Brittle morale could cause Russia major problem in winter war | Mark Galeotti interview

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  • čas přidán 24. 11. 2022
  • As Putin’s war enters into the winter, what are the prospects of a peace deal? To discuss the war in Ukraine Steven Edginton is joined by the Russia expert and author of the new book “Putin’s wars” Mark Galeotti.
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Komentáře • 912

  • @michael200927
    @michael200927 Před rokem +43

    Having lived in Ukraine and Eastern Europe myself, i think this is one of the most insightful people at this moment in time. Listen to this man.

    • @A2Z1Two3
      @A2Z1Two3 Před rokem +2

      I was trying to find out how many researchers or or organisation , or even any kind of background to ' Joe Bloggs ' , but found nothing!

    • @fillefrans2020
      @fillefrans2020 Před rokem +1

      I've been following Mark for years, since he was a regular on The Power Vertical on RFE/RL. Always interesting to hear his perspective.

    • @markoconnell804
      @markoconnell804 Před rokem

      No, in needed areas he is wrong. 1 Putin has already stated who will next be on his invasion lists. Poland is one of them. Negotiations now would be in Putin’s favor. He will simply prepare better for those on his list next. This guy refused to see this as it is easily ready news concerning Putin’s statements.

    • @user-hv9vn4fi4w
      @user-hv9vn4fi4w Před rokem

      My aunt was killed in Donbass in 2015 as Ukrainian citizen by Ukrainian army.

  • @anthonymorris2276
    @anthonymorris2276 Před rokem +342

    The problem with a negotiated peace is not merely that Russia and Ukraine are “so far apart”. The more fundamental problem is that Russian promises are worthless. Ukraine has had a peace treaty with Russia since 1994 (the Budapest Memorandum), by which Ukraine agreed to surrender all of its nuclear armaments - then the world’s 3rd largest stockpile - in return for promises to respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and its existing (1994) borders, not to attack Ukraine, and not to subject Ukraine to economic coercion. Russia has broken all of those promises. It would be irrational for Ukraine to surrender any territory in return for promises which have already been made and violated.

    • @robbyduffy1
      @robbyduffy1 Před rokem +22

      Then the Russian offer would have to be immediate and tangible like reparations, land, privatisation of state media, guarantee of publicly owned media cos, Putin’s head on a plate and the ability to supervise and validate Russian elections from now on.

    • @jenniferconroy4517
      @jenniferconroy4517 Před rokem +2

      Agree totally, RUSSIA HAS NO WORD , PUTIN IS A EVIL WARMONGER.....I HOPE THE WORLD WILL NEVER FORGIVE OR FORGET...WATCH OUT FOR CHINA , THEY LOOKING TO TROUBLE TWAINAN...

    • @davidelliott5843
      @davidelliott5843 Před rokem

      @@robbyduffy1 Putin is backed by a powerful minority that not only support his actions, many want even more fascism. Remove Putin and an even worse zealot will take his place.

    • @Agressor-ft3eb
      @Agressor-ft3eb Před rokem +19

      Ukraine withdrew from this agreement in 2014 immediately after the coup d'état and abandoned the non-bloc status that was spelled out in it.

    • @theculturedjinni
      @theculturedjinni Před rokem +33

      @@Agressor-ft3eb After Russia had constantly interfered in Ukraine even before that...

  • @EhEhEhEINSTEIN
    @EhEhEhEINSTEIN Před rokem +93

    5:52 I think there's a need to think about that question in reverse. Guaranteed that if the Russians had invaded part of Alaska, we were fighting a prolonged war against them and Ukraine started pressuring us to make a peace deal while the Russians were still holding bits of Alaska, EVERY American would reject the idea of negotiating for "peace."

    • @gregorywarnshuis323
      @gregorywarnshuis323 Před rokem +7

      Yes, Russia invading Alaska sounds like a rather extreme hypothetical, however, there are literally elements in Russia that have and continue to seriously promote this.

    • @hoodatdondar2664
      @hoodatdondar2664 Před rokem +16

      Historically, Alaska was ruled directly from Moscow. If the Russians say it is theirs, then a referendum should be held in the part the USA controls, to see if the USA should annex Moscow.
      Just what Putin did in Donbas.

    • @Darth_Vader258
      @Darth_Vader258 Před rokem +4

      @@hoodatdondar2664 Russia 🇷🇺 SOLD Alaska to the US 🇺🇲. I do NOT think Russia can BEAT US, since Russia cannot even BEAT Ukraine 🇺🇦.

    • @FrontLinePub
      @FrontLinePub Před rokem

      Except none of these countries would support America, they can't even find their own military right now.

    • @garybeaton3802
      @garybeaton3802 Před rokem

      The Americans are trying to annex Moscow. Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Vietnam were rehearsals.

  • @brandonmcheyenehoward1077
    @brandonmcheyenehoward1077 Před rokem +107

    For those of us living in Europe closer to this crazy event, nothing less that complete withdrawal by Russia is acceptable. The future depends on it

    • @Alicja1Fenigsen
      @Alicja1Fenigsen Před rokem +3

      emotionally, I'd agree. In reality, the only way to a livable future seems to be some sort of deep and long overdue reform development in Russia itself, from within. It seems possible and really needed. Any diplomatic "acceptance" would be the cherry on that cake

    • @andrewwright4464
      @andrewwright4464 Před rokem +7

      @@Alicja1Fenigsen Good luck with that

    • @johnswimcat
      @johnswimcat Před rokem +8

      Yes, some of us realise that the war in Ukraine is the front line between autocracy and democracy. Every dictator in the world will be watching to see how the West handles this. It's really important for the free world 🌎 Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

    • @MurrayLake
      @MurrayLake Před rokem +4

      It's not clear that the EU has a near term future in the new multipolar world. The Americans have seen to that.

    • @harryjacobs2462
      @harryjacobs2462 Před rokem

      as warnings were laid out for many years, nothing less than a complete withdraw by NATO and all their proxy forces will end this conflict.

  • @thomasmills3934
    @thomasmills3934 Před rokem +146

    Russia deported many native crimeans and settled crimea with its own citizens. Any vote on crimean independence now would be totally unfair.

    • @paullangton-rogers2390
      @paullangton-rogers2390 Před rokem +1

      Good point. How can that be resolved with a new vote, that's just absurd. Russia's regime corrupts, lies and manipulates facts and truth consistently. Probably the best way to approach the Crimea problem and question, is to try and locate all the people forced out of Crimea and look at the demography of Crimea before Russia invaded and then compare to after. It requires a massive investigation by the UN to get to the truth.

    • @fintonmainz7845
      @fintonmainz7845 Před rokem +3

      @@flowerpower8722 A comment worthy of the late Mister Hitler.

    • @michaelmichelsen
      @michaelmichelsen Před rokem +1

      Agreed. The result of any current referendum when the deck has been stacked isn't free and fair. I don't think that new referendums are even necessary at this point. Let the Ukrainians take back their entire country and call it settled. Oh yea, and return the million plus Ukrainians who have been abducted to Russia to boost their falling population and brain drain.

    • @fintonmainz7845
      @fintonmainz7845 Před rokem

      @@michaelmichelsen That thinking would result in a "permanent war".

    • @RichardTaylor1630
      @RichardTaylor1630 Před rokem +1

      @@fintonmainz7845 It was Hitler's even-more-evil twin Stalin that the entire Crimean Tatar population was deported to Siberia. Russians who were brought in to take their land, as part of that "ethnic cleansing" campaign, have no right to determine the future of the peninsula.

  • @sapprdaddy5684
    @sapprdaddy5684 Před rokem +3

    Always a pleasure listening to mark & Julia Loffe!

  • @Jonas-km4qx
    @Jonas-km4qx Před rokem +11

    One of the best analys I've seen so far. Good man.

  • @Kevin19700
    @Kevin19700 Před rokem +4

    Actually watched this entire vid twice just because there is so much interesting info. Thanks for this most informative interview.

  • @Symphonia1983
    @Symphonia1983 Před rokem +86

    Russia as a country has done something that its hard to look back with any kind of sentimental feeling. They shoved their fist to the world and they dont deserv nothing else then a fist shoved back to them. They pick the fight and they should be dealt with same cards.

    • @miroslavdusin4325
      @miroslavdusin4325 Před rokem +4

      Difficult with them having the most nukes in the World. On the other hand yes. The only positive example I can think of is Finland. They gave USSR very painful lesson and showed that it is not worth attacking them again. It was extremely painful for them as well but now they are a Western country whereas the Baltic countries and Eastern Europe will need another 100 years to recover from the 40 years of Russian occupation.

    • @user-hv9vn4fi4w
      @user-hv9vn4fi4w Před rokem +5

      Love Russia, but not EU or USA

    • @professorhodgeson9762
      @professorhodgeson9762 Před rokem +3

      @@miroslavdusin4325 Did Finland give the USSR a painful lesson by giving away lands in the Golf of Finland, now part of Saint-Petersburg, and full transit of goods through the Moscow Treaty? I bet Russia is looking forward for more Finnish painful lessons.

    • @miroslavdusin4325
      @miroslavdusin4325 Před rokem

      @@professorhodgeson9762 It was painful for both sides but taking in account that USSR had hundred millions of citizens and ready to sacrifice them then what the Finns achieved is admirable. And yes, they gave very hard lesson to the Red army.

    • @ddoumeche
      @ddoumeche Před rokem

      The US picked the fight with Russia in 2014 and UK has been sucking uncle sams balls since 1953 instead of caring its own, nothing new here

  • @albertzondervan6218
    @albertzondervan6218 Před rokem +33

    I had not heard of Mark Galeotti before. He, triggered by good questions from the interviewer, made a serious effort to give a concise description of what's behind the curtain and of why Ukraine is still worth supporting for its quest for freedom from being enslaved. For more on the history of Ukraine, see Prof Timothy Snyder's class (accessible through CZcams) and books. Foremost, one take-home message from this interview is that the West needs to formulate what the end-game should be in this conflict. The West, incl. Ukraine, needs to let Russia know how it can and will have peace. The current war costs too many lives on both sides and is a huge distraction from dealing with other global issues, e.g. climate change, nuclear proliferation, and growing gap between the rich and poor.

    • @valuggel8972
      @valuggel8972 Před rokem +4

      It is hilarious though when these Yes-men claim Putin is surrounded By Yes-men...Fairytales and Projection🤪

    • @ddoumeche
      @ddoumeche Před rokem +7

      Ukraine is already enslaved and Zelensky banned the last opposition party a month ago or two

    • @chrisgreene2623
      @chrisgreene2623 Před rokem

      By next Spring he will sound like the clueless twit he is

    • @seanniemeyer5437
      @seanniemeyer5437 Před rokem

      @@ddoumeche let's fact check your statement. The 11 parties banned by putin all had close ties with Russia, during an invas6of Ukraine by Russia.
      These parties were banned not because they were the opposition, but because they supported the enemy that was invading Ukraine.
      So it's Bull sh!t on your claim. Well done.

    • @Gumby07
      @Gumby07 Před rokem +1

      I appreciate the thought that went into your text and I agree with a lot of it. One of the issues that will need to be overcome is I don’t recall Russia losing a war . Putin is going to have to negotiate from a position he may ignore or be blind to that . Putin has to swallow fact he ran second in a two man race .

  • @thommyrubin1866
    @thommyrubin1866 Před rokem +7

    Pleasure to listen to Mark Galeotti.

  • @peterbrooke1137
    @peterbrooke1137 Před rokem +6

    Wonderful insightful

  • @andrewj4190
    @andrewj4190 Před rokem +58

    There has already been a legitimate referendum in Crimea in December 1991. Having another one only rewards Russia.

    • @simongray2533
      @simongray2533 Před rokem

      I didn't know about that, what was the result?

    • @rickcummings3938
      @rickcummings3938 Před rokem +2

      Crimea is Ukraine. The territory, the land and natural resources all belong to Ukraine for this generation and every generation of Ukrainians yet to come. The humans on this land presently have a choice to make: denounce their Russian citizenship and pledge allegiance to Ukraine....or pack their bags and get to Moscow and never return.....or die.

    • @Alicja1Fenigsen
      @Alicja1Fenigsen Před rokem +2

      @@simongray2533 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Crimean_sovereignty_referendum

    • @hoodatdondar2664
      @hoodatdondar2664 Před rokem +8

      Besides which, Russia gave up any claim to Crimea in the Budapest Memorandum. In return, Ukraine agreed to destroy all its nuclear weapons. It did. Ukraine became a non nuclear country.
      Bet they feel like they got conned, now.
      (Lavrov was asked about this. He said the memorandum was an agreement with the previous government, so not binding. What a weasel.)

    • @simongray2533
      @simongray2533 Před rokem +2

      @@rickcummings3938 Thanks for this. Very interesting. 👍

  • @Conn30Mtenor
    @Conn30Mtenor Před rokem +25

    Mark Galeotti hit multiple pitches out of the park this time.

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Why, russia is winning?

  • @charlesjoseph7424
    @charlesjoseph7424 Před rokem +1

    Probably the most convincing analysis i have heard about the ukraine invasion. Thanks for bringing it to us .

  • @christinemcclymont269
    @christinemcclymont269 Před rokem +1

    Totally addicted to Mark Galeotti's entertaining delivery on his refreshing and original perspectives on Russia.
    Currently reading his insightful The Vory.

  • @fozzyg63
    @fozzyg63 Před rokem +15

    Excellent interview 👏👏👏

    • @cuddycabinrestorationproje9155
      @cuddycabinrestorationproje9155 Před rokem +1

      In 2013, the Levada Center survey found that only 20% of Crimea residents were in favor of joining Russia. And let’s not forget that the Russian Black Sea fleet was located there.

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      All lies but ok

  • @WebnutzerGemeinschaft
    @WebnutzerGemeinschaft Před rokem +6

    One of the best interviews I saw regarding Putin/Russia/war/Ukraine. Will there be a follow-up?

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      The follow up is russia winning

  • @kj4242
    @kj4242 Před rokem +1

    A well articulated point of view that deserves attention

  • @nigeldunkley2986
    @nigeldunkley2986 Před rokem +2

    excellent interview!

  • @Edo9River
    @Edo9River Před rokem +8

    Ok, I am on the verge of buying the book. This guy is great

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Go buy 1984 and look outside youre nato window 🎉

  • @michaelmcgaughey5113
    @michaelmcgaughey5113 Před rokem +33

    If we in the west are so worried about a quick peace then we need to be willing to help Ukraine fight for it, not just supply weapons. Until we are ready to do that we have no voice at the table. It is Ukrainians that are dying to keep the vicious animal currently referred to as Russia in check and off our neck. As for the food issues. That is a clear call out to the world that all countries need to prioritize farming and do everything possible to ensure all countries have the ability to feed themselves. Countries also need to revisit having emergency food reserves made up of food with long shelf lives and a method of rotating that food out to ensure that food security is never issue.

    • @jfk-shotbybanksters479
      @jfk-shotbybanksters479 Před rokem +3

      the one and only vicious animal of this world is the undereducated us----greatings from berlin

    • @leenickshramko1100
      @leenickshramko1100 Před rokem

      Ukraine needs long range missiles which will strike the Russians in the occupied areas and drive them back into Russia. The world community must name Putin, his general butchers war criminals and immediately start to prosecute them in absentia. Patriot missiles would change the game. Should have been provided up front, but the decision was made in the west to let hundreds of thousands of civilians die in the mud.

    • @ywfbi
      @ywfbi Před rokem

      In reality it is obvious the 'west' does not want peace.
      War has a twofold benefit, firstly the profit from weapons and secondly the destruction of competitors.
      The only reason the US is not in Ukraine is because Russia is not a major competitor. They are saving themselves for China.

    • @paulrevere2379
      @paulrevere2379 Před rokem

      The Biden Administration all out war against affordable energy and against American energy independence kinda destroys America's best options on this topic.

    • @adrianlang6550
      @adrianlang6550 Před rokem +1

      Very wise words regarding food security.
      The unhidden issue that many dare not talk about is the massive over population that continues to escalate in northern Africa. That region seems to totally depend on Ukrainian and Russian grain.

  • @alunevans2377
    @alunevans2377 Před rokem +2

    Great insight from Mark

  • @greeneyeswideopen774
    @greeneyeswideopen774 Před rokem +1

    I like this interviewer. Well done.

  • @juliec5309
    @juliec5309 Před rokem +15

    Thing is for Crimea...a lot of people have left and all that's left is pro Russia people pretty much. That s not really fair either. It shojldn't have been allowed in the first place

    • @MeYou-yz2yz
      @MeYou-yz2yz Před rokem

      The Crimea belongs to Britain and France since ancient times. Well 1850s.

    • @paulrevere2379
      @paulrevere2379 Před rokem

      There is no fairness, not even the best case scenario in the real world.
      I'm thinking that the west should just buy Crimea to satisfy Russian ego, but with that Russia would have to desist with all claims on Crimea and every other part of Ukraine.
      Payments made on the installment plan would help ensure compliance and of course even more aid would be sent to Ukraine for rebuilding.

    • @astor_333
      @astor_333 Před rokem

      @@paulrevere2379 What kind of idiot would sell a naval base? Ukraine does not need Donbass with a population.

  • @casard5235
    @casard5235 Před rokem +15

    Mr. Galeotti is a good interviewee in this 'cast and I'm looking forward to finding more of his insights

  • @charlesmackey8179
    @charlesmackey8179 Před rokem +1

    Very knowledgeable guest.

  • @jimmyincredible3141
    @jimmyincredible3141 Před rokem +14

    Yeah sure, granting a country that invades with an inferior force a piece of whatever it asks for after they threatened nukes will be no precedent that will cause any problems ever in the future. Just as well as not honoring guarantees that were specifically given on Ukraine's territorial integrity by western countries won't cause any problems for other countries...A south Korean perspective on this would be very very interesting...

    • @user-hv9vn4fi4w
      @user-hv9vn4fi4w Před rokem

      My aunt was killed in Donbass in 2015 as Ukrainian citizen by Ukrainian army. I'm happy now Donbass is RF! And don't repeat, because Russian-speaking ppl were genocided and killed there many years by Ukrainian government, so they voted to become part of Russia. Europe is untrustable, EU never support Donbass, never said about killed civilians there, but about Ukraine is screeming as crazy donkey.
      I live in South Korea from 2005, US's propoganda is very bad for frendship with North Korea.

    • @jimmyincredible3141
      @jimmyincredible3141 Před rokem +1

      @@user-hv9vn4fi4w Lol, sure...how is the weather in St. Petersburg today?

    • @DieFlabbergast
      @DieFlabbergast Před rokem

      A very shallow comment indeed. Think more deeply.

  • @richardsimms251
    @richardsimms251 Před rokem +5

    Wow ! I have never heard of Mark Galeotti before. What a great conversation ! These were good questions, but the guest seems extremely articulate and a real scholar of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine etc. Please have this guest back again. RS. Canada

  • @klgrmmm
    @klgrmmm Před rokem +10

    One of the finest senses of Russia. Thanks Mark

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      And totally ridiculous, why is putin loosing exactly, he doesent say

  • @steveswearingen6197
    @steveswearingen6197 Před rokem +2

    It is really fascinating that there is a new battery made by a 4 dollar stock price company. Way to go CZcams. Another worthwhile advertisement

  • @patrickshanley4466
    @patrickshanley4466 Před rokem +2

    Excellent discussion- the book was excellent also

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Yes, this was not a denate

  • @mjmej4734
    @mjmej4734 Před rokem +5

    Rewarding murder and stealing is unacceptable.

  • @jonbattin6831
    @jonbattin6831 Před rokem +8

    Of all the Kremlinologists thatve come to the surface since the war began, Mark Galeotti is right up there with Tim Snyder and Fiona Hill IMO.

    • @richardcory5024
      @richardcory5024 Před rokem +1

      Watch Professor Stephen Kotkin. I think his knowledge of the Russian system is unrivalled.

    • @jonbattin6831
      @jonbattin6831 Před rokem

      @@richardcory5024 He's good too. And for the elusive Russian perspective Ekaterina Kotrikadze is great.

  • @srg3798
    @srg3798 Před rokem +1

    Bravo

  • @DataDuncan
    @DataDuncan Před rokem +2

    Steve sorry I couldn't stop laughing at your skew collar and tie 😁

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Could not stop laughing at his lies but ok 😅

  • @brianobrain8985
    @brianobrain8985 Před rokem +23

    Very interesting interview. Well done Steven E too for asking some thoughtful questions. Maybe we should talk more about how Russia is going to see itself and be seen by the world in say 25 years time. Will there be another Putin walking around waving at his cheering fans?

    • @jjbiggmann5576
      @jjbiggmann5576 Před rokem

      PROBABLY....

    • @ED-es2qv
      @ED-es2qv Před rokem +1

      The Russians want a tough, unbeatable leader who is tough on them, and ruthless to the rest of the world. They’ve been raised to want that.

  • @Lousysalsero
    @Lousysalsero Před rokem +10

    One of the most sensible and penetrating comments on the situation. I am interested in the book.

    • @andyhurrell
      @andyhurrell Před rokem

      Hmm, yes, but he doesn't really say anything that one hasn't heard already.

  • @tedbaxter5234
    @tedbaxter5234 Před rokem +2

    How many years did the Paris Peace Accords last? They lasted for years and years. One of the first items, after months of negotiations, was North Vietnam and the United States agreed to the shape and size of the the negotiation table. After months and months…

  • @lionelpayette4628
    @lionelpayette4628 Před rokem +5

    For the war to end in peace, Putin must be taken out of the equation. 🧛‍♀

  • @johnwalsh4857
    @johnwalsh4857 Před rokem +33

    I remember Putin giving a talking down to to his security council just before Russian invaded Ukraine in Feb 2022, and his ministers looked sick, they really did not agree with the war, but Putin adamant egotistical thought he could win fast, boy was he wrong.

    • @andrewwright4464
      @andrewwright4464 Před rokem +1

      The free world will rejoice when he is gone. But who will replace him .???.

    • @johnwalsh4857
      @johnwalsh4857 Před rokem

      @@andrewwright4464 who knows??? but Im preety sure the next ahole to rule Russia will not have any game in Ukraine and will probably blame everything on Putin then withdraw.

    • @andrewwright4464
      @andrewwright4464 Před rokem +1

      @@johnwalsh4857 Let’s hope so ,feel sure there are some normal Russians around who realise what they have lost . Trains made in Germany to name just one thing and the list is very very long now….

    • @muttley00
      @muttley00 Před rokem +2

      The ministers probably new that all that money given to the military, wasn't spent on military equipment!

    • @user-hv9vn4fi4w
      @user-hv9vn4fi4w Před rokem +1

      Capitalism = cannibalism

  • @bezdownunder5481
    @bezdownunder5481 Před rokem +1

    There was also 70k more people volunteered as well. On top of conscripts

  • @rocambole93
    @rocambole93 Před rokem +4

    great analysis from Mark

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Mark has never seen combat, general suruvikin has game over libs

  • @jenpsakiscousin4589
    @jenpsakiscousin4589 Před rokem +3

    I see no signs of Russian morale breaking. The only thing that would break the will to fight would be some kind of settlement

  • @andrewfabia4638
    @andrewfabia4638 Před rokem +3

    Nobody discribet Putin in more precise way,amazing discription of Wołodia Putin

  • @philsaunders65
    @philsaunders65 Před rokem +1

    Excellent interview by Steven Edgington, who once again ably demonstrates how to get the best out of his guest.

  • @leenickshramko1100
    @leenickshramko1100 Před rokem +2

    This month is the anniversary of the Holdomor. Read about the history of Ukraines enslavement by Russia.

  • @Edo9River
    @Edo9River Před rokem +3

    Yes, the 2013 insight is confirmed by an ex- representative of the UK at those negotiations

  • @lewisbrand
    @lewisbrand Před rokem +8

    Never forget that Winston Churchill received a letter from Heinrich Himler a few days before the second world war ended in Europe. Churchill threw that letter into an open fire.

  • @albertosotonicolas7444
    @albertosotonicolas7444 Před rokem +1

    They both live in another world...

  • @larryclemens1850
    @larryclemens1850 Před rokem +29

    Peace is not possible with a country that has twice broken the Budapest accords. The most likely outcome is Russia turning into a milder version of North Korea - an isolated pariah state.
    The most important economic pressure (that will limit Russia's ability to function militarily) that we can put on Russia is to put the infrastructure in place to supply Europe with natural gas and oil from Canada and the United States.
    Tactically, long range capability to effect russian logistics is critical.

    • @hoodatdondar2664
      @hoodatdondar2664 Před rokem

      Europe has decided to do without Russian energy. Pipelines turned off, alternate sources sought. This to remove Russia’s capability for energy blackmail.
      Otherwise, just keep sanctions on. Note these are voluntary, and not a blockade, a blockade is an act of war.

    • @jfk-shotbybanksters479
      @jfk-shotbybanksters479 Před rokem +1

      go on dreaming, my dear

    • @Alicja1Fenigsen
      @Alicja1Fenigsen Před rokem +1

      that sounds very much like en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Versailles . It did work - for a few , not very calm years.

    • @ywfbi
      @ywfbi Před rokem +1

      At least they did not sanction the international criminal court to escape war crimes charges.

    • @Darth_Vader258
      @Darth_Vader258 Před rokem +3

      @@hoodatdondar2664 Keep ON the Sanctions AFTER the War with Ukraine 🇺🇦.

  • @cenccenc946
    @cenccenc946 Před rokem +18

    Let the russian mothers, fathers, wives look across the table at Christmas dinner and think about that empty chair. 🤔 Putin will have much bigger problems than Ukraine this spring.

    • @osric1730
      @osric1730 Před rokem +1

      Maybe, but I wouldn't count on it.

  • @archierobertson7632
    @archierobertson7632 Před rokem +4

    Seek out Col Douglas MacGregor realistic assessment

  • @Robert-tt5tg
    @Robert-tt5tg Před rokem

    Mostly idle chat as far as I'm concerned but he God bless and keep up the good work

  • @Edo9River
    @Edo9River Před rokem +2

    Ok, I’ve ordered the book🎉

  • @toosinbeymen4009
    @toosinbeymen4009 Před rokem +10

    I used to listen to Mark Galeotti whenever he was on rferl and other interviews referring to muscovy (aka russia).
    How very far he has fallen. I'm sorry to see this happen.

    • @johnswimcat
      @johnswimcat Před rokem +6

      I wouldn't want him next to me in a trench. He's so flexible I'm surprised he can even stand up. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 and let the West continue to support them with everything they need. It's the very least we should do.

  • @laughingotter1125
    @laughingotter1125 Před rokem +9

    It's funny how many of these guys crawl out of the woodwork as Russia is losing on the battlefield. Ukraine mounts 2 successful counteroffensives and they nod and say that Ukraine needs to negotiate. Better make peace before they actually win this thing!
    It's not just craven, it's illogical.

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      How is russia loosing exactly?

  • @antonov879
    @antonov879 Před rokem

    Finished his book 'A short history of Russia ', right now. Very short, indeed, but quite satisfying, anyway.

  • @MurrayLake
    @MurrayLake Před rokem +1

    The war is just beginning. Let's see how everyone feels about a deal in February or March. At that point one side or the other will be more than ready to capitulate.

  • @eirikasbjrnberg8753
    @eirikasbjrnberg8753 Před rokem +21

    It is important to remember that Russia is not an old country . It basically was a Moscow county at time of Mongols. It was less than 300 years ago that’s it grew into a big empire . May be we should argue that Sweden should own Russia as Vladimir the Russia *founder* was from there . I say this to show the stupidity of Putin argument . Crimea should likewise belong to Conan the barbarian as an Cimmerian or to Greek or Rome , at least not Russia . May be Tartars as they have been there for long . History is a bad guide for peace

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Why is this important erik?

    • @DieFlabbergast
      @DieFlabbergast Před rokem

      It's still a hell of a lot older than many countries around the globe, including the USA.

  • @stephenwright1328
    @stephenwright1328 Před rokem +3

    The implicit social contract idea came directly from Vlad Vexler, I hope he gave him credit!

    • @jamesewanchook2276
      @jamesewanchook2276 Před rokem

      No, although I heard it too lately from Vlad V.... It's a an older, commonly sensible trope that's been around for over a decade or more. Have a nice day.

  • @gerardcorbett2358
    @gerardcorbett2358 Před rokem +1

    The first line has been eliminated in the first four months

  • @markb8468
    @markb8468 Před rokem +1

    Very good stuff!

  • @Edo9River
    @Edo9River Před rokem +3

    YES! Excellent question to get a comment on Putin’s previous successful invasions !!!!

  • @shooster5884
    @shooster5884 Před rokem +18

    It's such a shame that Putin didn't go the route after he rescued the federation from the initial chaos of the 90's and stabilized the economy, that he didn't instead promote the country as a great multicultural peaceful entity, and highlight it's various ethnic parts and equally economically develop them. Russia should a wonderful part of Europe with all it's diverse and normal economic potential. In the West I suspect most people still only see the federation as ethnic Slav. A lot of people have gone and learned more about the Russian Federation and it's make up since the invasion and the associated countries that anti war or anti Putin Russians have fled to, and know that there is a large Russian population that don't support the current government set up. If a real type of democracy came to Russia it would thrive I believe.

    • @paullangton-rogers2390
      @paullangton-rogers2390 Před rokem +1

      I agree, Russia has and had enormous potential. It's the largest land-mass country on earth with enormous natural resources, particularlly oil and gas..it could be one of the wealthiest and most developed nations on earth. Instead, it has an economy only the size of Italy which is astonishing really. That's because Putin and his cronies have looted the Russian State for 23 years, even before he was President when he was Mayor of St Petersberg him and his cronies were stealing large sums of money from the State. It's estimated well over a trillion dollars of stolen Russian State money is held in banks and assets around the world. Including an estimated $200 billion in Switzerland (the Swiss have only frozen $3 billion of it).
      Really the way Putin and his cronies are running Russia is more like a mafia-cartel, using the Russian State industries and central bank reserves as their own personal money. It's not surprising foreign investment into Russia has been slow since Putin became President, and the country has really gone backwards not forwards. Nobody trusts Putin now at all so I doubt they will have attract foreign companies and investment in the future, except from China.
      When Putin came to power, it was not by a normal democratic process, but rather by succession from another crook, Boris Yeltsin. And therein lies the problem with Russia. Democracy is really an illusion. There is no real political system for opposition parties. What we have in Russia is a corrupt State left-over from the Soviet-era run by a man from that era and a load of cronies who still view Russia and the world from that Soviet-era mindset.

    • @unworthy42
      @unworthy42 Před rokem +1

      It's a shame Putin was ever put in charge of other people's lives. : )

    • @eddiel7635
      @eddiel7635 Před rokem +8

      Only if they came to terms with the fact they are no longer a great power, like most European countries have had to.

    • @shooster5884
      @shooster5884 Před rokem +2

      @@eddiel7635 But if it was a united with Europe in a democratic way, it would be still a great power because Europe with the whole Russian Federation as an additional part of it would be a significantly increased voice in the world, not in competition or opposition to the USA, but in alliance with the USA as maybe a voice that would be positive on some choices of USA foreign policy. Along with other western allies a larger Europe which included the Russian Federation would be positive for all countries in the world. The 'West' would be a huge area of relative stability, peace and reasonable standard of living.

    • @eddiel7635
      @eddiel7635 Před rokem +5

      @@shooster5884 it would be more influential than it is at the moment yeah. But that would require them to understand that they are just another European country rather than the equivalent of a China or USA. They still think with a 19th century mindset. Russia and China are still empires in reality and still think like imperial powers.

  • @brianmurray1395
    @brianmurray1395 Před rokem

    Good luck

  • @geraldfrieberg7921
    @geraldfrieberg7921 Před rokem +1

    Good interview. DITCH that suit and tie, and simply wear an olive green T-shirt. Good job.

  • @goldenears9748
    @goldenears9748 Před rokem +3

    Great interview. Looks like a young Ronny Barker too !

  • @aurelio-reymilaorcabal9669

    Ukraine must get Crimea back , it is that simple, AND IT WILL! Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦

  • @josephketterer3246
    @josephketterer3246 Před rokem +2

    Straightening out his collar and tie would make him look more professional.

  • @user-ww1ip1uz5d
    @user-ww1ip1uz5d Před rokem +1

    Here, some write in the comments that the USSR did not pay the lend-lease debt to the US. That's not true. After the collapse of the USSR, Russia assumed the obligation of the USSR. The lend-lease debt was finally paid and closed as part of the settlement with the Paris Club on August 21, 2006.

  • @JOHNTHORN-kg6wo
    @JOHNTHORN-kg6wo Před rokem +3

    this guy knows what he is talking about

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      He sure does, he says putin is loosing without a reason just some emotional blabber

    • @textmh4999
      @textmh4999 Před rokem

      @@ceo5264 how about 100k dead ivans and losing 8 month worth gains within three weeks for a reason?

  • @pavelhromadka658
    @pavelhromadka658 Před rokem +3

    Great talk! I only doubt Mr. Galeotti's view (however here I probably simplify what he has said) that - besides Putin and his clique - Russia is a rather European country. I believe his opinion ís skewed by the sample of people he probably meets the most (academics, students, journalists, politicians, ...) and the way they tend to talk to him. The reaction (or lack of it) of society as a whole to the soviet-style propaganda and values projected by the top brass disproves it in my opinion. Russia is in its "heart" much more Oriental than European.

  • @David-fj5lz
    @David-fj5lz Před rokem +1

    Any discussions to re-build is what they want?

  • @gerardcorbett2358
    @gerardcorbett2358 Před rokem

    At 10:20 in 1981 in Aber Achier we where at defcon 2

  • @johnfleming5470
    @johnfleming5470 Před rokem +11

    If the people in Chechnya do not want to be part of Russia, will they get a vote?

    • @dughallhalliday1713
      @dughallhalliday1713 Před rokem

      A large chunk of the Russian army in Ukraine are pro-Russia Chechen volunteers.

  • @davidelliott5843
    @davidelliott5843 Před rokem +36

    Ukraine has to be allowed to remove Russia from its lands. But when that happens Ukraine will need to protect its borders in the way Israel does. They’ll need anti-missile batteries and border defences that will actually stop Russia rolling back in.

    • @njswampfox474
      @njswampfox474 Před rokem +4

      In sum, they will need to be in NATO.

    • @user-hv9vn4fi4w
      @user-hv9vn4fi4w Před rokem

      My family lived in Crimea from the time of tsarist Russia (~1892) until the transfer of Crimea to the Ukrainian Republic by Khrushchev in December 1954.

    • @elsestelema6273
      @elsestelema6273 Před rokem

      @@njswampfox474 all the time a country has land disputes it can’t join nato as far as I know

  • @szgiturbo
    @szgiturbo Před rokem +1

    How brittle is it now?

  • @danellashopvlenaandersen1514

    They could try a referendum in transnistria???

  • @XHobbiesPrime
    @XHobbiesPrime Před rokem +3

    No deal with the Russians will be honored by them unless it is on their terms or backed by force. It makes no sense for Ukraine to negotiate now.

    • @ceo5264
      @ceo5264 Před rokem

      Makes a lot of sense, they will loose everything

  • @hybridarmyoffreeworld
    @hybridarmyoffreeworld Před rokem +8

    "We lost nothing."
    "Also, I declare mobilisation."
    -Vladolf Pootler

  • @gerardcorbett2358
    @gerardcorbett2358 Před rokem

    Its called fast Ops light vehicles can move over terrain at speed

  • @alanshackelford6450
    @alanshackelford6450 Před rokem +2

    Otto von Bismarck would've certainly understood Putin, and he would've certainly played him life a fine tuned piano. Much of Putin's success on foreign policy is a testimony to the incompetence of foreign policy makers in the West rather than to any genius or insight he might have.

  • @KapitanPoop
    @KapitanPoop Před rokem +3

    When I hear a British accent, I know I'm going to hear about how Russia will fall apart next week... If not this week...well...next week then!

    • @toby9999
      @toby9999 Před rokem

      Next year might be nice.

  • @hodgesmilton55
    @hodgesmilton55 Před rokem +2

    very interesting and insightful

  • @bernardzsikla5640
    @bernardzsikla5640 Před rokem +51

    Ok, Russia and Ukraine will definitely have a relationship eventually but that is DECADES away. The rest of Eastern Europe is fencing off Russia and so will Ukraine.

    • @JMARTIN1947
      @JMARTIN1947 Před rokem +1

      Normalization of relations between Russia and Ukraine is GENERATIONS away.

    • @paulrevere2379
      @paulrevere2379 Před rokem

      After the fighting, let Russian gas flow through Ukraine. No reparations on Russia, but heavy tarriffs to Ukraine as the gas flows to Europe. Everybody gets something providing everyone commits to economic recovery as a priority over rehashing grievances. Incentivised tolerance.
      Simply put, there is no magic solution. Nobody is going to be fully satisfied. No schemes for achieving justice will give life back to innocent people who have been killed and murdered.
      There will have to be trade-offs. The best trade-offs will be those that do not feed the kind of bitterness that leads to another war.

    • @ismaelamaro7728
      @ismaelamaro7728 Před rokem

      Ukraine is Russia. Get a clue, or a history book.

    • @bernardzsikla5640
      @bernardzsikla5640 Před rokem +2

      @@ismaelamaro7728 Sorry dude, historically, it isn't that clear if Ukraine is Russian or is Russia is Ukrainian.
      Right now, Ukraine is a independent sovereign country with a self identity. Most importantly, Russia has signed documents to that fact.
      Btw, I was History major in college, not troll college, a real college.

    • @paulrevere2379
      @paulrevere2379 Před rokem

      @@ismaelamaro7728 The British Empire did not cease to be significant after they lost to a bunch of rag-tag colonials who ceased to identify as British subjects.
      The result was the beginning of the most free and prosperous nation in the history of the world, but Britain has no need to be insecure or jealous therefore. Britain is still great and USA is one of Britain's best friends.
      The American claim was valid and God has blessed America.
      If anything, the Ukrainian claim to independence is even more valid, and God will bless Ukraine.

  • @jesusjuarezflores2196
    @jesusjuarezflores2196 Před rokem +1

    "To be an enemy of America could be dangerous but to be a friend is fatal" H. Kissinger. Honest message to NATO European countries and Ukraine.

  • @idlehands1238
    @idlehands1238 Před rokem +6

    47 minutes of excellent analysis though I only agreed with about 40 mins
    I hope Russia breaks up after this so it is no longer a threat that can be waved about on the whims of a despot.

  • @kikemarugan4843
    @kikemarugan4843 Před rokem +17

    Diplomacy is impossible with a pathological liar who gives promises he never means to keep.

  • @ChuckAmadi
    @ChuckAmadi Před rokem

    The Crimean Peninsula had a autonomy before the Orcs invasion. Tatars Government are in Kiev not Belgorod or Moscow.

  • @predsednik77
    @predsednik77 Před rokem +1

    Selfdetermination?!
    Like, Scotland, for example?

  • @Luumus
    @Luumus Před rokem +81

    Can we stop paying attention to Elon Musk's opinions on subjects which he knows nothing about, such as geo-politics, Ukraine war and so on? That guy's ego is already out of control and his wealth and privilege does not mean his half-baked tweets are more valuable than the opinions of actual experts.

    • @stream2watch
      @stream2watch Před rokem +6

      Looking forward to him crashing Twitter

    • @qboxer
      @qboxer Před rokem +1

      @@stream2watch I am not sure that he will. I wouldn’t anchor yourself to that assumption.

    • @stream2watch
      @stream2watch Před rokem +3

      @@qboxer Well, the stock has gone private so I can't even bet on it. We will see.

    • @adoatero5129
      @adoatero5129 Před rokem +3

      - "Can we stop paying attention to Elon Musk's opinions on subjects which he knows nothing about, such as geo-politics, Ukraine war and so on?"
      It's indeed a strange phenomenon in the media that weight is put on some people's opinion on arbitrary matters just because they are rich and famous. I have noticed it especially in the US media, and I don't know how common it's in other countries (mine seems to be affected in this regard by the US media to some extent, but not terribly much). In the case of Elon Musk it's even more strange because at this phase it seems pretty obvious to me that he has larger than minor mental issues. Perhaps the idea is to create as much circus around the matter as possible to captivate the attention of the audience

    • @paulgibbon5991
      @paulgibbon5991 Před rokem

      Musk is good at one thing--creating a brand out of himself and selling his fanboys on the idea of himself as a manly capitalist Randian superman. He's a mediocre engineer and IT man, and got a head start from daddy's apartheid mines.

  • @gerardcorbett2358
    @gerardcorbett2358 Před rokem +4

    Winter favors Ukraine the terrain and the [position of forces (Will to will)]

  • @aggressivecalm
    @aggressivecalm Před rokem

    Some levelheaded analysis, 29:32 prior to spouting assumptions and supposition like their facts…

  • @blackmagic8115
    @blackmagic8115 Před rokem +1

    If the “Global South” doesn’t like the “infringement” then why don’t they grow their own food?

  • @celticman1909
    @celticman1909 Před rokem +16

    A highly significant issue was the 2017 lease renewal date for the Russian Navy's occupation of the Naval bases on Crimea,
    bases established during the reign of Katherine the Great in the 1700's.
    The souring relationship between Kiev and Moscow put the renewal in doubt, and no way was Putin going to give up those bases and ports.
    Putin made his move in 2014 to head off that problem.

    • @takeitasacompliment.
      @takeitasacompliment. Před rokem

      How was it souring?

    • @celticman1909
      @celticman1909 Před rokem

      @Bar Putin was coercing the Ukrainian government by political manipulations. He backed Eastern Ukrainian candidates like Vicktor Yanokovich for President to turn Ukraine away from the EU and sign a trade pact with Moscow.
      Eastern Ukraine is more ethnicly Russian and more Russian speaking than Western Ukraine, hence the ready separatists movement in the East. Anyway, the Ukrainian people balked at moving backwards towards Russia and that sent Yanokovich running out to Russia in the middle of the night. Putin tried it easy way, that failed, so he started the hard way in 2014.

    • @tailthemarketmaker2551
      @tailthemarketmaker2551 Před rokem +1

      This is correct. ✊

    • @danielhowe5410
      @danielhowe5410 Před rokem +2

      Don't forget nato moving up to Russian borders and into their naval bases in crimea and the missile silos they want to continue to build on Russias borders while the US pay the kurds to attack putin ally assad.

    • @tailthemarketmaker2551
      @tailthemarketmaker2551 Před rokem

      @@danielhowe5410 NATO is the aggressor. Incompetent individuals are put into positions of power and influence. They don’t not know what they are doing, they only knew the people to get the position.

  • @joaoheinz3449
    @joaoheinz3449 Před rokem +1

    This guy could read bedtime stories and provide hot chocolate for all and did actually say "once upon a time" at one point in his monologue. He's the total antithesis of Douglas Macgregor

  • @gerardcorbett2358
    @gerardcorbett2358 Před rokem +1

    650,00 left and the fact that they going to Prison population that says volumes'

  • @SashaSantosScott
    @SashaSantosScott Před rokem +3

    Russian morale is brittle? Doesn't seem so

  • @MrCatalhuyuk
    @MrCatalhuyuk Před rokem +3

    The speakers have not mentioned the number of soldiers from the ethnic groups in the Russian Fed, compared to those, usual white and Caucasian, in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Nor to Russian nationalism as against Asian nationals. The speaker believes 140 million is colossal, but Java has a population of the same. Java is not even a country. Most Russians are poorly educated with about 9 years of education.