Historian Niall Ferguson Predicts the Future of China
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- čas přidán 25. 02. 2022
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“The only lives that truly matter are those who respect the lives of others”.
@Kirna Mina👄 Voetsek!
So true!
Well said!
@444 RAMSEY BOLTON 444 If that’s your plan, it’s pathetic.
With Ukraine falling will Taiwan follow soon? czcams.com/video/bAXQEjsBWEE/video.html
@@RightTurnClyde Russia is failing miserably, yes and China will follow suit. Another corrupted power hungry mission using junk equipment. Pathetic…
Taiwan is my hometown and I am highly interested in this topic. Thanks for focusing on the next right thing; I hope sleepy Joe can wake up and has a proper plan when China invades Taiwan.
Sleepy Joe is lost in space! There is no hope
I'm in Taipei 😊
an American
Home "town"? I detect bs.
I have been to Taiwan. Great vacation. Did the whole main island including Taipei, Hualien, Taroko Gorge, Taitung, Kaohsiung and the Penghu Islands. I am not sure how someone who is from there can say Taiwan is there "hometown"? Many cities there. Lots of mountains and country side. There are potentially many hometowns within Taiwan. Sort of an interesting thing to say.
@@paulgaasenbeek4943 generally speaking I suppose. Not everyone knows the inner cities within Taiwan, obviously… why are people so goddamn limited in their thinking. Why do people deal in absolutes. It’s ridiculously annoying and pathetic.
America promised to support Hungary in 1956 and didn't. They promised to support Afghanistan and abandoned it. They promised to support Ukraine and didn't. They promised to support South Vietnam, and did for a while, but gave up on it. What hope does Taiwan have?
the terrain is an option china my not be trained enough for taiwan terrain
A miracle ? Or maybe Optimus Prime not being fictional.
Lesson: Stop sending Americans to die for other nations. Would I die to save Taiwan or send my sons/daughters to die there? No.
@@SwoleTown I'm sure you would also not promise to turn up and then betray them and watch them all be enslaved. Unfortunately that's what the US does , Ukraine was promised all sorts and then left to fend for itself . Not wanting to die for a distant country is fair . But we all know what happens when we turn a blind eye eventually you have to take a stand and by then it comes at an even bigger cost. " why die for Danzig ?".
@@gingerbill128 That’s exactly what the US does. Shouldn’t have been involved in Ukraine in the first place. We all saw what happens when a foreign nation tries to put weapons in our sphere of influence (Cuba).
I’ll say it again, no Americans should die or have their sons die fighting a war that would only benefit our corrupt elites.
My first introduction to Ferguson was reading his book "Empire". Smart guy, knows his material.
Short but very accurate and concise perspective on Hong Kong. I'm from Hong kong, and I quite regret that we hoped too much for foreign aid 3 years ago.
More of this please
Niall is mesmerizing to listen to... what an articulated intellectual!
*articulate ("articulated" is for large trucks)
I wanna see Ben sit down with Ray Dalio and have a China conversation. He’s been going there for 30 years and Ben seems very confident about a place I don’t think he visits/does business in too often. It would be an awesome convo !
he's been selling out America for 30 years to China
I think you’ve officially had the best guest who I can think of! 💯
His book, "The Ascent of Money" is a fascinating read. Recommend.
I have had it for 12 years brand new and untouched. I should pick it back up. The West and the Rest is an awesome read too
Book of fiction like everything from Ferguson.
@@grogscol ive just come across this personality, why is that your perception of him?
@@WarringFighter british
@@WarringFighter Ignore him. Ferguson is an eminent historian but doesn’t toe the liberal-left line so they try to erase him. Typical crypto-totalitarianism reminiscent of Xi and Putin.
I researched this dude in history for an assignment on WW2 . Wild
These are great!!! Please keep doing these.
Thank you for always speaking up about China's taking of Hong Kong Ben.
The West really needs to be much much more independent in terms of manufacturing and energy, the use of our resources etc. and stop offshoring everything and buying it back in ready made form. We need to stop relying on China for manufacturing just about everything we want or need. This would also create jobs and careers in our own countries. And yes, we might have to pay a bit more for stuff, but rather than being held to ransom by the CCP, Russia etc. We also need to be much more independent in terms of food production too. Wake up Western World before the aggressive East starts to subsume us all! Wake up!
💯 agree
It is best to act quickly and isolate the United States and its lackeys from the world. Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Central and South America can develop together, they can develop better without the capitalist exploitation and oppression of the West.
I can listen to Ben talk about anything all day long. I love his perspective on everything, the world needs more logical thinkers like him
Yeah, I believe you are correct, but I also recall we did some minor beef-up of the Ukraine, and it was clearly too little too late. God bless all.
Just remember Ben likes to point his hate telescope 🔭 in one direction.
Well spitting his facts
Yes facts = truth
But it's only part of the game as a whole
The world is all running at once causing all things to function off one another.
Actions & effects
Ben doesn't talk about worldly truth
Just facts at a directed target.
His fact checking the black community
And generally all his TOPICS
Can bring good Burns 🔥
But like I said he doesn't
As a educated man explain
The why's & how we got here issues
He also is a lover of Sand religions
Which plays its part in his moral compass
So he definitely won't talk about how
Religions in America define the laws of our land or how they are targeted at poor Americans who just so happen to be pre dominately black.
Or how religions suppressed science for the past 600 years .. meaning we would be at least 300 years in future technology
Here in 2022..
No worries though Japan's already made sex robots that can get pregnant.
In a fake cafe filled with actors? So contrived, just like Greedy Ben.
The only reason why I listen to so much of Ben's content is because Niall and his fellows only do shows once every 10 days or so. czcams.com/video/r1fAzeXSo5c/video.html If you want more great thinkers, watch Goodfellows.
Imagine without censorship? Mind blown.
We'll let them do whatever so long as Biden is president.
No shit! We are doomed!
But trump was mean! 😭
No more mean tweets!
While we are arguing about pronouns and gender studies Putin was sat there thinking.....wait? wtf? Really? GO GO GO TEAM ALPHA!
With Ukraine falling will Taiwan follow soon? czcams.com/video/bAXQEjsBWEE/video.html
you cannot really compare the Chinese economy with the late soviet. Unlike the soviets, chinese companies are highly competitive on the global market and China is the biggest trading partner to most of the countries....
Loved this;thank you, Gentlemen. Pity we couldn't buy Greenland 😉
I just watched the whole conversation on The Daily Wire +. It was wonderful. I like the format and the thematic fluidity. Keep more of these conversations coming, Ben.
Praying this goes viral! Great interview! Scary for those of us with kids! Praying to God who keeps his promises and is Sovereign!
I really like that the production crew chose this café environment to shoot this interview. It feels really comfortable and its definitely also very original.
Nothing wrong with a nice cafe setting.
It's a set? Good idea for a set mind
Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee is a great example.
TRUMP 2024!
This was a very complex conversation.. thanks.
Great chat, Ben!
After taking office, didn't Biden, at the 2021 Indo-Pacific Conference, tell Taiwan they'll have to look to Australia and India for military support, if China does try to invade? At that conference didn't he already signal to China, the US has stepped out of our agreements to support and protect Taiwan? I thought I remembered India, the Saudis, UAE and Australia telling him to take a seat when he went on a pro China rant.
Most probably India will only condemn in case China attacks Taiwan, but we have no plan of going on full scale war which is not currently economically feasible option.I can't Tell about the other.
Does India even have the strength to go against China?
1. Biden stopped the wall.
2. The Biden administration refuses to address the southern border.
3. Under the Biden administration illegals are flown to various locations around the country incognito at taxpayer's expense.
Could Biden have a deal with the CCP? cough. Who knows.
The Quad told him they were going to follow Trump's plan, and if he didn't like it, he could go home.
He’s in China’s back pocket. He’s got business deals there.
With Ukraine falling will Taiwan follow soon? czcams.com/video/bAXQEjsBWEE/video.html
I wonder what the future of the US is gonna be like..
F*ucked. Its been the plan for years. Everyone is just to stupid to see it.
Heavy lean into socialism/communism. More and more hostility towards Christianity and its values. Authoritarianism and erosion of the constitution.
Probably
@@richardsqueeze my sentiments exactly.
I'm buying ammo..not food and batteries..
@@terriemartinez9989 that's the best thing to stock up on. Hopefully the availability keeps getting better and the prices come down but im sure it won't.
Secession and breakup into several republics.
I'm so glad people like this exist
Top work Ben
Reminds me of selling a riding mower to a guy who refused because it had a Chinese engine and not a Briggs and Stratton. I didn't tell him they are made in China to. Wake up people.
I think most people are aware, but where can they find American products. The grocery store stockouts are waking people up to the degree we rely on China. There should have been an outrage when we found our vital medical equipment, and drugs are made in China. Industry doesn't listen, most politicians ignore us, and the elite Democrats look down on us.
As a Hongkonger, I appreciate Ben Shapiro constantly mention our struggles while the rest of the western world forgot about us.
Hong Kong was a lost cause for a while now.
it was impossible to even protect that single city from China.
Taiwan is a different story. Taiwan being a island nation, the US and other Asian allies like Japan could park their Navy in Taiwan and troops.
China wouldn't dare to attack Taiwan because that would make the CCP declare war against both the US and Japan.
the CCP likes to bark a lot but it won't bite.
@@LevisH21 yes I agree it's a lost cause, but I don't think it's impossible, it's just not the west interest to protect it. Now that China is weak, US is fully capable to force China to give up HK, but there is no benefit to do it. Best scenario realistically is to make HK prosperous again, and have the west interest to interfere the politics of freedom and democracy.
I understand politics is basically business.
@@Kingstonlomusic how exactly is China weak?
China is a superpower. maybe the PLA doesn't have combat experience but the Chinese army is huge and we'll equipped with weapons. plus, China has nuclear warheads.
in order to better defend themselves, South Korea and Japan should be allowed to have nuclear weapons as well. same with Australia.
being nice to China should end. China is a dangerous adversary to the West and China has lots of friends, mostly 3rd world corrupt countries that hate the West.
@@LevisH21 I am saying them being weak, as a temporary economic recession post COVID, USA didn't need to use any military to put China to its knees. If US seriously call for the Qing Dynasty Bonds that Worth $1.6tn. China will be forced to give up lot of things, e.g. hk and Taiwan.
Don't get me wrong, I hate China with all my heart and soul, I wish all of CCP can go to hell. But after learning how politics works, I have to admit it may not be the best interest for mankind to destroy them and replace them with western leaders. After Russia fall, which they will, China will become the only superpower to keep the geopolitics in balance.
The ideal solution is to keep Hong Kong autonomy separate from China influence, treat it as a city state (a.k.a Localism, similar to Trump's America first movement), while in name still as part of China. So China won't get provoked.
Well, the world have gone crazy now, so it all become so much more complex.
Haven't forgotten you homie, Just can't do much about it without triggering a nuclear exchange with communist fanatics in Beijing.
Excellent analysis. Thank you guys
I love this format.
That coffee shop has to have boomed in business with Ben picking it for each The Search taping. If I lived in Nashville, that would be a coffee place I would love to try.
Can someone explain why the US wouldn't give HUGE incentives for these massive semiconductor fabricators to move to the US? Would that not solve a huge portion of this problem?
That would require intelligence though, which most politicians don't happen to have
Well US have been doing that for some time now and have secured certain portions investment from Samsung etc. But semiconductor manufacturing costs a lot. Like stupidly a lot. Takes very long time for certain manufacturing line to actually turn profitable... so very complicated and difficult
It does not solve the problem because it means China can then still invade Taiwan and use it as a staging ground to try and conquer the pacific.
The problem is that it takes *A LOT* of time to built the very complex, intricate, and massive factories that manufacture the most advanced computer chips. We're talking over 20 years to build up to the standards Taiwan is at, and that is 20 years while Taiwan is still progressing forward.
Also, it is pretty much impossible in the US because of the simple fact that semiconductors during their manufacture are massive consumers of electricity, produce pollution, and need a lot of water, which makes them a no-go with the radical eco-freaks and green movement. You would have to force California to go back to the environmental standards they had in the 1970s when Silicon Valley produced actual computer chips in the place that bear their name. Good luck with convincing the radical Cultural Marxists who ideologically align with China to give up their environmental standards which they cling to as tenants of their new environmental religion.
You totally are missing the point. These semi-conductors create wealth. If you have to spend money to get them, that kind of defeats the purpose.
Great chat Men
So interesting, gave such good background to the subject. Thanks
Every semester I have my students watch the episodic documentary The Ascent of Money. Ferguson is a very insightful and thought provoking lecturer.
I find it interesting that all the customers in the coffee place are going about doing their own thing without even looking at Ben and Niall. If I were in the store, I would have been curious to see why there are all these cameras at different angles around the table
Of course, you wouldn't recognize who they were.
From what I have heard about New York City a flying saucer could land in Times Square, and no one would look up. Take the subway.
i was thinking the same thing
It's going to be controlled
Funking love this guy!
I listen to him talk for hours
When the Ukraine war started, I immediately thought about Taiwan.
Same.
So did China
I thought they would invade SIMULTANEOUSLY!
Go read a history book if you think Taiwan is not part of China, then, eastern Germany should belong to Russia.
@@papi-sauce never said they are not part of China but China doesn’t have control over the country and China doesn’t see Taiwan as a separate country but should be under China government rule and control.
Ben really has the some of the best conversations on the internet nowadays
I agree. He has his faults--human and all.
As an Australian it concerns me as to how much the US will honour the ANZUS pact. My thought is the more US assets, troops and infrastructure they put down will highlight the strategic nature of the geography and this will be the reason they will assist us....
Australia right now needs to arm itself to the teeth. I needs a naval air defence system that can screen the northern coasts of Australia and it then needs a far reaching air defence system that can also be used to stop naval invasions.
Australia also needs to raise a large reserve military force. Right now Australia has about 30000 reserve troops when it really should have about 500,000.
Neutralizing China air power is the first step and then its ability for naval invasion. High tech air defence systems produced in the west are relatively cheap and when set up as a network can be devastating to the Chinese air assets.
Wars rarely happen in 6 months and play out over decades.
@@bighands69 that's much easier said than done, Australia would have to spend insane amounts of money to achieve all of that and in the end it might not even matter without support of US
Although I think the US should honor it's treaties and defense agreements, the fact is. They don't need to. Resources and markets are both within their borders and they have the capability to feed their own population without fear of shortages. Energy, technology and labor forces are abundant with a demographic that assures this well into the future.
Biden gave Australia nuclear subs and put them in charge of patroling the Pacific. If China invades Taiwan, Australia will be the first to know about it and then some.
With Biden and his ideological party in charge (look at Afghanistan, Putin did) Aus needs to nuke up to be able to successfully retaliate against the CCP. Look at it this way, Xi can't kill ya twice and nukes may dissuade..
Nice new format
I I’ve watching these discussion type videos. So educational. Both in facts and the function of healthy discussion
Taiwan is probably my favorite place I have ever visited. I had the pleasure of spending two weeks there in 2019. It is a beautiful place with polite, kind people. I would like to live there someday and I hope they are not invaded by China.
Toured Japan, Vietnam, Cambodia and Hong Kong in 2019. Only got to see Taiwan from the airport layover, would love to give it a proper visit.
@@lieutenantflyboy Taiwan is the real China that’s why it’s great to visit.
@@joejoe809 how is Taiwan the real China though when 99% of Chinese history occurred in the mainland which is currently ruled by PRC, and also their people hate being called Chinese? Is it because they use the traditional writing and also keeping some artifacts they took from China after the communists took over?
@@zennoix9984 you’ve answered your own question.
People who predict the future are “clairvoyants ”, not historians .
History repeats itself, over & over & over. Nothing mysterious about it, if you've read some books.
They are talking about current geopolitical crises.. they are able to make predictions
Well that was awesome.
When is the rest coming?
Unrelated to this video.
Let me just say "TAIWAN IS A COUNTRY"
TIBET IS A COUNTRY.😎
The country of Taiwan is worth saving.
The country of Afghanistan was not.
Two things can be true at the same time.
no
we need TW govt says so pls
Nope.
@@muhammadrehman8307 Yes
it's so cute to see two white men talking about a country they've never been to, so cute.
Non of these China expert predictions turned out true.
Sending love from Taiwan 🇹🇼 Long live world peace
Lord Jesus Christ unite us through Your Love 💕
Terrific. Video and I love how Ben is doing these interviews. As such a well rounded mind himself It’s great to have him being the one doing these interviews.
ben, this long form content is next level. great stuff. prefer it over your solo videos tbh.
Thanks for pay walling this! 👍
Whilst Mr Ferguson might be right about some things, I can still see a doctor here in Guangzhou and get there by subway for less than five bucks. Don't have to worry about being mugged on may either.
Autocracies do have advantages, as long as you tow the line.
A U.S. Dollar goes farther in China than it does here in the U.S. obviously.
It sure does when it comes to basic services provided by the government which deliberately keeps prices low. But when it comes to luxury items more expensive than states. And real estate-800-1000 dollars a square foot for something new in city.
Ok, I'm interested.
Niall Ferguson already had me interested
Been a while finally got my review!!! Thanks for getting the message out bro! In the coming months let's hope they do collapse. Most of this is due to the silk road being a vision.
Excellent analisys.
I find it funny that one of the world's slowest growing economies for decades keeps saying that one of the world's fastest growing economies for decades is an economic failure, for decades.
China's here! +10 social credit points.
@@Weirdomanification
West: land of free speech
Also West: If you disagree with me then +10 social credit points for you!
@@user-wb7ez9ud4p +15 social credit points!
You're dealing with a country where a quarter to a third of the population believe in the supernatural, worship an invisible man and woman called Jesus and Mary, deny science and evolution, and think the world was made in seven days by an invisible skyman called God.
@@view1st Wow, good point...
I wonder which coffee shop did they go to. I would love to sit next to them to eavesdrop to their conversation in person
It's a set
I'm leaning towards its a set ,but maybe it's legit
Take it easy Tom...you need to calm down, nothing ground breaking.
Tom...
Tom. We talked about this, Tom
@@frequentsee3815 🤣🤣
The moment when something LOUDLY goes SMASH while Ben's talking at 4:16! 😂
Is this a talkshow or movie? Man, the video quality, and cinematography are top notch..! 👏👍
I suppose it is quixotic to suggest arming Taiwan and Japan with nuclear cruise missiles but methinks it would surely deter China at a low military cost. No nuclear power has ever had its homeland attacked.
Israel would like a word.
Taiwan is by far the most successful democracy in Asia.
To see it fall to The PRC would effectively end us presence in APAC.
Japan, Korea and most SE Asian nations will never trust the US to be a meaningful security partner if the US cannot defend an independent, vibrant Asian democracy.
Just like Ukraine is exposing Europe historical timidity regarding meaningful defence - all talk but no actual action while Putin wages a brutal war on their doorstep (and failed in the 90s in Yugoslavia) - US pacific security guarantees need to come with concrete plans to engage in war if tested.
You mean his doorstep. Not Europe's. What would NATO do if rival military alliance came to Canada or Mexico? You don't think they would invade and protect their borders and country? It's all about the INTEREST of big powers in the world. We the people are spectators and side choosers of each war, until it happens to us. It's been like that since the dawn of time. Cold and calculated as that.
you are so correct
Woow loved the format... it's like I'm right there having coffee with two friends!! I completely share the worries, but can we do anything about it? or are we just unwilling spectators to a horror movie...
I read many of Niall Ferguson works and he's amazing
First view: the bot doesn't count, and he probably didn't watch the whole thing!
This is “un-comedians not in a car probably still drinking coffee” Ben you can have the title for $50.
Ben, I like your clear and fast talking style.
I think it's shameful that Ben doesn't have these full podcasts up for free. Especially the important ones.
That's the price for not relying on CZcams monetization
@@NihilSineDeo09 Sure. However, he also doesn't release the podcast 3-6 months after it's been uploaded to his site. It's a mistake, Imo. They'd sell their soul for the love of Gold. I'm subbed to his site, by the way.
Nations have no permanent friends or allies, they only have permanent interests.
Lord Palmerston
Dwindling potable water is a serious issue as well. They've essentially drained their aquifer and poisoned their lakes and rivers and continue to do so.
Why for how Rich China is are they not trying to fix it?
@@Saral_Lekhi they might try to dovert himalayan rivers that go ito india to china, which will cause a china india war.
An Australian waitress just drop the coffe when Shapiro talked about China
I agree with all Niall Ferguson say, many of the pieces I have been picking up from different sources he put it all together
I highly recommend Ben try and find John Mearsheimer to interview. His “offensive realist” theory seems to be coming true in light of Russia and China.
Would be an interesting conversation especially considering that Ben said recently that he isn’t a fan of Mearsheimer. I’m curious as to what the disagreement is about.
@@dtaylor091489 he likes Bernie, but he’s a brilliant international relations theorist and scholar - so you gotta forgive him haha
Some good news is that TSMC is bringing Semiconductor manufacturing home to the United States. They are building a massive manufacturing plant in Arizona with plans to build 7 more after. They will be building semiconductor manufacturing plants in the US for decades.
Yes, I've been talking to a lot of Taiwanese who are moving to Arizona this year, a lot of them are working for the semi-conductor industry
@@Crichjo32 When America takes the worlds best and brightest, we’re unstoppable.
@@lieutenantflyboy
Where do you think we could get some politicians? I think a few have gone bad.
With Ukraine falling will Taiwan follow soon? czcams.com/video/bAXQEjsBWEE/video.html
This actually makes me want to subscribe to the daily wire
love the locality
What is the “self-repair” function of the US economy? Because we also seem screwed…
You have seemed screwed many times before, but you always came back.
China's economy isn't a failure. A lot of economic growth happens outside of housing. A lot of tech innovations have occurred in the past 20 years. 30 years ago China was sending average kids to manufacturing jobs now they have the ability to attend schools in Canada and the US. This is evidence of a growing middle class.
Now my hopeful but wishful view is I hope we have a democratic China.
Democratic China will be a
your worst nightmare. Taiwan is not invaded because of CCP toning it down.
More of this x 1000
4:16 -- Jiminy Cricket, someone broke something in the background. Guess it must be an actual literal cafe.
Take hong kong? Take taiwan? Aren't those places a part of China? Hong Kong was taken away from China for 99 years by the Brits.
It's kinda like saying Spain taking Caledonia.
I'll give you Hong Kong. Taiwan though ... not a really good analogy there. China taking Taiwan in 2022 would be China forcible invading and subjugating a population of 23 million that is overwhelmingly against being annexed by China. Unless you think Russia invading and annexing portions of Ukraine because that country used to be part of the Russian Empire is valid. That's a bit more of a fair comparison. In Ukraine you have a country that overwhelmingly does not want to be part of Russia and is fighting tooth and nail to try to avoid it. They may ultimately fail, but at least this comparison is more honest. Then again maybe you're in favor or Russia invading Ukraine, killing tens if not hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian civilians and indiscriminately shelling the civilian population.
@@jeremybrowand5941 yeah, I think they are bombing civilians indiscriminately in iraq and libya. Ooh wait...
Just the flooding over the past year in China was horrific. Can’t imagine how deteriorated infrastructure China has. I think of Havana with all of the old Cadillacs from pre-Castro. Communism postures but never quite matches in reality.
And with the flooding comes famines. With famines, comes unrest amongst the populace. I think Ferguson is right except, China might accelerate its timeline to attack Taiwan. I expect Taiwan to put up a bigger fight than even the Ukrainians.
China has had "horrific" floods (by our standards) almost every year since its history began. Floods are what created and drove Chinese civilisation. Given their geography and climate, it couldn't be any other way.
Cuba is a bad representation of communism seeing as their poverty is related to massive US sanctions and their leaders who are pure dictators and not actual communists.
The irony with communism/socialism is that most Western countries are more socialist than the actual professed socialist countries.
Take for example the UK's NHS. A socialist command-style institution that reeks of Marxism. And yet the British love it. In fact almost half of UK government expenditure is on social welfare, education etc.
Now consider China. A so called 'communist' state? But they're not real communists. They spend less of their annual GDP on social welfare programs than most Western countries. The CCP doesn't even provide free high school level education. The Chinese are more capitalist than the capitalists themselves...how else do you think they got so rich?
People in the West have been indoctrinated to believe that communism/socialism is evil?! But as I alluded to in the beginning most Westerners live in hybrid socialist countries and actually love communism/socialism without even realizing it.
They are not our friend
@ann sobieski You are certainly so brainwashed. I was in China and the infrastructure looks ok over there :v actually pretty impressive. In US and A Europe Infrastructure is actually deteriorating much faster than in China :S
Free Hong Kong 🇭🇰
Cmon maynnn
Neil Ferguson was/is still a WEF young leader. True or false?
So what this guy is saying is, WW3 with China within the decade? Ngl I kinda expected this.
Too me the invasion of Ukraine has more to do with Taiwan than Russia. I would not be surprised if this was a Chinese Proxy war.
@@daniellove162 PUtin's actions this days are the result of years of lies from USA and NATO, and the eastward expansion of NATO to the Russian border to place first strike nuclear weapons. Inform yourselves people, instead of shooting off at the mouth. Do not listen to the "FAKE NEWS" and lies of the USA and MEDIA!
Potentially within this year. China will invade Taiwan sooner than later and the US will engage militarily. Neighbouring countries of China will invade other countries. And it will escalate into WW3.
Trump repeatedly said not to give to much power to Russia. And the left-wing media mocked him. Now, look.
@@quicksilver462 - I didn’t state a position on Putin’s reaction to Europe or NATO’s years of pressure on Russia. YOU just ASSumed $h1+ trying to correct the internet.
I don’t think Russia/Putin could find the risk/reward of responding like this WORTH IT unless they had a BIG economic allies like China putting a little to Russia’s back.
Hopefully I’ve “made your day”.
With Ukraine falling will Taiwan follow soon? czcams.com/video/bAXQEjsBWEE/video.html
Why the coffee shop though?
🗿 didn't you tell the other people in there to be quiet😆
I think we shouldn’t mix the situation in Ukraine with the situation in Taiwan. Putin was smart enough to invade before countries were obligated on paper to intervene, he gave this as reason for being opposed to Ukraine signing the NATO deal, so his threats can be taken into consideration. I’m sure the Chinese administration is aware of this, and of how an invasion of Taiwan would lead to some of the worlds greatest powers being obligated to step in. The greatest plan for them would be to wait the war out hoping it escalates to the point where the world powers are exhausted, so that it’s easier to take Taiwan relatively unopposed. So encouraging the war to go on, giving the participating parties more incentive to escalate the situation and doing this subtly is the best plan for China. It explains why they didn’t veto the sanctions levied against Russia for the invasion, remaining ‘neutral’ but also signing deals with Russia to help both economies. If they were on Russias side they’d veto the sanctions, on Europe’s side they wouldn’t do anything that helps Russia recover from the damage Europe is trying to do. Both increasing the opportunity for friendly bonds between Russia and Europe to break, increasing Russia’s urge to look for other sustaining deals and easing the damage of the sanctions themselves. These both promote war in Europe and enriches China, similar to what the US did during the Second World War that arguably had a huge effect on their current position. We should expect China to sell what it can to profit off this war to any participating side. I personally think the invasion of Taiwan is most probably set to take place after the war in Europe, and if during much later on when it becomes a proper war with multiple countries sending in troops at least. That’d be the point when China is richest it could be off the war, and the rest of the powers are exhausted as could be off the war too. I don’t see a nuclear war starting over a fight no one was obligated to take part in, but for the Chinese issue I think it could quite possibly lead to nuclear fall out. We should be keen on how much more trade occurs between China and the rest of the world, a stark increase should give more weight to this idea.
Nice analysis. I think you are on point on the prediction of the circumstances China is waiting on to invade Taiwan
Half of semiconductor production is in the USA (Samsung is even building a new plant in Texas). China has a fab but they've been cut off from buying new equipment to make the latest and greatest and they can only update their existing equipment somewhat with the knowledge they undoubtedly stole. The only issue with semi-conductors is the minerals and gases required. I'm not sure where they are world-wide but I don't think China is a main source.
3:18 😱
The Newspeak dictionary in the novel 1984 wasn't written in Newspeak so if that is a roadmap for the future, we win in the end.
Wow these two are so off the mark. Chinas economy is not slowing down anytime soon. While they may a higher amount if debt, their savings rate is astronomical, which completely negates any risk from the debt they have. While the US has very little savings and a much higher debt load than China
I’ve been a fan of Niall Ferguson, and think he lucked out with finding his wife, but how does he explain his association with the WEF and the great reset?
Has he ever proposed a great reset?
@ bighand69 Not that I know of. I’ve long valued his perspective but don’t know how he perceives the WEF currently. His reputation does not benefit from his association with Klaus Schwab’s organization. I’m genuinely interested in his perspective.
This was the first Shapiro video that I’ve watched and thought “Does this dude ever stop selling sh!t, he’s a walking fcuking advertisement, it’s advert on top of advert, please stop it”. Well done, I applaud you 👏
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