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The Market Huddle
Canada
Registrace 4. 11. 2018
Join Patrick Ceresna and Kevin Muir each week as these two traders get together to discuss the market action while having a little fun in the process. So go ahead, grab a beer!
MH+ Ep.40 Bullish on a Soft Landing (guest: Joseph Wang)
On this weeks Huddle +, Patrick welcomes back to the show, ’The FED Guy’ Jospeh Wang. They discuss, FED policy, Inflation, the European election impact on the market & currencies.
Check out The Fed Guy: www.fedguy.com
*Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com
Visit our merch store!!! ⭐️ www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/
⭐️ To receive our emails with the charts and links each week, please register at: markethuddle.com/
Check out The Fed Guy: www.fedguy.com
*Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com
Visit our merch store!!! ⭐️ www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/
⭐️ To receive our emails with the charts and links each week, please register at: markethuddle.com/
zhlédnutí: 3 033
Video
The Pain Trade is COMING!
zhlédnutí 2,6KPřed 2 dny
Hedging Your Bullishness: Staying Invested during Recession Risks ✅SPECIAL FREE LIVE Webinar - Tuesday June 18th, 2024 at 11:00am ET: bit.ly/3XlUITF Explore with Patrick and Luke the historical pattern of interest rate cuts and recessions, and discuss Fed Chair Powell's optimism about breaking this cycle. Learn why now is the time to consider hedging strategies to protect your portfolio amidst ...
What The Market is Under Appreciating (Guest: Ben Rabidoux)
zhlédnutí 11KPřed 2 dny
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome to the show, Ben Rabidoux from North Cove Advisors. Kev & Ben have a discussion about the differences between US and Canadian housing markets, where the opportunities lie and whether the Big Short will finally work in Canada. Follow Ben on X: benrabidoux *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: 📩nostupidquestions@markethuddl...
Small-Cap Value Opportunities (Guest: Tucker Scott)
zhlédnutí 4,5KPřed 21 dnem
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome to the show, Tucker Scott from Bergen Park Capital. They dive into his career managing the Templeton Mutual Fund, highlighting his strategies and successes. Then, he unveils his top picks for undervalued foreign stocks, emphasising that when he says "cheap," he means stocks that are unbelievably dirt-cheap. Check Out Bergen Park Capital: bergenparkcapital.com...
MH+ Ep.39 You Can’t Handle The Truth (guest: Russell Grant Clark)
zhlédnutí 2,9KPřed 28 dny
On this weeks Huddle , Kevin welcomes back to the show, Russell Grant Clark. They discuss, interest rates, China, Japan and why Russell thinks we’re headed for a stronger economy. Check out Paul’s Substack: www.russell-clark.com/ *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our merch store!!! ⭐️ www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/ ⭐️ To rece...
Bull in a China Shop (Guest: Leonid Mironov)
zhlédnutí 4,5KPřed měsícem
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome to the show, Leonid Mironov from PACAT Asset Management. They dive into an insightful discussion about China, analyzing what has been done right, what has gone wrong, and where the country is seeing success. Leonid then shifts the focus to commodities, sharing his expert predictions for the future in this dynamic market. Follow Leonid Mironov on X: www.x.com/...
MH+ Ep.38 Schumpeter's Dream (guest: Paul Krake)
zhlédnutí 1,7KPřed měsícem
On this weeks Huddle , Kevin welcomes back to the show, founder of View From The Peak, Paul Krake. They discuss the evolving landscape of AI, the energy transition, and the innovative fuel sources that could support it. Check out: www.viewfromthepeak.com *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our merch store!!! ⭐️ www.themarkethu...
The Evolving Market Structure (Guest: Peter Haynes & Jenny Hadiaris)
zhlédnutí 3,3KPřed měsícem
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome to the show, Jenny Hadiaris head of market structure from TD Cowen & Peter Haynes, head of index and market structure research from TD Securities. They discuss the evolving markets, how the markets have changed and where they may be headed in the future. Check Out Bid Out With Peter Haynes: bit.ly/4bhywyx *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your ques...
MH+ Ep.37 The Rules Are Changing (guest: Warren Pies)
zhlédnutí 3,3KPřed měsícem
On this weeks Huddle , Kevin welcomes back to the show, Chief Strategist & Cofounder of 3Fourteen Research, Warren Pies. They discuss Warren's predictions on oil and stocks, as well as his insights on future market trends. Follow Warren on X: warrenpies Check out: www.3fourteenresearch.com/ *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddl...
MH+ Ep.36 So, it Seems Like I Missed Something (guest: Steve Sosnick)
zhlédnutí 2,5KPřed 2 měsíci
On this weeks Huddle , Patrick welcomes back to the show, Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist, Steve Sosnick. They talk about the surprising turbulence in global equity markets and how Steve came to understand it. Follow Steve on X: SteveSosnick Check out: ibkrcampus.com/author/steve-sosnick/ *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethu...
Lost Control of Financial Conditions (Guest: Danny Dayan)
zhlédnutí 4,5KPřed 2 měsíci
This week is an interview only episode to give Patrick some much needed R & R. So Kevin welcomes to the show, Danny Dayan from Macro Musing. They discuss how the FED has lost control of financial conditions and why inflation will be higher than the market expects in the coming years. Follow Danny on X: DannyDayan5 Subscribe to Macro Musing on Substack: dannydayan.substack.com/ *Got ...
MH+ Ep.35 The Uncomfortable Truth About Money (guest: Paul Podolsky)
zhlédnutí 2KPřed 2 měsíci
On this weeks Huddle , Kevin welcomes back to the show, author of Raising A Thief, Paul Podolsky. They discuss Paul’s view on the FED and whether they’re politically motivated, the upcoming US election and the effects it could have on markets. Follow Paul on X: Paul_Podolsky Check out Paul’s Substack: www.paulpodolsky.com *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions t...
MH+ Ep.34 Talkin’ Charts With Tony (guest: Tony Greer)
zhlédnutí 2,6KPřed 2 měsíci
On this weeks Huddle , Patrick welcomes to the show, Founder of TG Macro, Tony Greer. Patrick and Tony discuss the recent moves in gold and take a closer look at the mining stocks and crude oil. Follow Tony on X: TGMacro *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our merch store!!! ⭐️ www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/ ⭐️ To r...
Fundamentals Tightening Under The Covers (Guests: Paulo Macro & Kuppy)
zhlédnutí 17KPřed 2 měsíci
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome Paulo Macro to the show. Kevin and Paulo discuss about why this cycle is different, which commodities have fundamentals improving under the covers, and how he is playing this new era. Then we have a special double header with our good friend Kuppy to announce a new stock that he has previously never mentioned! Follow Paulo on X: PauloMacro Subscri...
MH+ Ep.33 Copper, Dispersion & Commodities (guest: Will Thomson)
zhlédnutí 2,5KPřed 2 měsíci
On this weeks Huddle , Kevin catches up with Massif Capital founder, Will Thomson. They have a great discussion about copper, the returns of the mining sector, down and out commodities and much more. Check out Massif Capital: www.massifcap.com Follow Will on X: wmthomson22 *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our me...
MH+ Ep.32 Navigating The FED’s Impact on Global Markets (guest: Aidan Garrib)
zhlédnutí 2,3KPřed 3 měsíci
MH Ep.32 Navigating The FED’s Impact on Global Markets (guest: Aidan Garrib)
Suit Up and Head to MidTown (Guest: Erik @YWR)
zhlédnutí 5KPřed 3 měsíci
Suit Up and Head to MidTown (Guest: Erik @YWR)
MH+ Ep.31 Dark Side of The Moon (guest: Vincent Deluard)
zhlédnutí 3,1KPřed 3 měsíci
MH Ep.31 Dark Side of The Moon (guest: Vincent Deluard)
Reconciling Opposing Truths (guest: David Cervantes)
zhlédnutí 4,6KPřed 3 měsíci
Reconciling Opposing Truths (guest: David Cervantes)
MH+ Ep.30 Not Important Enough To Fire (guest: Derek Wallis)
zhlédnutí 1,5KPřed 3 měsíci
MH Ep.30 Not Important Enough To Fire (guest: Derek Wallis)
MH+ Ep.29 Talking Charts (guest: Chase Taylor)
zhlédnutí 1,8KPřed 4 měsíci
MH Ep.29 Talking Charts (guest: Chase Taylor)
Gold is Inflation (guest: Chris Ritchie)
zhlédnutí 4,1KPřed 4 měsíci
Gold is Inflation (guest: Chris Ritchie)
Long But Not Variable (guest: Brian Nick & Kuppy)
zhlédnutí 6KPřed 4 měsíci
Long But Not Variable (guest: Brian Nick & Kuppy)
MH+ Ep.28 Return of The Stir King (guest: Alex Manzara)
zhlédnutí 1,8KPřed 4 měsíci
MH Ep.28 Return of The Stir King (guest: Alex Manzara)
MH+ Ep. 27 Inflation Acceleration (guest: Simon White)
zhlédnutí 2,7KPřed 4 měsíci
MH Ep. 27 Inflation Acceleration (guest: Simon White)
Violently Rangebound (guest: Efficient Market Hype) Market Huddle Ep.231
zhlédnutí 4,2KPřed 5 měsíci
Violently Rangebound (guest: Efficient Market Hype) Market Huddle Ep.231
MH+ Ep. 26 Gamma Loop (guest: Cem Karsan)
zhlédnutí 12KPřed 5 měsíci
MH Ep. 26 Gamma Loop (guest: Cem Karsan)
MH+ Ep.25 Talking Charts (guest: Boris Schlossberg)
zhlédnutí 1,8KPřed 5 měsíci
MH Ep.25 Talking Charts (guest: Boris Schlossberg)
Explaining The Dispersion Trade (guest: Mandy Xu) Market Huddle Ep. 230
zhlédnutí 5KPřed 5 měsíci
Explaining The Dispersion Trade (guest: Mandy Xu) Market Huddle Ep. 230
why doesn't canada have 30 yr fixed rate mortgages like in USA?
People have been sleeping and sitting on their brains for too long. Now the people are complaining due to their faults. What should've happened since our elected idiots don't care, MASSIVE CLOSURE OF THE COUNTRY, UNTIL THE GOVERNMENT PUTS INTO LAW... NO MONEY LAUNDERING, NO MORE RIDICULOUSLY HIGH OVERBIDDING, AND NO MORTGAGE FRAUDS. WE STILL HAVEN'T LEARNED FROM 2007/8???? WELCOME ALL TO CANADASTAN!!!!!!
Great guest.
very interesting point of view. His understanding of the mortgage fraud is very sensationalist. It is an important problem, but not as pervasive as he says (very concentrated in type of lenders that he has had personal feud with) and the regulators are all over this topic. he is right though: a sharp solution could create domino effect, which is why it’s not taken.
Whatever it takes, even at the price of hyperinflation, crushing Canadian Dollar and Canadian financial system
What a treat! Was looking for something to watch and found bonus Fedguy content. Winning!
Great job guys
So glad I found you both. Canada and the “British” western countries are absolutely doomed. It will trickle down and affect all the others. Having said that, this was all part of the plan imo
Will there be an email sent for the post or website to view the recording for event to those that register for the event?
Turd and schwabb taking over all the housing you'll own nothing and be happy 😢
Never underestimate the stupidity of the far left mind 😢
Great conversation. Good info from Steve.
Clearly Wendell Clark over Domi :)
What pod shop is Cem talking about at 12:05
The Bank of Canada doesn't have gold because Jean Chretien SOLD it ALL in 1990s for $300/oz. Almost a day before the march to $1600/ oz.
He's been one of the most correct out there the past 3 years, along with Tom Lee and FEW others
Joseph rules
Great guest!
Thanks
Stuff heard at tops. EVERY TIME.
People have been calling "top" for 2 years now.
@@namanshukla2854 That's really not compelling evidence for anything at all. Come back to this comment in a few weeks.
@@seunjoong Typical doomer speak. This is not what you call a euphoric top. The bull market is hated because there are many people like you have been calling for a top for years now and still continue to do so. What's your compelling evidence? Why the vague time frame of " a few weeks" if you're so confident? So that when the bull market finally ends after 50 weeks, you can claim you "called it"?
I hope you're making money. My goal is to outperform SPX every year. So far so good.
@seunjoong yeah keep saying "few weeks" till the broken clock tells the correct time so that you can claim you "called it"
I am heartened by the fact that Mr. Wang thinks that ZIRP and yield-curve control might be amongst the available policy responses "in the event of nuclear war". Very reassuring.
Soft landing is such a ridiculous term, it basically means the economy is going to tank but controlled 😂😂😂 like a plane crashing into a mountain but at a slight angle instead.
Slow motion train wreck
The only thing that Canada excels in is mass immigration and selling shitty degrees and diplomas to foreigners in exchange for residency, plus selling raw materials and food. And inflating housing bubbles through ridiculously low interest rates and low lending standards. 2024-2027 is the renewal wave from the crazy low interest rates, while especially new condo supply is ballooning. Look at 1988 to 1995 in Toronto, that's what we are looking at and the bubble is way bigger than 1988. The US is heavily buffered by 30 year mortgages with locked in rates.
Read willful blindness by Sam Cooper.
Fantastic!🌞
Anyone young and ambitious should be looking at leaving Canada. The economy is screwed either way - if prices stay high they will drag on productivity and discretionary spending - if prices crash it will sewer the entire economy. Not to mention most big cities are starting to look like a Bombay slum.
lmao
SPY 600 and NVDA 200 seem EASY at this point... likely by Labor Day, if not sooner (maybe by 4th of July). SPY 750 and NVDA 360 by the end of the year: EASY PEASY! 😎👍. Don't think, don't be concerned with the economy, don't consider company performance, fundamentals... doesn't matter in this market. It isn't the 90s...computers are running the markets and they are set to BUY! BUY! BUY! SOOOOOOOO EASY!!! 😎😎👍
I'm sure the government would house everyone and help incentivize builders to build the capacity. This would be the fastest way to stimulate that kind of growth. Anything's possible when it's done responsibly.
It's not supply. It's the crazy prices.
@@BuccaneersBliss if you didn't know this the government of Canada is actually using a company called blackwater something like that... The scraped internet and record all Canadian comments channels of all kinds to dig dirt on these people. So don't be surprised if people commenting don't have the full picture or don't want to say the full picture or give their opinions
Yes, the government is Canada's ONLY hope. For as big issues can be solved only by big governments.
I learned about GDP per capita in like 3rd grade. Our so-called "leaders", grown adults, can't grasp the concept.
CONDO-GEDDON incoming ! And this isn't even the top of the 2nd inning heading into the fear/capitulation phase of the single-family residential detached market that equity was 'leveraged' to speculate..... Ben seems to be missing that the BoC is data dependent on it's "inflation" mandate.... Full Stop ! and intending unless inflation drops and keeps DROPPING as it drops the overnight rate..... this could be a very limited rate lowering cycle if the Loonie TANKS and inflation resurges.
GDI IS FALLING. We are on the way to 3rd world status.
Truth
2022 Canadians on CZcams: "UNAFFORDABLE HOUSING IN CANADA. HOUSING CRISIS!!!" 2023 Canadians on CZcams: "WE NEED MORE HOUSING!!" 2024 Canadians on CZcams: "THE END OF THE WORLD IS NEAR!! MARKET CRUSHING!! WE HAVE TOO MANY HOUSES!!" 2025 Canadians on CZcams: "Mortgage Interest Rates Cut by More Than 1.5%: I TOLD YOU!! I WAS FIRST!!" 2026 Canadians on CZcams: "Canada is the best country in the world. Real estate will never crash!!!" Hypocrites? Misleading? Just looking for followers? Telling half-truths to build their brand? Who knows? BUT I KNOW. :) By the way: Ben is a F. NATION TREASURE. NOT KIDDING.
Wow you opened my eye to some insight I knew the national debt was bad but from a federal standpoint we make it seem reasonable when you aggregate the federal+provincial in Canada I can see your point not to even talk about the house hold debt plus credit card and Heloc debts
This guy is a gem for Canada. Unbiased, realist... driven by data.
Immigration and housing supply shortage was a myth, temporary, the narrative for retail to buy the top. Inventory is currently trending up, condo builds still to come online, cranes everywhere, prices flat, sales volume down.... crash ahead.
Yep, real estate agents will say what ever they think will get a sale.
They have a plan, destory the middleclass. The public thinks they are incompetent, but they're not.
Canada is a 4th world dump in every way. Even 3rd world countries offer more for less. How is Canadian ndp or liberals different than the disastrous Peronists of Argentina. Why should someone pay 53/35% taxes for a crap life when they can pay no tax on virtually all their wealth in Switzerland? Or any number of good weather tax havens ?
Hi Kevin, been thinking about this for a while would it be a better idea to protect you Canadian dollars by buying the Yen now before the Canadian dollar depreciates? Loved this episode and shared it with a lot of my friends in real estate. When's the next Piss Up?
Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
Linda Wilburn program is widely available online..
All Canadian governments will do whatever it takes to prevent housing prices from crashing in nominal terms, even if all that's left in this country are boomers + older cohort(s) being taken care of by foreign workers who get paid minimum wage and live stacked 4-6 per bedroom. Millenials + gen z are emigrating to greener pastures if they can, and most of those who remain have adopted a "they pretend to pay us so we pretend to work" attitude. Truly a realty masquerading as a country. I agree with Kevin and Ben that the CAD will take the hit as the release valve.
There is a 100% chance the real estate market crashes in Canada. The leverage is beyond the US during the GFC.
@@DJRS2178 in real terms, I agree with you. In fact, the national average residential real price has already corrected >20% from its early 2022 peak, according to CREA's own numbers. My base case is that this number crashes by 40-50% by some time in 2027 from its early 2022 high. However, I wouldn't underestimate the resolve of politicians and supposed "technocrats" and "regulators" to co-ordinate so that in nominal terms the correction is "only" 20-25% from the early 2022 peak. Just my CAD 2 cents, which by 2027 will probably be worth USD 1 cent 🤣
It’s pronounced with a hard “N”. Once people figure it out, it’ll be the top
So we’re gonna sacrifice the dollar to save a small % of speculators? Are you guys on crack? That would be tremendously inflationary. And would drive shitloads of malinvestment. As savers get the final death blow, and borrowers get bailed out.
Why does everyone keep forgetting that cutting cycles LEAD economic pain? They don’t prevent it. When unemployment starts to go parabolic (like it always does following a hiking cycle), THAT’s when you see huge emergency rate cuts. And that is in no way bullish.
Great interview about (failing) Canada - if you care at all.
I think most cre is 50 to 60 LTV so it would have to be a disaster for the banks to take a loss
If you look at the banking crisis in the us in '2023, this housing bust in Canada will be the most bullish thing that could happen for canadian stocks
No, a real housing bust means falling net worth and lower consumer spending and less construction, and a recession. That's not what happened in the US in 2023. US consumers had locked in rates at 3% and were receiving free 5% annual interest on all their savings. Not at all the same.
Also the real estate and construction industry is 20% of our gdp. Lots of job losses are already happening.
enjoyed this from start to finish gentlemen - much appreciated
Patrick, please invite Kuppy again. It has been too long since his last visit with you.
Awesome interview! Can anyone explain what he means by 0DTEs having to be hedged with other 0DTEs? Does he literally mean that it MMs are selling SPY puts, they are then buying equal quantity of the same puts?