China: on the brink of war with the US? An expert explains
Vložit
- čas přidán 30. 05. 2024
- China wants to be the superpower of the 21st century, but does it want to provoke war or play peacemaker? (Subscribe: bit.ly/C4_News_Subscribe)
This week the country announced it was increasing military spending, and its newly installed foreign minister warned that if the US did not change course soon, there would be conflict.
But China also recently published a 12-point plan for ending the conflict in Ukraine, despite not condemning Russia’s invasion. Ukrainian president Volodmyr Zelenskyy even said he would meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping to discuss the plans.
So is this the moment where Beijing asserts itself on the world stage after being locked away during Zero Covid for so long?
In today’s episode, Kiran Moodley speaks to Rana Mitter, Professor of the History and Politics of Modern China at the University of Oxford, about China’s growing frustration with Moscow and the likelihood of a new Cold War.
Producer: Freya Pickford
-------
Watch more of our explainer series here - • Coronavirus Explained
Get more news at our site - www.channel4.com/news/
Follow us:
Facebook - / channel4news
Twitter - / channel4news
Everytime some expert predicts Chinese economic collapse I switch off, I've been doing it for 33 years
Sometimes it's hilarious ... Most of the self proclaimed western experts on China has been wrong, but continue to be experts ...
Yet the demographic development is undeniable. They have to rapidly encourage more children (they are making moves in regards to the cost of raising children, and encouraging families to have more children, but the culture of the golden child is now deeply ingrained in China) or be willing to accept a huge influx of migration, which would be an even harder culture to shift in China.
China will have debts at the end of the year of 57 Trillion USD, it has major systemic problems, it has to control these problems, which will require the CCP to ease the burden of the state by 10%, or it will have a sharp reset forced upon it!?!
@@bjorn2625 how is that a hard culture shift? That’s ridiculous, china has been a diverse nation for thousands of years, and they have plenty of people of every race within their borders, they have always been more tolerant to minorities than the west has, even the han isn’t a single ethnicity, i find it ridiculous this western fantasy of china being an ethnostate
How else would these "experts" make money and stay relevant unless they put some nonsense shock and awe type of assumptions out there. No worse than those Y2K doomsday "experts" that had absolutely nothing to say on January 1st, 2000 as life continued on just as it did the day before.
This speaker is clear, brilliant and worth listening to. Thank you for interviewing him.
Good. We all need to separate. Africa can break from The West and continue its relationship with China. The West is too toxic
I went to university with him and got on we'll with him.
2:20 he claims that the CCP care strongly about international borders?! They've illegally entered Japanese and Indian airspace over 2000 times in just 2022 alone LOL
meh He is just massaging a good speaking point as good professors do, no mention of the massive pariah China is in human rights. I betcha China has supported the institutions he attended to get his cap and gown. China excels in making talking heads.
This speaker is really objective and he really understands the reality in China's political thinking and the Chinese economic and social systems and he is not biased against the Chinese political system, unlike most Western commentators.
The "Chinese Political System" is a cancer on the world, if delusional emperors are your thing then good for you. China is a failed state grasping at straws. Every port they build under the guise of trade can be turned into a military base. They've indicated as much by stating that they can deploy their military anywhere they have infrastructure.
@@bruceplenderleith838you said the port "can be turned into a military base" has any of those ports been turned into a military base yet?
Or those ports are just for trading?
It will take some time to turn ports into a military base, let's turn things round slightly while China is managing a lot of ports, the us has even more military bases worldwide.
@@hongluong3427 those ports are a trojan horse, sure they pretend to help but in reality are just creating infrastructure to flood the regions with Chinese goods at the expense of local economies. Chinese money is like opium. I pointed out the new laws that allow China to put troops anywhere they feel their infrastructure or people are threatened, that makes those ports military infrastructure by default
@@bruceplenderleith838 you need to place evidence which shows those ports can be used for military purposes, just because those ports are operated by Chinese companies it doesn't mean the local government will allow those ports to be used for military purposes. You do realise other counties shipping cargo enters those ports as well right.
The whole purposes of a port is to allow a flow of import and export from A to B.
@@hongluong3427 I just told you the Chinese government passed a law that allows them to deploy their military anywhere they feel their infrastructure or citizens are under threat. This has no consideration for local governments and gives them a foothold in any country where they have built anything.
This guy is well spoken
>What's the best way to make money from crypto-investing?
Please how can I get in touch with this Mrs Alicia Lisbeth . I've really heard a lot about her
@Louis Liau okay,thanks
What do you expect when Americans openly said China CCP is an existential threat to America in the house committee hearings last week?
They are an existential threat, to MANY more countries than just the US
@@st20332 only the MOST delusional people would say that. Are you willing to start a nuclear war with China just because of taiwan? Do you even understand what the word existential mean?
Bashing China is fashionable. Just don't keep beating the war drums on why you should invade China or force a regime change in China just because it is not democratic.
This is very pleasing discourse, indeed!
The only thing that I strongly disagree with him is that the separatist movement in Taiwan is not a real threat to Mainland China.
The Communist Party in China is neither communist nor a political party in the sense of a western party. The best way to understand the governance of China is to imagine the re-emergence of a non.hereditary-dynasty. The dynasty is in fact the governance of China. This dynasty is endemically efficiency oriented and accepts its responsibility for being the guarantors of the Peace, harmony and well being of the Chinese people. The Communist party sees itself as part of the people. The Party makes sure that the needs of the villagers are safeguarded. When people in any locality complain, it is usually about the local leaders who may or may not be party members. While dissent is discouraged any problem that reaches the regional governments is usually resolved immediately and the party leader for the area may be disciplined. Best practices were used by China before Europe existed as an entity. Being entrepreneurial was and is endemic to Chinese culture. You could say that China used capitalism before the West discovered the term. The SILK ROAD was all about business and trade. Xi´s ONE BELT ONE ROAD INITIATIVE is a re-emergence of the same concept on steroids. China is modern now. Many of its businesspeop´lke and leaders have Western Education. They have experimented with many political systems and are now a work in progress that I call an evolving SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC MERITOCRACY. One of the results of Chinese tradition is the need to have experienced, knowledgeable leaders. If you are not impressed easily you will be impressed by the seasoned leadership of China. One of the reasons for China´s dynastic longevity has been its meritocratic system of leadership. Another characteristic of China´s growth is an endemic view of commerce and hegemony. China is steeped in Confusian/Buddhist culture. It wants to become the center of culture and commerce again. China developed by attracting commerce and trade to its markets. Today China is the worlds largest market. IT DOES NOT NEED TO CONQUER AND STEAL TO GROW AS THE WEST HAS. IT GROWS EXPONENTIALY BY ATRACTING BUSINESS AND TRADE. If the US became a little more educated about Chinese culture the US would discover that China will never be a rival. There is nothing that China wants or needs fronm the US except for fair trade and commerce. If The US wanted to unite with the US in research and development on climate change, poverty eradication, pandemics, the world would be better for it. Space travel could be a joint venture. There is really really no benefit to artificially create problems for China. THERE IS NO REASON FOR CREATING THEATERS FOR WAR!
This is how I see Chinas Political system : Xi Ping is Chairman of the Board . The Premier is the C.E.O. The Commitee are the members of the Board, all are elected , then selected . Just like a Commercial Company,
This is why the system is more efficient than others. It is practically a capitalist system run for the benefit of the people.
That headline is about as warmongering and irresponsible as you could come up with C4.
Michael RCH thank you indeed, so much.
As Channel 4 do not run the government there's no reason for them not to be 'warmongering', if that's their editorial line. Free speech, free press.
The headline is more like a clickbait and the content is pretty reasonable.
@@heycidskyja4668
Oh boy. Is that how you think the media works?!
Watch a video on manufacturing consent please.
Yeah it's this kind of clickbait that raises tensions and create a climate of fear.
Wow... "Weaponized interdependence" that's how i will call my marriage from now on.
The overwhelming majority of people don’t want war.
No one ever wanted a war since the beginning of time.
@@TheAcadianGuy as crazy as it seems. Some people do want war
@@dean4784 Imo the only rational reason to be a war monger is if you work for the military industrial complex
Unfortunately, the people with the actual power a.k.a. the military industrial complex do want war and they actually have far more leverage into making it happen
@Denise Bond true
As someone who has lived under a dictatorship (Argentina), I can say that civil liberties are not disjointed from economic development. Without civil liberties, press freedom, economic freedom (creating your own business) and decent and accessible education for all, there is no oversight of what the government does, corruption thrives, tax money is embezzled, productive businesses get extorted or confiscated, and their is no incentive to be creative. Democracy alone will not stop corruption, you need a population educated in civics and critical thinking (something absent in Argentina now) and a truly diverse and independent media with high journalistic standards (unlike a lot of corporate media who have other financial interests beyond the purely journalistic ones).
Or just have socialism and a dictatorship of the proletariat gusano
The west is screwed in this regard. Freedom here in the UK means sexual licence. There is no freedom of speech.
@@ady9830 He specifically said Argentina
It’s all about the slow walk through institutions.
You seriously think democracy no corruption you just have to look at the western world where democracy is decaying and corruption is the norm ..
Within very limited minutes the guest gave a quite real images of china today, well balanced understanding! In West media the well balanced opinion is not always common. Thanks for the talks
Media in general should not be threaten seriously.
Come on bro, in China you can hardly hear any alternate views at all
I agree. Oxford scholars can be good. I used to buy Oxford University Press books when studying physics.
As an Injun, Mitter Cannot, and will not, be objective as regards Chyner!
@@happyhappynuts I don't really agree... I was living in dalian for a couple years censorship is centred on domestic politics. America is viewed favourably especially culturally with NBA, MMA and Hollywood movies being popular... I never saw anti American content being pushed and I was there when trump was in office and the trade war happening from what I saw it was covered in economic terms instead of framing it as evil colonial US punishing China...
Most chinese are completely apolitical and don't care about world events outside of it impeding trade... They don't care about whether Syria is a democracy, if black Americans are being targeted by police or if France is exploiting francafrique... they see those things as foreign problems for foreign people to deal with but things like UK taking in 300,000 people from Hong Kong but accepting less than 100k from Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria combined even though they're actual warzones which the UK itself bombed was something that invoked displeasure... then again that was to do with Hong-Kong... China outside territorial integrity, maritime rights and the one China policy doesn't care about foreign events as long as its not impeding trade
Very interesting points made about the history of the China-Russia relationship. I’ll be listening again, thanks for a great interview and tons of info,
China has a secret dossier on ruling the world 🌎 I have read this file aptly named The Undercooked noodle method ! Yes the Chinese may only come up to your knees, but they are now unfriendly and very hard to please
Lopsided Western Propaganda
@pst l hear you like spunky fun witha ya mum 😄
@@gjthomas9770: You are right. I enjoy making fun of White men!!
@@pardeeptandonreally? we dont even think about you
So it’s ok for the US, UK to send military equipment to Ukraine but not for China to send same to Russia. Talk about US, UK,NATO exceptionalism this is a classic example. The US really takes the biscuit in do not as I do, but do as I say hypocrisy.
One is the aggressor and the other the victim. Now rub two brain cells together and figure out the answer 🥴🥴🥴
@@TheAArmstrong He's a Wumao- paid CCP internet army. Can tell by a few ways.
@@TheAArmstrong
Ukraine the aggressor in Donbass and Russians the victims since 2014. Eat something coz Ur brain has shut down
Yes, it is okay to support a people defending their families and homeland from brutal invaders and no, it's not okay to support terrorists attacking a sovereign country and murdering people. Those are two completely different things and have nothing to do with hypocrisy.
These are the kind of smooth brain takes you get from centrists. 'Hurr...both sides want gun...both sides BAD. No matter who attack who.,
Great interview with someone knowledgeable
But when ye shall hear of wars and commotion, be not terrified: for these things must first come to pass; but the end is not by and by. Then said he unto them, Nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. Luke 21:9-10
Knowledge is usually based upon the things you read. If the things you read is the same as everyone else's and you sound smart re-gurgitating it back, is usually called "brain washed".
You know, media is used for programming the masses since the invention of TV. Humans' are just not very bright....
@Ayo Olukoga Nothing special there. Humans have always been at war, and always will. It's a self-fulfilling prophecy. So there is nothing mind blowing about predicting future conflicts🤦♂️
This is excellent, as a Canadian I try to get sources from all over the world, very helpful here.
As opposed to non-Canadians?
Try out the daily express, its a right laugh
Did you try to get sources from other side? This is all same source
Lol
Have you tried Worcestershire Sauce?
The expert’s views are non-thought-provoking, unimaginative and filled with bias:
1. On the Taiwan issue. “Taiwan is not a threat to China” he stated, and therefore China ought to tone down it’s military show of force. That’s a rather odd way of framing the situation. Not a single person in China regards Taiwan as a threat. Rather, they regard Taiwan as a long lost kin whom they would love to welcome back into the family with open arms. The crux of the matter is that US is playing its duplicity game, say one thing and do another. While it says it upholds the one-China policy, in complete contradiction to what it says, it’s trying its darnedest to prevent a peaceful unification of China. It continues to sell more weapons to Taiwan and stoke the separatist sentiments in Taiwan at every opportunity. Is China supposed to just shut up and take it? Can you imagine what would happen if China were to sell arms to the native Hawaiian separatist movement? No leadership in China would be able to maintain power if they just sit idle and do nothing about it. Be real.
2. He “marveled” at how deafening the Chinese propaganda machine is in that nobody utters zero-COVID anymore. He’s implying that the leadership is afraid to mention it because it was such a disastrous policy. The truth of the matter is: China was able to avoid millions of unnecessary deaths by this policy. The people are thankful for the government’s cautious and firm actions. One can argue that they could have relaxed the zero-COVID policy a few months earlier. But that’s neither here nor there. No doubt, their economy will roar back in full throttle in short order. To put things in perspective, those hundreds of thousands of people who have died unnecessarily in the US due to COVID, for instance, were lost forever; there is no recovery for them. China has moved on; zero-COVID was necessary but it’s now behind them.
3. Speaking of propaganda, I would assert that it is 10 times worse in the west than in China. We’ve been told Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction; it was a lie. We’ve been told that Putin is evil and invaded Ukraine unprovoked. The fact that NATO had been expanding further and further east since the fall of the soviets and presented a serious security threat to Russia was swept under the rug. The drama and the media circus from a harmless Chinese weather balloon was pathetic, hysteric and absurd. Around the world outside of the west, people were laughing their pants off. In contrary, a serious expose by a Pulitzer award-winning journalist about the bombing of the Nordstream pipelines was shunned by the collective mainstream media. If all this is not clear state directed propaganda, I don’t know what is.
4. China’s one-party system. It is not the number of parties or number of elections that counts. It is the quality, sincerity and effectiveness of the leadership that matters. China’s ruling class possesses those attributes in spades. In contrast, how many Prime Ministers has the UK had in the last 3 years? I lost track. It did diddly squat for the country and the people. The truth is: the whole lot is incompetent, hubris, lacks courage and vision.
5. It’s clear that China is outdoing the collective west in all dimensions. It has a clear vision of a just, harmonious and prosperous world. It is working tirelessly towards achieving that vision in spite of all the roadblocks the west puts up. In the meantime the west is entirely intoxicated by its imperialistic advantages and hegemonic power and cannot see that the rest of the world is moving on and leaving the west behind.
The views of the said expert is nothing more than the same old conventional wisdom that serves to perpetuate the hegemonic power of the west, at the same time dismiss and put down China’s effort to pursue a grander vision for the country and the world.
It's really funny that most of the world is angry at COVID causing china who covered it up, lied about it, were not transparent about it, who refuses to let a third party of scientists and virologists investigate the Wuhan lab, who murdered millions of people all around the world, wrecked economies and lives of countries all around the world, and who don't have freinds and allies all around the world like USA. Your crying means nothing!
I think you're being a bit harsh. I suspect, if he were given more time, he might make comments that reflect your points. It'd be interesting to hear more from him, specifically on the issues you mentioned.
Damn that's a lot of words, wumao.
Very informative. Thanks so much 🙂
CHILE ARGENTINA
THE SCANDINAVIA OF THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
Very informative and explained well...
Mind Begs the Question:
If deploying Weapons,Mercenaries
At USA doorstep (Cuba) - Not Allowed
At Russia,China doorstep (Ukraine,Taiwan) - Allowed
Democracy,Imperialism?
what mercenaries are deployed at russia doorstep, asking for a friend who thinks you might be a russia bot
That's (DEMOCRACY) made for you by the west.
@@richardparker1338 Yeah how dare a sovereign nation choose a defensive alliance ..its not like Russia has one of its own along with nukes all around Poland..oh wait.
Poland , How about their border ? It looks worse than The US border doesn't it ?
@@richardparker1338 Of course not..lol
In order to make profits from trading you need loads of experience and a well defined strategy, which most traders don't have. If you trade without the proper preparation, you're most likely to lose your money. Identify the buy/sell ratios and identify the market leaders and most importantly. Diversify! this will
help you spread risk.
@@alisaidu1221 please who is the expert guiding you? i have lost so much as a beginner🥺 investing into stock without a proper guidiance of
an expert.
My Financial Advisor is "Judith Leka Riley " I found him on a CNBC interview where he was featured and reached out to his afterwards. he has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look him up online if you care supervision. I basically follow his market moves and haven’t
regretted doing so.
@@aliyusabo3950 Thanks, I just searched him up on google and I'm super impressed with his qualifications. Have contacted him through his webpage to hear what he
has to say about my situation.
Thanks for sharing, i just look JUDITH LEKA RILEY👈👈👈👈 up on internet and i would say she really does have an impressive background on investing
Yes , not hurtling, but tip toeing towards war
This is the best interview I have ever listened to on the subject matter. Rana Mitter certainly knows is stuff and has a real easiness to express it. The host should have done a much better job to present him at the beginning of the podcast by expressing is name loud and clear.
The interviewee's name pops up at about 1:35. Rana Mitter, University of Oxford.
@@waapeterm Stephen Kotkin is your man for Russia.
@@jakobthelibrarycard6261 Yes but still, it's kind of hidden. You can find it in the description though.
Actually a good conversation about the topic, very rare, but good to have a level voice.
It is pure western propoganda
"CHINA FEELS STRONGLY About NOT CROSSING Boarders" He Say's But Obviously HE Has Forgotten About TIBET ?!
Tibet, India, artificial isles near Philippines... Chinese soldiers are often at the wrong side of the frontiers, wherever.
Living in China for almost 10 years has made me learn the objectivity when it comes to geopolitics
Interesting interview.
Channel 4 News should watch and learn from Redacted to give a true & honest narrative to their viewers.
Redacted has their own biases and blind spots.
Redacted is the biggest clown show in the media right... they make CNN look like scholars
@@sproggy144 redacted is always fear mongering and putting out half truths.
redacted is a fake news russian funded channel.
But my friend, that is Russia Today in disguise 🇬🇪🛎🇬🇪
There is no such Chinese proverb of "riding two horses at the same time," but "killing two birds with one arrow."
That was great explanation thank you
Professor Mitter's balanced view with good insights is rare indeed.
If they don't get along,they will.
I know its shocking but did you ever consider getting an "expert" from China.
Never 😂
"It is an open question whether China or the US will have the larger GDP by mid-century."
No it is not. China's GDP will likely be ~ twice as high as the US. (IMF/PwC projections).
no chance, population will be dropping to much, to many old people, economy will fall. china is at its height now
Don't forget what CCP did against own people, own family, especially those who against dictatorship.
Those in Tibet, Mongolia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang
you are so white washed by western media :)
Wonder if my Chinese iPhone will still work after the war starts
Very interesting, the West has so many experts on every nation in the world, which is very amazing but I've never seen the West with experts on there own nations. Fascinating?
Do you know about the sayings: "Keep your friends close, and you enemies closer." & "Know thy enemy and know yourself; in a hundred battles, you will never be defeated." ?
Iraq Libya Syria Vietnam Laos Korea Cambodia Europe cuba etc America cannot talk about invasions.
Bingo.
korea 🇰🇷 love America 🇺🇸 and thank we help defend them against North Korea and China.
@@martthesling Koreans are brothers like Russia and Ukraine, should be reunited, in a new free democracy, America has killed how many millions in the north, and almost used a nuke, and would if north Korea did not have a few of it's own.
So no wonder the hate the west.
Right now south Korea is yet another USA military occupation of another country and no one dates say nothing or face sanctions.
@@Tigerex966 That's why Ukraine is fighting against Russia because they want to be reunited? Are you a Chinese Russian bot?
@@marttheslingno I am just a common sense American that loves all people including ukranians and Russians and want peace, and no more escalation to ww3 including usa boots on the ground and a highly possible nuclear war with each dude blaming the other for the reasons why.
they were united until American leaders engineered a coup to put in American puppets that hated the Russian speaking minority,they hate the regions in the east that broke away and have been slaughtered by the west 14000 for eight years.
This is on video and audio american leaders admitted this until recently, they started training and arming Ukranian soldiers through nato, almost 100.000 plus billions in weapons.
So Russia helped supply the seperatist and took back crimea which was always part of Russia for hundreds of years.
Later when Russian speaking cross dressing USA puppet zelensky came to power he promised not to join eu and NATO and to lean toward friendly relations with Russia.
That's how he got elected with those lies.
Of course Ukraine was told by the USA Germany and france not to abide by the minsk agreements, they agreed to for peace, and they now openly admit this.
Last year Ukraine led by the USA made a major offensive to take the east and crimea, so Russia was compelled to act.
I will not even talk about the laws that only discriminate against Russians, tradition culture, and language, books etc, and to any one that disagrees with USA, even pastors and churches.There is a huge number of Russian speaking ukranians in Russia.
Including ironically Zelensky.
And so here we are.
The Ukrainian and Russia people and soldiers are the victim of USA imperlism, using divide and conquer, bribes and threats to use Ukranian soldiers as human sacrigices under zelensky who does not care about Ukraine or it's people and had sold out Ukraine to the west.
Zekensky has his billions in the bank and multiple mansions world wide as the USA launders billions in tax payer money to enrich the military and biolabs industry by getting rid of outdated old equipment at full price, and arming terrorists worldwide.
Win or lose the USA stands to make trillions in rebuilding and taking over ukraines major industries in food water gold metals uranium coal gas oil etc .
And here we are the USA through their puppet actor has sacrificed at least 500000 Ukranian boys and men dead or injured and at least 100000 Russians.
They parade him around using all media outlets like he is a hero or something for getting ukranians who he hates killed for fame and fortune like no one else the last year he has been pushed worldwide, and he does not even run a democracy, but instead a communist dictatotship all prestaged and scripted.
Most people are not filled even more even liberals who say do whatever the state says are protesting this proxy war worldwide.
But the leaders refuse to listen.
The leaders are servant to the people in real democracies, we now see much of the west do not have real democracies anymore the covid lockdown vaccine mandates banning if free sierch firing and canceling noble winning scientists and doctors proved that.
So although I am. No fan of Russia by any means, the west is to blame for the blood of everyone killed in Ukraine Russian and Ukrainian, and the destruction if the cities, if course also for bombing Poland and nuclear plants, and one of the worst destructions if the environment bombing 3 pipelines.
.and if course blaming Putin.
Then they force their own people to endure inflation gas and oil shortages good shortages all for their power grab if Ukraine.
I think a lot of people besides me are saying no to war and more weapons and yes to peace talks and a deal immediately.
I hope I am not alone.
I am pro peace pro Ukranian ori Russian who have been tricked into fighting their Slavic brothers.
I am also pro USA.
But the leaders of the west are the cost of this war.
Not the average American Ukrainian or Russian.
Of course Russia is no saint and can be blamed for a lot as well.
They need to have peace talks but the USA refuses and zelensky is their puppet.
You are saying this
A hope so 🥳
US always preaches peace but have a finger on the trigger
The us will invade a country, kill its citizens, rape its citizens, take all its resources, destroy all the infrastructure THEN preaches peace. (In other words you can't seek revenge)
they dont care for peace peace for them is not profitable. even though its way more profitable. but the US is not smart enough to understand that. their military industrial complex need money.
This is his own opinion..He says- I THINK- numerous of times.
bring it, we are ready
In a capitalist society, your savings help you support your old age. The savings level of the Chinese is much higher than that of Americans.
US needs to decouple completely from China, and move manufacturing to the democratic eastern European Union countries.
🤣🤣🤣
I agree with you. It wouldn't bother China much since usa isn't china's biggest trading partner
@yarxk2711 from what I've read is that the apple factories in Vietnam are own by the Chinese Lol
and you will pay 5 times as much AT LEAST for the newest iphone. Apple already made plans to move away from China because of the US sanctions on Chinese companies China is doing the same now. Apple will most likely be next. that would mean big problems for the US and Apple. hard to find cheap labor like you have in China. so products are getting more expensive and consumers have to pay for it. but i guess you swim in money and dont mind to pay 5 times as much for your phone. also dont forget that East europe doesnt have natural resources like china to build electronics. have to be shipped in as well which will be part of the price also. you really have no brain.
@@hongluong3427 China is the biggest trading partner of the US. what are you on about. a simple google search would proof you wrong.
I honestly think that China is too smart to go to war. Their economic power relies heavily on exports to the US and Europe - loosing those two giant economies
the way Russia just did, wouldn't make sense for them. So I am with this expert: Thankfully China is not the US. They don't project power militarily but economically.
They are behind the rise of certain countries in Africa that are doing quite well now and have much more stability.
I also really like their peace initiative for the Ukraine war - it's quite clear that China prefers a world without major conflicts since they like doing business with everyone.
is china who are sending war ships to the US coasts? Or is it the other way around?
what are doing US 12 thousands kilometers away from you country?
WWII was started by an aging dictator with a grand vision. Putin is an aging dictator with a grand vision. And so is Xi.
China took a crack at Vietnam in 1979 after the US left and they cut their losses before the month was over while pretending the whole thing didn't happen, which is a lot smarter than what Russia is doing now.
They no longer rely so much on US/Europe as they trade with the rest of the world. However none of us wants a war
i am not worried about china too smart. i am worried about usa being the bully and warmongering nation that gets off from violence and war
Being an expert on China, Rana Mitter's Chinese intonations are definitely.... interesting. Like way-off interesting.
"But last night the plans for a future war was all I saw on channel 4" Morrissey.
Please suggest that individuals and governments can work towards promoting peace by engaging in open and respectful communication, finding common ground, and seeking peaceful solutions to conflicts. It is also important for us to learn from the mistakes of the past and work towards preventing future conflicts. Education, empathy, and understanding can go a long way in promoting peace and preventing wars.
This idea is the reason the Chinese
build islands in the South China Sea
for military bases, they're striving for
peace. That's why they threaten Taiwan, for peace, that's why they
threaten Japan. Ask the Muslim
minority how wonderful the administration of Xi is.
Crush China - now.
Profound wisdom. 🙄
Nice to see a good comment. I don't know why but the internet seems to be full of war mongers banging a war drum..
You are talking about the European Union, which is being denigrated by so many.
讲一个冷笑话😂。美国🇺🇸：我爱好和平。😅
Tell a joke. China 🇨🇳: I'm not evil.
@@martthesling 然后美国🇺🇸和中国🇨🇳幸福地生活在了一起❤️❤️
+0.5RMb
@@TheAcadianGuy 😂
@@davidsuper179 +0.5RMb
5 minutes was about the possibility of war over Taiwan.
Very neutral. Good job
Weaponised interdependence sounds about right to me. The super power rivalry is baked into their relationship but at the same time both the US and China are equally invested in preserving the international rules based order. Russia is the odd man out.
Us International rules is "us rules"
The only one that does not respect those rules is the USA.
Have you seen Chinese warships close to the US?
Have you seen Russian warships close to the US?
@@DKBZA Only because they can't. Not that they don't want to. And yes. Chinese warships were snooping near US military bases.
@@TheRezro Have you seriously seen Chinese warships travel 12 thousand kilometers to get closer to things from the USA?
The perils of us hegemony
Seems folks already forgot Afghanistan. America left in such a hurry we left our military equipment. Same will happen with Ukraine.
Ukrainians aren't cowards
@@isay207 , they may not be, but they must be dumber than a rock.
@@isay207 😂
Ukrainians are fighting for their homeland, United States were occupiers in Afghanistan.
And you forgot russians forgot nukes in Ukrain 😑
I think I speak for the UK. We don’t want no part of it.
you dont believe in Winston Churchills advice to "stay close to the Americans"? i hope the uk and usa bond will never be broken and the English speaking world will aways stand together above anything, as an American i think this is our most important foreign policy, do the British, Australians and Canadians not feel the same? if we stick together and act as one we can overcome any challenge, if our relationship deteriorates our society could be at risk. 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿
your guest's conversation is marvelous. Very impactful
I'm hiding in the broom cupboard with a holy bible and a bottle of whiskey, like they did in the blitz. I can't afford a bunker under a mountain.🙄
china knows when russia is done china is the next on usa bucket list :))
You miss spelled Ukraine
You mean China is going to destroy itself like Russia?
The WEST is openly bluffing about it...
CHINA knows.
For thousands of years, all the superpowers that have been in conflict with China have disappeared. Do you think it can never be the United States this time?
LETS HOPE SO!!
Great video and a very informative interview. Subbed.
Madness.
Would people in Europe be willing to send their sons and daughters half way around the World to fight for Taiwan, or some God forsaken islands in the South China sea? Also, would they be willing to put up war time restrictions. I for one cannot imagine people in the West putting up with severe rationing, restrictions on movements, as well as the Government controlling every aspect of their lives? To get an idea how people in the West would react to severe restrictions on their civil liberties, one just has to look at the way they reacted to COVID lock downs. It would be worse if the Government introduced conscription. The subsequent riots would probably bring down the Government. When it comes down to it, most people in the West are not going to sacrifice their comfortable middle class lifestyles for the sake of Taiwan, or anywhere else for that matter.
It really depends. But Europe hasn’t made a commitment to defend Taiwan, so we will probably react in a different way. Think sanctions, selling weapons to the US, etc.
Hard to imagine a China-Taiwan conflict going on for years, however it ends. One way or another, I don't see years of rationing and other domestic restrictions being part of the picture in the west if war were to break out.
That is why it is unlikely that the US would actually go to war with China over Taiwan. Don't believe the hype. They do not really care for the Taiwanese people. Not to mention a war with China could actually mean a threat to their safety and we all know how some westerners tend to handle threats to their safety. Not really well. Crumble under the least of pressure. All their wars up until now has never ever been a threat to them. It was other people safety they were threatening so they didn't have to care for the consequences but this one could actually escalate to their own territory so they will take heed and think twice. Taiwan is not worth it for them to threaten their own safety
@@notreallydavid Yes it can. And Europe would be worse of then the US. Because unlike the US, Europe does not have the basics for starting a manufacturing line of the whim. Especially since Germany their strongest economy is seriously intertwined with China. And most of the European population no longer have skills to make basic goods. They diverted their economy and we saw the consequences of that during covid. So yes it is very much possible that people would ration food and that as a cause of that domestic restrictions might be implemented.
I HOPE SO.
This man actually understands how China thinks. Very rare.
This man is a hired shill. If not a shill, he's delusional. Because EVERYTHING he is spouting is all what the CCP makes up. None of what he says is factual.
2:20 he claims that the CCP care strongly about international borders?! They've illegally entered Japanese and Indian airspace over 2000 times in just 2022 alone LOL
@@st20332 What? Did he say china respect other countries' claim over themselves'?
I don't know those disputed areas should belong to whom, but clearly you are biased.
@@aliciap6329 "It's something they have an absolute general red line on" (in regards to a countries sovereignty, and international borders being crossed).
Yet they claim parts of India as their own, even change names of areas in India into Chinese names. They fly freely over the sovereign land of Japan.
Where is the bias? You seem to be the one with the bias
@@st20332 You make your claim and they make theirs: that's netual view. Only your claim matters: that's biased. Can you understand? Forget it. May you live a happy life.
More peacemakers needed, Germany? France? Ireland? Turkey? South Korea? Japan?
Greed. It all boils down to greed
UK stays out of this one 👍
Unless China goes to Malaysia/Singapore
Unfortunately our best friend in the world and biggest business partner usa tells our gove to jump and our government responds with how high
Australia will be brought into the war because it will probably reach its sovereignty. That will force UK to go to war against China since Australia is UK subject and a commonwealth country and King Charles is still it's head of state.
@@richardparker1338 sadly. I’m not against the US I just think a war with China and other allies been involved will be really bad for all of us
Economically
As far as I'm seeing here, the Sino-American relationship is like a marriage and now one side has decided to get a divorce.
The other side gets very frustrated and said."I didn't change and i have only made some small mistakes, why would you want a divorce?"
The answer is "You didn't change, that's big part of the problem. And those mistakes made me realise it was a big mistake to marry you!!!"
The small mistake is first to dominate and then to mariticide. The ultimate goal of communism is to turn the world to one communist regeme. We will get you, US.
It was a mistake and very naive of the West to think they can change China. So naive of the West to think China would liberalize and adopt western Universal values. All China has done is use all the investments, technologies, and market of the West to grow and grow to one day kill the West.
Well put!!
This is pretty true all Asian countries thought China would change their attitude like the Japanese did after they got wealthy. They instead kept their attitude and amplified the greed. We had enough of this "Chinese superiority" that has been shackling the region for two millennia built on selfish greed enabled by sheer numbers of population.
@@zeppelincraft1443 You have your point. Since China never chose democracy, the ruling party don't want to follow western rules and try to create their own rules. That's bound to be problematic.
Oxford man sitting on spigot, grinding away and talking about some country thousands of miles away! Any country! Just change the name of the country and away you go!
Main assumption: every one of these countries are run by 1 man!
Don't blame him - that's how deep he knows...
I thought you could not access CZcams from China? A new broom sweeps clean. Why not clean up your house?
Bing chilling doesn’t wanna feel the wrath of this freedom 🇺🇸💪 🦅
Ok 👍
A rare western "expert" that actually understand how the Chinese government thinks! If there are more people of such calibre on mainstream media, we'll have a much better world to live in.
He's an Oxford university professor on Chinese studies
@@joannesmith1175 wonder if he have lived in China? Or was his data from books and video from previous peers? Also when was the last time he was in china? Apparently one can be an expert on China when they lived there during the 1960's and never been back since
Never knew "Chinese people" *love praising* "Communist government" other than it "economic growth" since Deng Xiaoping.
I suppose worshiping Xi is the closest thing in praising Deng.
The United States is the wealthiest country in the world and have the most powerful military for the last seventy-eight years. This led some Americans to believe that they are exceptional and that there are natural laws that ensure their position as the number one nation on earth forever. As such, the US feels justified to use all necessary means to maintain its dominance and will take any steps necessary to prevent any potential rivals from growing too strong. The CIA was involved in covert operations that resulted in mass killings of communists in over 22 countries. More than 500,000 innocent Indonesian civilians disappeared in 1965-1966. To make the world safe for democracy, the US has caused the deaths of tens of millions of people in its conflicts in Korea, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and Syria.
China believes that a multipolar world is essential for global development, where every country has the opportunity to realize its full economic potential. This approach emphasizes cooperation between nations rather than competition, to achieve a shared vision of prosperity for all. While the US prioritizes its position as the sole superpower, China advocates for a more inclusive and cooperative approach that allows for the development of all nations. In the last forty-four years, the Chinese military has not used its weapons to kill a single person outside its territory. China will not be lured into war.
The US has chronic domestic problems, including a national debt of over $31 trillion, economic inequality, inflation, healthcare, education, racial inequality, infrastructure, housing affordability, homelessness, the opioid epidemic, and gun violence. The country's political leaders are deeply divided and hostile to each other.
Both parties have identified China as their "most consequential threat" and the source of their problems. Many believe that China must be weakened before it becomes any stronger. The US is using Taiwan to provoke China into a war and preparing to fight in that manner.
The US population is whipped up to see Chinese threats everywhere. A weather balloon is seen as a threat, as is a port crane and even TikTok. Sanction chopsticks, noodles, and cloth sewing machines, they have dual uses. Chopsticks could poke someone's eyes and blind them, noodles could be fed to PLA soldiers, and sewing machines could be used to make military-grade uniforms.
Blink Rate: is there something about that room which is causing both of you to have such a high blink rate? The two of you are constantly blinking quickly.
😂
Indeed
Israel and America have not taken nuke first strike ability and to do away in fact both day they reserve the right and in fact the USA has targeted civilians and used them twice on regular people and never apologized this was after the war was basically already won.
So USA can never tell anyone about nukes and still has never apologized.
The Yanks are more interested in film of Russians shooting an unarmed Ukranian, than little children running down the street,skin peeling off their bodies because of that nasty bomb they used! No war crime there eh!🤔
Hiroshima and Nagasaki ended the war and saved millions of lives.
Nice try wumao
@@maccipher2564 Zelensky to Biden: Why did the US attack Iraq in 1991?
Biden: We did it because Iraq invaded Kuwait.
Zelensky: Well, then the United States must attack Russia, they have invaded Ukraine!
Biden: Yeah, we know that the Russians actually have invaded Ukraine …
Zelensky: And why did the US attack Iraq in 2003?
Biden: We had been informed that the Iraqis had mass destruction weapons.
Zelensky: Well, then the United States must attack Russia, they have nuclear weapons!
Biden: Yeah, we know that the Russians actually have mass destruction weapons …
Easy to use nukes when your opponent doesn't have them, isn't it?
@@martthesling It has been estimated that the US would have lost 500,000 troops if they attempted to invade and conquer all of Japan up to Tokyo, that's the real reason. If millions of Japanese died during this attack the US command didn't care. Just look at Iraq in 2003, where hundreds of thousands of Iraqis died in the bombings. Was the US concerned about the massive Iraqi civilian casualties? No.
China is a very pragmatic country that looks and plans ahead very carefully. The partnership between China and Russia is extremely important and strategic as the path forward to conflict with US and its vassals states is very real.
Three words: one child policy.
@@geinikan1kan when faced with poverty and together with a huge staving population, a genuine decision was made based on the circumstances then. It may be a hindsight but dwelling on the past brings nothing, best to cheer on present economic success of eradication of extreme poverty and having the highest medium class in the world.
Was pragmatic under Deng, now an ideological cloud-cuckoo land under the emperor of everything forever!
@@josephsiri Seriously?...read more from sources other than Xinhua and China Daily. Millions starved due to Mao's policies in the Great Leap Forward, whilst he was exporting grain to the Soviet Union to save face and curry favour...FFS! this is 2023!...its common knowledge for those that care to study!
@@Mattsta2010 If one chose to live and dwell on the past, then there is nothing good to expect. Even if China is able to elevate 700 millions out of extreme poverty should not be allowed to rest of such achievements. It is a constant and continuous process to achieve greatness and the road is long. Give credit where is due instead of carrying a baggage of past mistakes.
No. No we're not.
this guy is good!
America should seek a path away from just being a capitalist. No genuine interests in their actions, even towards their own population except for their cash in flow.
Check out Texas… good model for the entire US… affordable housing, great infrastructures, living wages. New houses with lots of amenities, parks, wider streets, more walking paths in many new communities… easy access to major cities like Houston.
@@maalat yup
@@maalat yeah, but the gun laws are the concern there.
I have a small thing about the demographics point: all the predictions around it are based on traditional modes of manpowering a country's economy. But in case you haven't noticed, China is positively obsessed with new technology. While the US is still mumbling about the "electric car war", China is testing out automatic verhicles on a relatively large scale. And China is already lightyears ahead of the west in some aspects of personal fintech (it basically leap-frogged over a couple of stages such as debit cards, credit cards, etc. and went almost straight from a cash-based to to electronic-based consumer economy). I believe the declining birthrate is certainly going to hit China, but not to the extent predicted.
@@jeffspender980 Fair enough, perhaps that is why China is actively seeking to increase its presence in Central Asia, Africa and even South America - not just for political “dominance” as described by the west but also to create new markets.
That is a dark horse whenever the question of demographics comes up. Potentially we could end up with an economy with close to unlimited workforce (a.i), unlimited energy (fusion) and unlimited resources (space mining). Creating a very different economical reality from the one we have now.
@@jeffspender980 People whether or not they are producing goods and services still need to eat and use goods. There are 1.4 billion of them, that is 4 times the US. History shows you that jobs get obsolete, that doesn't mean the people just stop to eat and die - they go find other jobs. you are erroneous too.
That is why they limited the microchip supply to China. Dutch manufacturers are no longer allowed to deliver machines that can make microchips to China. Part of theTSMC plant is getting transfered to Orlando and so forth. The US thinks they can slow down Chinese tech developments by doing all these things. They want to prevent China from building up their military and tech industry. The US is trying to win time.
@@loveheals3173 What the discussion leaves out is that China is already experimenting with new types of microchips, made from graphite and the fact that as China is leading the world in 37 out of 44 key technologies, he millions of STEM graduates every year puts her ahead too in innovation and development so with the multiplier effect, I wouldn't be surprised that China already has all the chips she needs now. Taiwan's TSMC isn't that essential. Just look at Huawei for example. US bans Huawei mobile phones and 5G but Huawai did not shrivel up! Instead it has developed 6G and other electronic goods.
Strange, we really drawn into current affairs, but many consequences we see today due to decisions made in 70s and 80s, but never talked about. e.g. Deng economic policy, Thatcher Hong Kong, Nixon with China.
"China: on the brink of war with the US? "
Well on the bright side, it will be a short conflict.
...and in fairness, ya won't have to worry about the greenhouse thingy.
A short conflict??? America bombed Afghanistan for 20 years and still lost. China can absorb anything America throws at it. The Chinese can build bridges faster than America can plan it.
Yeah after this humans may not exist on the planet anymore.
'Rule-based order'? How many countries on earth have endorsed it? When such so
called 'rule-based order' only serves the selfish purposes of a handful of war-love
rich western countries, it is groundless, not to say failing to gain endorsements
from the majority of countries worldwide.
Finally something balanced and fair from Channel 4. Great discussion, showing the detailed issues China has to deal with.
State owned channel, don’t believe a word.
You call this garbage “balanced and fair” with a straight face!?! Is piggy Vicky Nuland giving you cookies to lie about China and the cover-up of 2014 coup?
@@adamellis8851 private aint any better they can be paid to lie
China's industrial productivity, steel production, and warship production capacity are all around 80% of the world. Other countries only account for 20%. Don't experts look at industrial data? War with China? Is the United States serious? Actually, the United States should be grateful that China is not a fascist country
@@adamellis8851 you must lead a small sad life of insignificance.. I'm sorry.. :(
So just a question if they go to war will the people be in trouble and will we f in win ?
more sensible than those across the atlantic
Thank you for sharing China’s “force majeure” explanation to the world.
Never in history has a major superpower lost its place without a fight. Hope this is the first time
Soviet Union
British empire
Unlikely any time soon.
extremly good and realistic analysis. Quality!!!!
I think its very funny that this Expert has a lot of books complimenting China (simple google search of his name) and you can see why he takes a very "level headed" approach to China's policies. Anyone who has been studding global politics for the past 10yrs knows this dude is only telling you half truths. If you don't believe me pick any topic he has mention and do a simple Time line research and you can see he is not telling the whole story.
Well, Laowhy86 had mentioned at one point fairly recently that even people who have been strictly pro-chinese and chinese nationalists, there's been a sizeable amount of people that have apologized to him for how they've treated him in the past and basically saying they're wrong and a lot of them are scared. It's not uncommon for people to be a pro one side and as soon as they see collapse occurring, they switch sides, or were on that initial side the whole time. Usually you see this kind of behavior with globalists though.
@@balancedgaming2103#Facts Matt us a very knowledgeable man. China is definitely a bad actor and this man is very partial. It won't take long for people to wake up.
Well said, it is appalling that channel 4 doesn't care to inform their audience on the ideological leanings of their invited "experts", pretending to provide sound & unbiased analysis. A lot of little pinkies (小粉紅) on here applaud channel four for it.
therevis always someone complaining about unbiased coverage of the wests enemies.
@@mEmory______ you make me sick
so what is the bet? how much will it cost to enter and guess yes or no. And for the experts who get it wrong - will they still get paid to appear on news programs as Experts?
Look up " China's SECRET Plan to Support Russia's War on Ukraine: Revealed by the CIA " on yT.
insightful and informative....
They are at war.
Oh lord I wish I was 18 again.
In some ways, it benefits China more by having Taiwan officially part of China but not integrated into China. For one thing, it can be used as a way to rally nationalism and unify the nation with the slogan, "Taiwan is part of China, and if we must invade to accomplish this, we will". By keeping this threat on the table but not following through, gives them the dual benefits of trading with Taiwan and still having the unifying nationalist message at home. Invading Taiwan would not be easy or successful even if the US and Japan didn't get militarily involved, and I think it is almost a guarantee that they would.
My bet is that if there is a military conflict (probably not a full-blown war) between the US and China, it will not be because of an invasion of Taiwan, but a miscalculation by China in the South China Sea. Opening fire on a US vessel sailing in international waters, firing on a US aircraft in international airspace, firing on a Philippine patrol boat in Philippine territorial waters, etc. would trigger a military response. All it would take is one super nationalistic Chinese pilot, naval gunner or missile crew member on one of the fortified islands, taking matters into his own hands. Hopefully both sides would quickly defuse the situation, but that is not guaranteed.
Nah. The US will not get involved. They will only funnel weapons to Taiwan. So that China can be weakened because now China is fighting a war with their own people. Chance that the US would get involved is next to zero. Just observe their ways and you can tell they will not go to war with China over Taiwan. The only reason the US would get involved is if China is literally so strong that they can only take it down by actually attacking them. Which they could try but I doubt it. The US never attacks nations that can actually defeat them especially if there is a threat for possible world war. So no the US will not go to war with China over Taiwan. It is very unlikely. They will try to fight China tactically/strategically/economically. That means isolating them, destroying their economy and have them cut ties with their Asean neighbours.
China will not miscalculate anything. Dream on!
@Love Heals I feel so much better now that you have clarified this. I was afraid some Chinese pilot might collide or fire on a US aircraft, or that a Chinese sailor might fire on an aircraft or a US naval vessel, but your guarantee that this type mistake cannot happen sets me at ease. LOL.
@@stephanledford9792 You're a cute baby. Why is it wrong? Why isn't it the right firing?
@@user-yp2vd3lz8w I have no idea what you are trying to say. I was a cute baby, though, so thank-you.
Why can't we just get along, makes me so angry. Why does China care if Taiwan is independent!
As they control the chips.
Taiwan is a Chinese territory. Whether Taiwan is allowed to be independent is decided by the Chinese, not just by the Chinese in Taiwan. Chinese territory is Chinese property. How to deal with it is the right of the Chinese people. This is just like the Civil War between the North and the South in the United States. Only the Americans have the right to decide how to deal with their internal differences, and foreigners have no right to interfere.
Why did the United States of America invade the Confederate States of America? Your idiotic question is like why do you breathe?
@@root3183 I take it you didn't bother to ask the 16 Native Taiwanese groups what they want, how very murderer-colonialist of you.
Pot, kettle. Taiwan is Taiwan, ever since the Nationalists who were the rightful leaders of China got pushed over there by Communists (which only happened by the way because the Nationalists were busy fighting Japan and losing numbers during WWII, which the Communists exploited)
China wants to talk about free and independent sovereign territories? Give Manchu's back Manchuria. Give Tibetans back Tibet. Otherwise, STFU.
Just like England vetoed Scotland's will to independence not long ago.
This expert is a bit naïve to think that China was not briefed by the Kremlin before all the aspects of the war and that both countries did not imagine a prolonged war. With the surging militarization of US-NATO , a weakened Russia is also a weakened China.
@Yarxk That is why I was wondering why and how Russia's economy would so called get crushed and crumbled down. The world's biggest trading partner is literally right there. Sitting next to them.
🇺🇲 Bloodthirsty Warmonger
🇨🇳 Peaceful, Heartwarming
HIROSHIMA NAGASAKI