Can We Stop Asteroid Bennu?

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  • čas přidán 17. 05. 2024
  • With the recent return of NASA's OSIRIS-REx from Asteroid Bennu - Earth's close encounters with asteroids have been on many peoples' minds equally fascinating and alarming us. But what if we could prevent a potential catastrophe? Let's dive in an explore the groundbreaking methods NASA is researching and implementing to divert these celestial threats.
    0:00 The Asteroids That Might Kill Earth
    0:34 The Chelyabinsk Asteroid in Russia
    1:22 The Destructive Power of Asteroids
    2:04 The Tunguska Impact Event
    2:49 The Chicxulub Impactor
    4:15 The Impossible Task of Spotting Asteroids
    5:58 How NASA is Preparing to Deflect Bennu
    7:42 Delivering an Spaceship to an Asteroid
    8:44 Can You Use a Nuke to Stop an Asteroid?
    10:15 Laser Ablation Approaches
    11:32 Kinetic Impactors and NASA's DART Mission
    13:04 Mass Drivers for Diverting Asteroids
    14:46 Yarkovsky Steering of Asteroids
    15:40 OSIRIS-REx - Our First Line of Defence
    #nasa #asteroid #bennu
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Komentáře • 1,3K

  • @MKIVD
    @MKIVD Před 5 měsíci +263

    I love how Osiris just shot a package at us then went on its way to another mission. It's amazing how just over a hundred years ago, we were just beginning to fly via the first prototype aircrafts.

    • @akidafloof
      @akidafloof Před 5 měsíci +21

      In one average human lifespan (100 years), we went from paper airplanes that could only fly for 30 seconds, to landing on the moon
      Edit: more accurate terms (blame the "a generation is 20 years 🤓" people)
      Edit2: Stop replying to this comment, I'm done with the people arguing over bullsh*t for no reason. It's pointless.

    • @PsRohrbaugh
      @PsRohrbaugh Před 5 měsíci +25

      ​@@akidafloofmy grandfather is still alive. When he was born in 1934, flight was still new - slow airplanes with propellers. By his 30s, he was in the airforce flying F4s at Mach 2. He's actually disappointed at how little progress we've made in the last 40 years.

    • @Kira-zy2ro
      @Kira-zy2ro Před 4 měsíci +15

      my great granny was born 1900, she died in 1998. when she was a little girl, dreams of making it rich was dreaming of having a house with several fireplaces and having a personal horse and carriage. she saw the first flight in our country in 1910. she saw the first cars... If she had said "when im 50 they will fly to america by the hundreds in them, everyone will have a car and when i am 69 a man will walk on the moon" she would have been put in a straight jacket. She was born when sending a letter to australia was a 6 month endeavour with a 70% success rate. When she died you could have live videocalls globally. Its a miracle she didnt go crazy :D

    • @clinch4402
      @clinch4402 Před 4 měsíci +13

      @@akidafloof And in another human generation, we went from landing on the moon to.... to........ giving up

    • @samwilcockmusic
      @samwilcockmusic Před 4 měsíci

      @@clinch4402are you aware of the Artemis program?

  • @bo-bodad8253
    @bo-bodad8253 Před 7 měsíci +251

    Well done! It's nice to watch a reasoned discussion of a potential asteroid impact rather than the sensationalist click-bait you typically see.

    • @dnbvodkah
      @dnbvodkah Před 7 měsíci +4

      Dude is pitching only ads and unrealistic pseudo science

    • @rustythecrown9317
      @rustythecrown9317 Před 6 měsíci +14

      @@dnbvodkah where is the pseudo science?... almost everything dude said was true.

    • @nuntana2
      @nuntana2 Před 5 měsíci

      @@dnbvodkah Please look up the definition of pseudoscience. You'll find them on ancient aliens and the like.

    • @zenokarlsbach4292
      @zenokarlsbach4292 Před 5 měsíci +1

      Utterly informative and complete. Thanks again.

    • @0Logan05
      @0Logan05 Před 5 měsíci

      Nothing in this video was even remotely based on “Facts”as the data set is “nasa data”.. And EVERYTHING nasa states is a falsehood, a scam and a lie…EVERYTHING…
      People want to believe, so they do..It’s the new satanic religion, Scientism..Belief in unproven theory (Relativity, plate tectonics, Astronomy, Darwinism,etc) takes faith.. Non of it is Fact!.. You just believe it because others do…Sadly

  • @peterjames2617
    @peterjames2617 Před 6 měsíci +49

    Superb mini documentary on this important subject. Well done!. It is reassuring to know that serious work is being done to try and mitigate such disasters.

  • @ttystikkrocks1042
    @ttystikkrocks1042 Před 3 měsíci +34

    Excellent treatment of the material. I've been following this topic for half a century, since I was a child, and it's exciting to see the developments in knowledge, detection and potential options for dealing with this threat.
    Thanks for resisting the temptations of shallow content and clickbaity titles! I'm subbed and I'll be looking forward to more videos like this one.

  • @thomas6502
    @thomas6502 Před 7 měsíci +21

    OSIRIS ftw. Fascinating topic and great content. Thank you Dr. Miles.

  • @juqual78
    @juqual78 Před 5 měsíci +6

    What an interesting and informative video. Thanks for sharing! Only could get through about half the video before I had to stop to like and subscribe.

  • @kelly89420
    @kelly89420 Před 4 měsíci +11

    wow this Osiris mission is certainly getting some work done, well done to the team behind it!

  • @starbyray7828
    @starbyray7828 Před 4 měsíci +6

    Thank you for your clear and concise narration as well as a reasoned and informative discourse on this problem and our ability to take effective action. It also highlights the current impossibility of avoiding an ELE

  • @nogardegam
    @nogardegam Před 4 měsíci +3

    Very informative and well produced. I appreciate that you didn't linger on widely known facts and yet included enough to inform the novice. An enjoyable journey (considering the subject) I look forward to your future endeavors. You have another subscriber.
    (Oh, lose the big red arrows. Tacky.)

  • @DrBenMiles
    @DrBenMiles  Před 7 měsíci +18

    Thanks for watching! What are your thoughts on how we'll handle potential asteroid threats in the future?

    • @lorenzoblum868
      @lorenzoblum868 Před 7 měsíci +11

      My thoughts, the military industrial complex is more a threat to Earth than risk of asteroid collision.

    • @morgandeclercque4608
      @morgandeclercque4608 Před 6 měsíci +9

      Until human beings learn to live with each other and stop spending trillions of dollars on war, it could prove disastrous. We need to concentrate on ending hunger, disease and war. Planetary defense should be included in this. As a military veteran I’m also aware that’s a tall order for humans, given our leaders apparent love of war………

    • @davemanmartin
      @davemanmartin Před 6 měsíci +1

      Like the others, I don’t have a huge degree of confidence humans will do well in that type of situation, will it push us instead to make bad decisions? But as a scientist I hope we keep gathering data, creating options for the future and trying to make a better world as well

    • @maryjaneshippen3815
      @maryjaneshippen3815 Před 6 měsíci

      Do you think a nuclear explosion close to Apophis would push it enough to change it's orbit away from earth?

    • @netdragon256
      @netdragon256 Před 6 měsíci

      Don't worry about it. It'll miss us.

  • @vanpunk
    @vanpunk Před měsícem +1

    Great video, really like the informative pacing, kept me engaged the entire video.

  • @phlanxsmurf
    @phlanxsmurf Před 4 měsíci +4

    Now this is a cool video. Thanks for sharing!

  • @lamonhutchinson3970
    @lamonhutchinson3970 Před 5 měsíci +11

    Extraordinary video. Thank you for this video that isn't click bait. This was informative,easy to follow and a joy to watch.

    • @TIMRICK_
      @TIMRICK_ Před měsícem +2

      Ok robot

    • @peopleperson
      @peopleperson Před 27 dny +2

      this is clickbait tho, fearmongerging thumbnail

    • @TheFlukeDude
      @TheFlukeDude Před 5 dny

      it is clickbait, the probability it hits earth is insanely low

  • @VegarotFusion
    @VegarotFusion Před 5 měsíci +36

    I wonder what our technology will be like in 30-40 years from now. Which is pretty much the time I have left. Unless I somehow make it into my mid 80s. Which I doubt, unless I make changes to my lifestyle.
    I hope there's a technological leap during that time. Probably not as great but similar to the kind my parents have experienced. They were born in the 1950s.

    • @fanfam
      @fanfam Před 5 měsíci +5

      Welcome to the club. I am half way there too I ges. Time goes fast if you really think about it and seems to go faster each year. I am at the point to make a decision to change my live style for the better. Not that it is bad now. But more in the sense of doing things I really want to do. More peace and rest. Changing my job and back to school.
      Yes I too find it fascinating to see science at it's best. In mine younger years I always watched Star Wars, Star Trek, Star Gate, all of them and wondered how it would be like to be there. But the tricky part is that technology seems to go forwards on a rate that we do not realize that it has changed very much already. Think of the times without hand held phones. Times that we played outside and late at night watched the sky and wondered.

    • @avgjoe5969
      @avgjoe5969 Před 5 měsíci +2

      The needed tech is here now and will be greatly enhanced in a few years. Check Spacex Falcon-9 launch rate. Wiki shows F-9 throw weight is more than enough to put a nuclear missile (if one were purpose designed) into deep space.
      There will be more than 120 Spacex orbital launches next year. We have 600 B-83 1.2Mt bombs in inventory today.
      All we need is the right delivery vehicle (missile) and we are quite good at producing those.
      Each F-9 launch can place a 1.2MT missile on a threat. Spacex's new Starship can put a dozen or so into deep space.
      Both are reusable launchers.
      Really, the tech is here today. We just have to build the interceptor with off the shelf tech. And it could be done for $20 billion or less if you wanted to build 100 nuclear armed, deep space missiles. These then could be mounted in F-9 rockets to put them in orbit to launch toward dangerous asteroids.
      If we had a 1km planet killer detected 10 years out, we should be able to deflect it enough (years from impact) to cause it to miss. Subsequent hits could clean up any large debris.
      This is no longer a thought experiment. We could begin to prepare for it today and have 100 interceptors in stock within 5 years, complete with a greatly expanded fleet of (Spacex) launchers (which will happen anyway).

    • @AmandaHugandKiss411
      @AmandaHugandKiss411 Před 5 měsíci

      We won't have any technology...
      What are going to do, shine our crumbling solar panels and rusted wind turbines at it?

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 4 měsíci +1

      There is a Movie called I Robot. It is the closest thing I can speculate the future will look like. Everything is Automated and easy to have, yet everything is outrageously expensive. The one thing the movie does not show is pay status. It does show wealth from not. But it does seem as if everyone is well off. I do understand that is not possible. But I do see a fully automated technological society that sstill pays for merchandise because the Capitalist view is not destroyed with-in Society itself.

    • @fanfam
      @fanfam Před 4 měsíci

      ​@@rafaelgonzalez4175 Yes great movie and ahead of it's time but that of course is obvious I mean more in the sense of realistic of what could be in the future.
      An interesting idea is The Venus Project from Jacque Fresco.
      There are some beliefs while designing this social structure such as, 'the collective progress of the world would still be better in the resource based economy than that in the current monetary system. In the resource based economy system all the dirty, routine, apathetic jobs are made to be done by the machines with no human employment. All the basic needs of each human is served; Everybody believes in equality and love, there is no greed. So that people will only be driven by their passion and curiosity, they choose their own areas of interest with no compromise for the collective progress. Each individual's interest will origin from his/her own perception of the world. But the collective progress can only be optimized with a balance in the progress of different fields. So how to be sure that the balance would be achieved? How can we be sure that the exact required number of people (/intellectual effort) is on cosmology and the exact required is on anthropology? Though all the research fields might be ultimately unified they still are different approaches. On the other hand with the paradigm of "unified consciousness" injected, if one compromises oneself, to choose something different then it would mean that the mission is still not completely accomplished.
      Of course before we think of this question, it is essential to know what is the 'optimized progress' i.e, purpose of the human race, the dead-end puzzle of the quest. Unless you feel the answer is 'Nothing but just to do what interests one', the suggested freedom at work plan is a failure.
      One simplest possible solution is to create a 'Matrix' and see what would happen. LOL.
      Here, there is no compulsions on actions anyone needs to take. Assume every one participate with their curiosity & interest only with no intentions related to earning money and also that the interests are not much different from that they would have had if they are in a 'resource based economy'. Imagine that there's absolutely no monitoring or algorithms to selectively promote posts except that of "following an user or a topic". Now define a "PURPOSE" to the site. Anything you wish. And think what's the probability you can expect that it will be served.

  • @arjundhar7729
    @arjundhar7729 Před 5 měsíci +2

    Very engaging, and thank you for inspiring so many people across the world with scientific temper.

  • @PrometheusZandski
    @PrometheusZandski Před 3 měsíci +1

    Incredible content. I doff my hat to you, sir. I was afraid this was clickbait, but I was delighted to see the detail, realism and well researched content you presented. If only others on YT would be half as good as you.

  • @DenBlackburn
    @DenBlackburn Před 6 měsíci +37

    I am another that is fed up of click-bait, this video is definatly NOT one of them, the information is well put together, very informative, easy to follow, Ive passed it onto my childern and grand children as they are the ones that need to watch and think as we dont live forever my time should be a lot shorter here than theirs. I know in some cases some are not spotted until they are almost on us, but even that sceince is getting a lot better. A new sub here.
    Thank you Dr Ben Miles for the time and effort that you put into this perfect video.

  • @sivanaidoo7578
    @sivanaidoo7578 Před 5 měsíci +4

    i truly enjoyed this clip - its just really scary when you realize that earth is a not-so-large target in a shooting gallery where the trajectories of objects are dictated in both circular and straight-line principles. Its reasonable that nothing could be More than 100% spot on but dude, if i ever could... 11/10 for this discussion 🙂

  • @bugscorb
    @bugscorb Před 2 měsíci +1

    Very informative. Thank you for making the video.

  • @vintagelady1
    @vintagelady1 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Wow, first time seeing this channel & I loved this video, everything well explained w/out hysteria & very thorough.(Also made me glad I'm old & don't have to worry about Bennu!) Looking forward to combing thru recent videos in search of better understanding all the weirdness of the universe!

    • @cornstar1253
      @cornstar1253 Před 4 měsíci +1

      Half of it at least is nothing more than sci-fi. The other half is hypothetical

  • @RossHasAdrone
    @RossHasAdrone Před 7 měsíci +14

    Incredibly well put together and composed video! Great visuals… I assumed this would have a few hundred thousand views by now… Great stuff!

  • @OwenWithAHammer
    @OwenWithAHammer Před 7 měsíci +6

    Great video!

  • @colsartech9261
    @colsartech9261 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Very excellent video 📸👏 many thanks for making it and sharing it.

  • @stuartwiner7920
    @stuartwiner7920 Před 5 měsíci +1

    This was very informative. Thank you.

  • @Vector_Ze
    @Vector_Ze Před 5 měsíci +20

    Deep Impact was a vastly better film than Armageddon. Interestingly these two takes on cataclysmic impacts both debuted in the summer of 1998.
    Lead time is the key to defense, and a blindsiding comet could show its face after slingshotting around the Sun without enough warning for us to react.
    Great video! Very interesting.t

    • @Whalewraith
      @Whalewraith Před 5 měsíci +2

      Nah, I was on the comets side. Never seen a film where I wanted everyone to die more.

  • @glike2
    @glike2 Před 6 měsíci +3

    Excellent update on these planetary threats!

  • @Shadow-1949
    @Shadow-1949 Před 2 měsíci +1

    Thank you for good information .
    I’ve learned a lot.

  • @BasicPoke
    @BasicPoke Před 6 měsíci +2

    Well done analysis. Thank you.

  • @LeoH3L1
    @LeoH3L1 Před 5 měsíci +5

    Even a rubble pile could be dispersed enough if done at the right time, so that only very small remnants remain on an impact trajectory, and most of them would likely be small enough to burn up.
    You could send multiple mass drivers that land on different points on the surface and fire in sequence so spin isn't as much of an issue, and would provide redundancy in the case one or mor failed.

    • @SamtheIrishexan
      @SamtheIrishexan Před 5 měsíci +1

      Yeah landing ion thrusters on the right spots and you can push it. The dart mission pretty well proved it can work IMO.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      @@SamtheIrishexan You watch way too many movies. Just imagine the rotation and spin of an Asteroid traveling at a crazy fast lineage. You really think the ship or rocket involved would be able to match velocity with spin and rotation to have a level playing field just to look for a place to land. All the while gas plumes and asteroidal debris is breaking away from the rock at the same velocity in a different trajectory. Watch out rocket here comes a bullet in the form of a very small rock.

    • @Axodus
      @Axodus Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@rafaelgonzalez4175 if the asteroid was spinning fast enough to break up into pieces it wouldn't be an asteroid, it would be a dust cloud :)

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 4 měsíci

      @@Axodus thanks for the detailed input.

    • @Axodus
      @Axodus Před 4 měsíci +1

      @@rafaelgonzalez4175 Was just being realistic. The asteroid you were describing wasn't.

  • @alexandercarlson919
    @alexandercarlson919 Před 4 měsíci +3

    The fact that people were more likely to be near windows during this event is tragic... Anything can happen, make the best of every day!

  • @SteveAdelman113
    @SteveAdelman113 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Really enjoyed this. Thanks!

  • @danrubin4506
    @danrubin4506 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Excellent, clear explanations. Thank you.

  • @Whalewraith
    @Whalewraith Před 5 měsíci +65

    The whole point of Armageddon was that simply nuking the asteroid would fail miserably. Its pretty impressive that Osiris is reusable for continued missions.

    • @PsRohrbaugh
      @PsRohrbaugh Před 5 měsíci +13

      Nuclear bombs can be effective at redirecting an asteroid if used far enough out.

    • @devilpupbear09
      @devilpupbear09 Před 4 měsíci +31

      It's funny cause during filming Ben Affleck asked Michael Bay if it was easier to train astronauts to drill than training oil drillers to be astronauts and Bay replied "shut the fuck up" 😆

    • @devilpupbear09
      @devilpupbear09 Před 4 měsíci +2

      It's funny cause during filming Ben Affleck asked Michael Bay if it was easier to train astronauts to drill than training oil drillers to be astronauts and Bay replied "shut the fuck up" 😆

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 4 měsíci +2

      @@PsRohrbaugh A nuclear bomb in space you say? Like a bomb that goes boom. A bomb that is physically attached to oxygen? Like a boom that can not happen if there is no oxygen? A Boom in Space is not a Boom on Earth. Try just saying the word Boom with no OXYGEN. You can't. If a Bomb went ka-boom in Space and you were right next to it, would you hear it?

    • @aydengamer8986
      @aydengamer8986 Před 4 měsíci +20

      @@rafaelgonzalez4175 That is not how nuclear bombs work though.

  • @LeoH3L1
    @LeoH3L1 Před 5 měsíci +8

    The bit about the energy @1:15 isn't quite right, that wasn't the impact energy, that was the kinetic energy before it entered the atmosphere, it lost a lot of energy as it was passing through the atmosphere, most of the energy it had was absorbed by the atmosphere and resulted in the air burst, the actual ground impact was much less than 500KT.

  • @honza7466
    @honza7466 Před měsícem

    Well presented and informative vid. Great job 👍

  • @OmegaRainbow
    @OmegaRainbow Před 3 měsíci +1

    amazing video! thanks for making it :D

  • @kataseiko
    @kataseiko Před 4 měsíci +5

    The Deccan Traps are thought to have been on the opposite side of the world when the Chixulub meteor hit. The Deccan Traps were possibly created but definitely agitated by the impact when the massive shockwaves from the impact converged again, causing massive volcanism on the opposite side of the planet.

    • @j.g.campbell3440
      @j.g.campbell3440 Před 4 měsíci +1

      The geological establishment seems bound and determined to utterly negate the "Antipodal Effect", just as they did in the 20-30 years preceding Plate Tectonics/ Continental Drift going mainstream. So much for the settled opinion of the scientific consensus. So far it's Zero for Two. Any odds for the viability of the next outbreak of settled science? Will this post be stopped by the Al Gore Rhythms?

  • @gabest4
    @gabest4 Před 7 měsíci +16

    My biggest fear is not a collision, but a close encounter with a larger mass that changes Earth's orbit around the Sun.

    • @Fish-ub3wn
      @Fish-ub3wn Před 7 měsíci

      No can't do, sir.
      I can assure You, if there was only the force of graavity, planets would fling into dakness illenia ago.
      fortunately,, there is an unrecognised by today's science,
      a force called electromagnetism. planets do have their charge, electromagnetic reconnection with the sun and they occupy resonant orbits same as electrons in an atom.
      take a look at electric universe theory :)

    • @markmuller7962
      @markmuller7962 Před 7 měsíci +15

      And that's less dangerous than a collision unless the object is so gigantic to move earth into a collision with either Venus or Mars

    • @adventureswithfrodo2721
      @adventureswithfrodo2721 Před 7 měsíci

      Nothing new.

    • @Niosus
      @Niosus Před 7 měsíci +16

      Nothing with a sufficiently large mass in the solar system orbits close enough to Earth for that. The nearest star is 4 light years away and isn't going to close that distance anytime soon.
      So there aren't really many options left. A random black hole passing through may go unnoticed for a long time. But given the fact that life on Earth has been around for billions of years, no catastrophic altering of its orbit has happened. The odds of it happening are just exceedingly small at this point.
      Asteroid impacts on the other hand happen regularly, with various degrees of severity. It's definitely worth worrying about more than something tugging us out of our orbit.

    • @gabest4
      @gabest4 Před 7 měsíci +2

      @@Niosus I will blame you if it happens tomorrow! Mercury has a small chance creating chaos in the solar system.

  • @SoylentGreen2022
    @SoylentGreen2022 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Very well done. Excellent information.

  • @leighspesa8321
    @leighspesa8321 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Brilliantly done.

  • @stanmitchell3375
    @stanmitchell3375 Před 6 měsíci +4

    It would be a good idea to put asteroids into an orbit near earth ,for mining or using for solar shield

    • @Bitdog4U
      @Bitdog4U Před 5 měsíci

      A gold rock the size of New York as our new close moon, would make a re-entery vehicle profitable. But to change the direction and speed of mass isn't easy.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      It would only be a good idea if it were on the other side of the sun. If in any rotation during Orbit the Asteroid covers the sun from Earth, it will always happen at that instance. Then you have to hope it isn't in the way for too long a period. It gets colder in the shadow as it remains in front of Earth, No sun.

  • @Ilove3SGTE
    @Ilove3SGTE Před 5 měsíci +8

    I want to know what size nuke they used in the simulation and if they drilled into the asteroid or not? We can certainly make a massive nuke if needed. The size would only be limited by the rocket but then again we could send it up in pieces. I think if it was the only option we could make it work.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      All bombs on Earth are just chemicals in space. Earth has an atomosphere which provides Oxygen or detains Oxygen in its surrounding area to allow for explosions such as that from any bomb. To set a nuke off in space would not have an explosion. No Oxygen. The Blast may happen really fast. You might even see a spark. But no blast radius. No heat wave. Just radiation and a shockwave if anything. Which will just keep going forward until the shockwave hits something.

  • @MrAdamChristopher
    @MrAdamChristopher Před 8 dny

    this was so interesting. awesome job DR MILES

  • @darren7917
    @darren7917 Před 5 měsíci +1

    That was a very interesting video, thank you.

  • @hgbugalou
    @hgbugalou Před 4 měsíci +4

    I sometimes wonder what a threat like this would do in uniting mankind on a level we have never seen. Its kind of sad, but at the same time instills a sense of hope.

    • @clinch4402
      @clinch4402 Před 4 měsíci

      It would mean rogue countries like North Korea would take advantage and make a mess of the world, knowing their enemies are preoccupied with something greater. Kind of like looters during wars.

    • @lincolnchafee9602
      @lincolnchafee9602 Před měsícem

      Naw. The flat earth idiots and conspiracy theorists and stupid religious people would ruin everything

  • @CthulhuInc
    @CthulhuInc Před 5 měsíci +287

    gee, i hope not

  • @CarbonGlassMan
    @CarbonGlassMan Před 25 dny

    Great video, btw. I really enjoyed watching it.

  • @railgap
    @railgap Před 5 měsíci +8

    The best estimate we have indicates a .057% chance of collision with Bennu. Our highest priority for metero defense needs to be short-term, fast-acting methods for the ones that surprise us.

    • @mrrooster4876
      @mrrooster4876 Před 5 měsíci +1

      Estimates as high as 6%, Apophis will hit.

    • @thebeanymac
      @thebeanymac Před 5 měsíci +2

      @@mrrooster4876 "Apophis was the ancient Egyptian deity who embodied darkness and disorder, and was thus the opponent of light".
      Has not astronomy an odd sense of humour? Ghastly entertainment at a cocktail party, eh?

    • @Redmenace96
      @Redmenace96 Před 4 měsíci

      Sorry, I'm not with you. It is logical, but not viable for humans. If something is so close and short time line? We are cooked. Nothing we can do. Unless, you are proposing we alter human culture, world human life, and our entire economic output.... to stop something killing us. It is romantic, but not viable. Humans need to live, eat, express ourselves and we can't just live under a regime of fear.
      Let's put money and effort into stopping the things we can! But, let's also accept that there are risks and dangers we can't control.

    • @penoyer79
      @penoyer79 Před 27 dny

      it's actually 0.03

  • @derickcastillo9083
    @derickcastillo9083 Před 7 měsíci +5

    My son is taking an astronomy class. He asked me, "Where on earth would an impact of a 10 km diameter asteroid kill the fewest people?" I don't know the answer to this question. What do you think? I tend to think no place on earth is a good place for that kind of impact.

    • @maryjaneshippen3815
      @maryjaneshippen3815 Před 6 měsíci +1

      Siberia?

    • @masa461
      @masa461 Před 6 měsíci

      Australia? If something that big hits Siberia, it will also affect China, and China's population is quite large.

    • @zedbear1
      @zedbear1 Před 6 měsíci +1

      Tunguska was a 12 megaton explosion from a 200 foot meteor. It leveled 830 square miles of forest. I doubt Earth could withstand the impact of a 10km.
      There's a theory about Earth's irregular shape that suggests a collision with a minor planet or asteroid impact, and Earth absorbed the mass.
      I hope your son does well, and enjoys space as much as I have! And still do.

    • @rustythecrown9317
      @rustythecrown9317 Před 6 měsíci +1

      Tell him ''The Moon'' as everything else on Earth would be toast.

    • @darthwiizius
      @darthwiizius Před 5 měsíci

      @@zedbear1
      The Thea theory. The Moon is made from material from the Earth, this is known through the study of isotopes on both objects that are at identical points of decay. The Earth's axis is also at an angle meaning it was knocked off it's original natural axis. The hypothesis goes that Earth was struck at a glancing angle by a smaller planet, Thea, which blew material from the Earth and Thea into orbit while the Earth swallowed Thea's planetary core and after time the material that didn't fall back to Earth and remained in orbit coalesced into the Moon. This is fairly probable as the Earth has an inexplicably massive core for a planet it's size and the Moon seems to have been moving away from the Earth at a uniform rate since formation. It's also not uncommon for planetary collisions in our solar system as Uranus is knocked over 90 degrees onto it's side and Venus spins the opposite way it should suggesting it's been flipped upside down.

  • @Timfruhling
    @Timfruhling Před 4 měsíci +2

    Great Video......very impressed and surprised to see how much progress NASA and other agencies are achieving in this area......so we've got till 2175 - I think we this covered like a jimmy hat

  • @GarryCox-tx5mw
    @GarryCox-tx5mw Před 5 měsíci +1

    Liked it, subscribed 👍

  • @robertholmberg2042
    @robertholmberg2042 Před 7 měsíci +4

    Even if we could prevent a potential catastrophe, during that time.. probably several years, what will happend with human society's? will it be anarchy, riots, why go to work when there might no be a future, stockmarket chaos, companies will be out of business', questions about where will it impact on earth and what to do with the people living there, etc, Make some thing on that topic!

    • @chinookvalley
      @chinookvalley Před 6 měsíci

      C***d did a number on us, I can't imagine how weird it will be for anything real!

    • @penoyer79
      @penoyer79 Před 27 dny

      just look at how panicked people got over a glorified chest cold in 2020.
      image a doomsday asteroid coming that's 6 months out... holy smokes.
      you would not want to be around for that. the asteroid would be a welcome end.

  • @jasonmorahan7450
    @jasonmorahan7450 Před 7 měsíci +6

    Fascinating. What I've been dreaming about is a rogue black hole entering the system before anyone knew of it, then you know, screaming terror planetwide. But this was another fear.

    • @dnbvodkah
      @dnbvodkah Před 7 měsíci

      Dude is pitching only ads and unrealistic pseudo science

  • @Uncle_john_skydives
    @Uncle_john_skydives Před 5 měsíci +1

    Very well done.

  • @KJM3SMG
    @KJM3SMG Před 3 měsíci +1

    the quality of this video is top notch

  • @CaedenV
    @CaedenV Před 7 měsíci +11

    It's weird to think that something as simple as paint can significantly change the orbit of an astroid in space because of the change in albedo. Meanwhile something as destructive as an atomic bomb could glassify its target, making a large rock pile that could break up in the atmosphere an even bigger threat because it would be one large contiguous mass.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      Sadly Atomic bombs only work in an Atmospheric location. Would not work in Space. It is a vacuum. Explsions are not like they are in an atmospheric location. Vacuum contains. Atmosphere spreads.

    • @Slav4o911
      @Slav4o911 Před 5 měsíci

      I don't think a nuclear blast is going to make an asteroid more dangerous. Also we can put water or something else like liquid nitrogen around the bomb so it will turn into steam and creating a bigger explosion than the bomb alone will make in a vacuum.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      @@Slav4o911 The best thing about physics is that you have absolutes. Even if there was a way to create more force or energy than a travelling object in space at phenomenal velocity, the trajectory of the particles are as dangerous if not more. One large impact may be very damaging. Imagine many smaller particles that do survive entry. Actual global disaster. Society would be okay if One big rock hit. It has before and people are here. If people were not here then we are now. Something survived the last rock that killed the planet supposedly. Something will survive again, and then people will be back. lol

    • @Slav4o911
      @Slav4o911 Před 5 měsíci +1

      @@rafaelgonzalez4175 No many small asteroids would impact with much less speed because they have more surface, that means more area for the earth atmosphere to work on, also easier to deflect. Like if for a big asteroid we may need a 50Mt nuclear blast to make into smaller ones, the smaller ones can be deflected individually, and even if not deflected they would impact with less energy. The most dangerous thing is for a big asteroid to hit us, with us doing nothing. Hitting it with whatever will slow it down, change it's direction etc. Smaller asteroids are not more dangerous even if they are many. If they were, the life on Earth would have been long gone.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      @@Slav4o911 If you generate enough force to break a rock the force is added to the smaller pieces. The smaller pieces go faster. And they spread around the planet more. The possiblity that the pieces are going to miss the planet is the same as a bomb exploding in space.

  • @Kevin-xi6ts
    @Kevin-xi6ts Před 5 měsíci +12

    Will this asteroid affect the Taylor Swift Eras tour???

    • @akanabahi
      @akanabahi Před měsícem +3

      Legit blondes in one sentence

    • @WhiteCheddar.
      @WhiteCheddar. Před 21 dnem

      The question everyone is asking

  • @chrisward7085
    @chrisward7085 Před 17 dny

    Really clear.Excellent

  • @Redmenace96
    @Redmenace96 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Very clear language. Well done!

  • @carbonstar9091
    @carbonstar9091 Před 7 měsíci +6

    You know the way things are going maybe just let nature take its course.

    • @k8tina
      @k8tina Před 6 měsíci +1

      I hate to say this, but I see your point and agree 😕

    • @lyricsdomatter
      @lyricsdomatter Před 6 měsíci +1

      I am a reluctant blackpilled accelerationist. I'd love for there to be a way out of the horrendous mess that's been made of things here on earth (I don't want to say 'we created' because the average human being ie most of the population, has very little to do with it) but we're gonna hit 1.5 degrees of warming this year - decades before it was predicted, and we're definitely hitting 2 degrees waaaay before the end of the century. People complained about the movie Don't Look Up being too on the nose and lacking subtlety as a metaphor but it was bang on for me. People don't believe it til they can see it, and by the time they can see it, it's too late

    • @DigitalApex
      @DigitalApex Před 2 měsíci +2

      Ah, a misanthrope. Wondered how long I'd have to scroll to find one of you.

    • @Aeom_333
      @Aeom_333 Před 25 dny

      Humans are apart of nature, so us stopping it is apart of natural selection as well.

  • @ReconMan8654
    @ReconMan8654 Před 5 měsíci +4

    Any way to get it here sooner?!

  • @colindeer9657
    @colindeer9657 Před 5 měsíci +1

    I this is magnificent news . Great video.

  • @dufo4766
    @dufo4766 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Very very nice and informative video, thanks for posting, it DID clear a lot of things for us, again thanks!

  • @kevinkadrmas3260
    @kevinkadrmas3260 Před 2 měsíci +12

    Bennu, can you get here before the election?

  • @walkabout16
    @walkabout16 Před 4 měsíci +5

    In the cosmic theater, a celestial stage,
    Asteroid Bennu, in a cosmic rage.
    A wandering rock in the cosmic sea,
    Can we stop its dance, alter its decree?
    Bennu, a traveler from the ancient past,
    In the celestial ballet, a role cast.
    Approaching Earth in the cosmic spin,
    Can we avert the dance, the collision thin?
    Scientists ponder, minds alight,
    In the quest to protect, day and night.
    Missions launched, with hope and might,
    To alter Bennu's course in the cosmic light.
    OSIRIS-REx, a spacecraft bold,
    A mission to touch, a story to unfold.
    Gathering samples from the asteroid's skin,
    In the dance with Bennu, where destinies spin.
    Gravity's pull, a celestial force,
    In the cosmic ballet, altering the course.
    Can we nudge Bennu, change its flight,
    In the cosmic dance, the challenge in sight?
    In the minds of scientists, calculations flow,
    Plotting trajectories, a delicate show.
    Can we stop Bennu, alter its fate,
    In the celestial chess game, a checkmate?
    Asteroid deflectors, a cosmic tool,
    In the quest to alter, in the scientific pool.
    Can we redirect, in the cosmic expanse,
    Bennu's journey, a celestial dance?
    In the silent realms where asteroids roam,
    The quest continues, a cosmic home.
    Can we, in our knowledge and cosmic art,
    Alter the dance, protect Earth's fragile heart?
    So, in the cosmic tapestry, questions rise,
    Can we stop Bennu, in the celestial skies?
    In the quest for answers, a cosmic plea,
    To safeguard Earth from Bennu's decree.

  • @TOPDadAlpha
    @TOPDadAlpha Před 5 měsíci +1

    Great video

  • @p_louis
    @p_louis Před 10 dny

    Great video to watch before going to bed.

  • @spidergoose891
    @spidergoose891 Před měsícem +7

    The real question is SHOULD we stop it?

    • @marius35925
      @marius35925 Před měsícem +3

      Come on man. It's time to open the blinds, let in some sunlight, and look at that glass that is half full.

    • @DSK248
      @DSK248 Před měsícem +1

      Honestly no, we shouldn't stop it.

    • @A.waffle
      @A.waffle Před 29 dny +2

      The question is will we still be here to stop it?

    • @A.waffle
      @A.waffle Před 29 dny

      @@DSK248why? If we don’t survive it none of our wildlife does. What’s the point of having everything die?

    • @jamesgrant3343
      @jamesgrant3343 Před 18 dny

      Nah - it’ll be fine. Or maybe it won’t be. Either way, it’ll be fine.

  • @lorenzoblum868
    @lorenzoblum868 Před 7 měsíci +4

    Tell me, nasa is science rocket and so are missiles. Statistically what are the odds WE might blow up OUR Earth against the odd getting hit by some asteroid Ben ?
    Btw, the carbon /toxicity footprint of the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex Ben ?

    • @car103d
      @car103d Před 7 měsíci

      Some people don't seem to understand, a large asteroid is rare but it is definitive, the end of humanity, game over, we are on Earth and there is no chance of escape, and this is something that has long been neglected together with the environment. All other tragedies are serious but easy to avoid, it's just a matter of political decisions. We must pursue all survival objectives and stop truly useless waste such as planned obsolescence and conflicts between peoples and societies, while at the same time planning together how to deflect asteroids, period!

    • @rustythecrown9317
      @rustythecrown9317 Před 6 měsíci +1

      r/hadastroke

  • @Wandera1970
    @Wandera1970 Před 5 měsíci +1

    we already demonstrated the tech to approach an astroid and collect a sampleand return to earth. All we need its to adapt the tech. instead of a sampler. we add 3 things. A tank and spray nozzle that sprays some sort of glue over the rubble pile and a net and ion thrusters attached to the net. Spray the rubble pile so the surface it all glued together. it does not even have to super ridged just strong enough to contian the rubble under gentle pressures while the ion thruster do there work. The net then wraps around the astroid or cradles it. and the ion thrusters first work to stop the rotation and then once thats achieved drag it out of the collison oribit into a safer one. They then either detach from the net or simply remove the net still attached and fly back to the main craft to be returned to earth's orbit for refueling and reddeployment. With solid bodied astroids no glue needed just the net and thrusters. Small but constistant pressure applied over time would work over time that why I suggested ion thrusters. And not rocket engines. This apporach would only work it we have the time. If there is a threat that happens within weeks or a few months ... a different approach would be needed. But with Bennu we have the time to do a trail test and move it into a safer orbit. There is already huge understanding of glue in space. Should not take a lot of research to make one that is fit for purpose. If one has not already be made for use in the vaccum of space.

  • @notpoliticallycorrect1303
    @notpoliticallycorrect1303 Před 4 měsíci +2

    Given the rate at which technology has progressed over even the last 20 years,a progress that seems to be rapidly accelerating too,its not difficult to imagine that by the time this thing is expected in another 150 years from now that we would have by then developed the ways and means of dealing with it.

    • @bdfan4ever
      @bdfan4ever Před 4 měsíci

      That’s what I was thinking myself. As long as we don’t blow ourselves up, we’ll be fine. I have faith in the science.

  • @SlevinCCX
    @SlevinCCX Před 4 měsíci +22

    Ask me in 2175, I'll give you my opinion then.

    • @sitofak
      @sitofak Před měsícem

      I'll give my opinion in 2176

    • @Austin_Playz27
      @Austin_Playz27 Před 24 dny +1

      i will eat it :)

    • @SWUploads971
      @SWUploads971 Před 13 dny

      But 2175 is like two lifetimes away sir

    • @Austin_Playz27
      @Austin_Playz27 Před 13 dny +1

      @@SWUploads971 well with modern advancements the first person to like to 150 is likely alive right now

    • @freetheworld12
      @freetheworld12 Před 10 dny

      the way things are going on this wonderful society , I don't think you would wanna be here

  • @braticuss
    @braticuss Před 7 měsíci +71

    Easy answer... They won't and they can't.

    • @lorenzoblum868
      @lorenzoblum868 Před 7 měsíci

      It's just propaganda. Nasa is just another euphemism for USSF (United States Space Force).

    • @coryjackson6034
      @coryjackson6034 Před 7 měsíci

      Im sure they could...did u mean to say it wouldn't help??

    • @braticuss
      @braticuss Před 7 měsíci +1

      @@coryjackson6034 Nope, they won't prevent it, because it's impossible with today's tech.

    • @rustythecrown9317
      @rustythecrown9317 Před 6 měsíci +21

      @@braticuss yeah , but todays tech evolves into tomorrows tech , and that's where the answer lies.

    • @ezrathecool
      @ezrathecool Před 4 měsíci +4

      Its easy to say that they can't, but the real question is if they should.

  • @timhorrocks3515
    @timhorrocks3515 Před 4 měsíci +1

    Look at what human beings have done to this planet, animals and each other for thousands of years now. Send it x

  • @Sjekje1
    @Sjekje1 Před 28 dny

    This is going to be a fun journey. :D Goodluck Mati you can do hardmode with ease i believe in you. As a soulsborne Veteran you have to :P

  • @arfermo853
    @arfermo853 Před 4 měsíci +7

    Revelations 8:10-11

    • @francis_who
      @francis_who Před 2 měsíci +1

      Sagan, Carl. Cosmos: An appreciation . 1980. Manuscript/Mixed Material.

  • @GTDpowah
    @GTDpowah Před 15 dny +3

    2175? Guess what. I don't care.

  • @menguardingtheirownwallets6791
    @menguardingtheirownwallets6791 Před 5 měsíci +2

    We can install solar sails onto the sides of Bennu, and have computers control those sails, from signals sent from Earth. The slight 'push' that those sails would have would be more than enough to keep it from hitting Earth. However, Bennu is a 'dust' asteroid, and simply detonating a large ground-penetrating nuclear 'bunker-buster' bomb onto Bennu would blast the dust into such a fine 'cloud' of debris that the threat from the impact would be removed.

  • @slimyelow
    @slimyelow Před 4 měsíci +1

    Osiris project is absulutely incredible.

  • @mickmccrory8534
    @mickmccrory8534 Před 5 měsíci +1

    "We will deal with this problem by waiting until the last minute,
    & proclaiming "There's nothing we can do. It's too late."

  • @torstenkruger7372
    @torstenkruger7372 Před 5 měsíci +1

    So Bennu just comes back to restart this intelligent life thing. thanks bennu♥️

  • @billcooperpatriot1059
    @billcooperpatriot1059 Před 5 měsíci

    Wow! Yes, I think I have seen some of the Gloss windows that you're talking about! They're kind of shiny, right?

  • @Malkovith2
    @Malkovith2 Před 2 měsíci

    great video

  • @carto4028
    @carto4028 Před 10 dny

    I had no idea there was a loose core fragment in are solar system. Thats so incredibly cool.

  • @PraveenSriram
    @PraveenSriram Před 5 měsíci

    Interesting video

  • @stonehorsegaming
    @stonehorsegaming Před 5 měsíci

    I've always wondered if it would be possible to capture the large asteroids and place them in a stable orbit around Earth. Then we can study/mine them, and use them to increase our understanding of the early universe and gain access to more resources. Once the asteroid is depleted, its mass will be significantly less. What is left would burn uo in our atmosphere when the orbit decays.
    It would require a big leap in technology, and also need a collective response.

  • @mark11967AD
    @mark11967AD Před 4 měsíci

    Nice video very informative. Asteroids or objects from space aren’t the only thing that could destroy us earth from time to time has vented great amounts of basalt and gas that would totally wipe us out as well.

  • @inDefEE
    @inDefEE Před měsícem

    well this video was freaking cool

  • @user-rz5mn9od9y
    @user-rz5mn9od9y Před 3 měsíci

    What music do you use? ,
    Your documantation is very very good!!!

  • @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988
    @nevermindmeijustinjectedaw9988 Před 5 měsíci +1

    still easily solvable as seen in warfare. to beat armor we use two stage explosive these days, even on projectiles as small as rockets.
    assuming we have a nuke at least as big as the czar bomba (as a bare minimum and no holds barred as seen with it) and somehow transport it to space, attach it to a rocket and then sent it to bennu through whichever means, the whole thing could still be built like a glorified icbm. big engine in the back, then the nuke, then the fuel (for spacing), then the primary explosive. you ram this badboy as fast as possible into bennu or whichever asteroid you wanna neutralise, then, as it is being kinetically penetrated, the primary explosive goes off. you direct said explosion forward obviously and choose an explosive that produces a lot of energy, but not necessarily as fast as modern high explosives. well, probably exactly what we use for mining these days. then, once there is a hole big enough for the nuke, the remaining kinetic energy of the rocket will jam it as far up bennu's newly excavated hole as possible and from what i've seen bunker busters do, i think it's fair to assume that this would also be at least 60m, probably a whole lot more though bc it doesnt have to go through reinforced concrete. and then at that depth you'd light the "czar bomba"'s fuse. and sure, such a nuke would need to be buried almost 40km deep for a safe underground test on earth (lol), but this should really just show you that at some point it doesnt matter anymore, how big the meteroid is. unless someone hurls a massive asteroid or even planetoid at us, modern warfare and nukes ARE gonna be a solution to save mankind.
    i mean like, come on, obviously. of course nukes could solve it. keep in mind that when it comes to really big nukes, america at some point got scared of their sheer power (and fallout), so they never really intended on going anywhere close to over the top like the soviets did and even they were so scared of it, that in the end they didnt add another layer of uranium as intended at first, but replaced it with literal lead. it has always been a concern that nukes sufficiently large could light the atmosphere on fire. and dont forget that all this happened in 1961. if the usa wanted to, they could easily build a nuke multiple times as strong and probably even lighter than the czar bomba, extrapolating from the stats i've seen. fission is scary, but add fusion to that and you've got an amount of energy there that you couldnt even fathom. the hard part is making a GOOD nuke. scaling those up is child's play relatively speaking, just expensive in resources.

    • @Slav4o911
      @Slav4o911 Před 5 měsíci +1

      I think we don't even need 50mt nuclear bomb for any asteroid smaller than the one which killed the dinosaurs. Also to solve the no atmosphere problem we can put the bomb inside iron sphere full of water, thus the bomb will make the water into steam, so will not waste a lot of gamma rays to space, but will actually turn the water to steam. Also if we have enough time we can use material from the asteroid (if there is water or something else which will be easily transformed to gas from the nuclear explosion, to basically build an "atmosphere for the bomb to hit". First the temperature will convert the water into steam and that steam will be superheated.

  • @philliprobinson7724
    @philliprobinson7724 Před 5 měsíci

    Hi. Well done on this video, and to the space research teams who've had such amazing success. Moon bases, Mars bases, and more, bigger, and better space telescopes please.
    I'm informed by mathematical friends that the difficulty predicting orbits to the required accuracy is called "the three body problem". He says A.I. could make some breakthroughs here, but not to expect a great deal of excitement on You-Tube. Math? (Yawn).
    No, we can't deal with everything the universe might throw at us, but for the first time in recorded history, we can contemplate doing so. Cheers, P.R.

  • @tomr7222
    @tomr7222 Před 6 měsíci +1

    can you "kite" an asteroid?
    like a gravity assist fly-by but stalling out and maintaining distance to keep gravity pulling asteroid and spacecraft together

    • @faramirsonofdenethor5415
      @faramirsonofdenethor5415 Před 2 měsíci

      🤓Theoretically; yes. Practically; good luck!
      But seriously: it is potentially possible, for sure.🦾

  • @oatlord
    @oatlord Před měsícem +1

    1 in 2700 sounds terrifying. Needs more 0s.

  • @SmudgeOfficialUK
    @SmudgeOfficialUK Před 5 měsíci

    Imagine if the one little touch from O'siris to sample it was what ends up putting it on direct course with earth in the future.

  • @honestreview2129
    @honestreview2129 Před měsícem +1

    This is hilarious, if you see this in the future have fun 😂

  • @anyaaa2801
    @anyaaa2801 Před 2 měsíci +1

    Wow. I never knew Albedo was THAT famous. I must tell him that/s.

  • @livinginvancouverbc2247
    @livinginvancouverbc2247 Před 5 měsíci +1

    "Barney Rubblepile! What an asteroid!" 😄

  • @dollywaxman3896
    @dollywaxman3896 Před 4 měsíci

    thanks for the info... gets all of us thinking... how about hooking rockets to it and driving it into deep space?

  • @zeocool84
    @zeocool84 Před 2 měsíci

    cant wait

  • @ym5891
    @ym5891 Před 5 měsíci +2

    I always miss a characteristic of asteroids that is rarely mentioned besides mass and size; Composition.
    A rock primarily made of ice and regular rock isn't as destructive as one made of primarily metals, even if the former is bigger in size or mass.

    • @rafaelgonzalez4175
      @rafaelgonzalez4175 Před 5 měsíci

      Unless you have absolutely no idea which composition of metals the structure is made of. Even if the likely composition is of metalic elements. I am still not convinced, (since I first set my eyes on a periodic chart, I noticed that many elements were missing.) (And mind you that was in the 6th grade. 11 years old.) That the periodic chart is just about complete. All based on Atomic weight. Yet the Cosmos is out of reach.

    • @--SPQR--
      @--SPQR-- Před měsícem

      Velocity and mass are king when it comes to energy transfer, not hardness / density.

    • @ym5891
      @ym5891 Před měsícem

      @@--SPQR-- Yes but you're confining it to the impact, which isn't what I meant.
      If we're talking STRICTLY impact, you're correct. Velocity and mass are the primary consideration.
      But it takes a while for an asteroid to actually impact. It still has to go through the atmosphere. And an asteroid made up primarily of rock and ice will lose mass significantly faster than one made of metals and has a higher chance of exploding in the atmosphere due to the formation of steam inside the asteroid.
      Ergo; Even if the former is bigger, the likelihood of it impacting the surface is significantly less due to the characteristics of the composition.