Richard McElreath
Richard McElreath
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Science as Amateur Software Development (2023 edition)
Software is both a cause of unreliable research and part of the solution. The bulk of scientific research relies upon specialized software for data management and analysis. The bad news is that much of this software is poorly tested and documented, and researchers often use software in unreliable ways. Part of the problem is that researchers are being asked to perform a job they have not been trained for: software development. The good news is that borrowing simple habits and open tools from software engineering brings huge benefits. Even more good news: Specialized curricula already exist to train scientists to develop and use these habits in their own research.
zhlédnutí: 7 461

Video

Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 20 - Horoscopes
zhlédnutí 8KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Music: czcams.com/video/g2GbpXqL5P8/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 11:40 Planning 30:49 Working 54:41 Pause 55:15 Reporting 1:24:45 Science reform
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 19 - Generalized Linear Madness
zhlédnutí 7KPřed rokem
Course details: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Square hole: czcams.com/video/9nSQs0Gr9FA/video.html Music: czcams.com/video/Ntv9R1She5A/video.html End music: czcams.com/video/D_cOorXCBiQ/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 03:05 Geometric people (allometry) 31:44 Pause 32:37 Latent strategies (state space models) 53:36 Pause 54:23 Population dynamics (ordinary differential equatio...
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 18 - Missing Data
zhlédnutí 4,9KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: czcams.com/video/RSsstXfcRWw/video.html Icebear music: czcams.com/video/0h9tC3FM9UI/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 05:18 Missing data in DAGs 19:42 Bayesian imputation part 1 33:34 Pause 34:30 Bayesian imputation part 2 38:33 Icebear fall down 39:19 Bayesian imputation part 3 59:19 Summary and outlook
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 17 - Measurement & Misclassification
zhlédnutí 5KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Music: czcams.com/video/eTTcNPDAWYo/video.html Palm leaves: czcams.com/video/We2KHqtqDos/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 10:00 Measurement error 15:55 Modeling measurement 26:00 Pause 26:52 Coding measurement 39:20 Pause 40:18 Himba 43:25 Misclassification 59:33 Summary and outlook 1:03:10 BONUS floating point armory
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 16 - Gaussian Processes
zhlédnutí 10KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: czcams.com/video/_3XGEsDSInM/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 02:37 Oceanic spatial confounds 09:54 Gaussian processes 24:26 Oceanic Gaussian process 33:51 Pause 34:37 Phylogenetic regression 1:18:39 Summary and outlook
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 15 - Social Networks
zhlédnutí 6KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Music: czcams.com/video/0iVdR2rtD90/video.html Pause: czcams.com/video/a6QqkEsGxNY/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 02:25 Sample and causal model 12:18 Generative model 1 17:39 Statistical model 1 27:42 Pause 28:18 Generative model 2 31:45 Statistical model 2 43:30 Associations and wealth effects 48:25 Triangles and block models 51:04 Summ...
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 14 - Correlated Features
zhlédnutí 7KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Music: czcams.com/video/uf-kTuIfbvM/video.html Owl: czcams.com/video/VNcLbMYwhXQ/video.html Pause: czcams.com/video/pxPdsqrQByM/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 02:04 Correlated varying effects 12:13 Building the multivariate prior 19:37 Pause 20:30 Coding the multivariate prior 25:06 Non-centered multivariate priors 31:39 Correlated resul...
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 13 - Multilevel Adventures
zhlédnutí 8KPřed rokem
Course: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: czcams.com/video/xk3BvNLeNgw/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 07:01 Clusters and features 10:02 Varying confounds 18:21 Bangladesh fertility 24:14 Varying districts 34:37 Varying urban regions 39:55 Pause 40:32 Centered and non-centered priors 46:06 Urban variation and correlations 53:00 Summary and outlook
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 12 - Multilevel Models
zhlédnutí 14KPřed rokem
Course details: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: czcams.com/video/E0yoH1LnQFI/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 04:29 Multilevel models 13:50 Partial pooling 16:53 Reedfrogs 22:17 Hyperparameter tuning through crossvalidation 31:23 Pause 32:02 Learning the hyperparameter 46:23 Summary and outlook 54:45 BONUS Mundlak machines
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 11 - Ordered Categories
zhlédnutí 10KPřed rokem
Course materials: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: czcams.com/video/564u39PJfUI/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 03:27 Ethics and trolleys 12:45 Ordered categories 32:01 Ordered categorical models 40:40 Participation bias 44:10 Pause 44:30 Ordered monotonic predictors 49:56 Dirichlet distributions 54:13 Everything all at once 59:15 Summary and outlook 1:06:09 BONUS d...
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 09 - Modeling Events
zhlédnutí 14KPřed rokem
Course details: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro: czcams.com/video/kFRdoYfZYUY/video.html River: czcams.com/video/hh2Vs13sdNk/video.html Tide machine: czcams.com/video/DmxLUb8g10Q/video.html Lego tide machine: czcams.com/video/sAyVcM3g4q4/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 04:50 Discrimination and mediation 20:00 Generative models 25:14 Pause 26:00 Generalized linear models 5...
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 08 - Markov Chain Monte Carlo
zhlédnutí 17KPřed rokem
Course materials: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro video: czcams.com/video/Q3jVk6k6CGY/video.html Intro music: czcams.com/video/kNRIFhkYONc/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 13:08 King Markov 18:14 MCMC 28:00 Hamiltonian Monte Carlo 39:32 Pause 40:06 New Jersey Wine 40:50 MCMC diagnostics 1:04:01 Judges and IRT 1:14:10 Summary and outlook
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 07 - Fitting Over & Under
zhlédnutí 12KPřed rokem
Course materials: github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro: czcams.com/video/PDohhCaNf98/video.html Outline 00:00 Introduction 09:00 Cross-validation 22:55 Regularization 30:15 Pause 30:53 Importance sampling and information criteria 36:46 Model mis-selection 47:30 Robust regression 1:03:11 Summary and outlook
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 06 - Good & Bad Controls
zhlédnutí 17KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 06 - Good & Bad Controls
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 05 - Elemental Confounds
zhlédnutí 21KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 05 - Elemental Confounds
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 04 - Categories & Curves
zhlédnutí 30KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 04 - Categories & Curves
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 03 - Geocentric Models
zhlédnutí 35KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 03 - Geocentric Models
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 02 - The Garden of Forking Data
zhlédnutí 52KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 02 - The Garden of Forking Data
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 01 - The Golem of Prague
zhlédnutí 98KPřed rokem
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 01 - The Golem of Prague
Statistical Rethinking 2022 - Theatrical Trailer
zhlédnutí 48KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 - Theatrical Trailer
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 20 - Horoscopes
zhlédnutí 6KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 20 - Horoscopes
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 19 - Generalized Linear Madness
zhlédnutí 10KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 19 - Generalized Linear Madness
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 18 - Missing Data
zhlédnutí 7KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 18 - Missing Data
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 17 - Measurement Error
zhlédnutí 6KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 17 - Measurement Error
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 16 - Gaussian Processes
zhlédnutí 11KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 16 - Gaussian Processes
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 15 - Social Networks
zhlédnutí 7KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 15 - Social Networks
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 14 - Correlated Varying Effects
zhlédnutí 9KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 14 - Correlated Varying Effects
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 13 - Multi-Multilevel Models
zhlédnutí 12KPřed 2 lety
Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 13 - Multi-Multilevel Models