Why Bond Yields Are a Key Economic Barometer | WSJ

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  • čas přidán 17. 06. 2024
  • U.S. government bond yields aren’t just a barometer of the economy, they also influence the cost of borrowing, from mortgages to student loans. WSJ explains how they work and why they’re so crucial to the economy. Photo illustration: Tom Grillo/WSJ
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Komentáře • 359

  • @Peterl4290
    @Peterl4290 Před 16 dny +129

    It is a government inspired crisis this time. The Treasury have to sell Bonds to cover the trade imbalance and the government spending imbalance. In order to sell them they have to raise interest rates and the old long-term, low risk, low interest, AAA investments (including Treasury Bonds), held by the banks (often due to government regulatory policy), become next to worthless. The next milestone is the 15th when the government issue a new batch of Bonds. I have approximately 350k stagnant in my portfolio that needs growth. What is the best way to take advantage of this downturn?

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk Před 16 dny +2

      Find stocks with market-beating yields and shares that at least keep pace with the market for a long term.For a successful long-term strategy | recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.

    • @Mrshuster
      @Mrshuster Před 16 dny +2

      I agree. Based on personal experience working with an investment advisor, I currently have $385k in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in stocks, but you also need to be knowledgeable, persistent, and have strong hands to back it up.

    • @sabastinenoah
      @sabastinenoah Před 16 dny

      Glad to have stumbled on this conversation. Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I'm in dire need for one.

    • @Mrshuster
      @Mrshuster Před 16 dny +1

      Her name is “VIVIAN CAROL GIOIA” can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like

    • @sabastinenoah
      @sabastinenoah Před 16 dny +1

      I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to send a mail to her and let you know how it goes.Thanks for sharing truly!

  • @shehanism
    @shehanism Před 2 lety +109

    Great video showcasing the relations between expansionary and contractionary monetary policy essentially.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety +1

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit The subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @chrismillson2779
    @chrismillson2779 Před rokem +194

    The majority of my holdings ($650K) are Nasdaq, Apple, and Tesla stocks, respectively. I got in early but am undecided whether to sell or purchase back at reduced prices owing to the present market condition.

    • @Robertgriffinne
      @Robertgriffinne Před rokem +4

      Focus on two key objectives. First, stay protected by learning when to sell stocks to cut losses and capture profits. Second, prepare to profit when the market turns around.I recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.

    • @Natalieneptune469
      @Natalieneptune469 Před rokem +5

      @@Robertgriffinne Whichever option you choose, be careful to seek advice from a trustworthy investment advisor. I do business with one, and she has helped me get a better handle on the stock/ETF market throughout this upheaval.

    • @Robertgriffinne
      @Robertgriffinne Před rokem +3

      @@Natalieneptune469 Hello, how did you handle it? I believe I require an advisor after reading these comments about hiring them. Simply said, I don't want to commit errors that will significantly harm me.

    • @Natalieneptune469
      @Natalieneptune469 Před rokem +4

      @@Robertgriffinne Susan Agnes Hancock is the analyst/investment-adviser. She has been of great help and her tutelage has brought me to a higher understanding of profit generation. You can look up her name on the net for her page and reach out. Understands the job perfectly

    • @chrismillson2779
      @chrismillson2779 Před rokem +3

      @@Natalieneptune469 This recommendation literally came at the right time, I dipped by $11k in stocks last week alone. Its crazy! I just looked up Susan Agnes Hancock online and researched her accreditation. She seem very proficient & I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals . Information they say, is power. Thanks for this.

  • @CatherineWilson8
    @CatherineWilson8 Před 9 měsíci +262

    Even if bond yields are rising while stock prices are decreasing, the markets are still skeptical whether the Federal Reserve will stick to its goal to raise interest rates until inflation is under control. As I'm still debating whether to sell my $401k worth of equities, what is the best way to profit from the current down market?

    • @KevinClarke9
      @KevinClarke9 Před 9 měsíci

      The best market strategy at the moment is working with a respected investing coach. I've been in touch with a coach for a time now, mostly because I lack the depth of understanding and mental toughness to deal with these ongoing market conditions. During this recession, I made about $700k, proving that the market is more complicated than most people think.

    • @ritalorrigan
      @ritalorrigan Před 9 měsíci

      @@KevinClarke9 Due to the significant falls, I need advice on how to rebuild my portfolio and develop more successful tactics. Where can I find this coach?

    • @KevinClarke9
      @KevinClarke9 Před 9 měsíci

      I have stayed away from all of the issues that the erratic market presents. Today, reading, research, patience, and seeking guidance when necessary are the greatest ways to break into the market. I merely copy Dawn Maureen Humphrey, a CFA, whose actions I witnessed on Bloomberg Business News because I am unable to handle my portfolio owing to the nature of my profession. Ever since, everything has been easy.

    • @ritalorrigan
      @ritalorrigan Před 9 měsíci

      @@KevinClarke9 Wow! I looked up Dawn Maureen Humphrey complete name online just out of curiosity and was pleasantly surprised by her credentials. Thank you for sharing.

    • @abcdef8915
      @abcdef8915 Před 7 měsíci

      ​@@KevinClarke9has anyone told you that you look like Scott Morrison. The resemblance is uncanny.

  • @JustMe-ro1be
    @JustMe-ro1be Před rokem +5

    Love these short educational videos. Great stuff.

  • @McElvinn
    @McElvinn Před rokem +197

    Munger and Buffett have both achieved an incredible feat with Berkshire. They've turned thousands to billions, and have made a lot of people wealthy in the process. I really saw the potential of the stock market by reading Berkshire's annual letters. I recently sold my $674k apartment in the Bel Air area and I'm hoping to throw it into the stock market. I just don't want to lose everything.

    • @sherryie2
      @sherryie2 Před rokem +5

      Most newbies either do not understand the power of compound interest, or are just impatient. For the average Joe, however, I think it is just best to invest in the S&P 500, and just wait, which is reliable, albeit extremely long-- lots of years. Or just use a professional analyst and speed up wealth creation. Most people underestimate the power of the latter.

    • @AUstinnesc
      @AUstinnesc Před rokem

      @@sherryie2 It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I’ll suggest you get yourself a financial expert that can provide you with valuable financial information and assistance

    • @corrySledd
      @corrySledd Před rokem +2

      @@AUstinnesc I actually subscribed for a few trading courses but it didn't help much, been getting suggestions to use a proper financial advisor, how did you go about touching base with your coach?

    • @AUstinnesc
      @AUstinnesc Před rokem +4

      @@corrySledd I absolutely dislike giving such advice because every person's situation is different. However, there are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. "NICOLE DESIREE SIMON" and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I support her.

    • @corrySledd
      @corrySledd Před rokem

      @@AUstinnesc I just checked her out and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @dbake5021
    @dbake5021 Před 2 lety +5

    Being able to watch this video and know all of this is such a good feeling. Who knew college education is so beneficial.

    • @kokolada4272
      @kokolada4272 Před rokem +4

      bro i understand with no college i hope thats not ur maximum knowledge

  • @PavanKumar-ft5hi
    @PavanKumar-ft5hi Před 2 lety +8

    Good explanation. Thank you.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to Hit the subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @filippobaroli7206
    @filippobaroli7206 Před 2 lety +135

    Really happy to have understood everything, all the terms and technicalities, in the video. I thought doing a bachelor’s degree in economics was a wast of my time but in these cases…it shows me it was worth it!

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to Hit the subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

    • @3rkid
      @3rkid Před 2 lety +88

      If it makes you feel any worse, I also understood everything in this video and do not have a 4 year degree at all.

    • @OJGLOVE
      @OJGLOVE Před 2 lety +3

      @@3rkid 🤣

    • @kytv9000
      @kytv9000 Před 2 lety +10

      @@3rkid Yeah, his logic was really strange. A 4 year economic degree didn't make him understand these basics but he's proud that it helped him to understand this video today. What??

    • @carknower
      @carknower Před 2 lety

      But it is a waste of time.

  • @marcobonomo8761
    @marcobonomo8761 Před 2 lety

    Tom Grillo well done for the excellent animations!

  • @alvaroarturozaratesuarez1574

    Excellet video, I've already undestood the importance of bond yields.

  • @ThormanBoucher
    @ThormanBoucher Před rokem +89

    Fed reserve and the treasury is not bothered about stock capital market. They are more concerned about the treasury bond market. They fear the bond market may become dysfunctional and illiquid. Bond yields are one of the important parameter that influences stock market. All stock pundits fail to mention how the bond yields influence stock market. My main concern now is how we are going to achieve all of that given that the market has been a mess for most of the year. I already lost $23,000

    • @GarrettDills
      @GarrettDills Před rokem +2

      Me too. I want to build wealth through taking the time and effort to consistently invest but i lack good knowledge and strategy to outperform the market, yielding good returns. I have $60k i want to transfer into an s&s isa but its hard to bite the bullet and do it.

    • @DanLeahfort
      @DanLeahfort Před rokem +3

      Avoid too-good-to-be-true scam schemes. Seek advice from a fiduciary counselor they provide personalized advice to individuals based on their risk appetite, placing them among the best of the best. There are bad ones, but some with good track records can be very good.

    • @RachelBrinkmeier
      @RachelBrinkmeier Před rokem +6

      @@DanLeahfort I agree. Based on firsthand encounter with a fiduciary counselor KATHERINE DUFFY BURKE, i have $385k in a well diversified portfolio which has grown by 3x with compounding, venturing doesn’t necessarily boil down to money but you also have to be informed, be patient and back it up with good hands

    • @AveryFetherolf
      @AveryFetherolf Před rokem +1

      @@RachelBrinkmeier wow thats a huge milestone. Please how can i reckon with such skillset? i want to grow my emergency funds of approximately $57,000 advantageously

    • @colbyryann2665
      @colbyryann2665 Před rokem +2

      @@RachelBrinkmeier I searched for Katherine using her full name and found her webpage, read her resume, education, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I sent a message and I hope she replies soon

  • @LIV-FREE-VET
    @LIV-FREE-VET Před 2 lety +3

    Thanks for the economic education.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit the subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @twenties3154
    @twenties3154 Před 2 lety +1

    Nice content. Thanks

  • @glenmj1
    @glenmj1 Před 2 lety

    Thank you

  • @HugoMurray221
    @HugoMurray221 Před 4 měsíci

    Great Stuff!

  • @sanansojar365
    @sanansojar365 Před rokem

    Lovely explanation

  • @kigletmary56
    @kigletmary56 Před 5 měsíci +117

    The Market have been suffering over the past month, with all the three indexes recording losses in recent weeks. My $400,000 portfolio is down by approximately 20%, any recommendations to scale up my returns before retirement will be highly appreciated.

    • @ticynara1
      @ticynara1 Před 5 měsíci

      Find stocks with market-beating yields and shares that at least keep pace with the market for a long term.For a successful long-term strategy | recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.

    • @Lettogle109
      @Lettogle109 Před 5 měsíci

      I agree. Based on personal experience working with an investment advisor, I currently have $385k in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in stocks, but you also need to be knowledgeable, persistent, and have strong hands to back it up.

    • @gracegomez109
      @gracegomez109 Před 5 měsíci

      Glad to have stumbled on this conversation. Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I'm in dire need for one.

    • @Lettogle109
      @Lettogle109 Před 5 měsíci

      My advisors is Valerie Jean Zwosta. Thank me later.

    • @gracegomez109
      @gracegomez109 Před 5 měsíci

      Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call

  • @NiteshGupta_techno
    @NiteshGupta_techno Před 2 lety +4

    Great explanation

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit The subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @jackbrady9738
    @jackbrady9738 Před rokem +7

    When you derive every possible capital investment you could possibly make, the one which is the ‘safest’, is the bond from the country with the strongest government (US). All investments are then analysed to that yard stick. That’s why it’s vital.

  • @user-vx3rf7du7b
    @user-vx3rf7du7b Před 8 měsíci +1

    Make more videos about investments please. It's really interesting theme

  • @MIchaelGuzman737
    @MIchaelGuzman737 Před rokem +109

    We are approaching the end of the long-term debt cycle. In my opinion in this phase, holding debt assets are super risky including bonds. There will be definitely devaluation of currencies which cuts the purchasing power of currencies. This defeats the aim of investing (preserving purchasing power & achieving growth)

    • @elizabethyork590
      @elizabethyork590 Před rokem +1

      I've spent the last few years cleaning house, getting rid of all debt. Now i need to get my investment mindset right, I want to start saving for my golden days. I need a sincere and honest advise on this.

    • @Americanpatriot723
      @Americanpatriot723 Před rokem +7

      The economic hardship, inflation, recession, unemployment and the loss of job caused by covid pandemic is enough to push people into financial ventures. Be that one guy that keeps cool and uses a bear market to your advantage and capitalize long term, by compounding your investments today. Who cares if prices drop more. Know the value of what you own and stay the course. When you're pushing against the crowd and sticking to a disciplined strategy you're going to come out on top of the stack.

    • @kashkat987
      @kashkat987 Před rokem

      @@Americanpatriot723 How can i take advantage of the bear market . I have always thought the stock & crypto market is a fool game just like going to the fair/carnival and trying to win a prize.

    • @Americanpatriot723
      @Americanpatriot723 Před rokem +7

      @@kashkat987 YES. Building wealth involves developing good habits like regularly putting money away in intervals for solid investments. The crypto market has plenty of opportunities to earn which I myself took advantage of.. I made my first million from going diverse, mainly stocks, ETFs and bonds. It’s a long term plan for me so I invest and re-invest credits to my Financial Advisor *Theresa Mary Chamblee* you can look her up if you care supervision.

    • @kashkat987
      @kashkat987 Před rokem +1

      @@Americanpatriot723 Thanks i will make my research & also lookup your advisor on the web. I really appreciate the response, you have no clue how much it means.

  • @ritzkola2302
    @ritzkola2302 Před 2 lety +4

    Four Economic sectors. Primary, Secondary, Tertiary, Quaternary.
    Is there a chart or website or channel, that breaks down WHAT time of year each sector is at its strongest?
    As well as a chart that shows historical data Year by year for each sector performance?

  • @alparslankorkmaz2964
    @alparslankorkmaz2964 Před 2 lety +2

    Nice video.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit the subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @juampy725663
    @juampy725663 Před 2 lety +1

    Nice to know and learn. Thanks so much for explaining this. It rises the cost of borrowing money, paying a mortgage for a house will be more expensive this year. So basically, for the sake of cooling down inflation the people who are paying for their houses will pay the price? Cheers.

  • @Bryanbkk
    @Bryanbkk Před rokem

    Today this makes more sense than ever

  • @kytv9000
    @kytv9000 Před 2 lety +19

    I'd watched so many bond-yield-price videos and thought I'd understood it. Till today I know I missed the info at 2:24. I did not know that the "yield goes up" also applied for the existing bonds, as their yield is calculated on the current price (lower) instead of the face value.

    • @joe55514
      @joe55514 Před 2 lety

      So the yield stays the same but goes up relatively to the now lower price price ?

    • @c.e508
      @c.e508 Před 2 lety

      @@joe55514 Yes

    • @c.e508
      @c.e508 Před 2 lety +6

      Or to be more specific, the coupon stays the same.

    • @MrRight-xc5nw
      @MrRight-xc5nw Před rokem

      If the bond was already issued the yields stay the same but the bond will decrease in price if the yield goes higher and increase in price if the yield goes lower. Which makes since, I would pay a higher price for a better yield. Like buying a bond from 1995 in 2010. You would want that 5 percent apy over 0.1 percent.

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem

      Yes. This is never explained in videos about bond pricing.

  • @santyv9466
    @santyv9466 Před 2 lety +5

    Well this is a great educational video ! Hats off to wsj. But I still don't get how higher bond yields can rise stock prices simultaneously because if cash flows have to be discounted at higher rate it will reduce the value of stocks theoretically right ?

    • @larryjones9773
      @larryjones9773 Před rokem +3

      Two factors impact stock prices: 1. discount rate, as you mentioned. 2. changes in cash flow (INCREASE, in this scenario). If the cash flow outweighs the discount rate impact, then stock prices will increase. If the cash flow does not outweigh the discount rate, then stock prices will decrease.
      Bottom line: stock prices can move either direction, when bond yields rise.
      p.s. It took me an hour to figure this out, as I had the same question.

    • @santyv9466
      @santyv9466 Před rokem +3

      @@larryjones9773 Great 👍 Thanks.

  • @Kirmo13
    @Kirmo13 Před 2 měsíci +1

    WSJ (5 million subscribers) in 2022 posts a video in 720p
    No folks, this is not a joke

  • @Davidl422
    @Davidl422 Před rokem

    Interesting

  • @imankumardutta
    @imankumardutta Před 2 lety +35

    A huge percentage of North American energy companies are losing money. Probably the worst investment is a junk-bond index fund .

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety +1

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit the subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @JohnSmith-bm6zg
    @JohnSmith-bm6zg Před 2 lety +2

    This is better than most content. But on a deeper level this still doesn’t explain anything. A word on the logic of risk might help.

  • @gino3286
    @gino3286 Před měsícem

    Thanks for the exceptionally interesting video
    There is one aspect that I don't understand very well though
    Why the interest paid on short-term bonds is usually higher than that paid on bonds with a ten-year maturity
    Shouldn't it be the other way around?

  • @cvrajendra
    @cvrajendra Před 2 lety +3

    Sam Goldfarb is a genius

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit The subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

  • @fintechs9446
    @fintechs9446 Před rokem +1

    @1:57 did you forgot to mention "before the bond matures" ?

    • @adrian2004tgm
      @adrian2004tgm Před rokem +1

      Came here to see this. Definitely before it’s maturity date lol

  • @adrian2004tgm
    @adrian2004tgm Před rokem

    What do you mean at 01:36 “the fixed amount a bond pays each year AFTER its maturity date” you mean, BEFORE?

  • @DarryusLim
    @DarryusLim Před 8 měsíci

    interesting

  • @flacocruz6499
    @flacocruz6499 Před rokem +1

    I have couple bonds how can I cash it out they are from 1922

  • @mariaproust4051
    @mariaproust4051 Před rokem

    Arent coupons rate also Discounted with ytm?

  • @Rittley
    @Rittley Před 2 lety +7

    OK...They do not explain why bond yields mimic interest rates. Does this mean that the Fed basically controls bond yields by setting the interest rates? Is it possible that bond yields and interest rates move in opposite directions too?

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

      Thanks for watching
      Don't forget to hit The subscription button
      WhatsaP±𝟺𝟺𝟽𝟺𝟶𝟺𝟾𝟷𝟸𝟿𝟸𝟿

    • @ark_crimson
      @ark_crimson Před 2 lety +4

      Bond yields are the minimum yield you can get with theorically "zero risk". So if a company wants to offer a bond, it needs to offer higher yields than the government offers, as there is a higher risk involved.
      This basic interest rate also has impacts on the costs of borrowing for banks. And if they have to pay more on one side, they will also ask for more in order to offer loans to consumers and corporations. So it is all connected.

    • @Hmongboi228
      @Hmongboi228 Před měsícem +1

      Private corporations have to offer higher yields than government bonds in order to attract investors. The difference between a higher yielding, private bond when compared to a government bonds is that the private bond holder can "call back" those bonds at an earlier date so they can save money by issuing a bond at a lower rate. With government bonds, the government can't do that..

  • @chesterjinn5266
    @chesterjinn5266 Před rokem

    in the context of 2:04, what does intrest rate mean?

  • @AbuSous2000PR
    @AbuSous2000PR Před 2 lety +3

    ok but bond yield is being distorted

  • @kbx4315
    @kbx4315 Před 2 lety +8

    This also applies to stocks - higher risk free rate impacts Waco which is a key input to estimate a company’s value based on their future cash projection. This is why all high growth stocks are getting crushed yet core tech stocks with hefty cash balance and free cash flows are more stable than those with high growth expected companies

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem +1

      What's a Waco?

    • @de3thre3
      @de3thre3 Před rokem +2

      @@MrSupernova111 weighted average cost of capital, essentially the rate at which you discount a company while valuing them. A higher discount rate = lower valuations

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem +1

      @@de3thre3 . Oh. Thanks!

  • @Duke-225
    @Duke-225 Před rokem

    The only criticism I have of this video is the image used says "Treasury Bill". Treasury Bill debt obligations have very short term maturities ranging from 4 to 52 weeks.

  • @MrJwod
    @MrJwod Před 2 lety +2

    it would be nice to know the % of people holding bonds to maturity. Or do most speculate over the bond price by anticipating interest rate direction?

    • @alexsloan4976
      @alexsloan4976 Před 2 lety

      Yes.

    • @alexsloan4976
      @alexsloan4976 Před 2 lety

      Yes to both

    • @richardthelionheart5594
      @richardthelionheart5594 Před rokem

      Never speculate on where and when bonds will make a move. Buy the market in live time. Keep buying the market in live time and it'll all work out. I have a large individual issue muni bond position and I always hold to maturity.

  • @Valentine350z
    @Valentine350z Před 2 lety +40

    Except the fact that the FED shouldn't have stopped its interest rate hikes of 2018. They were already late with hiking up the interest rates (but who can blame them, if their pockets are getting sweetened by corps) and now the bubble is so big, that WHEN it bursts, the 2008 recession will look like a walk in the park compared to what's coming.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety +1

      Thanks for watching
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    • @SuperParkerBrothers
      @SuperParkerBrothers Před 2 lety +8

      Dude come on, this is conjecture. You don’t understand what happened in 2007 if you genuinely think that.

    • @Valentine350z
      @Valentine350z Před 2 lety +5

      @@SuperParkerBrothers the housing bubble of 2008 has been part of my MBA thesis. We have also dissected the scale & financial aftermath of the last recession during the MFIN. Trust me, I perfectly understand what happened and have a very good understanding of what is going on now.
      My comparison to the 2007 was not in the underlying cause but to the scale and damage that the coming recession will have.

    • @user-dw1zb3fh5n
      @user-dw1zb3fh5n Před 2 lety

      What if I told you…It never pops.

    • @Valentine350z
      @Valentine350z Před 2 lety +1

      @@user-dw1zb3fh5n One could argue that, but what is meant by the bubble bursting is when the overinflated market value (in comparison to the cumulative book value of all the companies) drops extremely quick, over a short period of time, causing a mass sell-off and inevitably dropping far below the book value.

  • @keysame2309
    @keysame2309 Před 11 měsíci

    Are bonds owners usually making more money from yield or rates

  • @Discovery_and_Change
    @Discovery_and_Change Před 2 lety +3

    2:04 "If the economy is doing well, interest rates may go up."
    So why are stocks going down and why is the news saying future profits are going to go down, as interest rates continue to rise in 2022,
    if higher rates are supposed to be indicative of a good economy?

    • @algae_rhythms
      @algae_rhythms Před 2 lety +1

      Because they are clueless

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem

      Higher rates aren't indicative of a good economy. Productivity, low inflation, and low unemployment are indicators of a good economy. Unfortunately, all those things are tied together so when one goes out of whack it affects the others. Its a balancing act.

  • @alexewo180
    @alexewo180 Před rokem

    The example says the stock market rises with a rise in yields and yields rise with a rise in interest rate. How do people keep on investing in stocks instead of the dollar in a risk off scenario ? Like isn't the stock index market a negative correlation to the dollar index ?

  • @daviddavis9727
    @daviddavis9727 Před 8 dny +1

    What time is it? 😴🤔😊

  • @HadjaHeatherBarry
    @HadjaHeatherBarry Před 4 měsíci

    We are having a yield here and there is a safe investment and very confident with my accessory yield.There is a fed that will raising it to0.
    The economy has grow older and it raises well.

  • @maximumliberty
    @maximumliberty Před rokem

    How does a strong economy create price inflation? I thought it was expanding the money supply that does that.

  • @paulko3753
    @paulko3753 Před 2 lety

    are they referring to the federal fund rate when they are discussing "short-term interest rates"?

  • @timberwolfe1645
    @timberwolfe1645 Před 2 lety +5

    So finally we can get the risky and flimsy buyers out of the market. I'm trying to have an affordable life bit dont like to borrow what I cant afford. I need affordability

  • @pcuimac
    @pcuimac Před rokem

    Most of that "Inflation" was a) price increase in commodity markets and b) price gouging by the industry.
    It's not that consumers during COVID lockdowns had consumed more. The working class struggles to survive. How can they create demand? People should watch Chris Martensen's lectures about the bond price death spiral.

  • @Setsero93
    @Setsero93 Před 2 lety +17

    A 5 min video is not enough to explain this topic.. not to mention when those 5 mins are used poorly.
    Go watch Ray Dalio "how the economic machine works" thank me later

    • @cccsss123
      @cccsss123 Před 2 lety

      true

    • @amitmalpani6899
      @amitmalpani6899 Před 2 lety

      thanks, was looking for the same in the comments.

    • @TOMinPDX
      @TOMinPDX Před 2 lety

      Stupid comment. This video is specifically discussing bonds. Dalios video is about how the broader economy works. Thus this video is only 5 mins on one subject, Dalios is 30 mins on several subjects.

  • @Vhalan53
    @Vhalan53 Před 10 měsíci +1

    Why buy bonds over a high yield savings account?

    • @Hmongboi228
      @Hmongboi228 Před měsícem

      As an investor in bonds, you're gambling that the bond interest rate will be a better investment should the bank paying the slightly higher interest rate, all of a sudden decrease their high yield savings account rate. Banks have every right to adjust the interest rate products to their liking since they have to make money. For government bonds, its locked in..

  • @yuujilee2778
    @yuujilee2778 Před rokem

    how to buy it for foreign/non resident,i dont have tax number

  • @johnnyk123
    @johnnyk123 Před rokem

    They kind of glossed over the part about when interest rates rise the value of your bond goes down, but then the yield goes up. Why is that?

  • @BR-hi6yt
    @BR-hi6yt Před 2 měsíci +1

    This is a TV documentary type of thing.

  • @Anirudhchakraborty
    @Anirudhchakraborty Před rokem +1

    But how is raising bond yields affecting supply chain. They are just trying to destroy demand and create a market crash at which point the cycle starts all over again. We need to focus not on paying off student loan debts and focus on creating better employment avenues.

  • @atishayritulpatwa7235
    @atishayritulpatwa7235 Před 2 lety +1

    Guys why do you make small videos.

  • @packetflow
    @packetflow Před 2 lety +3

    "Bond Yields are the barometer of the economy, they are extremely important to the US and Global Economy, Bond Yields affect everything from cost of a mortgage, to the cost of borrowing for a business, if your borrowing money it's going to be determined to a large extent by US Government bond yields."
    - Please read this over 1000000000 times until it actually sinks in, THEN REALIZE THAT THE FED HAS BEEN PRINTING MONEY OUT OF THIN AIR TO SUPPRESS THESE RATES IN AN ATTEMPT TO ENTICE PEOPLE TO TAKE ON MORE AND MORE AND MORE AND MORE DEBT... Just think about that for a second, "The displacement of risk, is the risk not being accounted for."

  • @satriojumeneng7055
    @satriojumeneng7055 Před 2 lety +4

    Skyrocketing inflation ...... Why not blaming money printing instead ??

  • @leetaiming64
    @leetaiming64 Před 2 lety +2

    if the bond yield is affected by the interest rate which is adjusted by the fed, would it be safe to say that we can just look at the interest rate and ignore the bond yield when predicting economy performance?

    • @GoldenAura32
      @GoldenAura32 Před rokem

      The short answer to your question is yes.

    • @leetaiming64
      @leetaiming64 Před rokem

      @@GoldenAura32 alright. thanks man.

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem

      No one can predict economic performance. You'd need a crystal ball for that.

    • @leetaiming64
      @leetaiming64 Před rokem

      @@MrSupernova111 do you have one

  • @Amelia-Elizabeth
    @Amelia-Elizabeth Před 7 měsíci +1

    It's amazing to see AMC doing well after all the doomsday analyses from naysayers. The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient - warren buffet. It's good to remind people of this right now; you buy on fear and sell on greed or just hold through it all for the long term. It’s easy but lots of people forget.

  • @AriadyPutra
    @AriadyPutra Před 2 lety +6

    But when the cost of borrowing increases, wouldn't the companies need to increase the price of products to maintain their profit margin, thus more inflation. Honestly confused

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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    • @VictorHugo-wf6bj
      @VictorHugo-wf6bj Před 2 lety +8

      Price elasticity is what you’re talking about= How much can a corporation increase the price of a good before people stop buying it. But what we’re seeing so far is that companies have increased the price of goods but people keep buying them, therefore making inflation worse. However, there will be a point where prices increase to such a point that consumers stop buying as much of the product, therefore decreasing demand, therefore helping the supply/demand problem. This would technically help reduce inflation.

    • @saiparepally
      @saiparepally Před 2 lety +4

      Per basic economic theory*, the technical answer is that prices and profit margins (before accounting for interest / taxes) are a function of industry structure/competition, business model / unit economics, and customer value propositions (basically firms will charge as high a price as they can get away with that won’t reduce their overall profits).
      Capital structure (whether a firm uses debt or equity to finance the firm) will ultimately affect the (after-tax) bottom line but is an independent decision. It is always favorable to use as much debt as the business can support because it boosts equity returns in a tax-advantaged way. If interest rates rise, the amount of debt a business can theoretically support is lower and they will work to reduce their debt rather than raise prices (since if they could’ve raised prices before they already would have).
      Based on this, you can also see why the economy would theoretically slow when this happens - businesses must deleverage when this happens, so money is flowing towards debt repayment rather than business reinvestment. Further, business expansion is now more expensive as interest rates are higher (if you finance with debt, you pay more interest - financing with equity always more expensive than debt).
      To boot - there’s also overindebted firms who will struggle / go bankrupt in the higher interest rate environment, presenting a further drag on the economy.
      *not saying basic in a condescending way - I don’t have an advanced degree in economics, just an undergrad one so I can only speak to the models I learned there. I think there are more elaborate/ realistic models that probably put a finer point on this.

  • @tonysilke
    @tonysilke Před 5 měsíci +2

    Stocks are falling and bond yields are rising, but markets still don’t seem convinced the Federal Reserve will pursue plans to keep increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $117k stocck portfolio, what’s the best way to take advantage of this bear market?

    • @PatrickLloyd-
      @PatrickLloyd- Před 5 měsíci

      Remember that investing in the stock market carries risks, and it’s important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • @AcesizOfficial
    @AcesizOfficial Před rokem

    💎💎💎

  • @ericanderson3534
    @ericanderson3534 Před 2 lety +1

    can I risk subscribing to this channel?

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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  • @ninovalera4994
    @ninovalera4994 Před 2 lety +29

    I watched this twice and I still don't get it

    • @Chessmapling
      @Chessmapling Před 2 lety +2

      what don't you get?

    • @DKTrue
      @DKTrue Před 2 lety +12

      Key takeaway: If bond yields rise, so do interest rates.
      If interest rates rise, stock prices, especially tech stocks, go down.

    • @Allen-L-Canada
      @Allen-L-Canada Před 2 lety

      me either.

    • @Hao-wi4ly
      @Hao-wi4ly Před 2 lety

      @@DKTrue you missed the part where she said sometimes you see bond yields and stocks both going up at the same time 2:38

    • @mindgoesbodyfollows
      @mindgoesbodyfollows Před 2 lety +3

      She didn't explain the inverse relationship between price of a bond and yield very well either

  • @george6977
    @george6977 Před 2 lety

    🙂

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    @paulpreston2199 Před 2 lety +69

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      @garthwalta Před 2 lety +5

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      @garthwalta Před 2 lety +5

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      @rekiahills5854 Před 2 lety +3

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      @florinstrava3896 Před 2 lety

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  • @utkarshmaghav708
    @utkarshmaghav708 Před rokem

    Correct me if I am wrong. higher bond yields means fed want from businesses not to spend on the economy during high inflation. They just want to absorb excessive liquidity from the market to tame inflation. so high yields attract businesses or investors during these harsh times when the market is down. Is it correct?

  • @krisb-travel
    @krisb-travel Před rokem

    2:22 “when the price goes down the yield goes up” is she referring to yield based on paying the new price of $922? Eg the coupon is still actually 4% but because the bond only costs $922 now that actually works out at 5%?

    • @krisb-travel
      @krisb-travel Před 8 měsíci

      That illustration confused me too, I assume it’s wrong and infact what really happens is what you mentioned

  • @chrisdeantonio1498
    @chrisdeantonio1498 Před rokem

    I still don’t quite understand a fundamental concept here. If bond yields are rising, that means the price is going down (ie people are selling treasuries). If we think we’re headed to a recession, why would people be selling treasuries? Are they just fleeing to cash?

  • @HadjaHeatherBarry
    @HadjaHeatherBarry Před 4 měsíci

    I do not borrow money,I am a Money maker as I am extremely wealthy.Thanks !

  • @htleong4790
    @htleong4790 Před 2 lety

    That's assuming that there are buyers

  • @timvanandel237
    @timvanandel237 Před 2 lety +1

    $40 annual coupon payment on a $1,000 bond would drop to $800 if interest rates rise to 5%. $40/.05= $800

    • @richardthelionheart5594
      @richardthelionheart5594 Před rokem

      I don't think so. U still get the yield of the original coupon if u hold to maturity.

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem

      A bond is a contract with a fixed payment. You don't extra yield when rates change. Your sunk cost is still $1,000. You're trying to roll multiple bond contracts into one. Not how it works.

  • @nakosimpson7459
    @nakosimpson7459 Před 2 lety +1

    Imb

  • @abuhussain1285
    @abuhussain1285 Před rokem

    the reporter mentions when an economy is doing well Interest Rates go up. In recent years only been going down.

  • @grownupgaming
    @grownupgaming Před 2 lety

    If Fed cuts the fed funds rate, bond yields should decrease. However, since the economy is so strong, no one wants to tie money up in bonds, so shouldnt bond yields increase instead? Confused.

  • @robertoguerra5375
    @robertoguerra5375 Před rokem

    If the economy goes up, the rates go up… but this is not an automatic decision by the market… this is a professional decision by the federal reserve, as a reaction to inflation, which could be on time, or could be late… please anyone correct me if I am wrong.

  • @HelloWorld-pc3ku
    @HelloWorld-pc3ku Před 2 lety +3

    Economics rise is just temporary due to feds stimulus, you think this will last long?

  • @positiveandstrong
    @positiveandstrong Před 2 lety +1

    It's incorrect to conflate a bond's coupon rate with its yield. These are two different metrics, and using these interchangeably is what's confusing.

  • @manrajgill5749
    @manrajgill5749 Před 2 lety +4

    Why do Bond yields and prices have an inverse relationship i thought interest rates on bonds were fixed not variable?

    • @phantsa
      @phantsa Před 2 lety +1

      That is the difference between the coupon rate and the yield. Yield is the coupon rate as a % of the current price, so it varies depending on the price

    • @MrSupernova111
      @MrSupernova111 Před rokem

      The video explained that as rates increase in new bonds, existing holders jump ship into the new bonds with higher rates and put downward pressure on older bonds (pricing) which are an overwhelming portion of the market.

  • @Someone-lc6dc
    @Someone-lc6dc Před 2 lety

    Why would the interest rates go up when the economy is doing well?

  • @ep4314
    @ep4314 Před 2 lety

    and..."just like that".

  • @anonimuse6553
    @anonimuse6553 Před 2 lety +4

    There is at least some missing info. If a person has a 30 year bond and is sits for 25 years, is the interested compounded over time?
    Where does one buy these bonds? where do they sell them? where are they traded?

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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    • @ark_crimson
      @ark_crimson Před 2 lety +2

      Yes, it is compounded, but it can't be higher than the face value, which is the value you will receive when it reaches maturity. So there's always a "discount" if you want to sell it before maturity. And this discount depends on the difference between the yield this bond offered when it was issued and the current available yield.
      There is something called a primary market, where you buy the bond directly from the government when it is first issued, through auctions. And there's a "secondary market" where these bonds are dailly traded between investors and corporations (including banks). You can ask your bank about how you can buy one.

    • @dragaashenoak5338
      @dragaashenoak5338 Před 2 lety +3

      No, the interest does not get compounded by itself. You get a fixed amount of interest for those years. To make it compound, you need to invest that interest again by yourself.

  • @puravida5683
    @puravida5683 Před rokem

    If the Fed really wanted to do something positive, it would require all banks to maintain adequate reserves!

  • @ubaldoferreira8227
    @ubaldoferreira8227 Před 2 lety +1

    Your. Life. Monday free.

  • @osark2487
    @osark2487 Před rokem

    The last note is the funniest thing I have heard in economics lately. Higher bond yields cooling the economy and bringing down inflation in the long term....
    Unless a central bank tries to save the treasury from going belly up, going into the secondary market and bidding on government debt. Or just the attempt of it, like Japan this week

  • @captnhuffy
    @captnhuffy Před 2 lety +10

    Stop confusing cause and effect.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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  • @TreeTop9
    @TreeTop9 Před 5 měsíci

    A yield inversion is more of a self fulfilling prophecy than a key economic barometer. It doesn't cause recessions by any means. It's sentiment...and the sentiment was incorrect this time.

  • @revvedrey
    @revvedrey Před 4 měsíci

    So basically bonds are to attract people not to borrow too much from a bank, and inflation won't rise?

  • @hieuhuynh3261
    @hieuhuynh3261 Před rokem

    why economy doing well then interest rate going up, it gotta be opposite

  • @mrretired2715
    @mrretired2715 Před rokem

    If the economies doing well interest rates dont go up....

  • @mahadzirabdkarim4800
    @mahadzirabdkarim4800 Před 2 lety +1

    Yea..it is will extend my pension money for years!

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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  • @maximvs3834
    @maximvs3834 Před 2 lety +4

    The monetary system is anthropocentric and unnecessary. Post scarcity is the solution.

    • @bycooltimes6606
      @bycooltimes6606 Před 2 lety

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  • @omarg2079
    @omarg2079 Před rokem

    watching this to figure out what is happing with the bank of Japan