This NBA Playoff Series is Impossible to Predict
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- čas přidán 15. 04. 2024
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The Phoenix Suns have looked like the ultimate counter to the Timberwolves all season... but will that continue in the playoffs?
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im gonna predict it, the wolves will win 4-1, suns only winning the one game where all 3 stars magically gets hot at the same time, and hit a billion bad midrange iso shots.
Love your videos and just subscribed. But just for future reference, at 0:39 the Suns were not heavy favorites. -120 odds to the Wolves +100 odds means they were VERY SLIGHT favorites. The series is almost what you call a “pick'em” where there isn’t even a favorite at all. Your hoops knowledge is great and I’m looking forward to your future videos! Just thought I’d point that out for you my brother
oh hey look, the wolves let the suns play iso ball, and beat them clearly.
Love how Grayson Allen's character arc is going. From one of the most hated to a low-key star/ really good role player
HE HAS BEN BALLING IN PHOENIX💯
He's been cooking
Him and jj reddick have strikingly similar careers
He doesnt want to be the person people paint him as anymore. Plus he's happy playing with Phoenix, so you're gonna see the best and not worst of him
He would be liked a lot more if it weren't for the tripping throughout his career. He is definitely a good player.
Clips and Mavs are about to be equally insane 🍿
No doubt, these playoffs will be incredible!
Yeah ive been wanting to bring this match up finally. Mavs and clips will be awesome but so will this one. Lakers do not deserve to be there.
@@frederickdelius1106didn’t lebron say whoever made the play in should be fired lmaoooo
Why is nobody talking about the pacers vs bucks there literally rivals 🍿 this is going to be the best first round playoffs ever
Not if they played like the Mavs did last night
Just a reminder that Booker and KD have shot well below their averages and still are blowouts.
So you just proving his point even more? That it’s been luck. If KD and Booker not the reason Minnesota having been getting whooped then its hard for suns to maintain that over 7 games
That’s because they have great matchups for those guys. They aren’t going to have a pretty series maybe a game or two.
@@77sp10huh???
@@77sp10 KD and Book most likely aren't going to play below avg for 7 straight games tho, it's been luck that they've shot poorly
@@77sp10 You’re missing the point. The point is that KD and Book has shot below their average and still won against the Wolves because of their defense improving and their ability to execute their game plan against the Wolves. Oh and plus it’s not luck if the Suns beat them 3 times in a row lmao
Awesome video man. As a Wolves fan who’s feeling hella nervous rn this was nice to watch and make sense of how the Suns have inexplicably dogwalked us this season
Timberwolves we’re more consistent because they were healthier and had more chemistry for being together longer. Suns have a brand new team new coach and they had many injuries yet they still won 49 games. They didn’t underachieve. They were 1 win away from 50 win season. I have Suns in 6
I have Timberwolves in 4.
@@noyou113u are on something
what about now?
@@mahruszaman7551 I was joking btw 😂. Though if the suns don’t pull it together and play together, that might happen.
Timberwolves in 4 or 6 depending on if the suns can readjust or not
I’ve heard a lot of people talk about Ant as a playoff riser, but Booker is even more so. He was the best player of the first 2 rounds last year. It was sad that his team was starting guys like Landry Shamet.
This comment didn’t age well 😂
W comment
it baffles me how people are likening the suns over the wolves coz if the wolves are the best defense in the league wouldn't they figure out how to guard them better especially in a 7 game series also because they basically have some of the best possible set of individual defenders in the league on their squad
no one on the wolves is a weak defender when matched up against the opposing team's player in their position and it's the opposite for the suns, no one on the suns can guard ant or kat without breaking the whole team's defense down
Hopefully the wolves prove people wrong!!!
Prophetic
The "open 3s" for all year is a bit skewed since Beal was out for the first half of the season and before the Suns got Oneale. You should look at the statistics since the all star break
The Western Conference series are wild. Any teams can win the West title. ❤
keep up the fire content man, these mean the world to me ❤
Your support means the world to me!
Nobody is ready for positing “Everyday if humanly possible” HV
I'm not ready either!
Content has been fire 🔥
Appreciate it!
As a Wolves fan this is the match up I didn't want. Wolves have a chance if Naz Reid and Mike Conley get hot and ANT can put up 30+ per game. If the Wolves can take the series it would be a huge confidence builder going on in the playoffs.
Brother the suns have to beat us 3 times in a roll playoffs are different then the regular season you can beat a team 100 times in the regular season but they could beat you in the playoffs
@@YvngSamael they look like it
@@YvngSamael just giving you crap brother I'm a wolves fan born and raised in MIN fk any team but mines
Wolves 4-0 lol
Timberwolves gonna win it all
- A Spurs fan
You know ball
IM SOOO READY FOR THE PLAYOFFS!!! NEW HOOP VIDS
Absolute goat of these breakdown videos!
Glad you like them!
Barring referee's with an agenda, I'm picking Minnesota. The Suns can win, I still give the edge to the team that plays better defense.
how have they played better defence when playing the suns?
@@stacybombath917the same thing could be said for Denver and they ended up spanking phx
@@stacybombath917 I never said that they played better defense against the Suns. I said that they played better defense.
i think kats gonna be the difference maker. if he looks like his all star self, im definitely picking the wolves
I feel like phoenix is going to take it because Minnesota needs to figure out their offense. Only on ball creators they have are ant and kinda kat. I can place stock in ant as we have seen. But kat? When you only have one person who can run an offense that’s going to spell disaster when he’s not shooting well. They have a great defense. But when you have a team like phoenix that has 3 on ball creators. And people who can really knock down threes. It’s wraps. I think Minnesota got extremely unlucky playing the suns. They are the counter.
great video!
how do you calculate shot quality?
Playoff experience will be the difference.
Word
ima go with suns in 6. They're going to force KAT to beat them and i dont think that will be enough against a team that has Booker, KD, & Beal. Also if Grayson gets going it could get scary
Wolves in 5, if the suns SOMEHOW pull it off then it will be in 7 games
Bros hella consistent
Phoenix in 5 dbook and kd actually have help this year
😂😂
Lmaoooo
Love this video
Polo g is ass
As a Suns fan, I hadn’t tracked the numbers like you did in this video, but I did notice the Suns just had insane shot making in those 3 games and didn’t expect that to hold up. I consume a ton of hoops content and am very impressed with your content.
You are absolutely correct that the Suns are a jump shooting team. They live and die by it, but so do the Celtics. You did not factor in that the Suns have two of the best shot makers in the league, and arguably the greatest one of all time. In 2023, Booker averaged 34 PPG on 69% TS. That is the most efficient scoring binge of 30+ PPG in NBA playoff history over a 10+ game span.
In Game 1, Booker, Allen, & Gordon shot a combined 5-24, and Gordon/Allen 0-8 on open looks. Just like how their hot shooting in their 3 regular season matchups isn’t sustainable, the Suns shooting in game 1 won’t be the norm either. Those numbers will revert to the mean, but I agree Wolves win this series, unfortunately
Can you explain what that shot quality metric is
Getting beat 3 times or however many times is enough for a team to snap out of it and dig deep. Finch is a good coach , he got them into the top 3 seeding this year from being a play in team two years straight before that. Like you pointed out in the video, Suns had a lot of blown coverages as well, and wolves just missed shots. Wolves definitely have nights where they're automatic, and they blow teams out the gym before the half . I feel like game one, the wolves beat the suns by more than 10 and get a statement win. After that, it's up in the air tbh. Any of these two teams are good enough to beat any team in the league. Wolves beat most of the top teams all year.
Outstanding breakdown. I'm picking Wolves in 7.
Suns in 6!!
Really?
Rooting for Suns but good points here. I think they Wolves have a good chance. Playoffs are playoffs but Suns are still turnover machines because they're still building their chemistry. Also Coach Vogel is still trying to figure out the rotation on and making adjustments during games. Theyve been consistently inconsistent. Been Rollercoaster season, we'll see!
Booker is much better in playoffs. Beal will be great also. KD is KD. I don’t see Minnesota being able to slow those 3 down for 7 games or beating them 4 times. Suns in 5 or 6
Not making fun of you but Beal was atrocious now reading this…bro was even missing dunks
Who do you have winning the lakers vs pelicans play in and same for warriors vs kings
Pretty impossible to predict a single game, but gut call would be Lakers and Dubs.
@@HoopVenue refs will see that both those teams win , its easy to predict just have to look at it from a profit perspective of the league . Pro sports are all scripted lmao
@@jaerockchalk3216 What’s your opinion after both those games?
@@jaerockchalk3216 warriors loss
When it comes to the new seating rules i do think its messed up that the number 1 seed doesnt get to findout their opponent till the last day. Obvious its just as hard if not harder for the 8th seed. But as the number 1 seed you should be more rewarded.
Heavy betting favorite at -120?
Both coaches are watching this like hmmmm
Coach Venue soon
This is madness, MIN is going to win in 5
Bro was not optimistic enough
I would say Rudy needs to take just a few steps up to the elbow at least prolly a lil higher that way he can close out the three but not be too far up to where they just drive around him
10:57 really think naw should be swapped for Rudy just to keep the floor spaced
People keep saying kat has to show up but what if the big three shows up no one’s talking bout this
It's 50/50...
Very good vid...
Please do a game to game analysis and what adjustments has to be made by both coaches.
Thank you for this vid again!
-120 is not a heavy betting favored 😂😂
good analysis after G1, MIN shooting and defense against 5-out showed up
Who's here when Timberwolves are up 3-0 in the series?
Me!
@@HoopVenueoh ok
The thing I’m watching with the Wolves is how they guard Grayson Allen. Although he has been the best three point shooter this year, we’ve often seen shooters struggle making shots in playoff series. Are they gonna play off him and ignore his spacing threat?
"Gobert is a heavy favorite to win defensive player of the year"
*Wemby has entered the chat*
lol what
Wemby has entered the chat for an admittedly rather impressive #2 finish in his rookie year
Love this playoff content
My pick is the Suns. They basically make KAT a defensive liability and I trust they can keep up the good shooting to enough of an extent to win. Plus, as you said, Minnesota has some clear offensive limitations. However, I have it going 7 and it could go either way.
Finally, someone that's not biased. I feel the same. Both of these teams are capable of being the top team in the west , wolves are just younger. Suns will automatically be the favorites because of experience, but wolves can ball when they're locked in. We seen them beat Boston and Denver twice this year. This will probably be one of the most interesting matchups this first round. We'll see who comes out on top
Even if we assume the Wolves will shoot in line with season averages (no reason to indicate that will happen against the Suns), the issue is that the Wolves defence is not effective against the midrange onslaught from Book and KD. There are paths for the Wolves to win, but winning on the road, in 6? Highly unlikely.
interesting
Let me predict it for you, Suns in 5.
Thanks for the prediction
@@jakebishop7822 first playoff win in 20 years yall must be celebrating like it’s a finals win over there in that dump of a state. 2nd round exit I’ll at least go 1/2.
@@vulksiArizona is like 99% Minnesota transplants the fuck you talking about, take your L bitch 😂😂😂
Im going to predict that the wolves sweep the suns.
I’m going to predict the cocky Suns fans disappear for another season.
@@Bryan-od7nv quite possibly
I also predict that either they will run it back, the suns squad, or they will trade kd.
Maybe it’s bit cocky but also believing in their star players. To be honest, I didn’t see any team could’ve swept the Suns so for Wolves to do it’s either fluke or damn good basketball team. This T-Wolves is serious and going all the way for 2024 NBA Cup.
yoooo i got wolves
Ant-Man time hold the popcorn
Yooo u r retarded
@@ViVeriVniversvmVivusViciofficial ball knowers
Ngl good for Grayson
Disappointed in the wolves in 6 pick😭
Jumpscare at 4:55
We got JadenMcdaniels
If Wolves hit those 3s, they will get out of this round. But if they do not fall, the Suns will easily get a sweep.
Imagine going into a series relying on NAW and Reed hitting threes lol. Wolves are cooked
@@kang7348I’d say most nba teams count on their players to make shots I could be wrong though
@@kang7348 Both NAW and Reid shoot 41% from 3 at decent volume. Naz Reid was nearly 50/40 most of the year.
@@Evan-dd1zp in the playoffs, it’s about star production. Anthony edwards needs to average 30
@@kang7348he literally did this last year against the defending champions. Not to mention the leap he has taken in the off season, I think he’ll be fine against the number 6 suns 😂
The suns have a bad team. All that talent but their offense consists of guys standing around watching 3 other guys take turns playing iso ball. There’s been several games this season where they flat out quit mid game.
🗿
The NBA hasn't adopted 7 games because of sample size, they've done so for revenue
Just wow....
Wolves in 5
Close
not really it’s suns in 5 or 6 max
interesting
Only thing that can ruin a great postseason is the refs/lakers combo
-120 is not heavy favor
We all seen this movie before bro every team wants to copy the warriors with the 3 point shooting but it doesn't work because steph curry and klay thompson are born with that 3 point shooting ability any team that kd plays for besides gsw doesn't fear me because he cant elevate his teammates like lebron and jokic and luka could
I get the video is talking about 3point shooting, but neither of these teams are built off 3 point shooting...
Yeah strong disagree on this. Sometimes things are just what they are. This is strictly a matchup issue for Minnesota and KAT is just getting back. Wolves have a great defense but this suns offense spreads this defense pretty thin imo. It’s gonna be a good series but suns in 6
I agree bro
Go suns
Wolves in 3
4*
Do a good cop- bad cop collar with awful coaching
LMAO
PHX has three brilliant scorers who can facilitate offense out of isolation and hit with efficiency from midrange. It negates the defensive strengths of MIN, which are oriented on the slack given to their perimeter D by the fear the Wolves instill in the paint.
Midrange efficiency and improv off the iso is one of the best counters to that, PHX having three elite options to bring that frustration is huge. If they are playing with chemistry and discipline they have a path to dominate surprisingly.
But size, depth and the ascent of Ant offer options to bully and wear out the Suns. Looking at the possibilities, the matchup is interesting - now I'm ten minutes in and you're pointing out the exact thing I was commenting so you've earned my subscription. Conceding the midrange is a dangerous game against the Suns.
It could go either way, but that will depend on consistency and teamwork from PHX, so I say Wolves in six. Teams built with the right blend of players to run the coaches system with discipline and and never stray far from operating as a cohesive unit are better for the league and funner to watch than teams like PHX or LAC whose regular season success can only be trusted so much, given that in pressure scenarios those star-heavy teams with iso threats can fall apart in seconds once frustration and ego boils over.
MIN in 6
I got suns in 5
You sure?
@@tricool1 I’ll take my loses n wins as they come prediction was wrong respect
To Minnesota
i fw with the video heavy, but the suns are def winning this. devin booker was one of the best players in the playoffs last year, kd is generally one of the best playoff performers, and beals been heating up recently and getting back to his scoring champ wizards self.
Only time will tell for real!
Yah I agree suns are winning
I mean suns only beat them every game this year by double digits 10,20,30
Regular season judgement should be out the door last season after the Heat dismantled Bucks and Celtics. It’s called TEAM.
What bout magic and cavs
I'll be talking about them soon!
i think wolves take it in 7
3 games off
The last games played between em' ant was locked up but the wolves are more solid offensively and defensively they also have deeper bench than phoenix
Suns lost game 3
If your a wolves fan just say that
I’m not even a little bit! 👍
It all depends on which version of KAT shows up
Not impossible at all.Wolves in 6
how do you think minnesota hides conley on defense ? suns really found a consistent attack with him on the court last game
For sure
Karl-Anthony Towns need average 20+ PPG, 10+ RPG & 5+ ASP to BEAT PHOENIX
Impossible to predict! Not really. The Suns are 11-2 vs Edwards all time
Here after the Anthony Edwards Masterclass in game 1
I agree
Min in 4, the Phoenix Buns already up 3-0 boutta pull a Doc Rivers
(before someone replies, yes I do understand regular season doesn't count toward the playoff series, let a delusional T-wolves fan have fun for 2 seconds)
Anyone would know you were being biased when you called them Buns. Let's just hope we end up seeing the Timberwolves and not the Timbercubs on the court
Your gonna get it right accidentally😂
@@kjwdog7453 I shoulda just owned it, it takes a while for even a fan to get used to them being a good team 😂
Yessirrr!!
lol Beal missed the first game. Book and Durant played subpar games n the last one… the game will slow down considerably. Any makes irrational decisions, suns will force him into being a playmaker. Suns in 5… maybe 6
I agree
Great breakdown but suns in 6 suns( yes I’m biased)
this is just not how basketball works
How does it work then? 🤔
@@HoopVenue your analysis came down to make shots and miss shots thanks bud
I showed how both the Suns and Wolves had outlier shooting on opposite ends of the spectrum in their 3 regular season matchups, so using head to head record isn’t a great indicator of how the play will translate.
Then I went into some of the ins and outs of strengths/weaknesses offensively and defensively and ultimately why I lean one way slightly. Not sure where “make shots and miss shots” falls into that, but thanks for watching!
@@HoopVenue I do wonder how those Suns numbers of all year match up to the 40 or so games where book, Beal, and Durant all played
Bro your mic is sideways
Impossible? lol suns winning
ok
I agree
Timberwolf will win. Suns have angered the gods or something, they can't catch any break. Maybe it is the arrogance, nasty ego and narcissism of Booker who slowly destroys his team during the year after which it lacks spine.
minnesota will win this championship
Wolves in 6
First one here after game 1
suns are sweeping them
I agree bro
@@tricool1 typo I meant twolves 🤓🥸
Suns in 4
I agree
First 100 people
I can’t wait to watch the soon to be 4 time DPOY become unplayable when the Suns put KD at the 5
It was certainly a fun watch.
Interesting
Suns in 6
I agree
Wolves in 6? 😂😂😂 Wolves might win 1 game. We'll see how your "analysis" pans out..
🤷♂️
Ya, Wolves in 6 was an insane prediction, off by 2 games
you beleıve rong my man. suns in 5 lmao
Tell me ur wolves without telling me ur wolves fan smh
I’m not. Hope this helps 👍
its really not though... three aging stars and a few guys (who have had questionable chemistry all year and one of the worst clutch winning percentages in the entire NBA ) vs the 1 seed with the best defense we've seen in years and -- checks notes-- Anthony Edwards who takes over every clutch game. Not even a wolves fan, this is just dumb