta sediments. Compared to Eurasia it is moving east in a counterclockwise manner and contains most of the extensive back arc extensional basin known as the Sea of Japan. Additionally the melts which fuel the volcanism where the Amur plate is pulling away from Eurasia feature a fairly exotic basaltic trace element composition that is otherwise generally only seen in geological record within the melts that compose the great continental flood basalt eruptions responsible for driving the break up supercontinents and thanks to seismic tomography it has been linked to hydrous saturated upwelling from a stagnant flat Pacific slab. In essence it is like a mini Wilson cycle. The Earthquake in January of this year also involved the Amur plate so it is a very active tectonic zone which again exhibits a number of tectonic properties normally only seen at the end of a Wilson Cycle albeit scaled down in scope.
Let's say i'm deadpool and just cant die, If I was standing at the point where the earth snaps back up. What would happen to me? would I be turned into a pancake? since water can't be compressed much, would it act like a giant springboard?
All: please try to focus on what happens to people, if you have concerns. Nature relies on consciousness in its burgeoning. Nature rejects judgement, wishing for law.
I bought Japanese stocks at the bottom. I sold the MFG (Mizuho) at a nice profit, but I still have NMR (Nomura). 😬 😅 I sincerely hope that no harm comes to Japan.
7.1 isn't big enough to generate a tsunami. This wasn't a slow quake or slow slip. This was Sudden energy Being released. Fears of a major quake in the nankai trough region And throughout japan's archipelago remain ground zero for Megathrust earthquakes and Tsunami's.
Tsunamis are caused by a displacement in the water. A 7.1 is absolutely enough to cause a tsunami if the motion is vertical. A 5 pointer could cause one. And most quakes aren’t slow
@@canyounotmydude9155 you obviously have absolutely no idea what a slow slip, slow quake or episodic tremor event is. Yeah that’s absolutely comical but with a kindergarten charm. Please Do some research before looking foolish. Rarely will anything below a 7.0 generate a tsunami. maybe a high tide or a small one depending on the circumstances. if the 7.0 event is close to the coastline with vertical lift, it could generate a small and maybe a significant tsunami, but it has rarely happened.🤷🏻♂️ remember the Richter scale was re-scaled back in 1970’s I believe. Again, please do some research. Better yet watch some lectures on great tsunamis of the northwest Pacific. Learn what a slow quake is and why it’s significant to unravel the code and decipher the earth signals.
@@user-lo8pd7co7q okay 1. I never said that slow earthquakes (or low-frequency earthquakes) don’t exist, just that they are far less common than most earthquakes, which usually last a few seconds (including most significant ones) 2. According to NOAA “Most tsunamis are generated by earthquakes with magnitudes over 7.0 that occur under or very near the ocean (usually at or near subduction zones, where oceanic and continental plates collide) and less than 100 kilometers (62 miles) below the Earth’s surface.”, and yes maybe I was wrong about 5.0s causing tsunamis on their own… that’s a keyword, on their own. Earthquakes are also known to cause another thing called *landslides*, which can cause a bunch of displacement in the water and create pretty decently sized tsunamis (including when the landslides solely happen under water). Also your original argument was that a 7.1 can’t cause a tsunami at all.. what? 3. If you actually watched the video, the earthquake was really close to the coastline 4. GeologyHub made a really good and detailed video essay on that last thing just a few days ago.
@@user-lo8pd7co7q for some reason CZcams deleted my reply to you, so I'm instead gonna make a short rebuttal because I couldn't care less about rewriting that all over again. 1. I never said that slow slip earthquakes don't exist, just that they're aren't as common as non-slow slip. Most tectonic earthquakes (including significant ones) are only a few seconds long, because whatever tectonic movement causes them are very abrupt. 2. While yes, NOAA does say that *most* tsunamis are caused by shallow earthquakes 7.0 and up, *most* is always a keyword. Landslides (especially underwater landslides) also exist and are very frequently caused by earthquakes. (also also, a tsunami is a tsunami, even if it's one inch high) 3. This earthquake was close to the shoreline. 4. GH has a pretty good and detailed video on the Cascades Big One that he made just a few days ago.
I believe that the “mega quake” alert is a bit misleading.
The 1960 Valdivia Earthquake was truly a mega quake
I never got a notification and I have a lot of apps
Got to give it the fear factor!
Or how about. Don't be scared be prepared, maybe he's just wanting people to be aware that something big COULD happen. Like the saying goes " it's better to have it and not need it" than "need it and not have it"
No. Japan is the best and know what they are talking about. Issuing this could save thousands of lives
I think the megaquake alert serves largely to tell people to make sure their disaster plans and supplies are all up-to-date and stocked properly. I live just outside of where the 2011 tsunami reached (it occurred before I lived in Japan so I was not here for it), so it's definitely on our minds.
What should emergency plan be if tourist?? Arriving there in a few weeks.
@@Sara01977 Get a Japanese SIM-card so you get important push notifications, I'd also recommend checking out Abroad In Japan, I believe he has a video or two on the subject here on CZcams.
Also check out Joey Bizinger aka TheAnimeman they both live in Japan and I strongly suspect that Chris(Abroad In Japan) will upload a video on this event sooner rather than later.
Enjoy your vacation but don't let worries ruin your vacation to this beautiful place, Japan is THE PLACE to be in case of an earthquake, because they are a regular occurrence.
Enjoy and have a good rest of your week 😄
@@Sara01977 There's an app called Japan Shelter, has a green icon, which maps nearby emergency shelters. They're usually schools and other public service buildings. Bear in mind that not every building will be used for every disaster. For example, where I live we had a typhoon last summer but my nearest shelter wasn't used. And if there's a tsunami they won't move you to short or low-lying buildings.
@@Sara01977There are also physical signs giving directions to nearby shelters, plus you'll see sea levels on street lamps, residential trash points, etc. If the disaster is serious enough you'll be able to follow what everyone else is doing. If you're unfamiliar with earthquakes look into how to protect yourself. Your chances of being caught up in a disaster in a trip are very slim. Be prepared but try not to worry x
@@nerdygem8620
Thank you geo hub for the concise update without the usual fear of many other channels
I live an hour away from the epicenter, we had a violent lightning storm come through just before the quake . I normally don’t mind quakes or lightning storms but both were so violent.
fascinating
Hello! I’m from another country, I’m going to visit Japan soon, I found out about this earthquake and now I’m very worried, it’s very difficult to find any information in my language. Please tell me if they are talking about some kind of earthquake in Japanese news in August? stronger than this
If that 2.9% is actually representative, that's a significant increased risk. A typical random week out of the year does not have nearly a 3% chance of an 8+ magnitude earthquake.
Yes. The increase in risk is significant, but the overall chances of it happening are still small. Probabilities are hard to communicate to people.
@@JariJuslin If I live near the coast, and I see a 3% chance of a 8+ earthquake in the next week, I'm going to take action. My emergency bag will be by the door, I'll charge all my spare batteries, double check my backup water, etc. That probability has high uncertainty but is easily worth the 20 minutes to make sure my disaster plans are ready. I think that should be the official advice too, assuming it's communicated responsibly.
I wouldn't take action as you later describe however, I would check kits, and that sort of thing. Not because the risk factor is unusually high but just using it as a, yes probably need to check batteries and other expiration dates.
2 things missing from nearly all kits. A couple rolls of quarters (laundry and other misc things) and at least one game or pack of cards. If you do have to evacuate the boredom is hell.
I’m just so grateful for your dedication.
I hope there will be no big earthquake soon and everyone will be safe
Earthquakes have happened for a billion yrs and will continue to happen..we live on the crust of a cooling planet.
That is the problem with short-term thinking:
(Btw: Happens in Star Trek... "just suppress quakes", nvm consequences)
THE PRESSURE BUILDS UP FURTHER.
More earthquakes will lead to weaker quakes and there will be no energy buildup. Same with volcanoes: Hawaii is rather safe, same as Etna and Stromboli. When Vesuvius blows its top, it will be worse than everything we can imagine, due to the buildup.
it's amazing how relatively no damage occured even though this was a magnitude 7, anywhere else a magnitude 7 could cripple a country for months
It was in the sea
@@wildlifeisthewealthofnatur5457 Also helps that Japan's used to earthquakes and has been building its stuff to wobble with the earthquakes instead of getting shaken apart (most of the time)
This is the first place I heard about it. fast work!
By far the best geology content on CZcams🙏
Been a fan for years, thank you!
Thanks as always, Geology Hub.
Man I was waiting for your video about this earthquake. Yours are the best.
dude i love your videos so much, they're so informational and I always learn so much from them and I love knowing about geological things around the world when they happen because its interesting and important to be aware of your surroundings even if not immediate.
I can continue to count on the channel for clear and concise updates. Thanks for all you great work!
Your voice is oddly soothing 😊
Thanks for all the hard work on these videos!
Your timing is incredible! Yesterday was the "How to reduce earthquake damage before they happen" and today there was an earthquake.
Great work. Your summaries are excellent - concise and straight to the point. YOu are one of the best.
I really appreciate how you explained that, about the chances. Nicely done.
I’m still wondering about the 5.2 quake that occurred yesterday in Lamont / Grapevine CA that generated some interesting after shocks.
Same here
The USGS site is a good go to for earthquakes but you won't find much in-depth info. There has been another earthquake in Lamont since you posted this (Only 2.7).
All earthquakes are related. Even if mainstream doesn’t say there’s any “proof“. This here is a good channel for reports around the current model.Dutchsinse has a very interesting and unique way of forecasting earthquakes.
@@creativesolutions902 Dutchsense is a conman.
Me too!
I come from a country without earthquakes but live in the Nankai alert zone. I've not had the best of sleeps 😂 But I appreciate the video. Logically I know the chances are still low, but it's still a scary prospect. My bag is packed and i have an escape route. Other than that, しょうがない！
Much appreciated, GH
It's the liqidfaction that would scare me! Worse than quick sand.
Thanks for the timely information.
Thank you for your geo-reports 😊
Does the "damage model" distinguish between areas where architecture has been reinforced and redesigned for eq safety, compared to places like the New Madrid zone, which totally has nothing -- yet?
I heard there was a quake, but I decided to wait till you posted to avoid the hysterical posts.
Thank you!
Thanks.
I turn to your channel to get good info after a geologic event.
I’m a couple of hundred miles from the coast in southern BC Canada. And I’m worried about what this up-ticks mean for the coast of the Pacific Northwest-West!
There is no uptick so there's no risk to you.
Thanks for this
Thanks for this.
Could you please include the depth of the quakes in future. I have found this quite interesting in the past.
The quake in Christchurch which caused significant damage seems to have been a connect the dots occurrence. If I recall correctly, Pakistan 8am, Uluru 10am, tracking through the rupture from the previous quake (Dargaville or ??), CHCH city 12pm, Bombay Hills... With another Mt Aoraki 11:30am, the other rupture ??, CHCH City 12:30pm. All with decreasing depths down to around 5km.
I've also figured that if it doesn't hit the igneous Bombay Hills and rebound, it heads to some insignificant island South East of the southern tip of S.America. while the globe hugging line from Aoraki, goes through CHCH and hits Brazil (their big quake around then), bounces up the east coast of America, hitting Cali, then Washington, before following the bowl. Other paths it could take is the cozca or nazka plates, or sneaking under the northern igneous areas of N.America and popping out as Icelandic volcanic activity that grounds planes (ijahafijallakull spelt poorly). For the first quake in CHCH I told my workmate watch, it's gna hit there in 2 weeks, then go bounce bounce for the next week or so, and probably come all the way around to the northern Pacific thermal plume island, and to the K (something) Russian/Japan volcanos... I scared her. Very much...
Thank you for the update and the clear explanation of the unknown likelihood if this event being a foreshock. On the table that appears at 0:30, the example of a M1.0-1.9 quake is shown as the “M1.3 Sep 14 2011 Maine earthquake.” I’m a Maine resident, and I’ve yet been able to find a record of this event on that date. I’m curious as to the source of this information. Thank you.
Thank you
Hmm. Well southwest of the A segment of the Nankai. Not sure what to make of this.
Just started living in Tokushima and to say I have been terrified is putting it lightly. This has been a bit reassuring so thank you
Imagine if we get "大きなもの" in Japan
1,000 terrible things…
Japan and NewZealand, two beautiful island lands, that could be nice to visit, but if you want to live there, don't put too much faith in shelving :)
Not Only Japan... Indonesian, Philipines, Taiwan, Fiji, Vanuatu, Tonga too
We live in Fukuoka, and we could feel the shaking all the way up here...
What percent chance do you think another earthquake will hit in the next week?
Damn this is twice this year
How does plate movement in Japan affect the other side of the plate? Is this likely to cause more movement of the Juan de Fuca plate?
Thank you so much for this video! I really appreciate! For the fairness for the government maybe “alert” is not appropriate as translation. (My bad!)Maybe “be aware” would be more suitable, though to live in Japan means to be aware always. They say the possibility of Mega quake is relatively higher compared with ordinary times.
I hope they are fine. Not only because i travel to Honshu in 1 1/2 months
I get so nervous every time I hear about an earthquake in Japan. While the country arguably has the absolute best emergency preparedness and emergency response programs on Earth, it still sucks that this is a routine occurrence in the region. Hopefully the damage is minimal and we do not see a potential bigger quake in the near future.
Always remember that they've lived for CENTURIES in an earthquake prone region and they build their buildings in a very specific way so they can withstand the shaking by wobbling around instead of standing rigidly. The main problem isn't earthquake so much as tsunamis, and even THEN they're usually prepared for it.
Fukushima-Daichi only became a disaster because the original safety backup features were cut for budget reasons, if they'd followed the original safety plans the nuclear plant would have shrugged off the abnormally large tsunami waves, too. They've got this down FAR MORE than most of the world-- and any anomalous event just makes them even better at mitigating.
Has this links to the great quake of 2011? Could stress be transferred to that fault zone.
No, it's way too distant to begin with.
Its important to note that the great 2011 quake occurred along the portion of the subduction zone where the Pacific plate subducts beneath the Okhotsk plate(basically a severed portion of the North American plate) rather than where the Philippian plate subducts beneath the Amur plate which was where this quake occurred. The Amur and Okhotsk plates are interconnected via a continental convergent plate boundary
theres no physical link but there might be similarities to that one. or it could just be this one quake and then aftershocks.
Question...If only a portion of the subducted plate was involved and stress remains at adjacent sections of the subduction zone isn't it reasonable to have an expection of another release?
Good question it is probably worth noting that the boundary between the Amur plate and Philippian plates is the shortest subduction plate boundary section so the quake being weaker could just be due to that lack of area extent. To the North along the Japanese subduction zone segments it is the Okhotsk plate(formerly considered part of North America but now recognized to be moving independently) which is colliding with the Pacific plate whereas to the South it is the Eurasian plate via the Yangtze microplate which is colliding with the Philippian plate so how the strain change from this quake affects the other isn't easy to understand as this area involves 5 different independent tectonic plates.
Yes
The Japanese have stated the warning is for the next week with a belief the quake "could" happen in the next 30 years...its quite interesting looking at the difference in timeframe to yours...I wonder who did their models?
Seems to be eerily quiet after th big one, not many aftershocks
Thanks for sharing your very informative video.😊
I’m suspicious of any offshore event.
Another one? Guess I'd better look and see what's going on on the US West Coast this afternoon, then.
Meanwhile, here in the Midwest.....
still waiting for the New Madrid fail to go off.
She's waaaaaay overdue.
All that bottle up energy has got to be ready to snap.
Wonder how the shaking will affect Sakurajima.
That is unfortunate.
Dutchsinse had a very good system by observing present and past activities in both volcanic and siesmic activity!
Do you think this earlier quake will lead to problems with Sakurajima?
At 6:19pm local time yesterday evening grande prairie alberta had a small earthquake
I didn't get this notification till 2 days later! I'm not in Japan but still!!
If such an earthquake were to occur, what are the chances that it could even trigger the eruption of Mt Fuji?
In as much that "mankind" knows little about Earthquakes and Volcano's, Japan must be considered among the Experts on the subject. Take the Warning seriously.
No place is safe in that island chain.
Hold up did you just say 139 magnitude 7 or larger earthquakes have hit Japan at shallow - Intermediate depths since the year 1900. Thats insane!
Damn
strange how did i find 3 scientist who knew how to predict earthquakes and then they disapeared.
Wait on 8.8.8 at 4:42. Dude thats some synchronicity level quake
Mr Hub - Do you _ever_ leave your computer or do you just put your head down on the keyboard periodically for catnaps?
Great report , notice Japanese construction is designed to flex , older stone and wood will of course sustain damage.
Japan had to deal with a earthquake and then typhoon Maria bout to wreak Japan 😢
March 2011: mag 9.0 quake
August 2024: 8 or 9 mag
(For me, i believe it's 8.5 mag)
If there is no concern... The alert would not have been made. Just Saying... Just Saying...
I only watch this channel on earthquakes.
I have a mathematical model in mind to explain 'foreshocks'. After a significant quake, there are aftershocks, which is to say that the rate of earthquakes increases. Say after a magnitude 7 quake, the rate is increased by a factor of a thousand for the next week. (Actually I'd expect the rate to decay over this time, but it doesn't matter for my argument.) So essentially you get a thousand weeks (of quiescent rate) worth of earthquakes in one week. Sometimes that thousand weeks worth happens to include a larger earthquake. When this happens, we call the initial quake a 'foreshock'.
The essence of this model is that the size distribution (I believe normally a power law) of aftershock earthquakes is the same as the quiescent size distribution. The later larger quake is simply one that got randomly selected from this distribution.
So, seisemologists out there: does this model describe reality?
Why are none of the news outlets reporting on this?
Have You Ever seen a Trend where Japan has activity Then California Or Vice versed...? Southern California has had some recent quakes but Can You Update Us On The Juan de Fuca...?
Thanks for the movie. We have too few cases to make any precise alert because of our short history compared with seismic trends. Trillion $ economic loss will happen by M9 class quake in this region at the worst case. The alert is for making us "be sure" or "be prepared" for uncertain future. That's all. It shall happen in this century, but never tell when.
this happened three times today for japan
The current lawlessness in the west coast states will pale in comparison in the immediate aftermath of the next incoming large magnitude earthquakes one on the Cascadia Subduction Zone and on the San Andreas & adjacent faultlines.
Omw in 7days for the 1st time since March of 11.
So what is happening in Japan NOW!
Japan having earthquake
5 days later,
Los angeles had a earthquake
I bet it'll happen this Monday night.
The 12th into the 13th.
um actually there have been advancements in earthquake predictions
People actually stick their fingers in their ears and say "LA LA you can't predict earthquakes and you never will LA LA" when you bring up the electromagnetic elements and precursor signals of quakes, like bro, The Earth literally sings in frequencies most never hear but She sings none the less.
Cascading lookin sus right now….
Amurian plate?
Yes there are 5 tectonic plates at play within Japan making it a fascinating area of tectonic complexity. Of these there are 3 primarily continental plates involved, the Amurian plate the Eurasian plate the Okhotsk plate(formerly considered part of North America but now having been shown to have become independent in essence a fragment of the North American plate) and then two Oceanic plates the Philippian plate and Pacific plate.
Of these plates the Amurian plate has the smallest subduction zone cross section, as further North the Okhotsk plate is colliding with the Pacific plate while to the southwest it is the Eurasian plate colliding with the Philippian plate. The Amur plate is kind of sandwiched in-between as it rifts away from Eurasia within the Baikal rift zone and the Korean pull away basin separating Korean peninsula which is part of the Amur plate from mainland China to the west while to the North the Amur plate is actively colliding with the Okhotsk plate in a continental continental type collision.
The Amur plate is one of the most interesting tectonic plates for me because of how many different types of active plate boundaries it has with rifting in the Baikal rift zone, transform faulting between Eurasia further into china resulting in one of China's most dangerous fault zones featuring the deadly 1975 Haicheng and 1976 Tangshan earthquakes i.e. the San Andreas of China with the major river valley , the pull away basin(though largely filled in by delta sediments. Compared to Eurasia it is moving east in a counterclockwise manner and contains most of the extensive back arc extensional basin known as the Sea of Japan.
Additionally the melts which fuel the volcanism where the Amur plate is pulling away from Eurasia feature a fairly exotic basaltic trace element composition that is otherwise generally only seen in geological record within the melts that compose the great continental flood basalt eruptions responsible for driving the break up supercontinents and thanks to seismic tomography it has been linked to hydrous saturated upwelling from a stagnant flat Pacific slab. In essence it is like a mini Wilson cycle.
The Earthquake in January of this year also involved the Amur plate so it is a very active tectonic zone which again exhibits a number of tectonic properties normally only seen at the end of a Wilson Cycle albeit scaled down in scope.
@@Dragrath1Thanks, I just found out about the Amurian plate and Sunda plate from here and it's quite interesting to know more about it.
7.1? Japanese news says 6.2
Two earthquake
Let's say i'm deadpool and just cant die, If I was standing at the point where the earth snaps back up. What would happen to me? would I be turned into a pancake? since water can't be compressed much, would it act like a giant springboard?
Just arrived in Osaka for 2 weeks. Lol
I'm going to Japan next week. I'm really scared.
Osaka region is one of the areas that is fairly safe from earthquakes and tsunamis in Japan.
That country will eventually be under water. I would never live there.
?....
another very well done and informative vid. seems lilke the gov't of Japan prefers to err on the side of caution.
All: please try to focus on what happens to people, if you have concerns. Nature relies on consciousness in its burgeoning. Nature rejects judgement, wishing for law.
How many new Fukushimas in the making?
FREE Captain Paul Watson
I might die bc I live in Japan I love this earth so pls god don’t do this to Japan
this old and weak earthquake with no tsunami
How many quakes were triggered by the bombing at the end of WWII?
None
Right after Japan stock market crash
Seems like the Philippine sea plate just had to get in on the action and decided it was time to plummet downwards too
I bought Japanese stocks at the bottom. I sold the MFG (Mizuho) at a nice profit, but I still have NMR (Nomura). 😬
😅 I sincerely hope that no harm comes to Japan.
@@okboomer6201 good thing you sold after cause it’s going down again
7.1 isn't big enough to generate a tsunami. This wasn't a slow quake or slow slip. This was Sudden energy Being released. Fears of a major quake in the nankai trough region And throughout japan's archipelago remain ground zero for Megathrust earthquakes and Tsunami's.
Tsunamis are caused by a displacement in the water. A 7.1 is absolutely enough to cause a tsunami if the motion is vertical. A 5 pointer could cause one. And most quakes aren’t slow
@@canyounotmydude9155 you obviously have absolutely no idea what a slow slip, slow quake or episodic tremor event is. Yeah that’s absolutely comical but with a kindergarten charm. Please Do some research before looking foolish. Rarely will anything below a 7.0 generate a tsunami. maybe a high tide or a small one depending on the circumstances. if the 7.0 event is close to the coastline with vertical lift, it could generate a small and maybe a significant tsunami, but it has rarely happened.🤷🏻♂️ remember the Richter scale was re-scaled back in 1970’s I believe. Again, please do some research. Better yet watch some lectures on great tsunamis of the northwest Pacific. Learn what a slow quake is and why it’s significant to unravel the code and decipher the earth signals.
@@user-lo8pd7co7q okay
1. I never said that slow earthquakes (or low-frequency earthquakes) don’t exist, just that they are far less common than most earthquakes, which usually last a few seconds (including most significant ones)
2. According to NOAA “Most tsunamis are generated by earthquakes with magnitudes over 7.0 that occur under or very near the ocean (usually at or near subduction zones, where oceanic and continental plates collide) and less than 100 kilometers (62 miles) below the Earth’s surface.”, and yes maybe I was wrong about 5.0s causing tsunamis on their own… that’s a keyword, on their own. Earthquakes are also known to cause another thing called *landslides*, which can cause a bunch of displacement in the water and create pretty decently sized tsunamis (including when the landslides solely happen under water). Also your original argument was that a 7.1 can’t cause a tsunami at all.. what?
3. If you actually watched the video, the earthquake was really close to the coastline
4. GeologyHub made a really good and detailed video essay on that last thing just a few days ago.
@@user-lo8pd7co7q for some reason CZcams deleted my reply to you, so I'm instead gonna make a short rebuttal because I couldn't care less about rewriting that all over again.
1. I never said that slow slip earthquakes don't exist, just that they're aren't as common as non-slow slip. Most tectonic earthquakes (including significant ones) are only a few seconds long, because whatever tectonic movement causes them are very abrupt.
2. While yes, NOAA does say that *most* tsunamis are caused by shallow earthquakes 7.0 and up, *most* is always a keyword. Landslides (especially underwater landslides) also exist and are very frequently caused by earthquakes. (also also, a tsunami is a tsunami, even if it's one inch high)
3. This earthquake was close to the shoreline.
4. GH has a pretty good and detailed video on the Cascades Big One that he made just a few days ago.
@canyounotmydude9155 Watch some of those lectures on great earthquakes in the northwest pacific.. mind blowing findings
Dutchsinse
Dutchsinse has been accurately forecasting earthquakes using geological science for over 10 years. His accuracy is astounding.
1st bam!!