ARGENTINA on the Edge - 276% World High Inflation & Peso Crashing - is Milei's Plan Working?

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  • čas přidán 29. 06. 2024
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    The recent appointment of Javier Milei has not saved Argentina overnight and the country is facing ECONOMIC MELTDOWN as the PESO continues to be CRASH and be ABANDONED, Inflation is now the highest in the world at 276% and Interest Rates are at 40%. In this video I provide full details of the current situation and discuss the implications for the Economy of Argentina, the people of Argentina and Javier Milei.
    For specific details please check out the CHAPTER list below.
    Thanks for watching and please LIKE and SUBSCRIBE.
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    Chapters:
    0:00 Intro
    3:02 INFLATION
    5:19 MONTHLY INFLATION
    8:18 GLOBAL COMPARISON
    9:30 FOOD INFLATION
    11:48 BEEF
    14:24 INTEREST RATES
    17:23 PESO
    19:19 FISCAL BUDGET
    21:02 IMF & CHINA
    22:30 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
    #argentina
    #ukraine
    #russia
    #milei
    #javiermilei
    #default
    #GLOBALFINANCIALCRISIS
    #peso
    #SWIFT
    #RECESSION
    #CHINA
    #USA
    #NATO
    #WW3
    #WORLDWAR3

Komentáře • 547

  • @jaccobmau294
    @jaccobmau294 Před 6 dny +34

    Javier Milei didnt come to power until December of 2023 so he came in at the peak of the inflation.

    • @michoacan55
      @michoacan55 Před dnem

      inflation went up like 100% under Milei, he made the new peak

    • @dmpk9716
      @dmpk9716 Před 17 hodinami

      ​@@michoacan55 Monthly inflation is decreasing rapidly since Milei took over.
      That's what matters if you're gonna judge him fairly. Not annualised numbers he had no control over. Prepare for monthly deflation next.

  • @JackWalsh-d7h
    @JackWalsh-d7h Před 5 dny +121

    Our economy is afflicted by uncertainty, housing troubles, foreclosures, global shifts, and the aftermath of the epidemic, all of which contribute to instability. To restore stability and drive growth, all sectors must urgently address rising inflation, slowing GDP, and trade disruptions

    • @CoreyLloydo
      @CoreyLloydo Před 5 dny

      The US dollar is losing value due to inflation, while other currencies are gaining strength, creating uncertainty. Nonetheless, many people remain confident in the Dollar's perceived safety. I'm concerned that my 420K retirement funds may lose value, therefore I'm looking for other financial stability.

    • @RhysHuntoffice
      @RhysHuntoffice Před 5 dny

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    • @CoreyLloydo
      @CoreyLloydo Před 5 dny

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    • @RhysHuntoffice
      @RhysHuntoffice Před 5 dny

      My CFA, 'Leah Foster Alderman', is a well known figure in her field. I recommend looking into her qualifications further. She has extensive knowledge and is a treasure trove for anyone seeking to manage the financial markets.

    • @CoreyLloydo
      @CoreyLloydo Před 5 dny

      Wow, I just Googled her whole name and found her platform. Thank you very much for bringing this to my attention, I will definitely get in touch with her.

  • @rodgertim2881
    @rodgertim2881 Před 4 dny +132

    Absolutely, inflation is a significant concern, especially given the current state of the global economy.

    • @ericbergman7546
      @ericbergman7546 Před 4 dny

      it's definitely a hot topic right now. The pandemic caused disruptions in supply chains and led to increased government spending, which could contribute to rising prices.

    • @georgeearling905
      @georgeearling905 Před 4 dny

      Inflation can erode the purchasing power of your money over time, especially in today's global economy.

    • @sebastiaanthijn7982
      @sebastiaanthijn7982 Před 4 dny

      With prices seemingly going up on everything, I'm not sure how to protect my finances.

    • @christopherherbert2407
      @christopherherbert2407 Před 4 dny

      Definitely, the current economic instability is causing a lot of concern. With factors like trade tensions and fluctuating markets, it's hard to predict what's coming next.

    • @AliciaCrone
      @AliciaCrone Před 4 dny

      The massive government stimulus packages implemented to combat the pandemic's economic impact could have long-term consequences, like inflation.

  • @marcomalo02
    @marcomalo02 Před 6 dny +83

    I spent a lot of time there in the 1990s. It was a mess then, and one of the people I did business with told me "there's no word for how bad things are here". That was 30 years ago.

    • @daemianbox
      @daemianbox Před 6 dny

      No matter when you read that. It's always true. I left the country during the 2001 debacle. I was ready to go back in 2008-9.... they screwed everything again! Not going back now. I rather spend my remaining years worrying about nuclear war and the US fucking up the world than about the day to day survival.

    • @myne00
      @myne00 Před 6 dny +15

      What's the saying?
      "There are 4 types of economies. Developed, developing, Japan, and Argentina."
      Something like that

    • @mikepants3736
      @mikepants3736 Před 5 dny

      Interesting, because according to the traditional media, things only got bad now.
      Thank you for speaking the truth.

    • @marcomalo02
      @marcomalo02 Před 5 dny +1

      An interesting part of that experience was that the Argentine peso was pegged 1:1 to the US dollar back then with no foreign reserves to back it up. My regional guy and I went to Chile on a sales issue once and while there he bought a bunch of Chilean pesos for I think 20 on the Argentine dollar to use for missiles to throw at the refs at soccer games. All of South America is screwed, Argentina is just a stellar example of how bad things are down there.
      While I'm writing, it was explained to me once that Argentina paid philosophers to sit in bars and pubs to orate on their thinking. These were government paid people. That place is absolutely upside down and has been since the early 50s when Peron ruined the economy for good. I don't think it can be fixed.

    • @mikepants3736
      @mikepants3736 Před 5 dny

      @@marcomalo02 I’m from Brazil, the state right next to Argentina, and understand everything you spoke about. I left the country over 2 decades ago, but unfortunately see my country (Canada) quickly going down the same path. It saddens me, for soon I will have to leave behind a place I love, but such is life.
      As for Argentina having a way out, they’ve a great geography, just like the USA. If their people stop being influenced by Cuba, like the rest of latam was and is, they can prosper, the choice is theirs. But I also doubt they’ll take it long term. 🤷‍♂️

  • @xeflatio93
    @xeflatio93 Před 6 dny +110

    I'm from Argentina, just to clarify one thing regarding why Milei is reducing the interests rates and keeping them negative against the economic theory to battle inflation. The situation in Argentina is different because in Argentina there is no credit loans banks don't borrow money due to the high inflation of the peso, is impossible. So what banks were doing is to borrow their money to the central bank with high interests for Leliqs which are some sort of 30 days bonds. This situation was creating a growing problem in the near future because as long as you keep your money in the bank renewing the Leliqs then nothing happens however if people decided to take their money out then the government will need to pay out all the compound interests that were formed. There was 4 times more money in Leliqs than in the entire economy, so you can imagine that the amount of money that you needed to print would automatically cause a hiperinflarion. But all of this was not free, paying those interest were causing a 10% cost from the GDP an immense debt that if Milei raised the central bank interest rate that means that it would grow even more but instead he decided to do the opposite and reduce the interest rates to deactivate the growing bomb of money. Thanks to that he reduced 80% of the total Leliqs which is amaizing for the economy reducing the cost of interests to only a 2% of GDP soon to be 0%

    • @Tempestelterna
      @Tempestelterna Před 6 dny +25

      Thanks for the context and Milei is doing a great job from what I can see! 🎉

    • @baussocks
      @baussocks Před 6 dny

      www.bcra.gob.ar/Pdfs/PublicacionesEstadisticas/infomondiai.pdf

    • @baussocks
      @baussocks Před 6 dny +4

      where u find that he reduced it by 80%?? send me a link i would like to se it :)

    • @ProfessorFickle
      @ProfessorFickle Před 6 dny +6

      IMF Data and ‘pro Argentina 🇦🇷 opinions’ are different .

    • @dontsupportrats4089
      @dontsupportrats4089 Před 5 dny

      Do people in Argentina like or dislike the US? In general I mean. Never talked with anyone from there before.

  • @azerko
    @azerko Před 5 dny +16

    Last week was the first, in the last 30 years without food price increase

  • @crimeajewel
    @crimeajewel Před 6 dny +59

    Argentina has been a mess for 100 years. Milei needs time to fix it. And be an example to all.😊

    • @user-ou9kv5cz2c
      @user-ou9kv5cz2c Před 5 dny +6

      LOL

    • @Truther945
      @Truther945 Před 5 dny +2

      @@user-ou9kv5cz2c right 😂🙃

    • @DaleRojoDecaf
      @DaleRojoDecaf Před 5 dny +1

      He better. That country can't take another 100 years.

    • @Jimmy-ye3wg
      @Jimmy-ye3wg Před 5 dny

      😂😂 he is a joke, and the penny is starting to drop with the people.

    • @noahbrown2100
      @noahbrown2100 Před 5 dny

      He will be an example of neoliberal idiocy

  • @aikotoba99
    @aikotoba99 Před 5 dny +6

    Fixing this will take time but I'm rooting for Argentina. This problem didn't happen overnight and it won't be solved overnight either. The West should extend a hand and just help them out. No loans, just give them some aid. I live in the US and have traveled to Argentina and I loved it there.

  • @abjectt5440
    @abjectt5440 Před 6 dny +21

    It's sad. Argentina is blessed with many natural resources. They should be doing well.

    • @ProfessorFickle
      @ProfessorFickle Před 6 dny

      Has no important Resources … like Light-Crude-oil.

    • @floydlooney6837
      @floydlooney6837 Před 6 dny +7

      They would if it weren't for decades and decades of socialism

    • @ProfessorFickle
      @ProfessorFickle Před 5 dny +1

      @@floydlooney6837 : lol 😂 Panama Canal opened about ~1920, cargo ships DONT need to travel around South America , International investment Stopped 1929.

    • @user-ou9kv5cz2c
      @user-ou9kv5cz2c Před 5 dny

      @@floydlooney6837 LOL

    • @brawndothethirstmutilator9848
      @brawndothethirstmutilator9848 Před 5 dny +2

      @floydlooney6837, Even worse. Decades of Peronism.

  • @remsmith3233
    @remsmith3233 Před 6 dny +7

    Thanks for keeping us accurately informed regarding economics of world nations

  • @Rhyas9
    @Rhyas9 Před 6 dny +55

    Argentine Peso: Man, no one wants me.
    Russian Ruble: Yeah? Tell me about it.

    • @EinFelsbrocken
      @EinFelsbrocken Před 5 dny +3

      BRICS: 👁👄👁 *hlep*

    • @mikepants3736
      @mikepants3736 Před 5 dny +6

      @@Rhyas9 Zimbabwe dollar: Hold my 1 trillion dollar beer. 🍺

    • @usamoronocracy526
      @usamoronocracy526 Před 5 dny +3

      Reminbi me !!! I'm in there as well !!! They never Remember me !!! 😭😱😭

    • @Jimmy-ye3wg
      @Jimmy-ye3wg Před 5 dny

      The difference is that the Russians can export and manufacture, Argentina can not. Its only a matter of time before the people throw out this idiot, and join the BRICS community like Brazil next door.

  • @joedegabriele6256
    @joedegabriele6256 Před 5 dny +6

    Needs time to fix the mess - 6 months is just starting

  • @floydlooney6837
    @floydlooney6837 Před 6 dny +23

    Argentina is finally doing the right things to fix it.

    • @dd-uy5lx
      @dd-uy5lx Před 5 dny +4

      its a decoy, its collecting money for a short term. Any idiot can do this, the real problem is creating new tax revenues while keeping people employed. Evneytually he cant collect taxes if most people out of work

    • @stefanweilhartner4415
      @stefanweilhartner4415 Před 5 dny +4

      @@dd-uy5lx if no extra money is being printed and the government only spends what it gets, everything is fine.

    • @Jaysqualityparts
      @Jaysqualityparts Před 5 dny

      He needs to stay away from China.

  • @WayneTheSeine
    @WayneTheSeine Před 5 dny +3

    I feel their pain when it comes to not being able to buy beef. I walked into my local butcher shop and he asked, "Can I help you?" Me, "No.....I just came into look at the beef."

  • @johnhaller5851
    @johnhaller5851 Před 6 dny +14

    The beef is so expensive because Argentina had a big drought, the grass wasn't growing, so the cattle weren't putting on weight. The rains finally returned this year. This also contributed to inflation, as there wasn't much beef to export.

    • @tube.brasil
      @tube.brasil Před 6 dny +4

      Beef goes to China, that's why it is expensive.

    • @daemianbox
      @daemianbox Před 6 dny +4

      Not true. The beef was going to be more expensive regardless of the drought. If you knew the country's dynamics, you'd know that our inflation has an speculative component.

    • @johnhaller5851
      @johnhaller5851 Před 5 dny +5

      @@daemianbox It's a sample size of one, but my son-in-law's uncle owns a cattle ranch. He lives in Buenos Aries, so doesn't do the day to day work. But he was recommended to sell all of his cattle in 2022 because there was no grass to be found. It takes a long time to rebuild a herd after it's gone. The last time there was a drought like that in the US, beef was cheap for a while because they were selling all their cattle, then got very expensive when that supply spike was over. I haven't heard from him since then, he was trying to hold on. I did enjoy the fine Argentinian beef on that visit.
      You know the situation better than me in terms of the speculative inflation, but I'm sure the drought also reduced exports, which makes it hard to get foreign currency to pay for imports like oil, which is another aspect of exchange rates and inflation. Gasoline was one of the few things being sold at what appeared to be market prices when I visited.

    • @markusgorelli5278
      @markusgorelli5278 Před 5 dny +1

      @@daemianbox You can't rid Agriculture from speculation. The Farmer has to speculate if the weather will be good - should he plant now or later. He has to speculate on what other farmers around him might do. I have family who switched between watermelon and peppers depending on the time of year. Then someone decided to convert their estate to watermelon and the oversupply crashed the market. So he noped out and stuck to peppers as he had food processors who would take it off his hands.

    • @brawndothethirstmutilator9848
      @brawndothethirstmutilator9848 Před 5 dny +1

      @markusgorelli5278, You misinterpreted his comment. He wasn’t talking about speculation in agriculture, he was talking speculation in currency exchange driving inflation. Argentines have a long tradition of holding their cash as anything other than pesos, a d there is a complex history of government attempts to block this and parallel exchanges and exchange rates as a result.

  • @JosephSolisAlcaydeAlberici

    It will take at least 24 months for the high inflation rate in Argentina to tumble to around 20% annually and make sure that dollarization should be the end goal so that future left-wing Argentine populist presidents won't have the monetary policy capacity anymore to print money out of thin air through central banking.

    • @user-zb9lv3gh8s
      @user-zb9lv3gh8s Před 6 dny

      Yeah, only Donald Trump should be able to print money

    • @rednose1966
      @rednose1966 Před 6 dny +2

      You took the words right out of Javier Milei’s mouth.

    • @RustedCroaker
      @RustedCroaker Před 6 dny

      Yeah, let a foreign central bank print money out of thin air is a better idea. Sure.

    • @brawndothethirstmutilator9848
      @brawndothethirstmutilator9848 Před 5 dny +2

      @rednose1966, As economists often say, the Inflation Genie is very difficult to put back in the bottle. 24 months is as reasonable of an estimate as any.

    • @stefanweilhartner4415
      @stefanweilhartner4415 Před 5 dny

      in europe we did it by taking away the national central banks and put it in the hands of the EU. no national president or national party can tamper with it anymore.
      the €uro is stable now. we only had some inflation during covid by borrowing money from the European central bank, but that needs to be payed back.
      by borrowing that, this of course also resulted in inflation, but that has already stopped and theoretically by paying it back, it could result in a slight deflation which probably nobody wants either.

  • @Carlos-im3hn
    @Carlos-im3hn Před 5 dny +13

    Bravo J. Milei !! 🎉

  • @spektrumB
    @spektrumB Před 6 dny +23

    I wonder if it's because Argentina is in the process of adopting US dollar and abandoning peso. Everyone is dumping peso hence the crazy devaluation of the currency.
    If there is a way to measure the inflation using US dollar in Argentina. I wonder how the inflation figures will look like.

    • @thiagoribeiro021
      @thiagoribeiro021 Před 6 dny +1

      Crazy Devaluation? lol. there is almost no devaluation the oficial graphics show dólar used by the gov not the real dólar that is called dollar blue in Argentina

    • @floydlooney6837
      @floydlooney6837 Před 6 dny +1

      I don't think they've started that yet

    • @brawndothethirstmutilator9848
      @brawndothethirstmutilator9848 Před 5 dny

      @thiagoribeiro021, 200%+ inflation absolutely is indicative of devaluation of the currency. Looking at the parallel dollar doesn’t make that go away either.

    • @thiagoribeiro021
      @thiagoribeiro021 Před 5 dny

      @@brawndothethirstmutilator9848 the parallel was twas real rate called dollar blue
      so there was not a huge ddevaluation
      They had almost 10 different dollar official exchange here
      Even if you look the graphic you can understand that if you are not super dumb
      the sharp decline occurred once because the official rate is now the real rate that was already before
      Govt was subsidizing lower dollar for especific operations, nobody was selling dollar at that value except by the govt
      Everybody was paying for the subside indirectly so it did not change nothing for people , actually things are clearly getting better down there

    • @shadetouchcatchemall5134
      @shadetouchcatchemall5134 Před 3 dny

      Inflation is a measure of currency, if u measure with us dollar you would ve same inflation as USA. Cuz inflation is a measure of the CURRENCY, not the economy.

  • @sniperduells
    @sniperduells Před 6 dny +5

    Dont cry for me Argentina, because I dont have your problems.

    • @rednose1966
      @rednose1966 Před 6 dny +2

      If you live in the US you do have the same problems. It’s called deficit spending money printing and endless inflation.
      Here in the USA we’re doing 1,000,000,000,000+ every hundred days of deficit spending. Thank you uncle Sam

  • @bibekghatak5860
    @bibekghatak5860 Před 6 dny +2

    Thanks for the fantastic video clip at the end of the video .

  • @chrism3790
    @chrism3790 Před 2 dny +2

    None of this is Milei's fault. All those people blaming him for the consequences of decades of fiscal and monetary mismanagement are delusional. There was no way to avoid high inflation. A massive amount of money was parked into Leliqs because of the central bank's disastrous policies, and that huge monetary mass must now be released into the economy before things can begin to normalize. It's the first time in a long time that someone is actually doing the responsible thing, but there isn't a way to avoid the damage that has already been done. What politician have you known in your lifetime that is willing to take a lot of heat in the short term, for long term benefits? Milei is an extremely rare breed indeed, and history will remember him for it.
    My hope is that in 5 years time, the world will be able to look at Argentina as an example of how to recover from an inflationary death trap.

  • @todo9633
    @todo9633 Před 4 dny +2

    Ultimately, when a currency is artificially inflated or deflated, fixing the situation will always be an absolute disaster.
    I'm less worried about Argentina, and more worried about Russia and China, both of whom use similar tactics to manipulate the worth of their currencies and are far bigger players in the world economy.

  • @stevenveltrie1868
    @stevenveltrie1868 Před 6 dny +2

    Really hoping he can get Argentina out of it's loooog mess.

  • @Surfer-727
    @Surfer-727 Před 5 dny

    Lookking forward to the posts ! Thanks Joe !

  • @cathulhu3772
    @cathulhu3772 Před 5 dny +3

    I think everything will be allright IN TIME. We've had the same problem in Poland, but reasons were quite different, but steps taken are kinda similar. I'm holding my thumbs for Argentina. It f hurts but look at stats of Poland - it WORKS

  • @user-ex9zo1kk2y
    @user-ex9zo1kk2y Před 6 dny +4

    I hope this guy can really get Argentina going I'm pulling for him.

  • @3y3g00
    @3y3g00 Před 6 dny +13

    I was really hoping Argentina would finally catch a break

    • @jakeroper1096
      @jakeroper1096 Před 6 dny

      Federal Reserve helps control inflation. Bad socialist policy is just really hard to not inflate

    • @daemianbox
      @daemianbox Před 6 dny

      Not with his plan. Is was tried 3 times before...never worked. Besides, 80% of his cabinet is people that was in government the last time they tried. National debt skyrocketed and that money ended in tax heavens

    • @yeetiesandwheaties
      @yeetiesandwheaties Před 6 dny +4

      They are. Some of his information is wrong.

    • @3y3g00
      @3y3g00 Před 6 dny +1

      @yeetiesandwheaties can you tell me more about this please?

    • @yeetiesandwheaties
      @yeetiesandwheaties Před 6 dny +7

      @@3y3g00 Milei didn't "raise the inflation by 100% in the months after taking office." Argentina has historically had an artificially propped currency value. That's WHY there is a difference between the official rate and the blue rate (the REAL value of the currency). Milei sought to remove this artificial propping of the currency so he lowered the official rate so that it was closer to the blue rate (actual value). Lefties around the world pounced on this and called it "inflation." It was never inflation. He removed a fake value.

  • @renaissancenovice7202
    @renaissancenovice7202 Před 6 dny +7

    You can't use the "official" exchange rate for pesos going backwards because everyone knows it was completely fake. To get the actual exchange rate, you had to look at the black market exchange rate, ie the rate of exchange it would take to actually exchange one for the other.

    • @FrikInCasualMode
      @FrikInCasualMode Před 6 dny

      Agreed. No nation likes to admit openly their currency is not worth the paper it was printed on. Governments will lie just to keep appearances.

  • @peterp79
    @peterp79 Před 6 dny +2

    Great update.

  • @ybvb
    @ybvb Před 5 dny +2

    Love it Joe!

  • @williamrossetter9430
    @williamrossetter9430 Před 3 dny

    One of the finest channel on CZcams regarding international finance. Passing this information to my wife's family who own assets in Argentina. Thanks, Joe!

  • @geogmz8277
    @geogmz8277 Před 3 dny

    Argentina inflation is the highest yet is the highest shrinking month to month is all we need to know is things are going in the right direction and Milei said it from the get go! Things will get hard before they get better... Is getting there!
    Aguante Argentina! From a non Argentinian! 🤜🏻

  • @angelarch5352
    @angelarch5352 Před 5 dny +1

    I hope Argentina continues to improve. Fun dog ball at end!

  • @jamesstepp1925
    @jamesstepp1925 Před 6 dny +5

    Another reason he is having to cut interest rates, which exacerbates inflation, instead of raise them to fight inflation, is because of the bonds in the peso denomination.

    • @shadetouchcatchemall5134
      @shadetouchcatchemall5134 Před 3 dny

      Not really, that would be on a normal country. Here in argentina the state takes all the credit from the private sector to sustain its huge deficit, so switching to negative interest did not affect inflation rate.
      In fact it helped reduce the huge amount of bonds debt the central bank owed which were increasing at a rate above 200%+ interest.

    • @jamesstepp1925
      @jamesstepp1925 Před 3 dny

      @@shadetouchcatchemall5134 Exactly my point, thank you. If he had raised interest rates the bond debt would have gone through the roof, so that avenue was closed off to him. Raising interest rates is how normal governments and central banks lower inflation, by making it more expensive to borrow money. He was not able to do that, and in fact had to lower interest rates (the exact opposite of how not to lower inflation, ask Turkey) just to keep the massive pile of bond debt from increasing. So, fighting inflation is hard for him, a real balancing act.
      Smart guy though, and he has the academic background to be the perfect person in the perfect place to finally get Argentina back on track. I just hope his support from the people continues through this hard time so he can actually accomplish what he needs to. That is the wild card in the deck, his support from the people who are hurting right now. My hope and support is with him and Argentina though. It is the one country in South American I have always wanted to visit and would love to own property there. The potential of Argentina as a politically stable economic power is essentially unlimited, and I am intrigued to see what she is able to accomplish from here.

  • @hanankevich5762
    @hanankevich5762 Před 6 dny +2

    Thanks!

  • @ADobbin1
    @ADobbin1 Před 5 dny +8

    the thing is that it takes 5-10 years for fiscal and monetary policy changes to have a noticeable effect on the economy. In democratic countries this means that the effects start happening a year or two after the person who made the changes has been chased out of office and replaced by someone who undoes those changes because they aren't popular in the immediate future. Personally I find it rather telling who is right here based on who voted for millei. The poor voted for him, the rich voted against. Kind of tells you everything you need to know about whether hes doing the right thing.

    • @cieloabatido
      @cieloabatido Před 3 dny +1

      I think it will be quicker. In our experience from the 90s, it took 2 years, but we have lived through many crises and a lot of bureaucracy that constantly changed the economic rules. People doing business in Argentina are quicker to respond to the changes.

    • @Typexviiib
      @Typexviiib Před 3 dny +1

      Hes had excellent success so far, but it will take time for the full fruit to ripen

    • @LCTesla
      @LCTesla Před dnem

      bullshit. monetary expansion has an effect within a month or two. it's one of the most responsive factors a government has control over, especially considering the effect of communication about policy on private sector expectations.

  • @tomaspecl1082
    @tomaspecl1082 Před 5 dny +1

    I do not think it makes sense to even look at year on year inflation in this context as it tells you nothing. The inflation is so high and also changes so rapidly that the month on month is probably the only reasonable measure.

  • @stevenjohns-savage7024

    Thanks guys 😊

  • @stilltraceable6753
    @stilltraceable6753 Před 4 dny

    Your voice is good for these ❤

  • @shadetouchcatchemall5134

    We dont ve 276 inflation btw. Its at around 140. Grabbing it from year to year is a huge mistake cuz past year we dudnt ve free currency exchange ratio.

  • @annehersey9895
    @annehersey9895 Před 5 dny

    Thanks for keeping us informed on Argentina. I really want it to succeed!

  • @annehersey9895
    @annehersey9895 Před 5 dny

    Joe, we can’t expect Argentina to drop in just a few months but if Javier’s drastic means topped in only 4 months, that’s excellent!

  • @reyalPRON
    @reyalPRON Před 3 dny

    thank you for keeping those whiskers cut short mate. ive done mine for 12 years too ;)

  • @ricardokowalski1579
    @ricardokowalski1579 Před 6 dny +2

    14:30 The traditional theory is to keep interest rates high to prop up the falling value of a debased currency. Milei halted the money printer, so there is no need to have high interest rates since there is no further debasing of the currency.

  • @Joaodocaminhao0234
    @Joaodocaminhao0234 Před 6 dny +1

    Thank you

  • @2468gold
    @2468gold Před 5 dny +2

    I buy Argentine products to help them get through this and help employment.
    Pampa direct, Amazon etc.

  • @hydroac9387
    @hydroac9387 Před 6 dny +1

    Regarding interest rates, it sounds like Erdogan of Turkeys policy. It didn't last long in Turkey, and Erdogan reversed course and pursed a conventual strategy

  • @vonsilverhagen
    @vonsilverhagen Před 5 dny +1

    Inflation is tricky. Lets try a calculation:
    If you buy one snickers for 1$ yr 1.
    Next yr it went up 0.25$ to 1.25$ = 25% inflation.
    Next yr it went up 0.25$ more to 1.5$ = only 20% inflation
    Next yr another 0.25$ to 1.75$ = only 16,6% inflation..
    And so on….
    The rise in $ is the same every yr.

  • @sonymhc
    @sonymhc Před 5 dny +1

    Thanks

  • @Jason-fm4my
    @Jason-fm4my Před 6 dny +3

    I can't believe Zimbabwe still has 57% inflation. Don't they have a new gold backed currency? I guess that didn't work.😅

  • @Chicago48
    @Chicago48 Před 5 dny

    Joe I most enjoyed when you made those animated videos explaining world finances and world politics. They were very entertaining and held my attention.

  • @tuhkakasa1917
    @tuhkakasa1917 Před 6 dny +7

    Tango, Football(Soccer) and ecomic crash. Holy trinity in Argentina.

    • @jontalbot1
      @jontalbot1 Před 6 dny +1

      You forgot beef.

    • @lizd2943
      @lizd2943 Před 6 dny +2

      @@jontalbot1 And not talking about what grandpa did in the war.

  • @effexon
    @effexon Před 6 dny +1

    waiting to see first positive Joe blogs episode in 3months.... from argentina.

  • @metalsteel5631
    @metalsteel5631 Před 5 dny +1

    its only been a few months, you can't fix stupid instantly. it takes time.

  • @johncromwell2529
    @johncromwell2529 Před 4 dny

    Thx joe

  • @b.questor
    @b.questor Před 5 dny +2

    When I don't see Joe daily,
    something is missing...

  • @bibekghatak5860
    @bibekghatak5860 Před 6 dny +2

    It's a disaster as I see it . May Almighty bless the Argentinians .

  • @Metal_seer
    @Metal_seer Před 5 dny

    Thanks for helping us see where the US is headed by looking at Argentina.

  • @hhgg28
    @hhgg28 Před 5 dny +1

    Yes, this was better than the one before, here you show the monthly inflation and you can see that is getting down very quickly, of course you cannot expect to get from 25% to 0% in only 1 month. Things are going exactly as Milei said in his first speach on december. He is the first argentinain president to tell the truth as hard as it comes, that is why the people was willing to make the necesary effort. The country was really upside down, and it was not Milei's fault, just our sad and childish history, I hope this project succed and once and for all we can become a serious country. (btw, I didn't vote for him, I was a little scared he looks too crazy for me, just vote for noone, but now I feel he is doing the right things).

  • @garrypattison6448
    @garrypattison6448 Před 6 dny +16

    What is Argentina on the edge of.? Stupidity ? You cannot fix stupid.

    • @shadetouchcatchemall5134
      @shadetouchcatchemall5134 Před 3 dny

      Just constat deficit over the years, increase of state size from 23 to 43 pib. Socialism basically lol

  • @philstanton231
    @philstanton231 Před 5 dny

    Thanks Joe - two points from a non economical educated person, 1) perhaps State Owned Enterprises (SOE's like iin New Zealand where a dividend is paid to the Govr.) And 2) favorable conditions for overseas companies, would help. As i say, my 2 cents worth.

  • @omegaz3393
    @omegaz3393 Před 5 dny

    Argentina needs private investment.
    Inflation ultimately comes down to a lack of goods. Thus people bid prices up in order to obtain those goods.
    In short. You need to increase supply to meet & actually slightly exceed demand creating a competitive market. Also producing more goods for export to balance out trade.

  • @SG-js2qn
    @SG-js2qn Před 5 dny +4

    Did people really think Argentina's economy was going to spin on a dime? Nations are like enormous oil tankers. You don't spin them around. They have a lot of momentum going in a direction and it takes a long while to turn them around.
    What we're finally seeing is someone starting to turn it around. For the longest time, no one was even trying, and they were in fact stepping on the gas, making it worse.

  • @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg
    @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg Před 6 dny +4

    What I dont understand is Dollarization. Why not Euroization instead?

    • @hydroac9387
      @hydroac9387 Před 6 dny

      Because the Dollar is the reserve currency.

    • @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg
      @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg Před 6 dny +2

      @@hydroac9387 but thats wrong. The Dollar is the largest reserve currency, not THE reserve currency.

    • @user-je3sk8cj6g
      @user-je3sk8cj6g Před 5 dny

      Because the Euro is just another sh*tcoin

    • @brawndothethirstmutilator9848
      @brawndothethirstmutilator9848 Před 5 dny +1

      @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg, Argentines prefer the dollar. They have used it as a “safe haven” from inflation for decades.

    • @TheShadowOfZama
      @TheShadowOfZama Před 5 dny +1

      @@asdasdasddgdgdfgdg It's probably a matter of convenience and accessibility. Turks are dumping the Lyra too, but I've heard they don't mind taking Euros or pounds instead of dollars. Of course Turkey is a lot closer to Europe and does a lot more business with Europeans so for them it might not matter that much whether they're being given euros, dollars or pounds, whereas Argentinians might find dollars more convenient all things considered

  • @shatterthemirror8563
    @shatterthemirror8563 Před 2 dny

    Argentina is a great example of how it's hard to fix a system while it's operating. I don't have any faith though that he'll change anything for the better when he starts by jacking up inflation. So he'll have to prove he has practical knowledge by actually changing things, and until it's objectively there, there's no proof.

  • @minorityofone1510
    @minorityofone1510 Před 5 dny

    Austrian Economic policies are the best option to cure Argentina's issues

  • @stefanweilhartner4415
    @stefanweilhartner4415 Před 5 dny +1

    raising the interest rate is nice, but how do you pay that interest rate? if you just pay it with fresh printed money, you increase the amount of money which reduces it's value.
    you can't do that. the government needs to reduce spending and needs to increase the efficiency and decrease bureaucracy.
    one of the super big points is teaching. part of it needs to be done from TV. and you can even increase the quality by using the best teachers on tv recordings.
    therefore you can reduce the amount of teachers. this reduces cost. with individual dynamic speed, you can even increase the learning speed.
    and of course computers in government offices to reduce the workload of government office workers.

    • @shadetouchcatchemall5134
      @shadetouchcatchemall5134 Před 3 dny +1

      Exactly you cant do that. Thats why he didnt and went into a negative interest rate reducing the debt.

  • @YoStu242
    @YoStu242 Před 5 dny

    I remember british comedy show from the 90s where taxi driver informed the cost of the ride to the customer. He was repeating millions of pesos and his meter was so long that it sticked out the car window. So I guess peso has always been weak currency

  • @lexvangelder2525
    @lexvangelder2525 Před 5 dny

    The economy of Argentina has been progressively getting worse since the late 1940's. Ever since that economic mastermind Juan Pron became president in 1946. With over 75 years of thouroughly consistent economic mismanagement under their belt a couple of months of Milei won't make much of a difference for better or worse.

  • @metrx330
    @metrx330 Před 2 dny

    Melei has only been in office 6 months. He did say it would get worse before getting better. It will take a full presidential term to see the full effect of his policies.

  • @pradeepmagan6951
    @pradeepmagan6951 Před 5 dny

    They need to keep increasing interest rates until inflation starts to fall

    • @shadetouchcatchemall5134
      @shadetouchcatchemall5134 Před 3 dny

      No, here we had interest ratio 200+%. It only increased the debt central bank had.
      Since the state takes all the credit from the private sector to fill its huge deficit making it negative interest ratio helped lowering the debt without increasing inflation.
      At the end increasing interest is only a temporary measure cuz when u lower em again you ll ve that inflation.

  • @delta1200
    @delta1200 Před 5 dny

    They had the improvement in the last report

  • @3-DtimeCosmology
    @3-DtimeCosmology Před 5 dny

    The bit at the end! Lol! 😂😂😂

  • @Glogcke
    @Glogcke Před 5 dny

    Great

  • @wbwarren57
    @wbwarren57 Před 6 dny +2

    Great video! Thank you! What would the world do without “Joe blogs“? Where would we get in-depth data driven coverage like this?

  • @daniellarson3068
    @daniellarson3068 Před 6 dny

    With other countries adopting the dollar, will the FED have to consider this when adopting monetary policies?

  • @stevenniccoli5967
    @stevenniccoli5967 Před 5 dny

    The people of Argentina are suffering badly. I DO hope that their new President can surround himself with a bunch of Smart Economist's who can get this under control. Can another Country possibly help? I don't know how but hopefully someone can work with their Government so these hard working people don't Starve 😢

  • @tyrismaxey
    @tyrismaxey Před 4 dny

    May want to take a look at what's happening in Kenya.

  • @fredmidtgaard5487
    @fredmidtgaard5487 Před 5 dny

    Have been to Argentina. Yes, beef is great there! You get a lot of beef but almost no vegetables when going out there! It is a very nicd country! Highly recommended.

  • @jean-pierrearcoragi6313
    @jean-pierrearcoragi6313 Před 14 hodinami

    A significant fraction of Argentinians can ask for a Spanish or an Italian passport…

  • @drewstead316
    @drewstead316 Před 6 dny

    Over half of the world lives on less than a peasant in 1350's England. Peasants earned about a pence(0.0967g of gold) per day, but some even got half a pence or 2pence per day if they were lucky. Today that's $7.28 worth of gold for a day's work. Average wages worldwide has dropped from like $18-$19K per year in 2012 to a little bit over $9,000 per year.

    • @drewstead316
      @drewstead316 Před 6 dny

      A farthing or quarter pence was how much a loaf of bread cost which would be $1.82 today. Here in California a loaf of bread can between be $1-$6 depending on type of bread you want.

    • @drewstead316
      @drewstead316 Před 6 dny

      Federal minimum wage in the US is the equivalent of about 8pence per day or 17.6pence per day at California minimum wage. Or 15.9 old pence equivalent in the UK for people over the age of 23 for a day's work.

  • @johnjanssens8998
    @johnjanssens8998 Před 6 dny

    12:59 WTF? Charcuterie Ambiorix? They got that in Belgium.

  • @lLenn2
    @lLenn2 Před 6 dny

    You should try volume leveling some time.

  • @FernandoCicarelli
    @FernandoCicarelli Před 5 dny

    Unfortunately none of us here will live long enough to see Argentina recover.

  • @Ralph_Baric_PhD_C2019

    Yep remember your calculations. Rate of change.. inflation.

  • @genemartinez2833
    @genemartinez2833 Před 6 dny

    Do you think cutting interest rates was a big mistake? That might be driving the inflation rate still being high. It might not be possible to cut interest rates until inflation comes way down. The cut in public spending might cause a recession but is it possible to cut such a high inflation rate without a recession of some sort?

  • @hienly3050
    @hienly3050 Před 5 dny

    Argentina's problem is the structure of its ecomony. It'd take a long time to fix, not by a few steps by a government. Ask anyone knowing the history of its ecomony will tell you it will take several years to fix. I was there in 1990 and found it in the same problems as today.

  • @midimusicforever
    @midimusicforever Před 6 dny +2

    It doesn't seem to be working for Milei.

    • @floydlooney6837
      @floydlooney6837 Před 6 dny

      100 years of socialism can't be fixed in 4 months? Time to give up? lol

    • @chicanicajfcp
      @chicanicajfcp Před 4 dny +1

      To the contrary. It works better and faster than anyone could expect.

  • @flgarcia4013
    @flgarcia4013 Před 5 dny

    How about an analysis of the economy of MEXICO

  • @spaceme0wth
    @spaceme0wth Před 6 dny +2

    hoping for an in depth video about how turkey got into such a bad position, i find it baffling!

    • @josephwirtz8352
      @josephwirtz8352 Před 6 dny

      One thing is they are overwhelmingly import dependent.

  • @LA99624
    @LA99624 Před 5 dny

    The economy is great ..and getting better...
    ...since. In 6 month it would be very good

  • @scene2much
    @scene2much Před 4 dny

    Joe! How about reporting the poverty level change as a function of food, inflation, and other goods inflation rates ? Rates ?
    And how about another rate? The famine rate. The proportion of the population that simply cannot afford the minimum daily requirements of food.
    Of course, black and gray market issues and black and gray employment issues are there. Sometimes people will sell their body for a Big Mac.

  • @THEFORBIDDENMAN-lk7of

    👍👍👍JOE BABY 👍👍👍
    SOME GOOD NEWS FOR ARGENTINA, YES NO EASY FIX NOTHING IS, BUT ITS GIVES THEM A CHANCE, AND NO ONE CAN SAY THE PRESIDENT TOLD THEM LIES WHEN HE CAME TO POWER, OF COURSE THOSE AT THE BOTTOM SUFFER THE MOST, SO TRYING TO KEEP
    THEM GOING, GOOD TO SEE INT RATES HAVE FALLEN HELP NOW CAN THEY CUT WHAT THEY IMPORT, AND HE PLEASING THE IMF
    NOTHING LIKE PROGRESS SO MAY THE RECOVERY CONTINUE FOR ARGENTINA

  • @justingreen8572
    @justingreen8572 Před 5 dny

    Press F to doubt.

  • @usamoronocracy526
    @usamoronocracy526 Před 6 dny +4

    The Argentina reporting is really subpar II - in addition to previous point, nothing goes up that long in a straight line !!! The graph at 5:00 shows that also in previous years inflation came down many times (for many months) only to go up again. With the absurd high inflation over 250% it is really really hard to get inflation higher also because the dollar vs the peso importance has increased so much the last years. Joe mentions nothing about those two things !!! Why ?!? Milei's Plan included buying Joe a cup a coffee ?!? 😱🤢😱

    • @tokotokotoko3
      @tokotokotoko3 Před 6 dny +1

      Yeah, his reporting on this is borderline insane. "Will the dude that says he takes policy advice from his dead dogs save the economy"... uhhh, no. They might catch a cyclical break if they're lucky.

  • @ROKASniper89
    @ROKASniper89 Před 5 dny

    Im an American who is lucky to see a kilo of beef in a year. How do people afford all that beef?

  • @davidchristensen6908
    @davidchristensen6908 Před 6 dny +14

    You just have to root for this guy. You saw him saying the spending he is cutting, it sounded like he cut a lot of spending. It very fascinating to watch. You have to wish them well forever sure

    • @user-zb9lv3gh8s
      @user-zb9lv3gh8s Před 6 dny +4

      That's insane. The guy is an irresponsible populist and has created rampant poverty.

    • @dand337
      @dand337 Před 6 dny

      ​@@user-zb9lv3gh8screating an enonomy from scratch kind of looks like that at first

    • @dirtyace1668
      @dirtyace1668 Před 6 dny

      ​​@@user-zb9lv3gh8swe will see. Not enough time has passed to see the true effects of his policies. Massive poverty was already there, created by the previous regime so let's not pretend like everything was rosy and then he came in and flushed it all down the toilet.

    • @bouzoukiman5000
      @bouzoukiman5000 Před 6 dny

      Why do you trust all the right wing bullshit he said. Right wingers track records are as bad as it gets everywhere every single time but suckers still trust

    • @SiisKolkytEuroo
      @SiisKolkytEuroo Před 6 dny +1

      ​@@user-zb9lv3gh8swho exactly was irresponsible, who caused argentina to end up in the situation where it was before Milei took over

  • @CasperChicago
    @CasperChicago Před 4 dny

    What Milei is doing is better than past leaders. However,...Argentina needs a smart group of economist to advise him. Liberalism nor conservatism will get Argentina out ot this mess,...only sound economic principles will work.

  • @ArtVanAuggie
    @ArtVanAuggie Před 3 dny

    Juan Peron got Argentina firmly attached to the government teat. This new administration has to break that if Argentina is to become what it was on the road to become. Economic success is dependent on a class structure with a path for those wanting to put forth the effort to move up. Peron destroyed that. Maybe Javier Milei can change that. Good effing luck.

  • @user-io7yk7qb1k
    @user-io7yk7qb1k Před 4 dny +1

    Please report on Kenya