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We just had a bear market 2 years ago..

The placement of your face box was much better this time. Thanks.

Jesse Livermore states there are two types of sucker ,the plain vanilla , and the one who knows a little about the market ,the semi sucker. I am on the fence about how to classify Ilya . I am going with he knows squat ,or , diddly squat

A year ago we were going to have 6 cuts at least by now. . Each missed cut has just been a green light to hit the moon shot button . Clearly Ilya needs to get the update tea leaf reading instruction manual or not read the For Dummies version . The other alternative is wait till he hits the time on his broken clock .

Tom look at the data, when the yield curve goes above zero. A recession or something bad in the financial market goes down.

Tom, your head is so far up your backside you can't see any light.

Trump 2024...he sweeps both houses too without cheating.

i wish you guys would drop politics…, kind of like Dick Cheney.

great content, but echo the other commenters, your face box covered most of what you were talking about it. Please move it to bottom left or remove it.

I think the "why September" could be broken into two pieces--- 1) Why is the "overall win rate"(green month) so low at 30%?? ie..Mutual funds rebalance for the last qtr.....Hedge fund managers come back from summer break & feel cautious after YTD gains....or want to sell tax loss stocks....Parents need to sell to fund their kids college bills...etc 2) Why have so many crashes occurred in this month(and October)? Did we get "pre-selling" in August in fear of the september swoon esp in election years?

Good breakdown, thank you, I normally tune this thread of conversation out and just trade what is in front of me, like you said the inconsistency makes one disregard the data, but may have given me a blind spot, so I really appreciate your effort to give a clear step by step walk thru of the chess board. Although it is weird some of my best trading weeks p/l wise has been when something busts my thesis and I have no feel or opinion. I guess stay small and see what they give us

If Goldman Sachs is lowering copper target, I will definitely do the opposite and go super long here. Similarly, I am already short on Gold. September is seasonally weak for Gold. Will come back to this comment by the end of September !

You're a nice looking guy, Tim, but I would rather see you on the bottom left of the screen.

Whatever they say revise the number down at least a million, that's the real number. They'll revise it later. They always do. Today it seemed like they take any excuse to buy. Bad news, push the market up.

Every week there is some Super Bowl of data pieces. It’s exhausting.

add memes. job revision -1M john travolta dancing

I love this channel long time fan ... Sometimes that's all I want sand need some good ol macro

Tom couldn't be more wrong concerning AI regulation. They can't even regulate social media, which is a drop of water in the AI ocean. I'm behind Radigan on this one

If only we could see the charts and not your face :D. Not that you look bad, but we prefer charts please.

Tom and his cute hat don’t want freedom of speech.

Great content but you can't see the most important part of the chart because the video of you is over the top of it

Death! Nice intro!

your voice is too soft. not loud at all

Hunter Biden’s laptop is political nonsense. Here is proof. Some guy has a laptop that in 5 years has not proven any criminal action, because no one has been indicted. That laptop is given to the FBI. The FBI, does not normally announce an on going investigation. So, Rudy Giuliani’s lawyer released a “copy” of the laptop to the New York Post, a Fox News sister company. No one knows if Giuliani’s version is the same as the FBI’s version, but it’s being released a few weeks before the election. That is the scam, Giuliani is promoting this information not the FBI. The FBI, who has not indicted anyone in 5 yrs over a laptop that had no bearing on Biden’s candidacy.

If I owned a social media company during a pandemic. I would block all non-CDC compliant pandemic information. If someone posts a message that goes viral and causes multiple deaths, my company faces huge lawsuit(s). That is just smart business.

MAGA - Moscow's Allies Grifting Americans

Tom has no convexity here...selling strangles on free speech now eh?

just do a dollar cost average for 8-16 months and you will be fine. If Boeing can start to have momentum

Tom... Your blanket statements about this topic are so dismissive and false that it's insane. You might be the most wrong you've ever been about anything ever. YOU'VE been played. You're just flat out wrong, factually and on principle.

Tasty or CZcams keeps censoring my comments.

Is FB in China, or Is X in China? No, they aren't, there's the difference. I was for the vaccine and I was wrong, now I know more, but at the time nobody knew and most people were scared. Looking back it's clear, but at the time we didn't know. We aren't perfect, and we are better than most.

So Mr. Sosnoff would say that G. Gordon Liddy was wrong for refusing to be a rat, despite being guilty of the crime? One freedom I'm glad to have is the right to not incriminate myself, even if the right is enjoyed by scoundrels.

Dylan ran an absolute clinic on a guy who disagreed with the initial points and then used the same points to make his arguments later on lol, cognitive dissonance at finest Tom Sosnoff 😅

zucker-borg hahahahaha Why is this edited so much? Dylan is amazing such a great higher. This is great conversation. Why is there no AID's vaccine? Dylan should ask "What happens when a certain party or president is in office. How does that effect social media policy now?

Tom is a socialism for me rugged individualism for everyone else

Tom is 100% wrong on this issue. This is a free speech issue.

Always enjoy these spirited debates - Thanks Guys!

Watch before it gets deleted.

You mispronounced "inside job"

Excellent analysis , as always

Great points Veechio.. Sept 2001 was 9/11 that's was the reason for the market crash. Amazing to buy BOFA in 2008 while it was $$2.38 a share. Great interview.

He'll see what a hard landing is. It's coming right up I think.

Safety and Loss Prevention*. I don't think we want safety prevention.

yay tasty

dylan got lost in the hype

Surprised I agree with Tom on several points. Not on unions because of “ free trade” capital will move to the lowest labor cost. You could monetize robots labor and tax it and still be more efficient. It works 24/7.

Guy in the middle is good

Tom is simply wrong. Robotics will replace jobs, period. We've seen this on the assembly lines in the auto industry.

Higher paying jobs. Cheaper goods, s more money for all, I guess real estate prices will continue to go through the roof....

Hi Ilya, how do I contact you about potentionally doing a webinar for an industry group?