Financial Cycles Summit: Day 2

An important mid-year update with market insights from leading cycles experts.
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// WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26
Lars von Thienen | 4PM EDT
*The Duration of the Current Bitcoin Bull Cycle - How Much Longer Will the Good Times Last?
** Timestamped Highlights **
00:00 : Introduction to dynamic cycles and the importance of aligning different cycle data points
12:35 : Analysis of the 200-day cycle, seasonality, and the halving cycle
25:10 : Discussion on the significance of three and five cycle repetitions
35:45 : Projection of a potential price target above 100K for Bitcoin next year
Founder and CEO of a knowledge management company, von Thienen develops algorithms and software for cycles recognition. He has published two books on cycles analysis and invented a stand-alone, desktop search and knowledge management app. Watch von Thienen on Market Cycles Report every Monday at noon ET.
Dr. Richard Smith | 5PM EDT
*Short-Term Cycles in U.S. Equities
A financial technology pioneer, Dr. Richard Smith is the founder of RiskSmith, a risk-management app for retail investors. As the former CEO and Founder, he grew TradeStops to more than 30,000 retail investors who entrusted his technology with a staggering $20 billion. He has been featured in Business Insider, MarketWatch, Forbes, CNN Business, Newsweek, Money, BBC, and more.
// THURSDAY, JUNE 27
Bill Sarubbi | 4PM EDT
*U.S. Stocks - 2024 Into 2025
A regular Forbes contributor, Sarubbi operates his own money management and consulting service. He was an analyst, institutional broker, and technical strategist on Wall Street and a technology fund manager, North American strategist, and member of the currency hedging committee with the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.
Andrew Pancholi | 5PM EDT
*Cycles - The Power of Roadmaps! There Are No Black Swans.
Creator of The Market Timing Report, Andrew Pancholi co-authored the bestseller Zero Hour and The Lost Coffee Courses of W.D. Gann. He forewarned the 2020 crash and precisely timed a recent market top. He foretold of the 2000 equity highs, the 2007-08 global financial crisis, and the commodity booms of 2008 and 2010. He consults with some of the largest institutions in the world and advises government bodies.
5:45PM EDT | Closing Roundtable with FSC Board Members
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This video is intended exclusively to provide information and education to help individuals better understand cycles and the markets. However, this information is not to be construed as professional advice as to the buying and selling of securities or other investment instruments. In no event does the host express any opinion with respect to, or make recommendations regarding, the purchase or sale of any particular security or other investment instrument. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and buying or selling decisions are solely within the personal discretion of each individual.

[@FSCtv]

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[@Emiciclo.trading]

Amazing event! Well done

[@FUNNY_MONEY__]

Hello from Ankara,
I've been following Lars for as long as he has been on YT.
Very likeable person with good information.

[@LeaPustetto]

Fantastic video what a place this is to learn about cycles. Wow. Too good. I have watched all of your videos . Thankyou

[@54355ify]

This video is pure gold. Thank you for the initiative ❤

[@tonyderrico4501]

Love Richard's spreadsheet setup.

[@African_grey]

Thanks from Cape Town for the great content! Please consider providing more time stamps for such a long presentation for those of us who want to return to specific sections.

[@TaigersArt]

Lars Venan: Bitcoin Bull Cycle Deep Dive
00:12:20 - The 200-day cycle: Lars breaks down his initial finding from 2021 - the 200-day cycle consistently appears across Bitcoin's parabolic moves, with the peak occurring at the fifth repetition.
00:24:30 - Challenging summer ahead: The current cycle model suggests a potential bearish period for Bitcoin, leading to an expected low around August.
00:41:30 - Seasonality and halving: Lars combines the 200-day cycle, seasonality, and Bitcoin halving events to pinpoint a potential bullish period starting in October 2024, extending into June 2025.
00:59:50 - $100,000 target? While refraining from a concrete price prediction, Lars reveals a personal belief that Bitcoin could surpass $100,000 next year.
Richard Smith: Mastering Intraday Cycles in US Equities
01:06:50 - Intraday cycles are real: Richard emphasizes the presence of intraday cycles, sharing his personal experience of using them for successful trading.
01:18:20 - Cycles are not the Holy Grail: Richard cautions against overly optimistic beliefs, highlighting the importance of integrating cycles analysis into a larger trading approach that also incorporates trends and risk management.
01:25:35 - Uncorrelated bets: Richard showcases the power of diversification with an example of how adding a long Euro position to his portfolio decreased his overall exposure and increased diversification.
01:54:10 - Watch the US dollar: Richard points out that the US dollar's negative correlation to other assets makes it a crucial indicator to monitor for intraday trading.

[@goalgamer6580]

Herr von Thienen, vielen Dank für dieses Bitcoin-Update. Das ist extrem hilfreich!!!!!!!!!

[@FSCtv]

Gerne. Danke für Ihr Feedback.

[@crypto_chick_]

Wow, I really believe this information is valuable and I appreciate it but it’s way too dry and hard to follow ! I need to filter this through an ai video summary app. I wish this video was more done in a summary style.

[@FSCtv]

Hi, thanks for you feedback. I hear what you are saying. However, this is our ambition: If we 'give you a fish, we feed you for the day. If we teach you how to fish, we feed you for a lifetime'. Stay safe, Lars