Video

My first thought was fold to the 3bet and the solver does pure fold AQo at 100bb deep in this spot. Cant imagine it becomes a call at 150bb.

I think I bet the turn. The opponent is passive, his thought process is that you are c-betting all your A high hands on the flop. Then the turn sucks for him, because the A comes in. If you bet, your line is very plausible one to take with an A. This passive player is likely to fold. When you check, you never have the A, because you would frequently bet with that flush draw out there. He can safely bet the river with a small value bet.

KK

Would his betting be different if he had AJ ?

Definitely see lots of players retrace pre-floppy with a weekend.

Hand was well played. You should still be ahead on the flop, barring sets. There are only two combos of 98s available. Of course this is a nutted board with the 67s (4 combos) so you have to be a little cautious. I am not in love with the ace, a lot of his floats like AJd/ATc just picked up top pair. Checking back is ok. On the river with a board pair and unblocking the busted club draws it is a call, altho you will probly lose a lot of the time to a weak ace. Could we jam all in as a bluff? Doesn't feel gr8.

I think it woulda been better to make this a 2 street hand, bet close to pot on the flop (he isn’t calling high cards anyways and not folding any pairs or draws on the flop), and all in non club turns(even this turn) get called by his draws(and possibly get jj and qq to fold in retrospective)

I play it the way Alex did (which is not surprising, I've been following Alex for years) but I would have check-raised the turn. I think weaker players are more likely to speculate, even when the odds are against. On the river, he knows his Ad7h is just a bluff catcher, but on the turn he thinks he could possibly hit the nuts. I was debating raising to 70 or just going all-in. Probably all-in will be more likely to get paid. And I'm worried that the river card will kill the action, as it did here.

I thought a bigger bet of 13 to 15 bb on flop. The 7.25 was surprising to me. I just thought if villain called a 15bb on flop then it would put wm at the top of his range

I have to admit that I overfold to those flop min-raises. I appreciate the thorough explanation of how you played against that, as well as turn/river.

Great work Alex

Agreed easy fold of KQo here, but how about if it were KQs in this spot? Cold call, 3bet squeeze, or make a tight fold?

Big blind leaks is thing.

It always depends on how frequently the blinds are being increased during play. The faster the blinds are increased, the more aggressive you have to play. But assuming this game is being played with customary/typical timing on the blind clock, the player on the BB has no business even being in this hand with AT off suit, out of position, and against 4 players raising up to 2BB. This Player on the BB with 2nd highest chip stack should be concentrating on controlling the action, stealing blinds, and only playing hands when in good position (or if he has really strong hole cards). Anyone playing a meh hand like AT off suit from the big blind position more than 10% of the time is playing way too many hands. Play too many hands from out of position, you will always be “chasing” the board, not controlling the board. A chaser player will always have the odds stacked against him over the long term.

Good stuff bro

man, i can't lay that flush down

I probably x/r the flop a lot. As played, I like the fold on the turn.

The flush draw was not to the nuts even before the board paired. He could have 7h 6h for a straight flush.

Your only getting about 2.5 to 1 to make the call. Hitting the flush is 4 to 1, and you may be drawing dead. Easy fold

Fold is mandatory when the 8 hits the turn. Yes, the old check R on that flop seems like it is worth exploring

Poker shirt guy here. I only play microstakes and they play differently. They nearly always slow play a flush and full house. His betting represents a pair IMO. The only way I can win the pot is either get villain to fold or actually hit a hand on the river because right now I just have Ace high. I would have donked the turn for about 2/3 and fold to a reraise. If called, I would have a made a 1/3 pot bet on the river. If he had a pair or missed draw, he would fold.

i would of folded as well

My thought when I saw that turn card was that as the BB flatter I have far more 8s in my range. I would have led turn for 11.5 BBs. If villain raises we can comfortably fold since the main bluff there is holding the Ah, which he obviously can't have. If he flats we're likely not dead and get to realize our equity at a reasonable price. Given how draw-heavy the board is, he's almost never giving us a free river after we just flat on the flop, so a check is basically a fold.

I would have checked/shove the flop bet for sure. My thoughts would be that he cannot Call without a flush. The Nutflush Is blocked and If He hade a Made flush that IS rather small, villain would Bet latger to Project His Hand, and Not get called by an Ah high Hand. To flop a flush IS around 0.8% and I would for sure Test that outt. Regarding to your explanation that would be wrong and you know that much better than I would. Maybe you could explain why my thinking fais. THY so much. Btw: I highly recommend your Personal Training Lessons. Still working on the content/Homework of one single lesson. So much value!

Good points. Must be emphasized that 10 bigs raise is to narrow the field to get heads up. Once plan A” did not work, it was time to put on the brakes. My question is, is there ever a situation here where it makes sense to C-bet that flop? Since 10 bigs was not successful to narrow the field? Is checking pre-flop at this level $55 a better option?

i would've check raised there reping the 8 with the nut flush draw in the back pocket. but, now that you've explained your thoughts on the hand, i see what you mean. fold is probably the correct play. but, once a fish...........

I agree with your analysis. If he already has a flush, you've lost two outs. He's betting like he has a made hand, and as you say, you don't even know if a heart is a winner..

I appreciate these tips

In addition to all of the official reasons, I'd fold for another one. The challenge said we were very early in a $55 tournament. When I'm at a new table, assuming I don't know any of the opponents, I like to play SUPER tight and study the players. I'm assuming I've never seen this player open from first position before. Now if I've been playing at the table long enough to know this player is loose, aggressive, and doesn't care about position, I'm three-betting big all day here. Otherwise, no. I think calling would be the worst play no matter what, though. ATo doesn't play well six ways.

Well played hand

what about reraising to 12-15 BB ?

Great video

Preflop i lean to folding. The rest of the line i totally agree with. A check raise on the river for pot or even all in would be lovely. But i also understand the point of at least getting something by leading with like a 33% bet with a small chance of someone seeing it as a bluff and raising you

fold preflop. flop Check. turn check-raise to 25b to get value from flush draws... r lead Bet 1/2 pot, as you clearly missed your flush draw, right?

Regardless of the pot. If someone raise like that and you have that card, its an easy fold.

I respect you as a coach. I know that your content is always to the point. But maybe it's worth putting a bit more effort into these shorts.

I could go for an x/r on the river. No one has 85 or 53 in a pot 3b in EP, so we only lose to a few combos of boats.

Easy fold

I don't understand the no check raise on the turn.

3x pot on the river... 😂 Mizrakhi style.

I kind of like a river bet of 75-80 BB here. Considerations of only getting called by better are almost out the door unless they lucked into a 2-out boat on the river. I think somebody gets suspicious of that sizing and looks you up often enough for this to be the play

I think I want to bet the turn, something small like 1/3 pot, targeting either player's pocket pairs and Player 45's A7s and A6s combos, and then on the brick river betting small again. As played on the turn, I want to bet small on the river, again targeting weak pairs. As for preflop, well, my coach (ahem) tells me that I should be calling three-bets more thinly, so I think I can make the call here.

Even I would bet that river, and with the sweetener of the back door flush draw bricking.

I check the river. If I bet and got reraised, I'd hate to fold. But if they bet the river, I could easily call.

Fold pre

Hi Alex, I always love your analysis, but...really think you missed this one in two spots. Spot #1: The board brings in straight and flush draws on the turn. Since your OOP, why give TWO players a free card. So what if you raise and make your hand face up. You take down 57.85 big blinds! (Aces only win 12 - 14 big blinds on average). If you are heads up, it might be a different story but OOP no need to mess around multiway. Spot #2: On the river, the last thing you want to have happen is have it check around. With Villain 45 showing no aggression, you know he is going to check and Villian 44 is likely to do the same as they have shown just moderate aggression. Why not bet 15 - 20 BB representing you are trying to steal this pot knowing, from their perspective, the brick river could not have possibly helped you.

This deep vs squeeze i think its a just fold preflop

I would bet 13BB on river

I would be looking to bet around 20bb on the river. This seems like the size a pair that was trying to pot control would call. As most players I play with would be unlikely to go for thin value on the river I think that it would be up to me to get extra value from them. Another excellent video as usual, thanks.

Good stuff, thanks Alex. I’d lead for a 1/3 pot on the river. Also, depending upon how wild the field is in these Ignition games (not sure about the $40k gtd), sometimes you can throw out a 1bb sucker bet on the river in the hopes that they raise you as a bluff.