Sergei Guriev on The Implications of Sanctions on the Russian Economy

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  • čas přidán 7. 09. 2024

Komentáře • 65

  • @mscommerce
    @mscommerce Před 2 lety +19

    This is superb, and a considerable public service at a time like this, of war and confusion.

  • @TheMap1997
    @TheMap1997 Před 2 lety +6

    Thank you! This is very substantive!

  • @Felorad
    @Felorad Před 2 lety +9

    Great presentation Sergei - thanks!

  • @cwaddle
    @cwaddle Před 2 lety +7

    Amazing insight, very ptactical.

  • @barrylane4164
    @barrylane4164 Před 2 lety +2

    Excellent!!! Thank you so much!!!

  • @osteomuk
    @osteomuk Před 2 lety +5

    Sergey, you are awesome!

  • @ruthjilani4760
    @ruthjilani4760 Před 2 lety +4

    Great presentation thanks

  • @DanKrishtal
    @DanKrishtal Před 2 lety +6

    5:35 I'm not sure, if it is correct. There is an electronic wallet "Troika", which can be used to pay for any public transport in Moscow. No cash is needed. Most people use this E-wallet. And also, the majority of turnstiles in moscow metro doesn't accept google pay or apple pay as a payment method.

    • @aleksey2323
      @aleksey2323 Před 2 lety +1

      they do accept apple pay and google pay, but most people do use the metro cards as they are cheaper than average single payments

  • @semidemiurge
    @semidemiurge Před 2 lety +4

    Excellent and very informative conversation.

  • @mr_ion
    @mr_ion Před 2 lety

    Thank you!

  • @iamthereforeistrive9392
    @iamthereforeistrive9392 Před 2 lety +2

    А вы знали, что Сергей Гуриев-представитель Young Global Leaders от Клауса со Шваброй?

    • @Sha-Ayo
      @Sha-Ayo Před 2 lety +1

      that's why they put him here. he says what the west wants to hear

    • @iamthereforeistrive9392
      @iamthereforeistrive9392 Před 2 lety

      @@Sha-Ayo I am glad somebody understands it.

  •  Před 2 lety +5

    Isn't a problem with crypto that in order to sell your crypto, somehow has to buy it and transfer the currency to you. That requires a bank transfer, which is blocked by the sanctions. Depending on the bank you use of of course.

  • @jamesstmanhattan
    @jamesstmanhattan Před 2 lety +5

    The country's done for, all the major businesses/corporations have pulled their operations out of the country, the currency has tanked, and the worst part of the collapse of the currency is yet to come, wait until the markets open and the currency collapses for good, as of now, the collapse of the currency hasn't even begun, the markets haven't priced it in yet, what they've had so far shall pale in comparison to what's in store for them.
    The unemployment is bound to skyrocket, and crime will follow (as it always does), in no time at all they will find themselves living in a North Korea-type environment, with no prospects of having any semblance of a prosperous, economically/financially sound future.
    They've gone from being an impoverished authoritarian state, to being a destitute totalitarian state. The collapse is imminent, it's gonna be like the '90s on steroid for them, and they've got their own government to blame it on.

    • @castlewindsor5592
      @castlewindsor5592 Před 2 lety +1

      Very true.

    • @aleksey2323
      @aleksey2323 Před 2 lety

      markets will open and stocks will jump up, just watch

    • @jamesstmanhattan
      @jamesstmanhattan Před 2 lety +1

      @@aleksey2323 Let's wait and see

    • @patricks1251
      @patricks1251 Před 2 lety

      I think the same thing, if all the people with no capital markets experience are predicting currency collapse, the exact opposite will happen... lmao , the same people who tell you tesla is gonna go to $2000 and takeover the car industry are telling you the Russian currency is gonna collapse ... laughable

    • @jamesstmanhattan
      @jamesstmanhattan Před 2 lety

      @@patricks1251 Let's see who's gonna be laughing in the end.

  • @jeanque2130
    @jeanque2130 Před 2 lety

    Guriev is a very handsome, brilliant, intelligent man

  • @alipaf2002
    @alipaf2002 Před 2 lety +3

    About aircrafts, there is a black market, and why should not China help Russia.

  • @toffee9113
    @toffee9113 Před 2 lety +4

    Great insights but practically many countries will buy oil off Russia. As such Russia is discounting oil 25 % for rest of the world other than Europe & America's.

    • @smallpeople172
      @smallpeople172 Před 2 lety +3

      They would fall under the same sanctions if they buy

    • @johnnymatias3027
      @johnnymatias3027 Před 2 lety +2

      A 25% drop in Russian oil revenue would mean something like a 7-8% drop in the Russian state budget.

    • @user-ub4ud9gy4d
      @user-ub4ud9gy4d Před 2 lety +3

      @@mithrandirthegrey7644 Yeah. This guy says some stuff that makes sense but then goes nuts.

  • @HC-gn2pv
    @HC-gn2pv Před 2 lety +5

    They just mentioned ideas that everyone knows.

  • @thegospelmessenger1corinth634

    Romans 1:16 - King James Version
    16 For I am not ashamed of the gospel of Christ: for it is the power of God unto salvation to every one that believeth; to the Jew first, and also to the Greek. (The Letter of Paul to the Romans)
    Romans 5 - King James Version
    18 Therefore as by the offence of one judgment came upon all men to condemnation; even so by the righteousness of one the free gift came upon all men unto justification of life. (offence of one - Adam's one trespass, one sin, led to the condemnation of all men - the righteousness act of one was Jesus' death on the cross to pay for human sin)
    Salvation is not getting your sins forgiven, it's believing they already are!
    We are all sinners and fall short in God his glory - how to be saved - this is the gospel of salvation - 1 Corinthians chapter 15 verses 1-4 by trusting and believing the gospel of salvation you are saved and sealed with the Holy Spirit of promise till the day of redemption and nothing can pluck you out of the Father his hand - (In whom we have redemption through his blood , even the forgiveness of sins: (Colossians 1:14 - King James Version) - eternal security is a free gift - it's a promise and God Almighty cannot lie!!! Have a blessed day!
    This is the gospel of salvation - 1 Corinthians chapter 15 verses 1-4
    Witnesses of Christ's resurrection. 1) Moreover,brethren, I declare unto you the gospel which I preached unto you, which also ye have received, and wherein ye stand; 2) ''By which also ye are saved, if ye keep in memory what I preached unto you, unless ye have believed in vain. 3) For I delivered unto you first of all that which I also received, how that Christ died for our sins according to the scriptures; 4) And that he was buried, and that he rose again the third day according to the scriptures.
    IT IS FINISHED... Paid in Full !!! But, You Must BELIEVE IT - 1 Corinthians 15:1-4 KJV.
    2 Timothy 2
    King James Version
    15 Study to shew thyself approved unto God, a workman that needeth not to be ashamed, rightly dividing the word of truth.
    Romans 2:16
    King James Version
    16 In the day when God shall judge the secrets of men by Jesus Christ according to my gospel. (Paul's Gospel - 1 Corinthians chapter 15 verses 1-4).

  • @alekyanhovhannes
    @alekyanhovhannes Před 2 lety +2

    grande Markus, grande!

  • @davydacounsellor
    @davydacounsellor Před 2 lety +5

    No the polish goverment took Russia to court because the spot price fell below the long term contract price, $250 they took Russia to the European court and won. Then when the spot price went up to over $1000, then the Europeans were not happy. Bias guest. Ps. This will only hurt the European working people.

    • @jezalb2710
      @jezalb2710 Před 2 lety +1

      Exactly. Our dumb Polish government

  • @23poiuz
    @23poiuz Před 2 lety +2

    lots of claims, where are the numbers and proofs? eg 5:19: a mere claim that date of invasion and rise in BTC 3 days later are related.

    • @lenkkraftverstaerker
      @lenkkraftverstaerker Před 2 lety +3

      you can always claim there's no prove of causality between price curves and events. it's a matter of plausibility and there simply hasn't been any other overarching topic dominating financial markets the last days, so it's up to you to present some alternative explenation to help maintain a constructive discourse

    • @23poiuz
      @23poiuz Před 2 lety +3

      @@lenkkraftverstaerker 20% volatility in BTC-USD over a month: just normal fluctuations in crypto and risk-on/off movements at the macro level. I can find many charts with a U shape and a local minima around 25th of february. Which of these would tell me anything about cause-effect in markets? I'm also quite sure you can find charts with a reverse U shape and a local maxima around 25th feb. Maybe something could be distilled looking at many such charts and correlation with 25th feb. maybe. Also, why is it on me to invent explanations when looking at random noise?

  • @patricks1251
    @patricks1251 Před 2 lety

    I'm gonna be objective here and say this was very biased pro western view of the situation ... and I live in the west/ background in capital markets

  • @user-yu5xd7iq1e
    @user-yu5xd7iq1e Před 9 měsíci

    Гуриев, ты перекрыл релокантам кислород. Вместо борьбы с режимом ты помогаешь борьбе с простым народом. Россияне тебя не простят

  • @NguyenNguyen-ft6yg
    @NguyenNguyen-ft6yg Před 2 lety +1

    cant understand the word coming out ur mouth

  • @projectallende
    @projectallende Před 2 lety +2

    Somewhat one-sided perspective no?

    • @patricks1251
      @patricks1251 Před 2 lety +1

      One sided yes and the comments are 90% one sided as well nice to see someone else with a brain cheers . This is the old way of thinking financial system/banking/ fractional reserve type QE thinking vs hard assets/energy/agricultural commodities at play you can't print any of the latter, the west will be hurt magnitudes more than the one producing the resources that can't be fungible in today's fungible economy

  • @user-vm3sv4hy9j
    @user-vm3sv4hy9j Před 2 lety

    Bla bla bla only