Is this the easiest strategy for making money?
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- čas přidán 11. 09. 2024
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Ive just checked some figures in my database and it doesn't look great.
Eg in 2022 there were:
- 9696 winners that hit 1.01 and won a race.
- 121 runners hit 1.01 and lost a race.
Loss: £9696
Winnings: £11858
Profit: £2162
Other previous years look pretty much similar. Not great if you ask me.
Yes. You will make money long term but like i said earlier. Looking at £5000 or £3000 red before making any money can be extremely stressful :)
Nice data man! You see all I’m staring at here is that profit! :)
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@@mercy1249 +1540
Watched this and decided to lay the last 3 races at Kempton. Very first race Confederation went down to 1.01 then lost, you may have something here!
Very nice! I think long term it could be very good, looking forward to testing it more
To make money long term you'd have to get matched virtually every single time.
People backing at 1.01 are losing money hand over fist (people inside betfair say this) so yes money to be made laying at these odds.
As with all strategies you need to beat the break even strike rate which you can work out from the odds you are getting.
I think the reason your Dogs strategy doesn't work is you can't place bets in-play - this why it works for horses because no horse starts at that price.
1 horse must match every race so that was not testing as intended. Im not saying the strategy doesnt work but the horse that wins will always match your 1.01 lay. Was there any follow up please?
Greyhounds wont get matched as they don't go in play. What horses racing are you using GB, IRE, AUS, NZ????
Ah thanks for letting me know, never looked at greyhounds before, I had the filter set to go for all horse races so it was looking at them all :)
@@FirstHandFinances OK Cheers
Imagine losing £5000 :) and not having a single loser till the very next bet.
Good luck but i dont think i wanna get gray hair that soon ! :D
It is a risky one! Just my luck as soon as I switch from simulations I'll end up losing!
Won’t work as the time it won’t get matched in play is the time it’ll lose and that’s because of your place in the queue, hence why these bets are placed the night before and they are at the front of the queue. Queue position is the main factor here
I fully agree, that’s why I was using software, it wasn’t getting me to the front of the queue but was getting close enough to get matched
Use betangle
What is the best way to automate this to get the bets placed the night before?
Delete the one for the Dogs you will never get matched at 1.01 because they don´t go in-running
Ah thank you, I did wonder why it wasn’t working, but thought I’d include it in simulation just incase :)
Are you able to share the bot rules you used??
its been over a month,please update.thanks wully.
Simulation mode in BFBM is not going to give accurate results
I've tried it in real mode too with smaller stakes and still had positive results :)
Do you lay the fav or the entire field?
I did the whole field :)
Update please .
Would it be better getting on exchanges that offer 0% to reduce losses?
Betdex (P2P Football betting Exchange) By ex CEO Fanduel, Nigel Eccles
No